Fantasy Football Outlook: James Conner, Cade Otton, Diontae Johnson, D.J. Moore

Every week we’ll bring you The Primer, a deep dive into every fantasy-relevant player from every NFL game of the week. You can find the full weekly Primer here. Below we dive into a few notable players ahead of this weekend’s games.

Fantasy Football Outlook

Diontae Johnson: Since his Week 7 return, Johnson has seen a 24.9% target share, a 44.8% air-yard share, and a 31.3% first read share as the WR33 in fantasy points per game. Johnson has only three red zone targets over his last five games. With Trubisky under center, Johnson is a volume play only. Considering how up and down Trubisky’s quarterback play was last week, don’t be surprised if Pittsburgh limits the passing volume this week and tries to grind out a win, which would hurt Johnson. Since Week 9, Indy has allowed the ninth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Week 15 Positional Value: WR3

D.J. Moore: Moore has surpassed nearly every expectation this season that Fantasy GMs had this offseason as the WR8 in fantasy points per game. Moore is 16th in targets, 12th in deep targets, 11th in receptions, and seventh in receiving yards. Since Week 9, the Browns have utilized single-high at the eighth-highest rate (59.6%). Against single-high, Moore has had a 26.6% target share, a 40.8% air-yard share, 2.87 YPRR, and a 37.8% first-read share. Moore will be peppered with targets once again this week. He’s seen at least nine in every game since Week 10. He does have a tough matchup this week, though. Since Week 9, Cleveland has allowed the third-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Moore opened this week with a DNP (ankle). It’s a situation worth monitoring the rest of the week. Week 15 Positional Value: WR1/2

Cade Otton: Otton is the TE17 in fantasy points per game and a familiar streaming option this season. He has four TE1 weeks this year while ranking 10th in red zone targets among tight ends. Otton is a low-end streaming option again this week. Green Bay has allowed the third-highest yards per reception to tight ends while ranking 18th in fantasy points per game. Week 15 Positional Value: TE2

James Conner: Since his Week 10 return, Conner has only once finished higher than RB27 in weekly scoring, as he has averaged 16.8 touches and 68.3 total yards. The problem hasn’t been Conner but a lack of volume and pass-game involvement. Since Week 10, among 30 qualifying backs, he ranks first in missed tackles forced per attempt and third in yards after contact per attempt. Sadly, Conner is slated for another flex/RB3 type of performance this week against a stout San Francisco run defense. Since Week 10, the 49ers have the fourth-lowest missed tackles per attempt, the second-highest stuff rate, and have given up the second-fewest rushing yards per game. Week 15 Positional Value: RB3