Fantasy Football Outlook: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Chuba Hubbard, D’Andre Swift, Davante Adams

Every week we’ll bring you The Primer, a deep dive into every fantasy-relevant player from every NFL game of the week. You can find the full weekly Primer here. Below we dive into a few notable players ahead of this weekend’s games.

Fantasy Football Outlook

Amon-Ra St. Brown: St. Brown is the WR4 in fantasy as he continues to truck along with a stellar season. He’s 10th in red zone targets this season, with seven in his last four games. In his last meeting with this secondary, he secured eight of his 11 targets (four red zone targets) with 77 receiving yards as the WR7 for the week. St. Brown has a 27.9% target share, a 32.9% air-yard share, 2.75 YPRR, and a 34.6% first-read share. He will run about 55% of his routes against Kyler Gordon (73% catch rate and 88.6 passer rating). St. Brown remains a locked-in weekly WR1. Week 14 Positional Value: WR1

Chuba Hubbard: This is Hubbard’s backfield. Last week, he played 65% of the snaps, which is his highest snap share since Week 9. He had 25 carries with 104 rushing yards (zero targets) while also seeing all of the red zone work for this backfield. Among 58 qualifying backs, Hubbard ranks 31st in missed tackles forced per attempt and 24th in yards after contact per attempt. He should see 20-plus opportunities against a Saints’ run defense that has struggled over the last few weeks. Since Week 8, New Orleans has allowed the seventh-highest explosive run rate, the second-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the highest yards per carry to zone runs (Hubbard 58% zone). Don’t be surprised if Hubbard is a strong RB2 this week. Week 14 Positional Value: RB2/3

Davante Adams: With O’Connell tossing the rock since Week 9, Adams has handled a 29.1% target share, a 49.5% air-yard share, and a 34.8% first-read share with 2.24 YPRR. In those four games, Adams has finished as the WR45, WR21, WR8, and WR32 in weekly scoring while seeing three red zone targets. Overall, Adams is the WR20 in fantasy points per game, ranking fourth in deep targets and first in red zone targets among wide receivers. Adams should have a strong day in Week 14 against a secondary that, since Week 8, has allowed the 13th-most receiving yards per game and the seventh-most receiving touchdowns to perimeter wide receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR2

D’Andre Swift: Swift is the RB19 in fantasy points per game. He ranks 14th in snap share, 13th in opportunity share, eighth in carries, and 12th in red zone touches. Since Week 2, he has averaged 18.3 touches and 89.8 total yards. Swift ranks 15th in explosive run rate and 39th in yards after contact per attempt. In his last matchup with this defense, he had 74 total yards and was the RB25 for the week. Dallas has been a tough draw for backs since Week 8, allowing the fifth-lowest explosive run rate while also ranking 19th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 21st in yards after contact per attempt. Week 14 Positional Value: RB2