Fantasy Football Outlook: David Njoku, Tyreek Hill, Garrett Wilson, Rhamondre Stevenson

Every week we’ll bring you The Primer, a deep dive into every fantasy-relevant player from every NFL game of the week. You can find the full weekly Primer here. Below we dive into a few notable players ahead of this weekend’s games.

Fantasy Football Outlook

Rhamondre Stevenson: Since Week 9, Stevenson has been producing like his 2022 self. Over his last three games, Stevenson has averaged 20.7 touches and 112.7 total yards. Over that timeframe, among 44 qualifying backs, he has ranked 17th in missed tackles forced per attempt and third in yards after contact per attempt. Since Week 7, the Bolts’ run defense has fallen off the map, allowing the 12th-highest explosive run rate and the 10th-highest yards after contact per attempt. Stevenson should post borderline RB1 numbers again this week. Week 13 Positional Value: RB1/2

Garrett Wilson: Wilson is the WR22 in fantasy, ranking ninth in deep targets and 13th in red zone targets. Wilson has a 28.7% target share, a 48.7% air-yard share, 1.71 YPRR, and a 40.8% first-read share. A.J. Terrell hasn’t followed a receiver for at least 58% of their routes since he matched up with DeAndre Hopkins in Week 8. Terrell has followed only Calvin Ridley, Hopkins, and Mike Evans for at least 58% of their routes this season. Each of these three receivers finished with at least 38 receiving yards and a score with Terrell in their back pocket. Wilson remains a volume play. Week 13 Positional Value: WR2/3

Tyreek Hill: Hill opened this week with a DNP (ankle). Hill has played through several other injury designations this season, so currently, I’m projecting him to suit up in Week 13. Hill is the WR1 in fantasy, ranking third in deep targets and second in red zone targets. Since Week 8, Washington has utilized man coverage at the second-highest rate (42.0%). Against man coverage, Hill has a 32.9% target share, a 50.4% air-yard share, 4.77 YPRR, and a 36.4% first-read share. Those numbers are absolutely bonkers. Since Week 7, Washington has allowed the eighth-most PPR points per target and the second-most receiving yards to perimeter wide receivers. Week 13 Positional Value: THE WR1

David Njoku: Since Week 7, Njoku has ranked fourth in target share (24.2%), 11th in YPRR (1.74), and fifth in first-read share (27.7%) among 36 qualifying tight ends. Since Week 7, Njoku has been the TE7 in fantasy points per game and has seen a ridiculous 12 red zone targets. Njokku has a beautiful matchup this week against a Rams defense that has allowed the eighth-most fantasy points per game and the second-highest yards per reception to tight ends. Week 13 Positional Value: TE1