Every week we’ll bring you The Primer, a deep dive into every fantasy-relevant player from every NFL game of the week. You can find the full weekly Primer here. Below we dive into a few notable players ahead of this weekend’s games.
- Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice
- Waiver Wire Picks
- Weekly Fantasy Football Expert Rankings
- Fantasy Football Trade Tools
Fantasy Football Outlook
Sam LaPorta: Ballgame is the TE4 in fantasy, ranking 14th in deep targets and ninth in red zone targets among tight ends. After a small dry spell, he has rebounded with top-nine finishes in three of his last five games (TE4, TE9, TE3). Ballgame has five red zone targets over his last four games. Among 49 qualifying tight ends, he is eighth in target share (19.0%), ninth in YPRR (1.72), and ninth in first-read share (20.2%). The days of the Saints being a lockdown defense against tight ends are over. They have allowed the 13th-most fantasy points per game and the most receiving touchdowns per game (tied) to the position. Week 13 Positional Value: TE1
Pat Freiermuth: Last week, Freiermuth crushed with a 62.2% route run rate, 33.3% target share, 36.6% air-yard share, 5.22 YPRR, and a 37.9% first-read share. Since Week 8, Arizona has had the second-highest rate of two high (63.9%). It is an incredibly small sample size, but over the last two weeks against two high, Freiermuth has a 29.2% target share, a 47.1% air-yard share, 5.71 YPRR, and a 31.8% first-read share. If you expand the sample against two-high to include every game he has been active this season, Freiermuth’s numbers against two-high still pop with a 16.1% target share, a 24.1% air-yard share, 1.94 YPRR, and a 24.6% first-read share. Freiermuth has returned to the TE1 good graces. Week 13 Positional Value: TE1
Devin Singletary: Last week, with Pierce returning, Singletary still played 82% of the snaps with 12 touches and 72 total yards. He saw a huge uptick in pass game usage with seven targets, six receptions, and 54 receiving yards. Since Week 10, Singletary has played at least 81% of the snaps weekly, averaging 22.3 touches and 117 total yards as the RB6 in fantasy. Singletary is eighth in missed tackles forced per attempt and 36th in explosive run rate. Since Week 7, the Broncos have continued to struggle to stop rushing attacks, ranking eighth in explosive run rate and second in yards after contact per attempt with the highest missed tackles per attempt. Houston could feed Singletary another 20-25 touches this week. Week 13 Positional Value: RB2 with RB1 upside
Calvin Ridley: Ridley is heating up. He is the WR22 in fantasy now, ranking 15th in deep targets and 23rd in red zone targets. He has five red zone targets over his last three games. Over the last two weeks, he has finished as the WR1 and WR11 in weekly scoring. Since Week 8, the Bengals have utilized single-high on 59.3% of their defensive snaps. Against single-high, Ridley has had a 24.4% target share, a 43.2% air-yard share, 2.44 YPRR, and a 28.1% first-read share. This looks like another smash week for Ridley. Ridley leads the team with six end zone targets against single high. Since Week 7, the Bengals have allowed the 13th-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Week 13 Positional Value: WR2
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio