And we’re back with your Week 12 injury report. As always, you can find the rest of your injury edge on sportsmedanalytics.com or Twitter/X @SportMDAnalysis and @FantasyPros.
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Week 12 Fantasy Football Injury Report
Lean towards sitting Week 12 and returning Week 14 (post-bye) at 100%. Hamstring data actually favors him playing now, but the comments very much suggest the opposite. The good news is that his re-injury risk will be down to 10% that deep into the return.
Low ankles don’t cause WR production hits on average, by they do lead to a ~30% decrease in the likelihood of positive outlier games (20+ fantasy points).
TBD. Data projects 2/3 chance of sitting given the down-trending practice progression and his Friday DNP.
Data projects 70% chance of playing. Mild (~10%) production hit projected. Rookie WRs showing up on the injury report at this point in the season do have an abnormally high rate of lingering as mild injuries over multiple subsequent weeks.
Playing. Data projects mild (~10%) performance hit, but similar to Flowers above, there is the tendency for this to linger.
Limited practice progression is actually pretty classic for a veteran post-Monday night game in the second half of the season. No performance hit or workload limits expected.
TBD. Data projects 75% chance of playing. AC sprains are typically associated with only a mild (~10%) performance hit on average.
TBD. Lean towards sitting. If active, we would expect limitations. Saturday additions to the injury report are highly volatile in terms of productivity even if playing.
Data projects 80% chance to play. However, the 1st game for RBs returning from high ankle sprains is associated with a 20% average efficiency dip. Typically no workload limits expected, but it’s hard to know how they’ll manage this backfield given Singletary’s emergence during Pierce’s absence.
Playing. Data projects a moderate-sized per-touch efficiency dip (~15%) but no workload limitations.
Playing. But older RBs listed with ankle injuries early in the week tend to be associated with decreased touches compared to baseline.
Playing. 2nd game back from his high ankle projects Herbert for a 15% efficiency dip but no workload limitations.
TBD. Data projects 60% chance to play, but having a low ankle sprain + re-aggravation predicts maintained efficiency with lower workloads than baseline.
Data projects 75% chance to play. The rib injury performance dip tends to average 2 weeks for elite pass-catchers, and this is his 3rd. Therefore, we’re expecting ~100% production.
Playing. Clearing concussion protocol typically means return to full pre-injury production, but there is some mild concern for his deep ball given the recent AC joint sprain (shoulder).
TBD. Data projects 70% chance to play, but the listing with a chest injury is associated with a 20% performance dip for middle-tier pass-catchers.
And that’s a wrap for the moment. Feel free to check in on Twitter/X if we missed anyone you’re looking for!
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