Welcome to Sleeper Picks. Sleeper’s newest offering promised plenty of entertainment and action, and they delivered. We will break down our top three picks for this week’s NFL action. Sleeper is quickly becoming one of the most popular season-long fantasy platforms, and they are expanding into other areas based on demand. Each week in this space, we’ll talk about some strategy for the new platform while providing our favorite NFL more/less picks.
Sleeper Picks NFL Week 18
Season record: 36-30
CeeDee Lamb (WR – DAL): 93.5 receiving yards
CeeDee has been incredible this season, averaging 103.2 receiving yards per game. He set a new Cowboys record with 227 receiving yards in Week 17 and should be plenty motivated and with no number in mind due to Tyreek playing in the night game, Dak and CeeDee should make a hard push for the receiving yard crown. Lamb has recorded 116 or more receiving yards in each of his last two games, in three of his last five, and seven of his last 11. However, one of those games with fewer was against this same Washington team back in Week 12 when CeeDee managed just 53 receiving yards off four receptions and nine targets. However, due to form and stat chasing against a bad team, this is a definite More play. Clap the More on CeeDee for Week 18.
Pick: More
Tyreek Hill (WR – MIA): 91.5 receiving yards
Week 18 plays are as much about teams having something to play for as they are about value in the line. One thing we know for certain is that the Sunday night game will be for the division and possibly the playoff lives of the Buffalo Bills, depending on what happens earlier in the day. This means players from both teams should play the entire game on Sunday Night Football. Tyreek wasn’t great against Buffalo earlier this season, managing just 58 receiving yards on five targets. However, he should see at least double the targets tonight, making the 92 yards needed for the More to hit more than doable, especially against a short-handed Bills defense missing multiple starters. Tyreek has recorded 88 or more receiving yards in 10 of 15 games this season and 99 or more in nine of them. Tap the More on Tyreek for Sunday Night Football.
Pick: More
Stefon Diggs (WR – BUF): 59.5 receiving yards
Diggs at 59.5 is a trap line if I’ve ever seen one. Listed no lower than 68.5 over his past five games, Diggs is now at 59.5 in order to entice More plays. Yes, Jalen Ramsey will be in coverage on some snaps, but the Bills should move Diggs around to take advantage of a Dolphins team that will be without Xavien Howard. There is little to no explanation for Diggs recording 48 or fewer receiving yards in six of his last seven games and 34 or less in five of them, but perhaps this is why Diggs’ brother Trevon was so vocal earlier this season. I’ll admit I felt the value would be on the More for this line just based on the number and Diggs’ performance against Miami earlier this season when he posted a massive 6-120-3 line on the Dolphins. However, now almost an afterthought in the offense, this becomes more of a feel play. Form? Easy Less play. Head to head? More. I’ll be tapping the More because it’s ludicrous to think that Joe Brady will not prioritize getting their top playmaker the ball in a game that will decide the division. Yes, he has unlocked the potential of the Bills’ other skill players, but to outscore Miami, Buffalo is going to need an involved Diggs. Dap the More on Diggs for Sunday night.
Pick: More
Writers note: The lines are constantly changing on Sleeper, so there is a high probability that one or all of the numbers may no longer be the same when you open your app. There are excellent values when they are first posted, with the only catch being that they are not all released at the same time. Vigilance could provide a solid return on investment this season, literally.
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Raju Byfield is a featured writer for FantasyPros. For more from Raju, check out his profile and follow him @FantasyContext.