Every week we’ll bring you The Primer, a deep dive into every fantasy-relevant player from every NFL game of the week. You can find the full weekly Primer here. Below we dive into a few notable players ahead of this weekend’s games.
- Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice
- Waiver Wire Picks
- Weekly Fantasy Football Expert Rankings
- Fantasy Football Trade Tools
Fantasy Football Outlook
Chris Olave: Olave is the WR29 in fantasy with a 25.1% target share, a 40.1% air-yard share, 1.76 YPRR, and a 32.3% first-read share. He leads all wide receivers in deep targets and has four red zone targets across his last three games. Since Week 5, the Vikings have utilized single-high looks on 53.8% of their defensive snaps. Against single-high, Olave has seen his target share bump to 30.2%, his air-yard share increase to 42.3%, and his YPRR bump to 2.52. Olave will run about 58% of his routes against Byron Murphy (66.7% catch rate and 104.4 passer rating) and Akayleb Evans (70.7% catch rate and 117.8 passer rating). When Carr has been blitzed, he has looked for Olave, as he leads the team in blitzed target share (28.6%). Week 10 Positional Value: WR2
Rachaad White: White is the RB16 in fantasy points per game, with his pass game role doing the heavy lifting for his fantasy value. White is tenth in targets, 13th in target share, and second in reception among backs. That pass-game role has been a saving grace, as he has only three touchdowns this season, with two of those coming last week. Among 45 qualifying backs, he is 40th in missed tackles forced per attempt and yards after contact per attempt. White gets the Titans at a good time because their run defense has faltered lately. Since Week 5, they have had the 13th-lowest stuff rate while giving up the 11th-highest yards after contact per attempt and the highest yards per carry to zone runs (White 57.1% zone). Week 10 Positional Value: RB1/2
David Njoku: In Watson’s four full starts, Njoku has had a 12.9% target share, 1.12 YPRR, and a 15.2% first-read share. These numbers look bleak, but they don’t tell the entire story. The Browns did not involve arguably their best-receiving threat behind Cooper early this season. They have corrected that error since Week 7, as Njoku has had a 22.2% target share, 2.04 YPRR, and a 23.9% first-read share. Since Week 7, Njoku has been the TE12 in fantasy points per game. The problem for Njoku is that Baltimore has been exceptional at guarding tight ends this season. They have allowed the fourth-fewest receiving yards and the second-lowest yard per reception (one receiving touchdown) to the position. Week 10 Positional Value: Low-end TE1
Dak Prescott: Since Week 6, Prescott has been playing some of the best football of his career. Over his last three games, he ranks first in passing grade, yards per attempt, and big-time throw rate with QB1, QB3, and QB2 finishes. The Giants will be a tougher test through the air than many realize. While they have been destroyed on the ground all season, their pass defense has started to take shape. Since Week 6, they have the highest man coverage rate (51.7%) in the NFL. In this stretch, they have held passers to the ninth-lowest yards per attempt, the seventh-lowest passer rating, and the second-lowest adjusted completion rate. Against man coverage this season, Prescott has feasted with the sixth-highest yards per attempt and passer rating while also ranking eighth in fantasy points per dropback. Prescott will also have to deal with the blitz this week as the Giants have the second-highest blitz rate (43.1%) despite ranking 15th in pressure rate. Against the blitz, Prescott is sixth in passing grade, eighth in yards per attempt, and sixth in adjusted completion rate. Week 10 Positional Value: QB1
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