Skip to main content

Fantasy Football Outlook: Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman, Odell Beckham Jr., Mark Andrews

Fantasy Football Outlook: Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman, Odell Beckham Jr., Mark Andrews

Every week, I’ll be writing a comprehensive primer on every NFL matchup and all of the relevant players, matchups, pace and playcalling notes, and injuries. It covers everything you need to know when setting your lineups. But since that article is massive and requires a full pot of coffee, we’re also going to offer these more focused matchup overviews to help you prepare for Thursday Night Football: Bengals vs. Ravens. Below we dive into a few players that will suit up for Thursday Night Football.

Want to read about only your players? Sync your team (free) to get My Primer partner-arrow

Thursday Night Football Primer & Start/Sit Advice

Pace and playcalling notes

  • Since Week 5 the Bengals have been stuck in the mud while remaining pass-happy. They have had the second-slowest neutral pace and the third-highest neutral passing rate.
  • The pace of this game will crawl. Over their last six games Baltimore has had the fifth-slowest neutral pace with the 12th-highest neutral rushing rate.

Zay Flowers: Flowers has a 23.6% target share, a 25.8% air-yard share, 1.78 YPRR, and a 26.2% first-read share. Sadly, he has only one end zone target this season, but he is second on the team in red zone targets, behind only Mark Andrews. Since Week 5, the Bengals have the eighth-highest rate of single-high (59.9%). Against single-high, Flowers has seen increases in usage and productivity across the board with a 25.5% target share, a 28.1% air-yard share, 2.07 YPRR, and a 26.9% first-read share. Flowers will run about 70% of his routes against Cam Taylor-Britt (55.3% catch rate and 60.1 passer rating) and D.J. Turner (45.8% catch rate and 76.4 passer rating). This could be a sneaky spot for a big game from Flowers. Since Week 5, the Bengals have allowed the seventh-highest PPR points per target to outside wide receivers. Week 11 Positional Value: WR3

Rashod Bateman: Last week, Bateman assumed a starting workload for the first time this season with a 76.7% route run rate, a 17.4% target share, and a 22.2% first-read share. I’m not rushing to start Bateman, but if you have a dire flex situation, Bateman could fit the bill. The matchup is there for him to surprise. Since Week 5, the Bengals have allowed the seventh-highest PPR points per target to outside wide receivers. Bateman will run about 85% of his routes against Cam Taylor-Britt (55.3% catch rate and 60.1 passer rating) and D.J. Turner (45.8% catch rate and 76.4 passer rating). Week 11 Positional Value: WR5/6

Odell Beckham Jr.: Beckham Jr. is droppable at this point. Last week, he only saw a 36.7% route run rate and a 4.3% target share. He’s been a part-time player in this offense all season. It’s time to cut bait.

Tight Ends

Mark Andrews: Andrews is the TE3 in fantasy points per game. Among 51 qualifying tight ends, he is third in target share (22.1%), fifth in YPRR (2.05), second in end zone targets (six), and fourth in first-read share (23.6%). Andrews should crush this week against a Bengals defense that has allowed the fourth-highest fantasy points per game and the third-most receiving yards to tight ends. Week 11 Positional Value: TE1

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio

*All data utilized in this article courtesy of FantasyPros, PFF, SharpFootball Stats, Football Outsiders, FTN, Rotoviz, and Playerprofiler.com unless otherwise specified.*

More Articles

Fantasy Football Forecast: Waiver Wire & Trade Advice (Week 5)

Fantasy Football Forecast: Waiver Wire & Trade Advice (Week 5)

fp-headshot by Andrew Erickson | 15+ min read
Let’s Stream Defenses: Week 5 (2024 Fantasy Football)

Let’s Stream Defenses: Week 5 (2024 Fantasy Football)

fp-headshot by Jacob Herlin | 5 min read
12 Fantasy Football Injuries to Know: Week 5 Waiver Wire (2024)

12 Fantasy Football Injuries to Know: Week 5 Waiver Wire (2024)

fp-headshot by Evan Tarracciano | 4 min read
Fantasy Football Week 5 Tight End Rankings (2024)

Fantasy Football Week 5 Tight End Rankings (2024)

fp-headshot by FantasyPros Staff | 2 min read

About Author

Hide

Current Article

2 min read

Fantasy Football Forecast: Waiver Wire & Trade Advice (Week 5)

Next Up - Fantasy Football Forecast: Waiver Wire & Trade Advice (Week 5)

Next Article