Fantasy Football Outlook: Deebo Samuel, Breece Hall, Zack Moss, Rachaad White

Every week we’ll bring you The Primer, a deep dive into every fantasy-relevant player from every NFL game of the week. You can find the full weekly Primer here. Below we dive into a few notable players ahead of this weekend’s games.

Fantasy Football Outlook

Rachaad White: White is the RB10 in fantasy, with his pass game role and volume doing the heavy lifting for his fantasy value. White is sixth in snap share, ninth in opportunity share, and fourth in weighted opportunities. He has averaged 18.5 touches and 85.8 total yards. The last time he faced this defense, he finished with 19 touches and 99 total yards (65 receiving yards) as the RB12 for the week. Among 58 qualifying backs, he ranks 51st in missed tackles forced per attempt and 52nd in yards after contact per attempt. He continues to be below-average as a tackle breaker, but Tampa Bay doesn’t have a back on this roster talented enough to take his job or eat into his workload. White should continue to chug along as an RB1 this week against an Atlanta run defense that, since Week 8, has the 12th-lowest stuff rate, the 12th-highest missed tackle rate per attempt, and the ninth-highest yards after contact per attempt allowed. Week 14 Positional Value: RB1

Zack Moss: In his first game back in the starter’s chair, Moss received the type of workload that we anticipated with 94% of the snaps played, 21 touches, and 57 total yards. The only problem is that he didn’t do much with it. Moss should bounce back this week. Among 58 qualifying backs, Moss ranks 21st in missed tackles forced per attempt and 13th in yards after contact per attempt. The Bengals have had a putrid run defense this season. Since Week 8, they have allowed the ninth-highest explosive run rate, the seventh-most missed tackles per attempt, and the seventh-highest yards per carry to zone runs (Moss 79.4% zone). Cincinnati has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points this season via rushing. Week 14 Positional Value: RB1

Breece Hall: Since Week 6, Hall has been the RB13 in fantasy points per game, averaging 17 touches and 69.7 total yards. He is 13th in missed tackles forced per attempt and fifth in yards after contact per attempt. The bulk of his production has come through the passing game, with 5.1 receptions and 41.4 receiving yards per game. He has averaged only 28.3 rushing yards per game over his last seven contests. Since Week 6, he has surpassed 40 rushing yards in only one game. His offensive line has been the worst unit in the NFL. Since Week 6, the Jets have the lowest adjusted yards before contact per attempt. They have a full 0.21 yards before contact per attempt below the next closest offensive line (LAC). Hall is set for another long day at the office in Week 14. Since Week 8, Houston has the second-best stuff rate while also allowing the ninth-lowest yards after contact per attempt and the sixth-fewest rushing yards per game. Week 14 Positional Value: RB2

Deebo Samuel: Samuel has been crushing since his Week 10 return, with at least 15.9 fantasy points in three of his last four games. He has now risen to the WR15 in fantasy points per game with the sixth-most total touchdowns among wide receivers. Since Week 9, Seattle has utilized zone coverage at the fourth-highest rate (82.2%). In the eight games that Aiyuk, Samuel, and George Kittle have been full-time players, Samuel has had a 20.5% target share, 2.74 YPRR, and a 22.3% first-read share against zone. Samuel has returned to the wide back role, but he has also chipped in at least three rushing attempts, 15 rushing yards, and a rushing score in three of his last four games. Week 14 Positional Value: WR1/2