The easiest way to kick off any way-too-early 2024 fantasy football rankings is to take a look back at what happened the year before. What worked, what didn’t work – but most importantly, addressing the “WHY” behind the successes and failures and using that as a driving force to make smart draft decisions next season.

That’s how I’ll start the breakdown of the quarterbacks for early 2024 fantasy football rankings as we look ahead to the 2024 best ball season. Because with best ball, it’s never too early to start drafting. Here is a complete look at my Early 2024 Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings, Tiers & Notes. Below we dive into a few notable names.

• 2024 Dynasty Fantasy Football Draft Kit
• 2024 NFL Draft Guide

Early 2024 Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings, Tiers & Notes

Strategy

My 2024 quarterback draft strategy follows a pseudo-late-round QB approach. It’s the same as last season, which was why I was overexposed to Lamar Jackson and underweight on Patrick Mahomes in 2023.

I want an elite fantasy quarterback at the best price. That helps me capture a ton of upside while also limiting bust potential with my selections. And when it comes to identifying QBs with elite ceilings you can quantify it by aiming for QBs that have shown the capability of scoring 20-plus fantasy points per game.

As you’ll see in the rankings, the guys at the top are consistently averaging north of the 20-point average threshold. And they all have a ton of value added due to their abilities as rushers. Even in 2024, the mobile QBs reign supreme.

Other things to keep in mind, beware of TD regression. In 2022, five of the six highest-drafted QB busts were the passing TD leaders from the previous year. If you just copy-paste the TD passing leaders from 2022 – Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, Geno Smith, Kirk Cousins, Jared Goff, Aaron Rodgers, Justin Herbert – five of the eight were busts in 2023.

Also, new situations, coaches, receivers, etc., increase the chance that a player busts. The uncertainty is often viewed as untapped potential (which can be true), but the risk heightens substantially when it is already baked into an inflated ADP. Something I didn’t look enough into was the pairing between a team’s OC/HC and the QB. Is the pairing primed for sustained success? Or is the team just throwing something at the wall, hoping it sticks?

The other major theme with a lot of these QB busts is injuries. Whether it be to the quarterback or their supporting cast (pass-catchers and OL). Predicting injuries is easier said than done. But if you want to avoid drafting QB busts, it needs to be part of your drafting equation. 2023 was bad for QB injuries, but by the QBs nobody thought would be injured. The injury QBs to “fear” were Tua Tagovailoa and Lamar Jackson. They played the entire season. Matthew Stafford only missed one game. When it comes to injuries, I think we “think” more than we know. So instead of following the herd, be advantageous and embrace the injury discount for players coming off injuries. Note that this is different than players who get hurt during the preseason/training camp. A la, Joe Burrow.

2024 Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings

2024 Fantasy Football Quarterback Notes

2. Lamar Jackson BAL

Second in points per game (22.6) this season. Led all QBs in rushing yards. Hardly had an outlier season from a passinh TD% pass rate of 5.3%. Same as in 2022. The rushing gives Jackson an extremely high floor, and he just barely scratched the surface in his first year with Todd Monken. Zay Flowers will be entering Year 2 and Mark Andrews will be healthy next season.

7. Joe Burrow CIN

Just throw last year out the window. And buy the discount on the Bengals. 4th in points per game in 2022. Loved the Bengals going into 2023, and injuries destroyed this team offensively. And this coaching staff under Zac Taylor (even without Bill Callahan next year) showed that they could build around a QB, based on how well Jake Browning played in relief of Burrow. Browning was PFF’s fifth-highest QB when operating from a clean pocket. Also 6th in yards per attempt and first in completion percentage (70.4%). Burrow finished second in completions per game (24.4) and pass attempts (36.5).

11 Jordan Love GB

QB7 in points per game. First-year as a full-time starter and all he did was score fantasy points the entire season. 21 points per game from Week 10 onward. The young nucleus of Green Bay playmakers to grow with next season. Averaged MORE points per game than Brock Purdy, despite a stark difference in boost by those surrounding him. It’s early, but I already know I want to draft A LOT of Love next season if he’s in this backend fantasy QB1 range during the draft season. Second in passing TDs (32) in his first year as the starter.