Fantasy Football Outlook: C.J. Stroud, D.J. Moore, Johnny Mundt, Dalton Schultz (Week 18)

Every week we’ll bring you The Primer, a deep dive into every fantasy-relevant player from every NFL game of the week. You can find the full weekly Primer here. Below we dive into a few notable players ahead of this weekend’s games.

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Fantasy Football Outlook

C.J. Stroud: Stroud is hands down the best quarterback play of the two-game Saturday DFS slate. Easily. He ranks fifth in yards per attempt, sixth in passer rating, and 11th in fantasy points per dropback. Indy has fielded an average pass defense over the last few weeks, ranking 14th in yards per attempt and adjusted completion rate and 15th in passer rating allowed. The Colts love their Cover 3 usage. Since Week 12, they have led the NFL in Cover 3 rate (48.4%). Stroud ranks second in yards per attempt, first in passer rating, and second in fantasy points per dropback among 29 qualifying quarterbacks against Cover 3.

Dalton Schultz: Schultz has had a strong year as a security blanket for C.J. Stroud, ranking fourth in red zone targets, 13th in receptions, 12th in receiving yards, and seventh in total touchdowns among tight ends. Since Week 12, Indy has led the NFL in Cover 3 rate (48.4%). In the 12 games this season in which Schultz has played at least 59% of the snaps against Cover 3, he has had a 15.5% target share, 1.88 YPRR, and a 15.9% first-read share. Schultz puts two tight-end lineups in play for this short slate. Indy has allowed the 10th-most receiving yards and the eighth-most fantasy points to tight ends.

Johnny Mundt: Last week, Mundt had an 84.2% route run rate, 21.9% target share, 1.22 YPRR, and two red zone targets as the Vikings starting tight end. Mundt is viable in a game stack or a mini stack run back with St. Brown or Gibbs this week. Detroit has allowed the ninth-most fantasy points, the 11th-most receiving yards, and the seventh-highest yards per reception to tight ends.

D.J. Moore: Moore is the WR9 in fantasy points per game this season, with six games with at least 22 fantasy points. He ranks seventh in deep targets, 13th in receptions, seventh in receiving yards, and ninth in yards after the catch. Moore has a 25.8% target share, a 43.1% air-yard share, 2.45 YPRR, and a 37.6% first-read share. The Packers have allowed the third-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers since Week 12.