In the high-stakes world of fantasy baseball, every draft pick counts, and choosing between players with similar average draft positions (ADP) can make or break your season. Welcome to our expert series, where we delve deep into the stats, performance trends, and potential of closely ranked players to guide you through these tough decisions. Leveraging insights and the Who Should I Draft tool from FantasyPros, we compare two or three players at a time, dissecting their strengths, weaknesses, and overall fantasy value to determine who deserves a spot on your roster.
Whether you’re torn between promising rookies, seasoned veterans, or players coming off a breakout year, our detailed analysis will empower you with the knowledge to draft with confidence. Stay ahead of the slurve and dominate your league by making informed choices when it matters most.
Who Should I Draft? Elly De La Cruz vs. Royce Lewis?
Elly De La Cruz (3B, SS – CIN): ECR 65.6
Elly De La Cruz might be the most exciting and riskiest player on the board. He has a ton of potential that he occasionally flashed in his rookie season. For instance, he stole 35 bases in only 98 games and is in the 100th percentile in sprint speed at 30.5. He also hit the ball hard… when he hit it. His K%, Whiff%, and Chase% are all in the “highly undesirable” range, which drove his OBP down to .300.
The primary question for fantasy managers is: When do you believe he will figure out major league pitching? De La Cruz’s minor league stats suggest that day will come, and as part of Cincinnati’s wave of the future, the 21-year-old will have a very long leash to figure things out in 2024. If you want his potential on your fantasy team, you will have to grab him earlier than you probably want. I’d stay away from him until the fifth round in 2024.
Royce Lewis (3B – MIN): ECR 70.0
Royce Lewis is the latest Minnesota Twin to offer superstar-level stats with an unfortunate injury-prone profile. In 58 games last season, Lewis smacked 15 home runs, drove in 52 runs, and slashed .309/.372/.548. His average was inflated (xBA .265), but the power is very real. The 24-year-old’s xwOBACON is .410; even though his xSLG was lower, it was still .476. An entire season of Lewis has first-round upside, but fantasy managers should draft him expecting fewer games. With a bit of luck, Lewis avoids becoming Byron Buxton 2.0, and those who draft him will be rewarded handsomely.
And the winner is…
According to the FantasyPros Who Should I Draft? tool, 88% of experts would draft Elly De La Cruz.
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