Fantasy Football Outlook: Isiah Pacheco, C.J. Stroud, Jaylen Warren, Jahmyr Gibbs

Every week we’ll bring you The Primer, a deep dive into every fantasy-relevant player from every NFL game of the week. You can find the full weekly Primer here. Below we dive into a few notable players ahead of this weekend’s games.

Fantasy Football Outlook

Jahmyr Gibbs: Gibbs is the RB6 in fantasy points per game, ranking 18th in snap share and 19th in weighted opportunities. He is third in targets, fourth in receptions, and 12th in receiving yards among backs. Since Montgomery’s return, he has played 56-71% of the snaps, averaging 15.3 touches and 93.4 total yards. Among 55 qualifying backs, he ranks third in explosive run rate, 11th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 27th in yards after contact per attempt. Gibbs should also be able to take advantage of the Saints’ issues with defending zone runs. Since Week 7, they have allowed the sixth-highest explosive run rate and yards after contact per attempt while also bleeding out the second-highest yards per carry to zone runs (5.07). Since Week 10, 54.5% of Gibbs’ runs have come on zone plays. Week 13 Positional Value: RB1

Jaylen Warren: Last week, Warren fumbled for the first time since Week 4. Who knows if that had an impact on his workload, but it has to be mentioned. Over his last four games, Warren has averaged 14.8 touches and 107.6 total yards. Among 55 qualifying backs, Warren ranks top-two in explosive run rate, missed tackles forced per attempt, and yards after contact per attempt. Warren can take any touch to the house. Since Week 9, Arizona has allowed the 14th-highest explosive run rate and the eighth-highest yards per carry to zone runs (Warren 58.1% zone) while also ranking 19th in missed tackles allowed per attempt. Week 13 Positional Value: RB2

C.J. Stroud: Stroud is the QB5 in fantasy, ranking second in passing yards, seventh in passing touchdowns, and ninth in red zone passing attempts. Stroud is third in yards per attempt, sixth in passer rating, and 13th in CPOE. Stroud runs into a Denver pass defense that has been playing incredible football. Since Week 7, they have kept passers in check with the fifth-lowest yards per attempt, the second-fewest passing touchdowns, and the 11th-lowest adjusted completion rate allowed. The one area that Denver has struggled against is play-action passing. Since Week 7, Denver has allowed the sixth-highest passer rating, the second-highest adjusted completion rate, and the seventh-most passing touchdowns to play-action passing. Stroud ranks 13th in play-action dropbacks, fourth in play-action yards per attempt, and fifth in play-action passing yards. Week 13 Positional Value: QB1

Isiah Pacheco: Pacheco is the RB17 in fantasy points per game, averaging 17.6 touches and 81.1 total yards (since Week 2). Pacheco ranks 16th in explosive run rate and 25th in missed tackles forced per attempt. He is 19th in snap share, 12th in opportunity share, 18th in weighted opportunities, and ninth in red zone touches. Pacheco should slice through the cheesehead run defense. Since Week 7, Green Bay has allowed the seventh-highest explosive run rate, the fifth-highest missed tackles per attempt, and the eighth-highest yards after contact per attempt. Week 13 Positional Value: RB1/2