Every week we’ll bring you The Primer, a deep dive into every fantasy-relevant player from every NFL game of the week. You can find the full weekly fantasy football Primer here. Below we dive into a few notable players ahead of this weekend’s games.
- Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice
- Waiver Wire Picks
- Weekly Fantasy Football Expert Rankings
- Fantasy Football Trade Tools
Fantasy Football Outlook
Jerome Ford: Ford’s return to close to full health is reflected in his volume and playing time over the last two weeks, as he has played 64% of the snaps both weeks while averaging 21.5 touches and 93 total yards. Among 47 qualifying backs, Ford ranks 15th in missed tackles forced per attempt and sixth in yards after contact per attempt. The biggest issue for Ford has been his red zone usage, as Kareem Hunt has out-touched him in this realm of the field five to three over the last two weeks. The Steelers have improved some as a run defense, but this is still a matchup that Ford should smash. Since Week 6, the Steelers have been 20th in explosive run rate, 18th in missed tackles per attempt, and 14th in yards after contact per attempt. The secret sauce is their issues with defending gap runs. Over their last five games, they have allowed the fifth-highest yards per carry to gap runs (4.62). 53.2% of Ford’s runs have been on gap plays. Week 11 Positional Value: RB2
Sam LaPorta: Ballgame remains the TE4 in fantasy points per game, ranking seventh in deep targets and eighth in red zone targets this season. He has been a TE1 in 67% of his games this season. He is sixth in target share (19.6%) and air-yard share (21.5%), seventh in YPRR (1.98), and eighth in first-read share (20.1%). All Ballgame all the time, baby. He faces a Bears’ pass defense that has allowed the third-highest fantasy points per game, the sixth-most receiving touchdowns per game, and the highest catch rate to tight ends. Since Week 5, the Bears have deployed single-high looks on 54.5% of their defensive snaps. Ballgame has dominated single-high looks with a 21.3% target share, 2.65 YPRR (WOW!), and the highest fantasy points per route run (among 33 qualifying tight ends). Ballgame could have a smash game incoming in Week 11. Week 11 Positional Value: TE1
Dak Prescott: In Prescott’s last four games, he has finished as the QB1, QB3, QB2, and QB1 in fantasy. Prescott has been on a legendary tear. Ok, are you ready for the categories that he has led the league in since Week 6? Ok, here goes nothing. Since Week 6, Prescott has led all passers in yards per attempt, passing touchdowns, passer rating, CPOE, and highly accurate throw rate. Since Week 6, the Panthers have been a middle-of-the-road pass defense, ranking 14th in passer rating, 15th in CPOE, and 12th in adjusted completion rate allowed. Prescott should keep cooking in Week 11. Week 11 Positional Value: QB1
Devin Singletary: Singletary turned on legend mode last week. He played 81% of the snaps turning 31 touches into 161 total yards (one touchdown). This week assuming Pierce remains sidelined, he could see another 20-plus touches. Among 47 qualifying backs, Singletary is seventh in missed tackles forced per attempt and 33rd in yards after contact per attempt. The biggest issue for Singletary is that Arizona has been improving as a run defense. Since Week 5, they have the eighth-lowest missed tackles per attempt, allowed the tenth-lowest yards after contact per attempt, and the 13th-lowest yards per carry to gap runs (3.8). 51.1% of Singletary’s runs have been on gap plays. Week 11 Positional Value: RB2
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio