Every week we’ll bring you The Primer, a deep dive into every fantasy-relevant player from every NFL game of the week. You can find the full weekly fantasy football Primer here. Below we dive into a few notable players ahead of this weekend’s games.
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Fantasy Football Outlook
Jahmyr Gibbs: Last week, Gibbs led the backfield with 58% of the snaps, 17 touches, and 112 total yards. Gibbs out-snapped, ran more routes, and saw more red-zone opportunities than Montgomery. With this being a tough rushing matchup this week, Gibbs should see a similar snapshare this week. The Lions could opt to “run through the passing game” with check downs instead of traditional carries. Gibbs is second in explosive run rate, fourth in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 12th in yards after contact per attempt. Since Week 5, the Bears have the best stuff rate, the third-best mark in yards after contact per attempt, and have given up the fewest fantasy points via rushing. Gibbs should destroy this defense through the air. Chicago has allowed the fourth-most receptions per game and the second-highest yards per reception to backs. Week 11 Positional Value: RB1
Brian Robinson: Robinson enjoyed a massive Week 10 with 14 touches and 157 total yards. Oddly enough, 119 of those yards came via receiving. While it might suggest that this backfield has titled more in Robinson’s, it hasn’t. He just made the most of his volume. Robinson has averaged 14.1 touches and 74.1 total yards. Robinson has been surprisingly explosive this season, ranking 17th in yards after contact per attempt and 13th in explosive run rate. The Commanders’ offensive line is still doing these backs no favors. Since Week 6, they have had the eighth-lowest adjusted yards before contact per attempt. This isn’t a smash matchup like many think for Robinson this week. Since Week 6, the Giants have the eighth-lowest missed tackles per attempt and have held backs to the ninth-lowest yards per carry to zone runs (Robinson 65.3% zone). During the same span, the Giants have been 17th in yards after contact per attempt. In their last matchup, Robinson only had 23 rushing yards on eight carries (2.8 yards per carry). Don’t set the bar too high for Robinson this week, or you’ll be disappointed. Week 11 Positional Value: RB2/3
Evan Engram: Engram is the TE8 in fantasy, ranking third in targets, fourth in target share, and 12th in air-yard share. He has been a hollow volume monster, ranking top-six in receptions, receiving yards, and yards after the catch, but he has only two red zone targets and zero touchdowns this season. Engram will have to wait another week for his first score of the season. Tennessee has allowed the seventh-lowest receiving yards per game to tight ends, and they remain the only defense in the NFL yet to allow a score to a tight end. Week 11 Positional Value: Borderline TE1
Kyler Murray: Murray looked good in his first game back, with 7.8 yards per attempt and 33 rushing yards (six carries). He had three red zone carries and a rushing score. He finished eighth in highly accurate throw rate last week. Murray was QB13 for the week with zero passing scores and a pick. Since Week 5, the wheels have fallen off the Texans pass defense. They have allowed the second-highest yards per attempt, the fourth-highest passer rating, the second-highest CPOE, and the sixth-highest adjusted completion rate. Murray should smash as a high-end QB1 this week. Week 11 Positional Value: QB1
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