Which under-the-radar players might be able to give your fantasy team a lift? Which chalky players might not be as safe as they seem? Our featured analysts name some potential sleepers and underachievers along with start/sit advice for Week 11.
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Fantasy Football Week 11 Start/Sit Advice
Q. Which player outside of the top 100 in the FantasyPros flex rankings is a good sleeper start and why do you think he has upside this week?
Logan Thomas (TE – WAS)
“It might be controversial, but I’m coming around on Logan Thomas more and more lately. His three games with touchdowns all helped him finish in the top 10 at TE those weeks, but he’s also finished as TE13 or TE14 three weeks. These weeks were bolstered by target volume, where he saw five targets at minimum. If QB Sam Howell likes him, then I’m going to like him too. He’s also due to score a touchdown and win your week, which could still happen against a tough NY Giants defense who has been above average against TE this season.”
– Andrew Hall (FantasyPros)
Luke Musgrave (TE – GB)
“Luke Musgrave is my sleeper for this week and is primed for a big game against a Chargers defence that is the 7th best matchup for opposing tight ends, allowing 11.7 fantasy points per game to the position. Los Angeles has trouble stopping any offence and this figures to be another shootout for them. Stream Musgrave as a top 10 tight end this week.”
– Aaron St Denis (The League Winners)
“Luke Musgrave is starting to roll a little bit for the Green Bay Packers. The rookie has had at least 51 receiving yards in his last two games, also bringing in a touchdown against the Rams. The Chargers surrender the 5th most points to the position, having allowed at least 63 yards to the position in each of their last 4 games. Musgrave’s floor is very low, but the ingredients are there for him to have a good week. If he can score, that will be icing on top of the cake. ”
– Ed Birdsall (Talking Points Sports)
“Luke Musgrave, especially in a TE premium league, is flex-worthy this week. The Chargers D is the 8th worst vs opposing TEs and 3rd worth in overall Defense. They allowed a TD to Brock Wright last week and have allowed 6, 6, 10 and 12 catches to TE’s in the last 4 weeks. ”
– Ken Zalis (FantasyPros)
Jameson Williams (WR – DET)
“The pickings are pretty slim outside the top 100, so once again, I’ll roll the dice on the immense raw talent that WR Jameson Williams has and hope to parlay this pick into a longshot winner. Just a little sports gambling humor, folks (Jameson was suspended earlier this year for sports betting). No…nothing, not even a chuckle? Anyhow, even with newly acquired DE Montez Sweat, the Bears’ pass defense is still a work in progress. The million-dollar question is, will the Lions use their former first-round pick?”
– Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)
Kyle Philips (WR – TEN)
“Kyle Philips is becoming rookie Will Levis‘ favorite receiver. He is on a team where all the attention goes to DeAndre Hopkins, but in Levis’ first two official starts he has lead the team in receiving. In his rookie year he started strong but injuries derailed the season. He is now attached to Levis and should have flex value as he continues to garner targets against the Jaguars this week!”
– Adam Dove (The Fantasy Couriers)
Rondale Moore (WR – ARI)
“Rondale Moore scored only 6.8 half-point PPR fantasy points in Kyler Murray‘s season debut, but he’s someone I’d start as a bye-week replacement in Week 11. The third-year wide receiver had eight targets in the win, the most among wide receivers and the second-most on the team. Moore also accounted for the second-highest receiving yards market share despite finishing fourth on the team in routes run (per Fantasy Points Data). Meanwhile, he faces a Houston Texans defense that has allowed the fifth-highest target rate to slot receivers. Moore has run 67% of his routes from the slot this season and should have another high-target performance in Week 11.”
– Mike Fanelli (FantasyPros)
“Rondale Moore has been a major disappointment for fantasy league managers this season. Most of the blame can be attributed the loss of his Quarterback, Kyler Murray. In Murray’s return last week, Moore saw a season high in targets, receptions, and receiving yards. As Murray returns to form, so will Moore’s fantasy production. He’s my top sleeper for this week. ”
– Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire)
Rico Dowdle (RB – DAL)
“As a Tony Pollard believer, this one is gonna hurt. But there is a strong possibility we will see the same Cowboys gamescript as we saw against the Rams and Giants. A huge big lead, and then Dowdle could have his opportunities. Last week, he had 12 carries, 79 yards and a TD. The Panthers are one of the worst defenses against the running game this season.”
– Mauricio Gutierrez (Estadio Fantasy)
Royce Freeman (RB – LAR)
“Royce Freeman could be a great sleeper this week. Kyren Williams still isn’t back until next week which leaves another week of Darrell Henderson and Royce Freeman for the Los Angeles Rams. Henderson has been the most effective from a fantasy standpoint, but they’ve mostly split the snaps, rush attempts, and routes over the last few weeks. This week they get a juicy matchup against the Seahawks who have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to running backs this season. If Freeman gets double-digit touches once again, he could make for a sneaky good start this week.”
– Robert Norton (Last Word On Sports)
Michael Wilson (WR – ARI)
“Michael Wilson is my sleeper start this week. Kyler Murray will be more dialed in after his impressive 1st game back and will get Wilson and Marquise Brown more involved in this offense. Arizona has a decent matchup this week vs the high-flying Texans and will need to score points through the air to try to compete with CJ Stroud and his WRs.”
– Brian Barker (Barker’s Fantasy Football Analysis)
“Michael Wilson heads toward a potential shootout in Houston, as the current over/under (49) leads the slate. The rookie saw 5 targets in Kyler Murray’s 2023 debut — 2 more than Marquise Brown — while slightly trailing Brown in routes (33 vs. 36).”
– Kevin English (Draft Sharks)
Trenton Irwin (WR – CIN)
“Trenton Irwin is two for two in stepping in for Tee Higgins. Higgins is out again this week. Last week in Higgins’ absence, Irwin finished WR26. This was the second time he has played over 75% of snaps. The first time, he finished as WR22. Burrow might have to toss the ball over the yard and if you are looking for upside, you will want a piece of this game.”
– David Heilman (Sports Gambling Podcast Network)
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Q. Which player inside the top 40 in the FantasyPros flex rankings is likely to disappoint fantasy managers this week?
James Cook (RB – BUF)
“James Cook has worried me long before his abysmal Monday Night Football performance. The changing of the OC in Buffalo might help him in the long term, but in the short term, I just can’t trust him as RB25 and 38th overall. There are many better options that I’d feel more confident putting in my lineup. RBs like Najee Harris and Devin Singletary are easily ahead of Cook to me this week, for starters.”
– Andrew Hall (FantasyPros)
Darrell Henderson (RB – LAR)
“Darrell Henderson is currently RB22 and 34th overall in Week 11 ECR, and I want nothing to do with him or this messy Rams backfield. Henderson gets a top 5 matchup against the Seahawks this week, but with the exact backfield split uncertain, nobody knows what to expect. He could be the Rams’ bell cow, or he could be part of a three-way timeshare. The range of outcomes for him this week is too wide, making him a risky play.”
– Aaron St Denis (The League Winners)
Josh Jacobs (RB – LV)
“The Raiders don’t score much these days. This game script figures to be against Jacobs as the game wears on. I’m expecting Miami’s high-powered passing attack to jump out to a big lead, forcing the Raiders to abandon the running game. Does Mark Ringo want to start Jacobs, on a Raiders’ offense, that can’t protect QB Aidan O’Connell, on the road, in South Florida? Well…do grizzly bears make good pets?”
– Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)
DK Metcalf (WR – SEA)
“It has all been a little stinky for DK Metcalf this year, hasn’t it? Metcalf has only finished inside the top 24 in half three times this year, with only two touchdowns to his name. Sure, he has had to compete with Tyler Lockett and Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Yet, you would think someone of Metcalf’s caliber would have no problem establishing himself as the clear number one option. The Rams do not project as a fantastic matchup for him, by any means, and even with a nice Week 10 to his name, I wonder if you can find a better alternative in Week 11. ”
– Ed Birdsall (Talking Points Sports)
D’Andre Swift (RB – PHI)
“D’Andre Swift is having a pretty good season and has been a pleasant surprise for all owners who took the risk on him. He is the lead back one of the best offenses in the NFL. In recent weeks, he has not been as efficient and has seen fewer targets in the passing game. He is also going against a Kansas City defense that is ascending and coming off a game where they slowed the Miami Dolphins’ speed offense. ”
– Adam Dove (The Fantasy Couriers)
Isiah Pacheco (RB – KC)
“Isiah Pacheco’s tough luck could continue this week. He has had only one week over 13 fantasy points and seems to be a TD-dependent lead-back now. Next up are the Eagles, who give up less than 10 points per game to opposing RBs. That’s top in the league. I am looking elsewhere if I can this weekend.”
– Ken Zalis (FantasyPros)
“Isiah Pacheco is set up for a rough week against the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles have been the stingiest defense in the league when it comes to fantasy points allowed. Pacheco has been more involved as a pass catcher this year, so he could save his day if he sees plenty of targets, but I wouldn’t count on it. This looks like a game where the Chiefs will need to lean on Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and the wide receivers to keep up with the Eagles, leaving Pacheco as a candidate to disappoint fantasy managers this week.”
– Robert Norton (Last Word On Sports)
“Isiah Pacheco has played well this season but has struggled lately. He averaged only 46 rushing yards and 8.6 half-point PPR fantasy points per game in his final three contests heading into the Week 10 bye. Furthermore, the second-year player has had under 7.6 fantasy points in nearly half the games this year. Meanwhile, the Kansas City Chiefs face the Philadelphia Eagles in a Super Bowl rematch Monday night. The Eagles have held running backs to only 11.6 fantasy points per game, the fewest in the NFL. They have surrendered only two rushing touchdowns to running backs this season. Temper your expectations if you must start Pacheco.”
– Mike Fanelli (FantasyPros)
Rachaad White (RB – TB)
“Rachaad White is most likely to disappoint fantasy managers this week. He has a tough matchup on the road against a good San Francisco defense. I see Tampa having to play from behind, limiting White’s upside potential. Yes, he is a receiving threat out of the backfield, but not when the San Francisco defense knows that you are going to be in many passing situations. This will force White to stay in a pick up the San Francisco defensive pressure. He will be a check-down passing option at best. ”
– Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire)
Davante Adams (WR – LV)
“Every week that Davante Adams fails to return investment as a WR Top 12 is a disappointment. Well, the Raiders WR has eight weeks this season finishing outside WR Top 20 range. The volume is there, but the production is not. The last time we saw him score a TD was in Week 3. The deep ball completion % for Aidan O’Connell is bad… he’s completing only 16.7% of his attempts.”
– Mauricio Gutierrez (Estadio Fantasy)
Saquon Barkley (RB – NYG)
“It has been really tough sledding for Saquon Barkley. The offensive line is bad, the offense can’t sustain drives, and scoring opportunities are hard to come by. Until Tyrod Taylor returns, Saquon is a sitting duck and with no threat of a passing game, the defense is all over him. Barkley has only 18 yards in the last three weeks receiving. He was RB37 last week, not finishing outside the top 40 flex is a good possibility.”
– David Heilman (Sports Gambling Podcast Network)
Aaron Jones (RB – GB)
“Aaron Jones is on my list as a potential dud this week. He only has 2 good games Wk1: 25.7 HALF FPts; Wk9: 15.9 HALF FPts) out of the 6 games he has played this season. He is going up against a Chargers’ Defense that has been fairly easy against the run with 22.4 FPA, but last week, Jones only put up 7.4 FPts against a Pittsburgh defense with 21.1 FPA. Jones has been the opposite of consistent and has an average of 10.78 FPts/GM, but if you remove the 2 decent weeks, he has 5.78 FPts/GM for his 4 dud weeks. I would avoid Green Bay’s offense in general at this point until someone actually starts to produce consistently.”
– Brian Barker (Barker’s Fantasy Football Analysis)
Gus Edwards (RB – BAL)
“Gus Edwards has run hot with 7 TDs over the past 4 weeks. Pretty wild. He’s totaled 16 carries and 1 target over the past 2 weeks, though. And with Keaton Mitchell coming on, it’s quite possible these lighter workloads become the new norm.”
– Kevin English (Draft Sharks)
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