Fantasy Football Outlook: Rashee Rice, Cooper Kupp, Calvin Ridley, Jared Goff

Every week we’ll bring you The Primer, a deep dive into every fantasy-relevant player from every NFL game of the week. You can find the full weekly Primer here. Below we dive into a few notable players ahead of this weekend’s games.

Fantasy Football Outlook

Jared Goff: Goff continues to hover around the QB1 discussion weekly as the QB13 in fantasy points per game. He has five QB1 outings this season. He ranks sixth in yards per attempt, eighth in highly accurate throw rate, and 14th in fantasy points per dropback. Goff faces off against an improving Chicago pass defense. Since Week 8, they have still displayed some dings in the armor with the seventh-most passing touchdowns and fourth-highest adjusted completion rate allowed, but they have also kept passing attacks in check with the fifth-lowest yards per attempt and 11th-lowest passing yards per game given up. Since Week 8, Chicago has operated with the sixth-highest rate of single-high (63.6%). Against single-high, Goff ranks fourth in yards per attempt and eighth in fantasy points per dropback. Goff is a strong start in Week 14. Week 14 Positional Value: QB1

Calvin Ridley: Ridley is the WR25 in fantasy. It has been a rollercoaster all season as he has four weeks as a WR1 but he has also finished outside the top 60 wide receivers in weekly scoring four times. After enduring a long red zone drought during the middle of the season, Ridley has bounced back with five red zone targets over his last four games. Overall he ranks 15th in deep targets and 23rd in red zone targets among wide receivers. Since Week 8, the Browns have utilized single-high as the highest rate in the NFL (67.7%). Against single-high, Ridley has a 23.7% target share, a 42.1% air-yard share, 2.20 YPRR, and a 27.6% first-read share. Ridley carries a high weekly ceiling, but the floor is also extremely low. This feels like more of a floor week than a ceiling outcome. Since Week 8, Cleveland has allowed the fourth-lowest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR3

Cooper Kupp: Kupp has looked like a shell of his former self. In the last three games, he and Stafford have been full-time players, he has seen only a 19.2% target share, a 16% air-yard share (5.5 aDOT), and a 22.1% first-read share with 0.92 YPRR. In those three games, he saw zero designed targets which were his bread and butter when he was cooking the entire league. In those three games, Kupp has seen his slot usage increase (68% slot). Kupp will tangle with Arthur Maulet (68% catch rate and 76.1 passer rating) all day. Week 14 Positional Value: WR3

Rashee Rice: The Chiefs don’t have the luxury of messing around anymore with these wide receiver committees. It’s go time, and Rice has been leaned on the last two weeks. He has played 67-69% of snaps since Week 12 with a 65% route run rate, 28.4% target share, 3.42 YPRR, and a 34.1% first-read share. Since Week 9, Buffalo has utilized two-high at the fourth-highest rate (60%). Against two-high, Rice leads the team with a 28% target per route run rate and three end zone targets while also ranking second on the team with 2.27 YPRR. Mahomes will feed Rice again this week. Week 14 Positional Value: WR2