Fantasy Football Outlook: David Montgomery, David Njoku, Josh Jacobs, Gerald Everett

Every week we’ll bring you The Primer, a deep dive into every fantasy-relevant player from every NFL game of the week. You can find the full weekly Primer here. Below we dive into a few notable players ahead of this weekend’s games.

Fantasy Football Outlook

David Montgomery: Montgomery has been the early down hammer since his Week 10 return, only seeing a 22.4% route run rate and 2.9% target share. He has averaged 15.1 touches and 85.1 total yards per game in that span. Montgomery continues to crush would-be tacklers in the open field, ranking fifth in missed tackles forced per attempt and eighth in yards after contact per attempt. This week’s matchup is tough for any back playing that early down role in an offense. Since Week 8, Chicago has been a very good run defense, allowing the second-fewest rushing yards per game, the fourth-lowest rushing touchdown rate, and the tenth-lowest yards after contact per attempt. Montgomery needs to spike at least one touchdown this week to pay off in fantasy. Week 14 Positional Value: RB2

David Njoku: Since Week 7, Njoku has seen a 22.4% target share and a 25.1% first-read share as he has rolled up 1.55 YPRR and six end zone targets. Last week broke Njoku’s streak of six straight games as a weekly TE1 (TE10, TE6, TE12, TE7, TE4, TE8). Njoku ranks fifth among tight ends in red zone targets. He should bounce back nicely this week, regardless of who is throwing him the ball. Jacksonville has allowed the ninth-most receiving yards per game and the third-highest yards per reception to tight ends this season. Week 14 Positional Value: TE1

Josh Jacobs: Jacobs is the RB12 in fantasy, ranking fifth in snap share, second in opportunity share, and first in weighted opportunities. Since Week 9, he has averaged 23.6 touches and 100.3 total yards. Under his new head coach, he has finished as the RB3, RB21, RB37, and RB5 in weekly scoring. Jacobs remains the billboard king of volume because his efficiency metrics have remained in the toilet. Among 58 qualifying backs, he ranks 45th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 51st in yards after contact per attempt. Jacobs will need all the volume he can get this week against a strong Vikings run defense. Since Week 9, Minnesota has allowed the lowest explosive run rate, the second-lowest rushing touchdown rate, and the fifth-lowest rushing yards per game. Week 14 Positional Value: RB1/2

Gerald Everett: Everett has played 64% of the snaps in each of his last two games, which are his highest snap share marks since Week 6. Over the last two games, Everett has had an 11.1% target share with 1.78 YPRR. This week, Everett could be knocking on the door of TE1 production. Denver has allowed the second-most fantasy points per game and receiving yards per game to tight ends. Week 14 Positional Value: Borderline TE1