Welcome to my Weekly DFS Cheat Sheet. If you love The Primer, my weekly fantasy football novella, you’ll thoroughly enjoy this cliff notes addition. For my in-depth thoughts on the players listed here, see the Primer for my full breakdowns, but if you’re a DFS degen like myself rifling through numerous lineups only minutes before lock, you’ll love this listicle of players I want to target for each game.
For site-specific plays, showdown captains, and more, let’s chat in the FantasyPros DFS Discord. Tag me with your DFS questions weekly. Let’s stack some cash this week.
NFL DFS Cheat Sheet: Wild Card Weekend
Sunday Slate
PIT vs. BUF
Welcome to my Weekly DFS Cheat Sheet. If you love The Primer, my weekly fantasy football novella, you’ll thoroughly enjoy this cliff notes addition. For my in-depth thoughts on the players listed here, see the Primer for my full breakdowns, but if you’re a DFS degen like myself rifling through numerous lineups only minutes before lock, you’ll love this listicle of players I want to target for each game.
For site-specific plays, showdown captains, and more, let’s chat in the FantasyPros DFS Discord. Tag me with your DFS questions weekly. Let’s stack some cash this week.
NFL DFS Cheat Sheet: Wild Card Weekend
Sunday Slate
PIT vs. BUF
GB vs. DAL
LAR vs. DET
Sunday Slate Core Plays
Quarterback
Josh Allen: Allen is the QB1 in fantasy points per game with eight outings with 25 fantasy points per more. Since Joe Brady has been the offensive coordinator Josh Allen‘s passing accuracy has been an adventure which I don’t think is a Brady thing but it has to be mentioned. Since Week 11, among 34 qualifying quarterbacks, Allen ranks 14th in yards per attempt, 22nd in CPOE, and 25th in highly accurate throw rate. That hasn’t stopped him from ranking 13th in passing yards per game, 12th in passing touchdowns (tied), and second in fantasy points per dropback.
Running Back
Najee Harris: Harris has been a volume monster since Week 16 as Pittsburgh’s clear leadback. He has played 44-60% of the snaps, averaging 25.7 touches and 111 total yards. He has crushed Warren during this stretch in red zone usage with 24 opportunities versus Warren’s six. Among 49 qualifying backs, Harris ranks 10th in explosive run rate, 19th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 17th in yards after contact per attempt. Since Week 13, the Bills’ run defense has dissolved into a bottom-tier unit, allowing the eighth-highest explosive run rate, the highest rushing touchdown rate, the 12th-highest yards before contact per attempt, and the 11th-highest success rate to zone runs (Harris 56.1% zone). Harris won’t be popular, especially for the six-game slate, but he’s an amazing play.
Wide Receiver
CeeDee Lamb: Lamb finished as the WR1 in fantasy points per game this season. He led the NFL in targets (181) while also ranking 14th in deep targets and first in red zone targets. Since Week 11, the Packers have had the 11th-highest rate of single high (56.9%). Since Week 8, against single-high, Lamb has had a 35.4% target share, a 39.1% air-yard share, 3.54 YPRR, and a 38.6% first-read share. Since Week 13, Green Bay has allowed the fifth-most receiving yards and the 10th-highest PPR points per target to slot receivers.
Tight End
Dalton Kincaid: After a huge dip in Kincaid’s production in Weeks 15-16, he has rebounded nicely with 7.5 targets, 5.5 receptions, and 85.5 receiving yards per game (71.8% route run rate). Since Week 13, the Steelers have had the second-highest rate of single-high (64.9%). Since Week 8, against single-high, Kincaid has had a 17.8% target share (second on the team), 1.61 YPRR, and an 18.7% first-read share (second on the team). Since Week 8, Pittsburgh has allowed the fifth-most receiving yards, the second-most fantasy points, and the fourth-most receiving touchdowns to tight ends.
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