When preparing for your fantasy baseball drafts, knowing which players to target and others to avoid is important. The amount of information available can be overwhelming, so a great way to condense the data and determine players to draft and others to leave for your leaguemates is to use our expert consensus fantasy baseball rankings compared to average draft position (ADP). In this way, you can identify players the experts are willing to reach for at ADP and others they are not drafting until much later than average. Let’s dive into a few notable players below.
2024 Fantasy Baseball Draft Advice
Rank | Player | Team | Positions | Best | Worst | Avg | Std Dev | ADP | vs. ADP |
4 | Corbin Carroll | ARI | LF,CF,RF | 2 | 6 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 10 | 6 |
20 | Bryce Harper | PHI | 1B,DH | 16 | 28 | 20.4 | 1.6 | 26 | 6 |
38 | Pablo Lopez | MIN | SP | 30 | 67 | 40.2 | 6 | 46 | 8 |
39 | Elly De La Cruz | CIN | 3B,SS | 32 | 83 | 41.1 | 6.8 | 58 | 19 |
41 | CJ Abrams | WSH | SS | 15 | 68 | 42.3 | 7.9 | 50 | 9 |
44 | Cody Bellinger | 1B,CF | 25 | 65 | 45.1 | 8.7 | 59 | 15 | |
45 | Nolan Jones | COL | 1B,LF,RF | 36 | 62 | 48.2 | 5.3 | 62 | 17 |
52 | Matt McLain | CIN | 2B,SS | 43 | 106 | 56 | 7.2 | 78 | 26 |
55 | Freddy Peralta | MIL | SP | 49 | 100 | 58.9 | 10.8 | 68 | 13 |
64 | Josh Lowe | TB | CF,RF,DH | 40 | 94 | 63.4 | 4.6 | 76 | 12 |
65 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | SP | 30 | 124 | 64 | 11.6 | 135 | 70 |
67 | Kodai Senga | NYM | SP | 51 | 96 | 67.9 | 7 | 77 | 10 |
76 | Ha-Seong Kim | SD | 2B,3B,SS | 48 | 153 | 83.1 | 14.9 | 100 | 24 |
79 | Triston Casas | BOS | 1B | 63 | 101 | 84.6 | 7.9 | 106 | 27 |
84 | Josh Jung | TEX | 3B | 75 | 153 | 88.2 | 11.9 | 113 | 29 |
87 | Zach Eflin | TB | SP | 63 | 107 | 89.7 | 10.2 | 101 | 14 |
90 | Spencer Steer | CIN | 1B,2B,3B,LF | 43 | 158 | 93.3 | 20.1 | 111 | 21 |
92 | Spencer Torkelson | DET | 1B | 50 | 121 | 94.7 | 13.8 | 141 | 49 |
95 | Ketel Marte | ARI | 2B | 81 | 115 | 96.7 | 9 | 114 | 19 |
101 | Lane Thomas | WSH | CF,RF | 65 | 194 | 100.8 | 14.5 | 126 | 25 |
105 | Yandy Diaz | TB | 1B,3B | 69 | 132 | 104.7 | 14.4 | 123 | 18 |
107 | Bryson Stott | PHI | 2B | 44 | 198 | 110.3 | 19.6 | 127 | 20 |
114 | Josh Naylor | CLE | 1B,DH | 89 | 138 | 116 | 10.1 | 142 | 28 |
117 | Zack Gelof | OAK | 2B | 75 | 145 | 118.2 | 9.9 | 137 | 20 |
123 | Ian Happ | CHC | LF | 88 | 192 | 125.4 | 17.3 | 150 | 27 |
132 | Jorge Soler | RF,DH | 108 | 157 | 131.3 | 13.6 | 164 | 32 | |
136 | Marcell Ozuna | ATL | LF,DH | 103 | 157 | 133.9 | 12.7 | 172 | 36 |
137 | TJ Friedl | CIN | LF,CF | 95 | 179 | 134.6 | 22.7 | 162 | 25 |
139 | Masataka Yoshida | BOS | LF,DH | 78 | 195 | 138.1 | 26.9 | 167 | 28 |
150 | James Outman | LAD | LF,CF | 120 | 202 | 155.4 | 15.4 | 179 | 29 |
Corbin Carroll (OF – ARI)
Corbin Carroll arrived on the scene in 2023 and immediately showcased his power and speed, launching 25 homers and swiping 54 bases. He crossed the plate 116 times and notched 76 RBIs. With a solid .362 on-base percentage, Carroll stands out, especially given his top-tier speed, ranked in the 99th percentile. There is concern that his OBP was slightly inflated, which could slightly dampen his numbers, but he is still a solid first-round pick. Carroll’s contact skills hint at sustained high-level performance into 2024 and beyond.
Triston Casas (1B – BOS)
Triston Casas is the next star at the first base position. He took a leap in 2023 at the age of 23, hitting 24 home runs in 132 games with an impressive slash line of .263/.367/.490. He is in the 93rd percentile of BB% at 13.9 and the 92nd percentile in xwOBA at .370. His counting stats weren’t great, only tallying 65 RBIs and 66 runs, but this should improve with the return of some key Boston players. He might come at a wild discount, going in the early 100s, but this will be the last time you will be able to get him there. He is worth reaching for because chances are good he will outproduce his ADP.
Josh Naylor (1B – CLE)
Josh Naylor suffers from BatsInTheGuardiansLineupitis, but he offers enough upside to nab as a second or third corner infielder in the middle rounds. Naylor dealt with injuries in 2023, limiting him to 121 games. However, he hit 17 home runs and drove in 97 while slashing .308/.354/.489. He also kicked in 10 stolen bases for good measure. As long as he continues to bat behind Jose Ramirez, he should be a boon to the RBI category, but it’s his 95th percentile xBA (.293) and K% (13.7) that makes him a valuable pick.
What is Fantasy Baseball?
Fantasy baseball is an online game where participants act as managers of virtual baseball teams based on real-life Major League Baseball (MLB) players. The performance of these players in actual games determines the results in the fantasy league. It’s a blend of skill, strategy, and a little bit of luck, akin to the real-world decisions team managers must make.
Basic Strategy for Fantasy Baseball Success
1. Understand Your League’s Format and Scoring
Before drafting your team, it’s essential to understand the scoring system and rules of your specific league, as this will influence your drafting and management strategy. Knowing whether you’re in a points-based, category-based, or head-to-head league will guide you in selecting players whose strengths align with the scoring system.
2. Drafting Your Team Wisely
A solid draft is the foundation of a successful season. Here are a few tips for the drafting phase:
- Balanced Team: Ensure you have a balanced team with a mix of power hitters, average hitters, speedsters, starting pitchers, and relievers.
- Position Scarcity: Be aware of the depth of talent at each position. Some positions, like shortstop, may have fewer high-quality players, making it beneficial to draft a top player at that position early.
- High-Floor Players: Early in the draft, focus on players with a proven track record of consistency.
- Upside Picks: In the later rounds, look for “upside” players. These are athletes who have the potential to outperform their draft position.
3. In-Season Management
- Stay Active: Constantly look for ways to improve your team through waivers, trades, and free-agent pickups.
- Mind the Matchups: Pay attention to player matchups, platoon splits, and ballparks. Starting a pitcher in a hitter-friendly park, for example, can be risky.
- Injury Management: Stay on top of player injuries and have backups ready for your key players.
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