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Fantasy Football Outlook: Garrett Wilson, David Njoku, Javonte Williams, Jake Browning

Fantasy Football Outlook: Garrett Wilson, David Njoku, Javonte Williams, Jake Browning

Every week we’ll bring you The Primer, a deep dive into every fantasy-relevant player from every NFL game of the week. You can find the full weekly Primer here. Below we dive into a few notable players ahead of this weekend’s games.

Fantasy Football Outlook

Jake Browning: Ok, Browning. Ok. I see you. Back-to-back QB4 performances in fantasy will force anyone’s eyes open. Since Week 12, among 37 qualifying quarterbacks, he has ranked second in yards per attempt, CPOE, highly accurate target rate, and fantasy points per dropback. Browning has been balling. Minnesota’s pass defense has been on the rise for the last few weeks. Since Week 9, they have held passers to the fifth-lowest yards per attempt and third-fewest passing touchdowns. Despite the Vikings blitzing like crazy still, they have ranked dead last in time to pressure and own the third-lowest pressure rate since Week 9. Browning should have another strong outing. Week 15 Positional Value: QB2 with QB1 upside

Javonte Williams: Williams is the RB29 in fantasy points per game, ranking 20th in opportunity share and weighted opportunities. He is also 12th in carries and 15th in red zone touches. Over the last three games, he has averaged 19 touches and 77.3 total yards while playing 60-70% of the snaps. Since Week 8, Williams has been struggling to break tackles. Since that point, among 40 qualifying backs, he has ranked 31st in yards after contact per attempt and 33rd in missed tackles forced per attempt. That won’t help Williams this week against a tough Detroit run defense. Since Week 9, they have had the eighth-highest stuff rate while also allowing the 11th-lowest missed tackles per attempt and the third-lowest yards after contact per attempt. Williams remains a good bet for 15-plus touches. If he falls into the end zone, he’s likely a mid to low-end RB2. Week 15 Positional Value: RB2

David Njoku: With Flacco under center, Njoku has had a 15.7% target share, 1.57 YPRR, and a 13.1% first-read share. Since Week 7, Njoku has been the TE8 in fantasy points per game while ranking second among tight ends in end-zone targets and yards after the catch per reception. Chicago has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points per game and receptions per game to tight ends. Njoku has another TE1 performance in Week 15. Week 15 Positional Value: TE1

Garrett Wilson: Wilson has been a volume play all season. He is the WR23, ranking third in targets and air-yard share while also ranking fifth in deep targets and 14th in red zone targets. Wilson has a 28.7% target share, a 48.6% air-yard share, 1.76 YPRR, and a 39.6% first-read share. Since Week 8, Miami has ranked 13th in receiving yards per game and 15th in PPR points per target allowed to boundary wide receivers. Week 15 Positional Value: WR2/3

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