NFL DFS Digest: Week 18 Picks & Predictions (Fantasy Football)

The final week in the NFL regular season is unique for various reasons. First, teams have differing motivations, with some looking at youngsters on teams eliminated from the playoffs, others resting starters because they’re locked into their playoff spot and many competing for a playoff berth or a higher seed. It’s imperative to keep an eye on nuggets of info from beat reporters and national media until kickoff.

In addition, the slate size is different between DraftKings and FanDuel, with the latter including the Sunday Night Football contest in Miami. Despite the massive size of the NFL Week 18 DFS main slate, numerous teams don’t have viable DFS choices. Still, there are ample exciting selections on the other clubs.

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Week 18 Matchups

Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers

Spread: TB -4.5

Over/Under: 37.5 Points

Buccaneers Analysis: The Buccaneers are road favorites in a must-win game to secure the NFC South title. They should be able to lean into the running game against a team others have opted to run against at a high rate. According to RotoViz's pace app, Tampa Bay has had a 49% situation-neutral rush rate since Week 14. Conversely, Carolina has faced the second-highest situation-neutral rush rate (54%) during that period.

In a winning effort against the Panthers in Week 13, Rachaad White ran 20 times for 84 yards and a touchdown. He also added three receptions for 22 receiving yards. The matchup is ideal for another DFS-friendly showing in the rematch. Per The 33rd Team, running backs have averaged 107 rushing yards per game and scored five touchdowns (four rushing and one receiving) against the Panthers in their last four games. White is projected to be the RB1 in DFS in Week 18. He's also tied for the RB4 value score (RB4V) at FD and has the RB6V at DK.

Mike Evans is a high-ceiling pick against a defense he's torched recently. In Week 13, he flamed them for seven receptions, 162 receiving yards and one touchdown. In two games against them in 2022, albeit with a different coaching staff but some of the same personnel, Evans had 9-96-0 and 10-207-3. Tampa Bay's No. 1 wide receiver is projected to be the WR5 at DK and the WR6 at FD this week.

Tampa Bay's defense can close the regular season with a bang. According to Pro-Football-Reference, the Bucs have blitzed at the third-highest rate (39.2%), tied for the 10th-most sacks (45) and tied for the 12th-most turnovers forced (24) this season. They shouldn't have any trouble flustering Bryce Young, who they sacked four times and forced one turnover against the prior matchup.

Panthers Analysis: Carolina's offense is a tire fire, starting at the top with Young. They're not a source of DFS selections this week.

Game: Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals

Spread: CIN -7.0

Over/Under: 37.5 Points

Browns Analysis: Cleveland is resting critical starters against the Bengals since they're locked into the fifth seed in the AFC. Gamers shouldn't use anyone from the Browns in DFS.

Bengals Analysis: The Browns signed Jeff Driskel to their active roster off Arizona's practice squad on December 29. Now, he's starting for them this week. Driskel's in a position to fail and has a bloated 9.9% sack rate in his career. Heck, he was a part-time tight end last year. The Bengals should tee off against him.

Game: Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions

Spread: DET -3.5

Over/Under: 43.5 Points

Vikings Analysis: It's an eruption spot for Justin Jefferson this week. The Lions are wholly inept when attempting to defend wide receivers. They've coughed up the 11th-most DK (16.3) and the 10th-most FD (13.1) points per game to perimeter wide receivers since Week 14 and allowed the fourth-most DK (27.4) and tied for the sixth-most FD (21.1) points per game permitted to slots.

According to The 33rd Team, Jefferson has had a 59.9% slot and 38.4% wide alignment rate this season. Even in an injury-plagued season, he's had blow-up performances, besting 140 receiving yards four times in nine games. Jefferson also had six receptions for 85 receiving yards and two touchdowns in Week 4. In addition, Jefferson had six receptions for 141 receiving yards and one touchdown on Christmas Eve against the Lions. Jefferson is projected to be the WR2 at DK and the WR3 at FD, with the WR3V at the latter.

Lions Analysis: The Lions will play their starters against the Vikings. Does that mean they'll play the entire contest? That's not a lock. Gamers bullish on the potential for Detroit's starters to play the whole game can roll the dice. Yet, it's not a calculated risk I'm advising or taking.

Game: New York Jets at New England Patriots

Spread: NE -1.5

Over/Under: 30.5 Points

Jets Analysis: The Jets have unleashed Breece Hall. Since Week 16, the dynamic second-year running back has had 33 rush attempts, 179 rushing yards, two rushing touchdowns, 25 targets, 21 receptions, 138 receiving yards and one receiving touchdown.

The Patriots have held running backs to only 55 rushing yards per game and 2.9 yards per carry in their previous four games. However, they allowed them 6.8 receptions per game, 45 receiving yards per game and three touchdowns (one rushing and two receiving). The matchup is suboptimal for Hall. Yet, the second-year running back's workload awards him a GPP-friendly ceiling.

Patriots Analysis: New England's offense is bereft of talent, and the Jets have an above-average defense. The Patriots don't have anything to offer DFS gamers.

Game: Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints

Spread: NO -3.0

Over/Under: 42.5 Points

Falcons Analysis: Arthur Smith has held Atlanta's intriguing young offensive weapons back this season and has one more chance to do so. DFS gamers shouldn't let Smith ruin their squads, too.

Saints Analysis: The Saints will face a hobbled Taylor Heinicke or Desmond Ridder on Sunday. Among 48 quarterbacks with at least 100 dropbacks this season, Ridder is PFF's 42nd-ranked passer, and Heinicke is 45th. The former has the fifth-highest turnover-worthy-play rate (5.6 TWP%), and the latter is tied for the sixth-highest (5.3 TWP%). New Orleans's defense should succeed against either of them.

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans

Spread: JAC -5.5

Over/Under: 39.5 Points

Jaguars Analysis: The Jaguars opened the 21-day practice window for Christian Kirk. He's eligible to return from injured reserve (IR) this week if he's ready, and Kirk opened the week with two limited practices. Kirk has the minimum salary at DK and FD, making him a no-brainer chalk choice if he's active. He's averaged 4.8 receptions per game and 65.6 receiving yards per game, with three touchdown receptions in 12 games this season.

Titans Analysis: Tennessee's offense will be led by a banged-up Will Levis or Ryan Tannehill. Neither quarterback is a recipe for success. The Titans have scored fewer than 20 points in three straight games and six of their previous eight.

Game: Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals

Spread: SEA -2.5

Over/Under: 47.5 Points

Seahawks Analysis: Kenneth Walker is tending to an injured shoulder but made it out of last week's contest OK.

He progressed to limited practice participation on Thursday and has a Charmin-soft matchup this weekend, barring a setback sidelining him. The Cardinals have faced the second-highest situation-neutral rush rate (55%) since Week 15 and allowed the second-most DK (32.0) and FD (27.3) points per game to running backs. They were steamrolled by running backs for 116 rushing yards per game, 5.2 yards per carry, two rushing touchdowns, 5.3 receptions per game, 47 receiving yards per game and two receiving touchdowns. In his last four games, Walker has had at least 13 opportunities (rushes plus targets) in each and averaged 74.3 scrimmage yards per game and 2.8 receptions per game with two touchdowns. The second-year running back is projected as the RB2 with the RB2V at DK and the RB4 with the RB3V at FD.

Cardinals Analysis: James Conner is a workhorse. In Arizona's last four games, he's handled 77 of the backfield's 97 rush attempts (79.4%), piling up 364 rushing yards (91.0 per game), 4.7 yards per carry, four rushing touchdowns, nine receptions (2.3 per game), 75 receiving yards (18.8 per game) and two receiving touchdowns.

Since Arizona's bye in Week 14, they've cranked up the run, sporting a 52% situation-neutral rush rate. Meanwhile, the Seahawks have faced the third-highest situation-neutral rush rate (53%) since Week 14. In that timeframe, Seattle has tied for the third-most DK (30.9) permitted and allowed the fourth-most FD (26.9) points per game to running backs, yielding them 146 rushing yards per game, 5.2 yards per carry, five rushing touchdowns, 3.5 receptions per game and 19 receiving yards per game. Conner can punctuate his 2023 campaign with an exclamation point and is projected to be the RB5 at DK with the RB1V and the RB6 with the RB7V at FD.

Greg Dortch is a useful value pick. The 25-year-old wideout had seven receptions for 82 receiving yards last week. The prior week, Dortch had two receptions for 45 receiving yards and a touchdown.

Game: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers

Spread: GB -3.0

Over/Under: 44.0 Points

Bears Analysis: The Bears have opened up the offense lately, allowing Justin Fields to throw more often. They've had a 58% situation-neutral pass rate in their last four games. The dual-threat quarterback hasn't entirely taken advantage of the additional opportunities as a passer.

Nevertheless, Fields has had precisely one passing touchdown in four straight games and added a rushing touchdown in three of those contests. His scoring ability on the ground elevates his floor and ceiling.

Fields could reach his ceiling in a tasty matchup this week. The Packers have allowed the fifth-most DK (21.0) and the sixth-most FD (19.5) points per game to quarterbacks since Week 14. They've ceded them 257 passing yards per game, eight passing touchdowns and 24 rushing yards per game. The third-year pro is projected to finish as the QB3 at DK and the QB4 at FD on this week's NFL DFS main slate.

DJ Moore is an alpha in Chicago's passing attack. He had nine receptions for 159 receiving yards and a touchdown last week, his fourth time clearing 100 receiving yards this season and sixth contest reaching paydirt. Moore has blow-up potential against Green Bay's leaky pass defense.

Moore has a 39.6% slot rate this season, spiking to a season-high 57.4% in Week 14, 54.0% in Week 16 and 56.9% in Week 17. His recent surge in slot usage is perfect for this matchup. The Packers have coughed up the most DK (33.1) and FD (26.6) points per game to slots since Week 14.

Green Bay's futility in defending the slot puts Tyler Scott on the radar as a contrarian tournament option. He has a 39.6% slot rate this season and aligned there at a 62.8% clip in Week 17.

As long as the back injury that popped up for Khalil Herbert on Thursday doesn't sideline him this week, he can stay hot. The third-year running back has had over 110 rushing yards and a touchdown in back-to-back games. The Packers have faced the fifth-highest situation-neutral rush rate (49%) since Week 14. It's a nice layout for Herbert.

Packers Analysis: Quarterback development isn't always linear, but Jordan Love's play has improved dramatically in the back half of his first year as a starter. Since Week 10, he's been PFF's fourth-ranked passer and tallied the second-highest big-time-throw rate (7.4 BTT%) among quarterbacks with at least 150 dropbacks.

In that eight-game stretch, he passed for 2,122 yards (265.3 per game), 18 touchdowns and just three interceptions. He threw multiple touchdowns in seven of those games. Love has also added a rushing touchdown in back-to-back games. Love is a GPP option despite Chicago's defense settling into a groove at the end of the season.

Jayden Reed has a nose for the end zone, scoring seven touchdowns in his previous seven games and failing to reach paydirt in only one of those contests. He's had at least six receptions in three straight games and contributes as a runner. The rookie was knocked out of last week's game early but avoided a serious injury and has been a limited participant in practice this week.

Christian Watson hasn't played since Week 13 but has also been a limited practice participant this week. The second-year wideout had his best game of the season in his last healthy game, beating the Chiefs like a drum to the tune of seven receptions, 71 receiving yards and two receiving touchdowns and sprinkling 15 rushing yards on top for good measure.

Dontayvion Wicks has flashed his potential in his opportunities this season. The rookie wide receiver has received opportunities because of injuries to receivers ahead of him on the depth chart. His stellar play has earned him a role in the offense even when his teammates in the receiving corps are healthy. When Romeo Doubs, Watson, Reed and Wicks were all last active together in Week 13, Doubs ran 32 routes, Watson ran 29, Reed ran 20 and Wicks ran 16. Wicks had four targets, three receptions and 43 receiving yards in that game. His outlook is better if Reed or Watson are inactive, but Wicks is a worthy dart throw in tournaments, even if both are active.

Reed, Watson and Wicks should benefit in this matchup from their slot rates this season of 74.4%, 65.2% and 66.2%, respectively. Watson's slot rate was 76.1% in his last healthy game, and Wicks's was over 83% in three of his past four games. The Bears have bottled up perimeter wide receivers. However, they've allowed the 14th-most DK (19.9) and tied for the 12th-most FD (16.5) points per game allowed to slots since Week 14.

Tucker Kraft would benefit from Watson or Reed missing this game. Nevertheless, the Packers can't put the toothpaste back in the tube. The rookie tight end has had at least four receptions and 48 receiving yards in four straight games, besting 55 receiving yards in three of those contests and scoring a touchdown once. Since Week 14, he's averaged 4.5 receptions per game and 57.3 receiving yards per game with one touchdown reception. Kraft is projected to have the TE3V at DK and the TE4V at FD.

Unfortunately, Aaron Jones has been limited to 10 games this season because of injuries. The silver lining has been his fresh legs when many running backs are wearing down. In the previous two games, Jones has had 21 rush attempts for 127 rushing yards and 20 for 120, chipping in two receptions for 18 receiving yards.

Jones has a favorable matchup this week. The Bears have allowed running backs the seventh-most DK (27.4) and the ninth-most FD (22.3) points per game since Week 14. Running backs did most of their damage against the Bears through the air in those four games, averaging 7.3 receptions per game and 65 receiving yards per game with two receiving touchdowns. So, gamers shouldn't dismiss using Jones in stacks with Love.

Game: Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers

Spread: LAC -3.5

Over/Under: 35.0 Points

Chiefs Analysis: The Chiefs are locked into the AFC's No. 3 seed and starting Blaine Gabbert this week. As a result, gamers can comfortably fade Kansas City in DFS this week.

Chargers Analysis: Gabbert attempted only five passes and threw two interceptions against the Bears in his only appearance this season. Gabbert has attempted only 40 passes in the previous five seasons combined. Additionally, he has had an 8.3% sack rate in his career. Even Los Angeles's dreadful defense can score DFS points this week, making them the slate's cheapest option.

Game: Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders

Spread: LV -2.5

Over/Under: 38.0 Points

Broncos Analysis: Jaleel McLaughlin has won over Sean Payton, making the most of sporadic chances in his rookie campaign and reaching double-digit touches in his last two games. McLaughlin has cleared 60 scrimmage yards each of those games and hauled in seven receptions. The shifty undrafted free agent has earned "additional touches" entering the season finale. McLaughlin is an intriguing pick this week at a punt salary.

Raiders Analysis: Austin Hooper is a matchup-driven punt if Michael Mayer misses his third straight game. Hooper had only five receptions for 41 scoreless yards in his last two games. However, the veteran tight end had encouraging route participation, running the third-most routes (55) for the Raiders.

The Broncos have allowed the sixth-most DK (16.5) and the fourth-most FD (13.8) points per game to tight ends since Week 14. Hooper can clear the low bar needed to help DFS teams at his punt salary in a full-time role without Mayer. If Mayer advances from not participating in practice to suiting up on Sunday, the rookie tight end would be useful and render Hooper a non-option in DFS.

Game: Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants

Spread: PHI -5.0

Over/Under: 42.0 Points

Eagles Analysis: Jalen Hurts passed for 302 yards, one touchdown and one interception and ran for 34 yards and a touchdown against the Giants in Week 16. The dual-threat quarterback has rushed for at least one touchdown in 11 games and passed for at least one in 13 contests. Hurts's passing has been erratic this year. Nonetheless, he's been a fantasy wrecking ball, capable of turning a DFS slate on hits head.

The Giants have allowed the 10th-most DK (18.8) and the 12th-most FD (17.3) points per game to quarterbacks since Week 14, enhancing Hurts's chance for a massive game. However, there's a risk the Eagles could pull the plug on him and other starters early if they see the Cowboys are boat racing the Commanders. Philadelphia needs to win and for Dallas to lose to leapfrog them for the NFC East title. Huts is projected to be the QB2 at DK and the QB3 at FD in Week 18 but isn't a risk-free pick.

A.J. Brown has the same risk as Hurts. Moreover, he also has a sky-high ceiling. The stud wideout hasn't reached triple-digit receiving yards since Week 13. Still, Brown has had over 110 receiving yards seven times this season and scored at least one touchdown in three of those games.

The matchup is stellar for Brown this week, especially when he aligns in the slot. He's had a 38.9% slot rate this year, which spiked as high as 52.3%. The G-Men have tied for the fifth-most DK (27.1) and have allowed the fourth-most FD (22.1) points per game to slots since Week 14. Additionally, Brown has had lines of 4-70-1, 4-95-0 and 6-80-0 against the Giants in three games since joining the Eagles in a trade last season. He already has a prominent role in the offense but might have a few more chances this week if DeVonta Smith's ankle injury keeps him out or hampers his performance. Brown is projected to be the WR4 at DK and the WR5 at FD, with the WR7V at FD.

Dallas Goedert could also benefit immensely from Smith's ankle injury. Goedert has had consecutive rock-solid games, hauling in seven receptions for 71 yards against the Giants in Week 16 and securing five for 47 and one touchdown against the Cardinals in Week 17.

Goedert's matchup is outstanding in the regular season finale. Big Blue has tied for the fourth-most DK (16.8) and yielded the sixth-most FD (13.5) points per game to tight ends since Week 14. Tight Ends have ripped them in that stretch for 6.8 receptions per game, 70 receiving yards per game and two touchdowns.

Giants Analysis: Tyrod Taylor gave New York's offense a spark in relief of Tommy DeVito in Week 16. After DeVito struggled mightily against the Eagles in the first half, Taylor passed for 133 yards, one touchdown and one interception on 16 attempts and ran for 21 yards.

The 34-year-old quarterback started last week and passed for 319 yards, one touchdown, one interception and ran for 40 yards against the Rams. Philadelphia's defense is in a tailspin, and Taylor can score DFS points against them through the air and on the ground. He's the most exciting punt signal-caller this week.

Darius Slayton received a 69-yard touchdown pass from Taylor against the Eagles in Week 16 as part of a 3-90-1 effort. The speedster had four more receptions for 106 receiving yards and a touchdown in Week 17. In his last three games, he's had 11 receptions, 259 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Jalin Hyatt has had only 10 targets, five receptions and 38 scoreless yards in his last four games, including a zero-target game against the Eagles. Yet, the field-stretching rookie has been a mainstay on the field, running the third-most routes (124) for Big Blue since Week 14.

Slayton (43.2% wide this season) and Hyatt (71.0% wide) have a cushy matchup when they align on the perimeter. The Eagles have allowed the sixth-most DK (18.6) and the third-most FD (16.2) points per game to perimeter wide receivers since Week 14. Slayton is the more appealing choice between the two wideouts, but Hyatt is also worth the gamble in GPPs.

Game: Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers

Spread: SF -4.0

Over/Under: 41.0 Points

Rams Analysis: The Rams are starting Carson Wentz at quarterback and resting Kyren Williams and Cooper Kupp. Puka Nacua will also likely get a quick hook after he has a chance to catch four passes and tally 29 receiving yards to break two rookie records. The reserves who will tote the rock or catch passes from Wentz in the absences of Williams, Kupp and Nacua -- after he's lifted -- aren't interesting DFS picks.

49ers Analysis: The 49ers can't rest everyone this week. Still, Sam Darnold is starting for Brock Purdy, and it would be unwise for the 49ers to tempt fate in a meaningless game by playing Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel and George Kittle the entire game. Gamers are advised to fade the 49ers in DFS this week.

Game: Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders

Spread: DAL -13.0

Over/Under: 46.0 Points

Cowboys Analysis: The Cowboys must win to secure the NFC East title and the NFC's No. 2 seed. They can name their score against Washington's pitiful defense. Dak Prescott should take a blowtorch to them. He lit up the Commanders for 331 passing yards, four passing touchdowns and 10 rushing yards on Thanksgiving. Prescott is projected to be the QB1 in DFS this week, with the QB1V at FD.

CeeDee Lamb is in store for a slate-breaking showing. He's projected to be the highest scorer at DK and the second-highest scorer at FD on this slate. Lamb had season highs for receptions (13) and receiving yards (227) and a touchdown against the Lions last week. He's had over 115 receiving yards in his previous two games and eight times this season.

Brandin Cooks has operated in Lamb's shadow but popped up for a few quality performances. He's scored a touchdown in seven games and reached at least 60 receiving yards three times, including a 4-72-1 effort against Washington.

Lamb and Cooks both have drool-inducing matchups. They've had slot rates this season of 60.5% and 52.5%, respectively. Since Week 14, the Commanders have allowed the second-most DK (31.9) and FD (25.4) points per game to slots.

Jake Ferguson is another player gamers should mix into their DFS portfolio. Since Week 14, he's run the third-most routes (137) for the Cowboys and ranked second on the team in targets (27), receptions (19) and receiving yards (194).

Additionally, Prescott loves his trusty tight end in scoring territory. Ferguson's 12 targets inside the 10-yard line this season were the most at his position. He has the TE1V at both DFS providers.

Commanders Analysis: The Commanders are playing out the string, and Sam Howell hasn't cleared 170 passing yards in his previous four games. Gamers shouldn't waste time with Washington's players in DFS this week.

Game: Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins

Spread: BUF -3.0

Over/Under: 49.5 Points

Bills Analysis: Josh Allen has been in a passing rut. In four games since Buffalo's bye in Week 13, Allen has passed for just 733 yards (183.3 per game), three touchdowns, three interceptions and completed only 55.6% of his attempts. The dual-threat quarterback has made up for his passing shortcomings in those contests by rushing for 114 yards (28.5 per game) and six touchdowns.

The Dolphins might be a get-right matchup for Allen's passing. Allen has carved up defensive coordinator Vic Fangio's defenses. He completed 21 of 25 pass attempts for 320 yards, four passing touchdowns, zero interceptions and ran four times for 17 yards and a touchdown against the Dolphins in Week 4.

He had two previous matchups against Fangio when the veteran coach was Denver's head coach from 2019 through 2021. In 2019, Allen completed 15 of 25 pass attempts for 185 yards, two touchdowns, one interception and ran for 56 yards on nine attempts. In 2021, Allen completed 28 of 40 pass attempts for 359 yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions and ran three times for 33 yards and two touchdowns. Therefore, in three games against Fangio, Allen had a 71.1% completion rate, 864 passing yards (288.0 per game), 9.6 yards per pass attempt, eight passing touchdowns, 106 rushing yards (35.3 per game) and three rushing touchdowns.

Furthermore, the Dolphins have allowed the seventh-most DK (20.7) and the eighth-most FD (19.2) points per game to quarterbacks since Week 14. In those four contests, they coughed up 264 passing yards per game, eight passing touchdowns and 18 rushing yards per game. Allen isn't a must-use player. However, he's a GPP-worthy pick. Allen is projected to be the QB2 on FD's main slate.

Khalil Shakir is a stacking option with Allen or a one-off choice. The second-year pro has run the fourth-most routes (86) for the Bills since their bye. Shakir is primarily a slot wideout, aligning there 58.8% of the time this season and at a season-high 77.8% rate against the Patriots last week. Shakir's deployment is crucial for his DFS value because the Dolphins have allowed the 10th-most DK (23.8) and tied for the ninth-most FD (19.2) points per game coughed up to slots since Week 14.

Dalton Kincaid has run the third-most routes (94) for the Bills since their bye and was second on the club in targets (18), second in receptions (10) and third in receiving yards (115). The rookie has aligned in the slot 49.4% of the time this year, was in the slot 57.9% of the time in Week 17 and topped out at a 69.0% slot rate against the Chiefs in Week 14. The Dolphins have allowed the 11th-most DK (14.0) and tied for the ninth-most FD (11.6) points per game allowed to tight ends since Week 14. Specifically, tight ends lined up in the slot have given them fits.

James Cook is arguably the most exciting pick from the Bills. Buffalo has had a 51% situation-neutral rush rate since Week 14. Conversely, Miami has tied for the eighth-highest situation-neutral rush rate (45%) against them since Week 14. In addition, they've allowed the ninth-most DK (25.7) and the eighth-most FD (22.6) points per game to running backs since Week 14.

In those games, running backs did most of their damage against the Dolphins through the air, averaging 4.8 receptions per game, 52 receiving yards per game, 11.1 yards per reception and scoring two receiving touchdowns. They also had 64 rushing yards per game and four rushing touchdowns.

The second-year running back is a pass-catching whiz and is thriving with Joe Brady as Buffalo's offensive coordinator. In Brady's six games as Buffalo's offensive coordinator, Cook was targeted on 24.2% of his routes and had 17 receptions (2.8 per game), 207 receiving yards (34.5 per game), 2.27 Y/RR and three receiving touchdowns. He also ran 104 times for 471 yards (78.5 per game), 4.5 yards per carry and one rushing touchdown. Cook is projected to be the RB2 at FD and is tied for the RB4V.

Dolphins Analysis: Tyreek Hill isn't 100% healthy. He was downgraded from limited participation in Wednesday's practice to sitting out Thursday's. However, Cheetah was listed on the injury report with an ankle injury and personal issue. Comparatively, Jaylen Waddle hasn't practiced this week because of an ankle injury. Hill was able to play through his injury last week, and Waddle wasn't able to suit up. Miami's No. 1 wide receiver was targeted on a blistering 32.4% of his 37 routes last week and had six receptions for 76 scoreless yards against the Ravens.

Hill's ceiling is as high as anyone's on the slate. He's projected as the WR2 and tied for the WR1V at FD. Cheetah isn't a must-use player, though. He's had a few blow-up games in the playoffs against the Bills but has otherwise underperformed his usual level of production.

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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.