Welcome back, fellow fantasy football GAMERS! The NFL season is marching steadily toward Week 11, and the fantasy football playoffs are looming large on the horizon. As we step into Week 11, we’re excited to present the latest edition of the 2023 usage report, bringing you the key action items you need as fantasy managers.
In the dynamic world of 2023, we understand that you’re looking for concise and actionable insights, and that’s precisely what we’re here to provide. So, let’s jump right in.
As always, we’ll break down the previous week’s matchups, analyzing the data and on-field performances. Our aim is to distill the essential information and cut through any noise, simplifying your fantasy football decisions with actionable advice. In the wise words of my college marketing professor, “Keep it simple, stupid” (the KISS mantra). Let’s get started.
Waiver Wire Advice: We’ll shine a spotlight on players whose roles and usage have undergone significant changes. If a player isn’t mentioned, it’s likely because their situation remains relatively stable. We’re focused on players whose stock is on the rise or decline.
For those new to the usage report, our emphasis is on identifying players who are running routes, commanding high snap shares, and receiving valuable targets. These factors often foreshadow future fantasy production and may not always be reflected in the box score.
So, without further ado, it’s time to roll out the red carpet for the 2023 Usage Report for Week 10, setting the stage for fantasy success in Week 11. Our report will include waiver wire pickups and buy low/sell high trade targets.
Get ready for Week 11, as we navigate the challenges of bye weeks and continue to uncover overarching data points. Check out my Twitter thread for crucial insights from Week 10’s action and stay tuned for valuable advice to elevate your fantasy team.
Let’s dive into the exciting world of fantasy football! ??
Along with the snap counts that we can use to forecast future performances.
Stay tuned for valuable insights and advice to supercharge your fantasy team as we head into Week 11.
Let’s go!
Week 11 bye weeks (No Week 12 bye weeks)
- Atlanta Falcons
- Indianapolis Colts
- New England Patriots
- New Orleans Saints
Week 13 bye weeks
- Baltimore Ravens.
- Buffalo Bills
- Chicago Bears
- Las Vegas Raiders
- Minnesota Vikings
- New York Giants
Week 14 bye week
- Arizona Cardinals
- Washington Commanders
Fantasy Football Forecast
Carolina Panthers
Sell Chuba Hubbard, Drop Jonathan Mingo
Chuba Hubbard led the rushing attempts with 9 carries for 23 yards, averaging a horrible 2.6 yards per attempt while playing 50% of the snaps. Miles Sanders (38% snap share) and Raheem Blackshear (12% snap share) also participated in the ground game, turning this backfield into an utter disaster. Sanders had 2 carries for -5 yards, while Blackshear went 2 for 7. Woof. They combined for 5 targets altogether, while Sanders ran the most routes.
The Panthers were constantly rotating their running backs seemingly between every snap. Double Woof.
The Panthers also have a bottom-6 schedule ranking for the rest of the season for fantasy RBs. Get out of this backfield.
Mike Strachan emerged as a key target with 45 yards on a single reception. 25% air yards share on 2 targets. Adam Thielen played a significant role with 6 receptions for 42 yards on a team-high 10 targets (29% Target share). The sell window is bolted shut. Hayden Hurst received 4 targets and made 2 receptions for 14 yards. Although he did out-snap Tommy Tremble for the first time in the last 3 games (55% vs 45%). Johnathan Mingo isn’t going to hit anytime soon. Plays all the snaps, runs all the routes, gets targets. But zero production. Drop him.
Dallas and Tennessee over the next 2 weeks, followed by Tampa Bay, New Orleans, Atlanta and Green Bay.
Chicago Bears
Sell D’Onta Foreman, Buy D.J. Moore
D’Onta Foreman led the rushing attack with 21 attempts for 80 yards, finding the end zone once on 1 of 2 red-zone carries. 75% running back rush share and two catches on 2 targets. Roschon Johnson contributed 5 rushes for 18 yards, while also chipping in 4 catches for 14 yards on 6 targets (led the backfield in routes run). Foreman played 53% of the snaps to Johnson’s 42% snap rate. Although Foreman did miss some time being after checked for an injury in the medical tent. The team also gave Darrynton Evans two carries in the second quarter before going away from him completely (6 total snaps).
This backfield has the potential to get blown up completely with the return of Khalil Herbert, so it’s a pretty obvious spot to cash out on D’Onta Foreman as we talked about last week. Johnson’s usage was increased another week removed from his concussion, which bodes well for his fantasy value/role moving forward. I’d view him as a “hold” till we see how things shake out with Herbert back in the fold.
But again, you do not want to invest long-term in this backfield. Bottom-6 schedule ranking for the rest of the season for fantasy RBs.
The Lions and Vikings are the next 2 matchups for Chicago before a Week 13 bye week. Then it’s the Lions (again), Browns, Cardinals and Falcons.
D.J. Moore emerged as a primary target with 5 receptions for 58 yards on 9 targets (28% Target share, 50% air yards share). Tight end Cole Kmet also played a significant role, securing 5 receptions for 45 yards from 7 targets.
Moore’s production has fallen off a CLIFF since he lost Justin Fields. Buy low with Fields coming back for Week 11. Super underpriced on DraftKings at $5,600.
I like buying low on the Bears especially as we look ahead to DFS. Fields is priced at $6,900 despite being $7,000-plus for the most of 2023.
New England Patriots
Hold/Buy Rhamondre Stevenson, Add Demario Douglas
Rhamondre Stevenson carried the ball 20 times for 88 yards – 3 inside the 20-yard line – averaging 4.4 yards per carry, while Ezekiel Elliott added 54 yards on 13 carries, averaging 4.2 yards per attempt. Elliott, apart from his rushing duties, also caught 2 passes on 2 targets for 34 yards with 4 red-zone carries. Stevenson was involved in the passing game as well, with 5 targets and 3 receptions (19% Target share). His receiving role is keeping him upright and there’s a chance it continues to be fruitful.
67% snap share for Stevenson versus 33% snap share for Elliott. It was also the first game that Mondre reached 20 carries all season. Buy with the Giants smash spot coming up after the bye week.
In the passing game, Mac Jones completed 15 out of 20 attempts for 170 yards, with a back-breaking red zone INT. Got benched for Bailey Zappe in the final drive. Zappe was intercepted at the end of the game.
If the Patriots make a QB change to Zappe, that could be a boom for Stevenson’s fantasy value. Last year in two starts with Zappe at QB, Stevenson averaged 3.5 targets and over 20 fantasy points per game.
Wide receiver Demario Douglas was the most targeted player in Week 10, receiving 9 targets and catching 6 passes for 84 yards (52% air yards share).
Tight end Mike Gesicki was targeted 3 times, making 2 receptions for 22 yards. Hunter Henry also had 5 targets, converting them into 3 receptions for 21 yards. Other contributors included Kayshon Boutte and JuJu Smith-Schuster, each with one reception. Smith-Schuster played the most snaps and ran the most routes among the WRs.
Goose egg for Jalen Reagor. 1 snap on offense. The under on his receiving yardage prop was a stone-cold lock. A reminder that when a player BOMBS after seeing volume, the chances of the volume continuing is no guarantee. Boutte was active for the first time since Week 1 and played ahead of Reagor in Germany.
Calculating the target shares, Douglas led with a 35% Target share. Note that a lot of his yardage (30 yards) came on a last-second catch at the end of the first half.
After their bye week, it’s the Giants, Chargers, Steelers and Chiefs. The Patriots have the No. 1 schedule rest of the season for the WRs and RBs.
Caleb Williams bowl coming up soon…
Indianapolis Colts
Buy Jonathan Taylor, Buy Michael Pittman Jr., Hold Josh Downs
Jonathan Taylor carried the ball 23 times for 69 yards, averaging 3.0 yards per carry, and scored the only rushing touchdown on one of his 4 red-zone rushing attempts. His longest run was 10 yards. Zack Moss had a minor role in the rushing game with just one carry for 2 yards. Taylor was targeted once in the passing game and made one reception for 6 yards.
It was a full-on takeover by JT. 88% snap share. Taylor is a top-5 running back rest of the season. Buy.
The receiving corps was led by Michael Pittman Jr., who was targeted 12 times (46% Target share) and made 8 receptions for 84 yards. No. 3 in weighted opportunity in Week 10. Straight alpha. Excellent schedule the rest of the season for WRs. Buy high while he is on a bye week.
Josh Downs saw 3 targets, turning them into 2 receptions for 40 yards. Played limited snaps as he was dealing with a knee injury. Should get healthy after the bye week. No need to hold him through the bye week in shallower leagues, but hold him/add him in deeper formats if he gets dropped.
Isaiah McKenzie was efficient with his opportunities, catching all 4 of his targets for 31 yards. Alec Pierce, Will Mallory, Kylen Granson, and Mo Alie-Cox were also involved in the passing game, though to a lesser extent. 1 catch for each guy.
Followed by their Week 11 bye week, the Colts will play the Buccaneers, Titans, Bengals and Steelers. The Colts have a top WR strength of schedule for the rest of the season.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Buy Diontae Johnson, Jaylen Warren, Sell Najee Harris, George Pickens, Add Pat Freiermuth
Jaylen Warren led the rushing attack with 15 carries for 101 yards, averaging an impressive 6.7 yards per carry and scoring a touchdown. His longest run was 20 yards. Najee Harris was also effective, rushing for 82 yards and a touchdown on 16 carries, with his longest run being 24 yards (2 red-zone carries). Harris has scored 3 TDs in the last four games. Use that to sell high.
Harris led with 11 first-half carries to Warren’s 6. In the 2nd half, Warren out-carried Harris 9 to 5. Warren was getting the rock when they were trying to burn GB’s timeouts. Still appears like a true 50/50 split, rather than a 1A/1B situation. Both guys played 51% of the snaps. But more importantly, it was the highest snap share Warren has seen all season at 51%. The genie is out of the bottle. Buy Warren and sell Najee.
In addition to his standout rushing performance, Warren was involved in the passing game with 4 targets, resulting in 2 receptions for 9 yards. Ran more routes than Harris. He also finished second in total rushing EPA in Week 10. His stock is firmly on the rise.
In the receiving department, George Pickens was a key target, receiving 4 targets (18.2% Target share) and making 3 receptions for 45 yards. He still struggles to produce with Diontae Johnson healthy in the lineup. Got called for offensive PI in this contest, wiping off a 28-yard gain. The potential return of Pat Freiermuth also forecasts more trouble for Pickens when it comes to his Target share in the future.
Connor Heyward also caught 3 passes on 4 targets for 32 yards. Diontae Johnson and Najee Harris each had 4 targets (18% Target share), with Johnson catching one pass for 17 yards and Harris making 3 receptions for 14 yards.
DJ had opportunities to make plays, as he commanded a whopping 62% air yards share (67 air yards). Pretty easy buy-low candidate after a dud game with an excellent schedule coming up post the Browns. He drew penalties on two deep throws from Kenny Pickett which don’t show up in the normal box score.
The Steelers’ upcoming schedule: Browns, Bengals, Cardinals, Patriots and Colts
Green Bay Packers
Add Romeo Doubs, Jayden Reed, Christian Watson, Luke Musgrave, Hold/Buy Aaron Jones, Stash GB DST
AJ Dillon led the ground game, rushing for 70 yards on 9 carries, averaging an impressive 7.8 yards per attempt with a long run of 40 yards (2 red-zone carries). Aaron Jones added 35 yards on 13 carries – three red-zone carries – though he averaged a lower 2.7 yards per carry. Jones played 56% of the snaps to Dillon’s 50% snap share. Both backs continued to be involved, while Jones’ snaps remained as high as they were last week.
Jones, in addition to his rushing duties, was involved in the passing game with 6 targets, making 4 receptions for 19 yards. AJ Dillon added to the passing game with a reception.
Jones’ usage at full health remains tantalizing, so he remains a hold/buy for running back needy teams. Also has a GREAT playoff schedule for RBs.
In the passing department, Jordan Love completed 21 of 40 attempts for 289 yards. He threw two touchdown passes but was intercepted twice.
The receiving corps was led by Jayden Reed, who was targeted 5 times (13.5% Target share) and made 5 receptions for 84 yards, including a 46-yard touchdown. Luke Musgrave contributed 64 yards on 2 receptions from 4 targets (2 red-zone targets). He is a fine tight-end plug-in with a full-time role.
Dontayvion Wicks also had an impactful game with 51 yards on 3 catches from 4 targets. Romeo Doubs caught 3 passes on 5 targets for 31 yards, including a touchdown.
Christian Watson was the most targeted player with 7 targets (18.9% Target share), but he managed only 23 yards on 2 receptions. 95 air yards. 3 red-zone targets. Beyond tilting.
WOOF. Like fetch, it just isn’t happening for CW.
Nobody in the Packers passing game is reliable from a target basis. You are hoping for splash plays and/or TDs and everybody Watson is providing that. With the schedule good for WRs coming up, ride the wave with guys like Reed, even if their usage isn’t perfect. He’s good and producing.
Nobody wants Watson or much to do with the Packers at this point. Even so, the usage is there to still acquire a WR with a week-winning upside. Buy low and then flip after the massive game comes. Probably can get him off waivers at this point.
The Chargers, Lions, Chiefs, Giants, Buccaneers Panthers and Vikings are next for the GB Packers. Weeks 15-17 it’s Buccaneers, Panthers and Minnesota.
Note the easy schedule for the DST from Weeks 14-16, making GB’s DST stash-worthy if you feel good about your playoff odds. You’ve got some time with the next three weeks brutal for this unit on paper.
Overall, I’d do my best to hold onto as many Packers as I can because the schedule is divine for the entire offense. The targets are tough to trust right now with it so flat, but it only takes one guy to emerge or an injury to strike to open things up for 1 or 2 players. And yes that means A.J. Dillon needs to be rostered.
Tennessee Titans
Add Kyle Philips, Hold DeAndre Hopkins, Derrick Henry
Derrick Henry, typically a dominant force in the run game, was limited to just 24 yards on 11 carries, averaging a mere 2.2 yards per attempt. His longest run was only 8 yards. Tyjae Spears provided some support with 18 yards on 5 carries, averaging 3.6 yards per carry, including a long run of 15 yards.
We also saw the same typical snap share where Henry got out-snapped by Spears with the team trailing (60% vs 43%).
Don’t love the next road matchup for the Titans run game, but then they are home free from Week 12 onward. CAR, IND, MIA, HOU including 3 games at home. Although Seattle Week 16 might be tough even though it’s also at home.
The FantasyPros SOS tool likes the schedule a ton for Henry, as it ranks top-4.
Quarterback Will Levis completed 19 out of 39 pass attempts for 199 yards. However, he was unable to throw a touchdown pass and was intercepted once. He also faced significant pressure, getting sacked four times for a loss of 32 yards. Spears, in addition to his rushing contributions, was targeted 5 times in the passing game, catching 4 passes for 42 yards. Henry had a minimal impact in the passing game with just one reception for negative yardage.
The receiving corps was led by Kyle Philips, who was targeted 5 times (13.2% Target share) and made 3 receptions for 61 yards. I don’t understand why he continues to run as the WR4 on the team. The dude is a target machine and has obvious chemistry with Levis. I think his snaps eventually will have to go up.
He remains dirt cheap on DraftKings at $3,000.
DeAndre Hopkins saw the most targets with 8 (21% Target share), but he managed only 27 yards on 3 receptions. Woof. He had one target in the first half. He totaled 162 air yards…Double Woof. Can’t sell after the dud game. Hold with the schedule favorable.
Chigoziem Okonkwo was targeted 6 times and also made 3 catches for 27 yards. Josh Whyle saw two red-zone targets. Okonkwo’s routes dipped to just 53%. He can’t be trusted as a tight end streamer.
The Jaguars and Panthers over the next 2 games for the Titans. 1 more road game. Still, overall it’s a favorable schedule for QBs and for the offense to produce fantasy points. It’s a top-3 rest-of-season schedule for QBs and WRs for the rest of the season per the FantasyPros Strength of Schedule tool.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buy Chris Godwin, Rachaad White, Hold Mike Evans
The running game was led by Rachaad White, who carried the ball 20 times but managed only 51 yards, averaging a modest 2.6 yards per carry. His longest run was 11 yards. Operated as a bell cow with a 71% snap share and flashed his elusiveness in the open field. White caught 2 passes on 3 targets for 47 yards, including a 43-yard reception for a touchdown.
With his receiving usage continuing to surge and a pretty decent schedule for RBs, I’d view White as trade for candidate before the trade deadline.
Mike Evans was the primary target in the receiving game, drawing 10 targets (34.5% Target share) and making 6 receptions for 143 yards, including a 43-yard touchdown. The schedule is too good to move on from him.
Chris Godwin also contributed with 54 yards on 4 receptions from 6 targets (21% Target share). Again, another lackluster game, but he still is seeing plenty of volume. Benefits from an easy schedule.
Trey Palmer maintained the WR3 role, leading all Bucs WRs in snaps played. Caught a deep ball from Mayfield but it was overturned upon review. Minimum salary on DraftKings against the 49ers in Week 11.
The 49ers and Colts are the next 2 games for Tampa Bay followed by the Panthers, Falcons, Packers and Jaguars.
Minnesota Vikings
Add Ty Chandler, Joshua Dobbs, Jordan Addison
Ty Chandler led the ground attack with 15 carries for 45 yards, averaging 3.0 yards per carry and scoring a touchdown. His longest run was 13 yards. Joshua Dobbs, the quarterback, was also an integral part of the rushing offense, gaining 44 yards on 8 carries and scoring a touchdown.
In the passing game, Dobbs completed 23 of 34 attempts for 268 yards and a touchdown, achieving a quarterback rating of 101.1. He was sacked once but did not throw any interceptions. OUR SAVIOR.
I waxed poetic about Dobbs being the No. 1 QB to pick up off waivers this past week and he delivered. He has the No. 1 schedule rest of season for fantasy QBs.
Alexander Mattison and Kene Nwangwu added 27 and 9 yards, respectively, to the running game. Mattison left the game with a concussion at the end of the 3rd but was out carried in the first half (5 vs. 4) to Chandler. Chandler had a 2nd rushing TD nullified by holding to go along with 8 4th quarter carries after Mattison left the game.
He’s the RB to add in this backfield with Mattison slated to miss the game after sustaining a concussion. He played 44% of the snaps to Kene Nwangwu’s 4%. Overall, Mattison’s snaps were more of him on passing downs (19 routes run) than delivering as a ball carrier.
And it should be an aggressive bid. The Vikings have one of the most favorable schedules for fantasy RBs over the rest of the season. Top-3 per the SOS tool.
T.J. Hockenson was the standout receiver, being targeted 15 times (46.9% Target share) and catching 11 passes for 134 yards, including a long of 28 yards and a touchdown.
Jordan Addison was also a significant contributor with 69 yards on 4 receptions from 7 targets (22% Target share, 2 red-zone targets). This rookie is just flat-out good. Maybe some will be gun-shy on him with Justin Jefferson returning soon, but I’d just buy the talent in that aspect.
Brandon Powell (5 targets) and Jalen Nailor added to the passing attack with 35 and 16 yards, respectively.
Minnesota takes on the Broncos, Bears, Raiders, and Bengals over the next four matchups.
New Orleans Saints
Sell Alvin Kamara, Sell Chris Olave, Hold Taysom Hill, Drop Michael Thomas, Stash Saints DST
Alvin Kamara led the rushing attack with 9 carries for 42 yards, averaging 4.7 yards per attempt with his longest run being 9 yards. Jamaal Williams (4 carries) and Taysom Hill (one carry) also contributed but with limited yardage. Kamara was heavily involved in the passing game with 7 receptions on 7 targets for 33 yards.
In the passing department, Jameis Winston completed 13 of 25 attempts for 122 yards, throwing 2 touchdown passes but also 2 interceptions. Derek Carr left the game with a concussion.
Chris Olave was a significant target in the receiving game, catching 6 of his 9 targets (23% Target share) for 94 yards, including a 26-yard touchdown reception (2 red-zone targets). 182 total air yards (45%). He had another big catch nullified due to an offensive offsides penalty.
All of his production came in the second half. He had zero first-half targets. Carr got hurt on his first throw to Olave. Sell high on Olave after his big game with Winston at QB. Because that is not going to be the case after the bye week.
A.T. Perry saw fewer targets but made a notable impact with 38 yards and a touchdown on 2 receptions. Came down with a jump ball in the end zone and played a TON with Michael Thomas out with an injury (3% snap share).
Rashid Shaheed and Taysom Hill were also active in the passing game, with Shaheed catching 5 passes for 24 yards (9 targets, 23%, 94 air yards) and Hill adding 17 yards on 2 receptions (4 targets). Michael Thomas left the game with a knee injury. Perry led all Saints WRs in snaps (84%).
I was all over the Shaheed over receiving yardage props, so to see him lay such a poor game with MT on the shelf, was difficult to watch. Second-worst receiving EPA in Week 10. Shaheed had to be checked for an injury in the fourth quarter. Monitor his status after the bye week.
A Bye Week, Falcons and Lions over the next 3 weeks. Would expect Carr to clear protocol with the extra week. Because they are going to get dropped on bye week, you need to scoop them up. Aside from the Lions, they get Atlanta, Carolina, New York Giants, LA Rams and Tampa Bay to round out the fantasy playoffs. Stash ’em.
Baltimore Ravens
Add Rashod Bateman, Buy Zay Flowers, Sell Gus Edwards
Lamar Jackson led the rushing efforts with 8 carries for 41 yards, averaging 5.1 yards per attempt. His longest run was 9 yards. Keaton Mitchell added a significant boost with 34 yards and a touchdown on 3 carries, including a long run of 39 yards. Only played 24% of the snaps.
Gus Edwards also contributed with 24 yards and a touchdown on 11 carries (3 red-zone carries). 52% snap share.
In the first half, Mitchell had only 2 carries but for 32 yards and 1 TD. Also has a 32-yard catch (and dropped a TD) on 2 targets. Saw another deep target that was intercepted (negated due to penalty).
Edwards had 6 carries for 14 yards. Hill with one first-half carry with two overall. Hill played 26% of the snaps and had a TD nullified due to a penalty.
Mitchell continues to be put into a position to deliver splash plays, but expecting him to get overloaded with touches probably won’t be the case. He is going to see a handful of touches every week based on his explosiveness, but I don’t think it goes more than that while the other RBs remain healthy. However, I think he is viewed ahead of Hill.
The fact that this backfield looks more like a three-headed monster wants me to sell high on Gus Edwards.
Zay Flowers was the primary target in the receiving corps, catching 5 of his 6 targets (26% Target share, 40% air yard share) for 73 yards. Lamar narrowly missed him on a deep throw that could have been the ultimate difference in the game. As always, buy talented rookies who tend to hit big in the second half of fantasy football seasons.
Mark Andrews contributed 44 yards on 2 receptions from 4 targets. Odell Beckham Jr. made a significant impact with a 40-yard touchdown reception on one of his 2 targets.
Rashod Bateman and Isaiah Likely also contributed to the passing attack, with Bateman catching 2 passes for 25 yards (4 targets, 17% Target share) and Likely adding 5 yards on his lone reception.
I’ve talked about Bateman’s increase in involvement in the last few weeks, and I think he’s a sharp stash. Played ahead of OBJ (74% snap share to 33% snap share) while running a route on 77% of the dropbacks. Both are easily season-highs. Beckham scored the long TD but only ran 12 routes. If we are to see the Ravens take that next leap, it might be due to Bateman. The Ravens also have one of the easiest SOS remaining for WRs.
Cincy (TNF) the Chargers, Bye Week, Rams and Jaguars.
Cleveland Browns
Add David Njoku, Sell Elijah Moore, Sell Kareem Hunt, Buy Jerome Ford
Jerome Ford led the ground game with 17 carries for 107 yards, averaging an impressive 6.3 yards per carry with his longest run being 28 yards. He earned 64% of the snaps. It was the first time Ford was efficient although it was somewhat bloated by a 28-yard run.
Quarterback Deshaun Watson contributed 37 yards on 8 carries, while Kareem Hunt added 32 yards and a touchdown on 10 carries (2 red-zone carries). Hunt played 36% of the snaps.
Ford, in addition to his rushing duties, caught one pass for 2 yards. Wouldn’t expect such a low number when he ran a route on 59% of dropbacks. Hunt had zero targets (1 negated by penalty).
Ford remains the back-to-own in Cleveland, while Hunt is super TD-dependent. Considering touches/targets/snaps are more predictable and sticky week over week, I’d likely be a buyer/holder of Ford while looking to sell HIGH on Hunt and his recent TD production of 6 scores in the last five games. Ford looks underpriced on DK at just $5,200.
Amari Cooper was the most targeted receiver, drawing 9 targets (28% Target share) and making 6 receptions for 98 yards. David Njoku also had 9 targets, resulting in 6 catches for 58 yards (3 red-zone targets). Elijah Moore caught 5 passes on 7 targets for 44 yards, including a touchdown.
He was overdue for TD regression, so I wouldn’t read too much into Moore’s performance.
Cedric Tillman maintained a full-time role but was super involved. He saw three deep targets, as he was the field stretcher with Marquise Goodwin out of the lineup.
Schedule: PIT, DEN, LAR and JAC.
Houston Texans
Sell Devin Singletary, Buy Nico Collins, Add Noah Brown
This team man. 99 problems and Houston has ZERO.
Devin Singletary led the rushing attack with 30 (checks notes, twice, three times) carries for 150 yards, averaging 5.0 yards per carry and scoring a touchdown on one of his 3 red-zone rushes. His longest run was 22 yards. No other RB had a carry. Added 2 targets. Mike Boone commanded 3 targets. Let’s just say, I hope you didn’t drop him after a lackluster Week 9.
Dameon Pierce’s season as a fantasy-viable option might be over before Week 11. But that’s no reason you cannot take advantage and look to flip Singletary off a career game. There’s a non-zero chance that this backfield turns more into a split when Pierce returns. Not like Singletary has a long track record of maintaining workhorse status as a team’s RB1.
Regardless, he will be stone-cold chalk at $5,300 on DraftKings versus Arizona if Pierce misses another game.
Quarterback C.J. Stroud added 8 yards and a touchdown on 2 carries. Stroud, in the passing game, completed 23 of 39 attempts for 356 yards and a touchdown. He was intercepted once and sacked for no loss. Is he already elite?
Noah Brown was the primary target in the receiving corps, drawing 8 targets (20.5% Target share) and making 7 receptions for 172 yards. Had nearly 100 yards at halftime. Operated as the clear-cut WR2. Add him if he’s still on waivers.
Dalton Schultz also made a significant impact with 71 yards on 4 receptions from 6 targets.
Tank Dell, was heavily involved in the passing game with 14 targets, catching 6 passes for 56 yards and a touchdown (35% Target share, 5 red-zone targets). Picked up another 41 yards on a defensive pass interference call.
Led the team in routes run as he does every week. He’s still mispriced on DK at $5,900.
Talked about Nico Collins as a sell high last week, before his injury. With him far from the top of mind’s of fantasy gamers after missing last week, he’s probably a sharp buy low as a cheap access point to the Texans’ passing game.
Arizona and Jacksonville over the next 2 games followed by Denver, the Jets and Titans.
Cincinnati Bengals
Buy Ja’Marr Chase, Add Tanner Hudson, Trenton Irwin
Joe Mixon led the rushing efforts with 11 carries for 46 yards, averaging 4.2 yards per carry and scoring a touchdown. His longest run was 15 yards. Mixon, apart from his rushing duties, was targeted 3 times in the passing game but ended up with negative yardage on 2 receptions.
In the passing game, Joe Burrow completed 27 of 40 attempts for 347 yards, throwing 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.
Ja’Marr Chase was a key target in the receiving game, making 5 receptions for 124 yards on 6 targets (15.4% Target share), including a long touchdown reception of 64 yards. Chase was barely targeted in this game and still put up a monster game despite dealing with a back injury. Buy. The Bengals have a favorable schedule rest of the season for the WRs.
Tyler Boyd was the most targeted receiver, with 12 targets (31% Target share, 2 red-zone targets), resulting in 8 catches for 117 yards. He led the team in routes run with Tee Higgins out. But the usually sure-handed slot WR has a massive drop in the end zone that could have sealed victory for the Bengals.
Trenton Irwin also made a significant impact with 54 yards and a touchdown on 2 receptions from 4 targets. 3rd in routes run as the clear WR3 in the offense. Tee Higgins is not expected to be ready for Week 11 (Thursday night).
Tight ends Tanner Hudson (leading receiver in the first half) and Drew Sample contributed to the passing game, with Hudson catching 6 passes for 33 yards and Sample adding 12 yards on 2 receptions. However, this is a tough tight end room to configure as they all split snaps/routes in a three-way committee. Still, Hudson’s increased looks over the last TWO weeks make him enticing in deeper TE premium formats. 4-plus catches and an average of 6 targets in back-to-back games. Also saw his snaps increase from the week prior.
The Ravens on TNF (both teams coming off losses), then Pittsburgh, Jacksonville, Indianapolis and Minnesota.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Buy Travis Etienne, Calvin Ridley, Hold Christian Kirk, Add Zay Jones.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offense struggled with a limited rushing attack and a less effective passing game. Travis Etienne led the ground game with 9 carries for 35 yards, averaging 3.9 yards per attempt with a long run of 16 yards. D’Ernest Johnson contributed 12 yards on 3 carries. Etienne, in addition to his role in the rushing game, caught 2 passes on 4 targets for 9 yards. Tank Bigsby can probably be dropped as he’s not even the direct handcuff anymore to ETN.
If you can buy low on ETN after his worst game since Week 2, you go full force.
Trevor Lawrence, in the passing game, completed 17 of 29 attempts for 185 yards. He didn’t throw any touchdown passes and was intercepted twice.
Christian Kirk was the most targeted receiver, drawing 11 targets (35.5% Target share) and catching 6 passes for 104 yards. He totaled 151 air yards and a dominant 68% air yards share.
Johnson, apart from his rushing contributions, was involved in the passing game with 2 catches on 2 targets for 28 yards. Calvin Ridley made a small contribution with 20 yards on 2 receptions (3 targets) while drawing some DPI penalties. Drew Great matchup versus the Titans in Week 11. Considering he cannot be sold for anything, probably must buy low if you are looking for a WR spike week.
Still, the fact that Kirk dominated the downfield looks that usually go to Ridley is a really bad sign. This might be curtains for Ridley folks. Kirk is the alpha and Ridley has become nothing more than a boom-or-bust fantasy WR3. He’s $5,400 on DraftKings in Week 11.
But as always is the move with the Jaguars, you buy low after down games. And if you are sick of Ridley, just add Zay Jones back onto your team. He’s eyeing a return this week. And the offense could use a boost. Note that Jones was arrested on a domestic battery charge, so that puts his availability in question for immediate impact.
Evan Engram was targeted 7 times but managed only 12 yards on 4 receptions (23% Target share). Maintained his elite role on offense.
The Titans, Texans, Bengals, Browns and Ravens over the next 5 weeks for Jacksonville.
San Francisco 49ers
Sell George Kittle, Deebo Samuel, Buy Brandon Aiyuk
Christian McCaffrey led the rushing efforts with 16 carries for 95 yards, averaging an impressive 5.9 yards per attempt with a long run of 19 yards. Deebo Samuel added a dynamic element, rushing for 29 yards on 3 carries, including a 23-yard touchdown run.
McCaffrey, apart from his notable rushing performance, was heavily involved in the passing game, leading the team with 10 targets (37% Target share) and making 6 receptions for 47 yards.
They tried to get CMC the TD…but to no avail. YHTSI.
The passing game was led by Brock Purdy, who completed 19 of 26 attempts for 296 yards and 3 touchdowns, achieving a remarkable quarterback rating of 148.9.
George Kittle was a standout in the receiving corps, catching 3 passes on 4 targets (15% Target share) for 116 yards, including a long touchdown reception of 66 yards. Brandon Aiyuk also made a significant impact with 55 yards and a touchdown on 3 receptions (3 targets). He remains super efficient and needs to be sought after in trades as a result before your league’s trade deadline.
Rinse and repeat folks. After Kittle BOOMs, you sell high. And the same can be said for Samuel if you can get a strong return on an injury-prone WR. Because neither of these guys commanded high target shares in Week 10.
He continued his versatile role, catching all 4 of his targets for 30 yards. Kyle Juszczyk also contributed to the passing game, by catching a touchdown pass.
The Buccaneers and Seahawks round out the next two weeks for the 49ers, followed by the Eagles, Seahawks (again) and Cardinals. It’s a top-3 rest-of-season schedule for QBs and WRs for the rest of the season per the FantasyPros Strength of Schedule tool.
Atlanta Falcons
Buy/Hold Bijan Robinson, Hold/Buy Drake London
Bijan Robinson led the rushing attack with 22 carries for 95 yards, averaging 4.3 yards per carry and scoring a touchdown. Robinson was involved in the passing game with an 11-yard reception (2 targets). Elite 75% snap share. But better yet, 4 red zone carries! The buy-low sentiment came through!
Tyler Allgeier contributed 31 yards on 9 carries, while also seeing four red-zone carries. But he also played a lower snap share of the season at just 27%. Cordarrelle Patterson out-snapped him (31%) for the first time all season.
Patterson and Desmond Ridder also added to the rushing totals, with Ridder scoring a touchdown. Came in for an injured Taylor Heinicke. Heinicke completed just 8 of 15 attempts for 55 yards and a touchdown, while Ridder completed 4 of 6 attempts for 39 yards.
Drake London was the primary target in the receiving corps, catching 3 of his 4 targets (22.2% Target share) for 36 yards. Kyle Pitts also made a significant contribution with 30 yards on 3 receptions from a team-high 5 targets (28% Target share).
Patterson and Allgeier were also active in the receiving game, with Patterson catching 2 passes for 7 yards and Allgeier adding 7 yards on his lone reception. Scotty Miller caught a touchdown pass.
After a bye week, it’s the Saints, Jets and Buccaneers. The playoff schedule remains JUICY with Carolina, Indianapolis and the Bears Weeks 15-17. The Atlanta DST is stash-worthy.
The buy-low window is probably closed on Robinson, so I’d try to go after London instead.
Still the clear alpha in the passing game. Although it comes with the caveat only if Ridder is the QB moving forward. Heinicke targeted London once in Week 10. He targeted London 5 times (including penalties and 2-point attempts) for a 63% Target share (8 total pass attempts). London is Ridder’s binky.
Arizona Cardinals
Buy Marquise Brown, Add Michael Wilson
James Conner led the rushing effort with 16 carries for 73 yards, averaging 4.6 yards per carry (2 red-zone attempts). Tony Jones and Keaontay Ingram combined for 3 carries.
Conner also played 63% of the snaps in his first action back, although he was not targeted. Strong usage overall after a long layoff. $5.7 on DK in Week 11 versus the Texans.
Kyler Murray contributed significantly to the ground game, rushing for 33 yards and a touchdown on 6 carries, with his longest run being 13 yards. He had three total rushes in the red zone. Looks healthy to me.
Trey McBride was the top target in the receiving corps, catching 8 of his 9 targets (29% Target share) for 131 yards. Big game. Why it took a Zach Ertz an injury to get this man on the field is beyond me.
Rondale Moore contributed 43 yards on 5 receptions from 8 targets (26% Target share).
Michael Wilson and Marquise Brown also made contributions, with Wilson catching 3 passes for 34 yards (6 targets, 19%) and Brown adding 28 yards on a single reception (4 targets). Wilson came extremely close to scoring a TD, but it was overturned on review. Add him off waivers. Cheap DFS play at $3,400 on DraftKings in Week 11.
The Cardinals face Houston, Rams and Steelers over the next 3 games, followed by the bye week. Then it’s SF, CHI and PHI.
Would use the Brown dud as an opportunity to buy low. Because we know what the Brown-Murray pairing can do. Hollywood was the first targeted player in the game and actually saw a 5th targeted wiped off due to a defensive pass interference call. The schedule is too good to pass on a potential WR1. He ran a route on 100% of the dropbacks. And he’s just $5.3K on DraftKings in Week 11.
Seattle Seahawks
Sell Kenneth Walker, Buy DK Metcalf, Add Zach Charbonnet, Hold Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Sell Tyler Lockett
Kenneth Walker III led the ground attack with 19 carries for 63 yards, averaging 3.3 yards per carry with his longest run being 13 yards. Totaled 4 red-zone carries. Zach Charbonnet added a significant boost with 44 yards on 6 carries, averaging 7.3 yards per attempt.
Walker, apart from his rushing duties, made a substantial impact in the passing game with a 64-yard touchdown reception on one of his 2 targets.
Charbonnet caught 4 passes for 18 yards (5 targets). It was the first time his route participation was this high (61%) and it finally turned into actual targets. As a result for the third straight game, Charbs also out-snapped Walker (52% vs 42%).
DK Metcalf was the primary target for Seattle, making 7 receptions for 98 yards on 12 targets (29% Target share) including the one that set up the game-winning field goal. Saw 53% of the team’s air yards (137) – so there’s meat left on the bone for Metcalf in the stat sheets.
Through 9 healthy games this year, Metcalf still leads the Seahawks in receiving yards. Also has seen 8-plus targets in four of his last 6 games.
Tyler Lockett contributed significantly as well, catching 8 passes for 92 yards and a touchdown on 10 targets (24% Target share).
Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Will Dissly also added to the receiving efforts, with Smith-Njigba catching 4 passes for 53 yards (5 targets) and Dissly adding 22 yards on 2 receptions. JSN’s route participation came back to earth at 67%. Hold with the schedule easing up.
The Rams, 49ers, Cowboys and 49ers again are on deck for Seattle for the next four weeks. Considering all of these games Seattle will either be close road favorites or straight underdogs, which does not project well for Walker as the team’s early-down back. Sell high after he ripped off the massive TD reception.
The Seahawks have the No.1-most difficult schedule rest of season for RBs from Week 11 onward, but a top-5 schedule for WRs.
Washington Commanders
Add Antonio Gibson, Add Logan Thomas, Hold Jahan Dotson, Sell Brian Robinson
Brian Robinson Jr. led the rushing attack with 8 carries for 38 yards, averaging 4.8 yards per carry. His longest run was 15 yards. Antonio Gibson contributed 13 yards on 4 carries. BRob did all his damage as a receiver (surprisingly).
He caught all 6 of his targets for 119 yards, including a 51-yard touchdown reception. Gibson also made a significant impact in the passing game with 42 yards and a touchdown on 5 receptions from 6 targets.
Gibson ran 3 more routes (20 vs 23) so I’d bet his receiving role is much sticker than Robinson’s rest of the season. Especially because it was Gibson’s third straight game with 5 targets and 5 catches. His new role is hurting the WRs, like Curtis Samuel.
Robinson’s receiving role from a routes perspective didn’t change from the week prior, so I’d sell high after a likely fluky receiving game. The schedule is bottom-5 overall for RBs rest of season as well.
Dyami Brown caught 2 passes for 41 yards and a touchdown.
Logan Thomas and Terry McLaurin also contributed to the receiving efforts, with Thomas catching 5 passes for 40 yards (5 targets) and McLaurin adding 33 yards on 4 receptions (team-high 8 targets, 19% Target share, 33% air yards share). Thomas saw elite usage, running a route on 87% of dropbacks.
Curtis Samuel also saw 6 targets but caught 2 for just 6 yards. Limited role in the first game back from injury.
Jahan Dotson went back to nothing. Zero catches on two targets. Woof. Still ran the most routes on the roster. And in his defense, it was a tougher matchup for WRs against strong perimeter CBSs. Hold him. But the fact that his bad game coincided with Samuel back in the lineup is not good.
The Giants and Cowboys are up next over the next two weeks.
Los Angeles Chargers
Add Quentin Johnston, Jalen Guyton, Donald Parham Jr.
Austin Ekeler led the running game with 19 carries for 67 yards, averaging 3.5 yards per carry and scoring a touchdown. His longest run was 17 yards. Joshua Kelley added 16 yards on 5 carries. The Chargers have the No. 1 schedule for RBs over the rest of the season.
In the passing department, Justin Herbert completed 27 of 40 attempts for 323 yards, throwing 4 touchdowns and 1 interception.
Keenan Allen was the primary target in the receiving corps, drawing 14 targets (35% Target share) and making 11 receptions for 175 yards, including two touchdowns. Ekeler, apart from his rushing efforts, was involved in the passing game with 4 catches for 48 yards on 7 targets.
Jalen Guyton and Quentin Johnston also made significant contributions, with Guyton catching 4 passes for 41 yards and a touchdown (6 targets, 2 red-zone targets), and Johnston adding 34 yards and a touchdown on 4 receptions (4 targets).
All three guys ran nearly the same number of routes (35-plus, 85%). But it’s noteworthy that even though QJ saw 4 targets in the box score, he earned seven as he picked up three defensive pass-interference calls. He’s heating up.
But that’s not to say he’s going to dust Guyton as the No. 2. It could go either way and attaching a WR to Justin Herbert is never a bad bet.
I’ll say that their DFS pricing – $4,200 for QJ, $3,300 for Guyton – is probably to far apart.
Donald Parham Jr. added to the passing game, catching 2 passes for 18 yards. He played the most snaps (44%). Gerald Everett was targeted twice but did not make any receptions (ran the most routes). However, he did suffer a re-injury to his back that sidelined him during the game.
Even so, it was still a dreaded 3-way tight end room that is no fun for fantasy football.
GB and BAL are the next 2 games for the Bolts, followed by the Broncos, Raiders, Bills and Broncos (again).
Detroit Lons
Buy David Montgomery, Hold Jahmyr Gibbs, Add Jameson Williams
David Montgomery led the ground attack with 12 carries for 116 yards, averaging an outstanding 9.7 yards per carry and scoring a touchdown, with his longest run being an impressive 75 yards. Jahmyr Gibbs also had a significant impact, rushing for 77 yards and 2 touchdowns on 14 carries, including a long run of 35 yards. He saw red zone work. 4 red-zone carries to Montgomery’s 4 red-zone carries.
YLTSI. He was involved in the passing game with 3 catches for 35 yards on 5 targets. Also, out-carried Monty 10 to 8 in the first half. Monty had zero targets.
All in all, the Lions shocked me by sticking with the rookie as the lead back. Gibbs played 58% of the snaps to Montgomery’s 38%. It’s truly turning to a Mark Ingram/Alvin Kamara circa 2017 where both guys can be used. Considering Montgomery is the cheaper of the two (despite the fact he started) and had two goal-line rushes stuffed at the 1-yard line, he’s the Lions RB to target. It was also Monty’s first game back…so it’s possible this may not be the case moving forward. Also should be noted that Montgomery got his name called to come in for a goal-line rush after a big Gibbs run, but Monty essentially waved him off to stay in and punch in the score.
Jared Goff completed 23 of 33 attempts for 333 yards and 2 touchdowns, achieving a quarterback rating of 122.4.
St. Brown was the primary target in the receiving corps, catching 8 of his 9 targets (28.1% Target share) for 156 yards, including a long touchdown reception of 46 yards. Kalif Raymond contributed with 46 yards on 2 receptions from 4 targets. Sam LaPorta was another key contributor, catching 4 passes for 40 yards on 5 targets.
Brock Wright and Jameson Williams (2 targets) also added to the passing attack, with Wright catching a touchdown pass.
Before you get the pitchforks out for Jamo…the guy caught a TD in the first quarter. But it got taken off the board because of a low-block offensive line penalty. YHTSI. Williams ran a route on 55% of dropbacks and played 52% of the snaps. Both season highs. Slowly but surely, we are moving up in usage. Three straight weeks of an uptick in routes/snaps.
The Bears (oh my), Packers, Saints, Bears, Broncos, Vikings and Cowboys are following up for the Lions. It’s a great schedule overall for the Lions offense.
New York Giants
Buy Saquon Barkley
This did not go well. Shocker when the starting QB brags about not having to make his own bed at his parents’ house lol.
Jokes aside…
Saquon Barkley finished with 13 carries for 66 yards, averaging 5.1 yards per carry with his longest run being 21 yards. Chipped in 3 targets and came close to scoring on three red-zone rushes. 61% snap share. However, the final stat line is super gracious to how ineffective the offense was. In the first half, Barkley had 1 rushing yard on 7 carries. Still, the RB streets are tough out there. So, if you are desperate RB I get the buy-low approach to Barkley. Again, they don’t have to face Dallas anymore this season. But again, I don’t blame anyone for not wanting Giants. Weeks 15-16 could be tough against the Eagles/Saints.
The “kid” Tommy DeVito added 41 yards on 7 carries, averaging 5.9 yards per attempt.
DeVito completed 14 of 27 attempts for 86 yards, throwing 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. He was sacked five times for a total loss of 25 yards. His longest pass was for 26 yards.
Daniel Bellinger made 2 receptions for 34 yards on 3 targets. Darius Slayton contributed with 21 yards on 3 receptions from a team-high 4 targets. He continues to operate as the No. 1 WR in snaps/routes/targets.
RB Jashaun Corbin and TE Lawrence Cager also added to the receiving efforts, with Corbin catching 3 passes for 12 yards and Cager catching a 10-yard touchdown pass.
Wan’Dale Robinson (3 targets, second in routes) and Sterling Shepard made smaller contributions to the receiving game, with Shepard catching a 2-yard touchdown pass in garbage time. Jalin Hyatt’s snaps decreased as well. Probably not worth holding at this point.
Stay away from the Giants not named Saquon Barkley. Zero confidence playing any with DeVito at QB, even in a plus-matchup up next.
The Commanders and Patriots over the next 2 weeks before a bye week.
Caleb Williams Bowl coming up versus the Patriots. LFG
Dallas Cowboys
Add Rico Dowdle, Buy Tony Pollard, Drop Michael Gallup, Add Jalen Tolbert, Brandin Cooks, Hold CeeDee Lamb
Rico Dowdle led the ground game with 12 carries for 79 yards, averaging an excellent 6.6 yards per carry and scoring a touchdown. His longest run was 21 yards. Tony Pollard added 55 yards on 15 carries. Didn’t score again. Sigh. He was CLOSE a few times yet again – 4 red-zone carries – but it didn’t matter. Everybody else scored rushing TDs except for Pollard. Woof.
Don’t think Dowdle has a ton of standalone value – the Cowboys won’t play the Giants every week – but it’s hard to argue the plus-spot versus Carolina to make him FLEX-worthy. At worst, he is a high-end handcuff for Pollard managers. In the first half of DAL-NYG, Pollard out-carried Dowdle 11 to 4.
And I sound like a broken record, but I still think buying low on Pollard is the move. The TDs have to come at some point, and the Panthers’ run defense is horrible. Managers are so sick of him at this point you should be able to get a decent deal.
Quarterback Dak Prescott contributed 17 yards and a touchdown on 2 carries, and CeeDee Lamb scored a touchdown on his lone 14-yard carry.
Brandin Cooks was a significant target in the receiving corps, making 9 receptions for 173 yards on 10 targets (22.7% Target share), including a long of 37 yards and a touchdown. Add Cooks if you need a WR with the schedule favoring DAL WRs for the rest of the season.
CeeDee Lamb was the most targeted receiver, with 14 targets (31.8% Target share), resulting in 11 catches for 151 yards and a touchdown. Three MONSTER games in a row for Lamb.
Michael Gallup contributed 70 yards and a touchdown on 2 receptions (2 targets). However, the usage was in favor of Jalen Tolbert for the second straight game. Second in routes run.
Jake Ferguson also contributed to the receiving game, with 4 catches for 26 yards and 1 TD.
The Panthers (oh dear), Commanders and Seahawks are the next 3 games for Dallas. It’s a top-3 rest-of-season schedule for QBs and WRs for the rest of the season per the FantasyPros Strength of Schedule tool.
New York Jets
Buy Breece Hall, Garrett Wilson
Breece Hall, with a 70% snap count, contributed 28 yards on 13 carries, while Dalvin Cook added 26 yards on just 4 carries. Hall also showed versatility, catching 3 passes for 47 yards (3 targets). More importantly, he ran a route on 56% of the dropbacks. Buy low after he got a TD score nullified due to a penalty.
The Jets have a very favorable schedule for RBs rest of season.
Garrett Wilson, playing 94% of the snaps, was the most targeted receiver, making 9 receptions for 93 yards on 14 targets (38% Target share). Tyler Conklin, with a 64% snap count, caught all 7 of his targets for 70 yards (19% Target share). Ran a route on 65% of the dropbacks.
Xavier Gipson, Allen Lazard, and Malik Taylor, with snap counts of 68%, 89%, and 15% respectively, contributed to varying degrees in the receiving game. Lazard’s involvement was notable given his high snap count, though his impact was limited to 17 yards on a single reception despite 5 targets.
The Jets’ schedule over the second half of the season is JUICY. Bills and Dolphins are up next followed by Falcons, Texans and Dolphins (again). Buy low on Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson.
Las Vegas Raiders
Buy Davante Adams, Add Michael Mayer, Sell Josh Jacobs, Jakobi Meyers
Josh Jacobs, with an 83% snap count, led the rushing attack with 116 yards on 27 carries, averaging 4.3 yards per attempt and achieving a long run of 40 yards. DeAndre Carter and Tre Tucker added to the ground game with 15 and 9 yards respectively on a single carry each.
Don’t hate the idea of selling high on Jacobs. The Raiders are going to be inconsistent with a rookie QB and he still has his bye week coming up. The schedule isn’t great for RBs overall and he still has a bye week looming in Week 13.
Quarterback Aidan O’Connell, completed 16 of 27 pass attempts for 153 yards. His longest pass was for 42 yards.
Davante Adams, playing 97% of the snaps, was the primary target in the receiving game, making 6 receptions for 86 yards on 13 targets (52% Target share). Adams commanded 90% of the team’s air yards. No. 1 in weighted opportunity in Week 10.
Jakobi Meyers, with a 91% snap count, contributed just 21 yards on 2 receptions. Michael Mayer, with an 88% snap count, caught 3 passes for 19 yards, including a touchdown (20% Target share on 5 targets). Ran a route on 69% of the dropbacks.
Josh Jacobs and Austin Hooper, playing 83% and 42% of the snaps respectively, were also involved in the passing game, with Jacobs catching 2 passes for 11 yards and Hooper making a 7-yard catch.
The Dolphins, Chiefs, bye week and Vikings are up next for LV in their next 4 weeks.
Denver Broncos
Buy Javonte Williams, Sell Jerry Jeudy, Hold/Sell Courtland Sutton, Add Greg Dulcich, Hold/Drop Marvin Mims
In Week 10, the Denver Broncos displayed a consistent rushing effort and an efficient passing game. Javonte Williams, with 21 carries, led the rushing attack with 79 yards, averaging 3.8 yards per attempt on a 52% snap share. His longest run was 11 yards. Williams also caught 4 passes for 31 yards, including a touchdown.
Quarterback Russell Wilson added 30 yards on 9 carries, while Jaleel McLaughlin and Samaje Perine also contributed to the ground game. However, the touches for those players were limited. McLaughlin had just 6 carries for 8 yards. Perine had one carry. Similar to before the bye week, Juggernaut Javonte dominated this backfield. And even though he continues to split routes with Perine, Williams is targeted enough on early downs to offer a receptions floor with how often his QB checks the ball down to the RB position. The Broncos lead the NFL in target share to RBs this season.
Wilson, in the passing department, completed 24 of 29 attempts for 193 yards, throwing 2 touchdowns without any interceptions. He was sacked four times for a total loss of 15 yards. His longest pass was for 30 yards.
Courtland Sutton was the primary target in the receiving game, making 8 receptions for 53 yards on 11 targets (dominant 38% Target share), including a 30-yard touchdown reception on an insane toe drag swag catch in the back of the end zone. He continues to twist the knife in my soul, scoring TDs seemingly every week. Good for you Sutton. Wish I had not held last year against him so harshly in fantasy football drafts. Eventually, he won’t catch a TD, but at this point, he looks like Wilson’s clear-cut No. 1 guy in the red zone (leads the NFL with 7 red zone TDs) that is worthy of holding unless you can get a strong return.
Jerry Jeudy and Perine each contributed 35 yards on 3 receptions. Jeudy only saw three targets and was out-snapped by Marvin Mims. You read that correctly folks. Mimis PLAYED a bigger role after the bye week as the clear-cut WR3, running a route on 76% of dropbacks. Alas, just one target. 1 one carry for -3 yards. I’d like to hold to see if he starts to get more targets – I know the talent is there – but if you have shallow benches he’s getting chopped.
Tight ends Adam Trautman and Lil’Jordan Humphrey, along with Chris Manhertz, contributed to the receiving efforts, with Trautman catching 2 passes for 15 yards and Humphrey adding a 14-yard reception.
Greg Dulcich could return from IR soon, so add him in TE premium formats. The Broncos have a good schedule for fantasy TEs for the rest of the season.
Denver gets MIN at home in Week 11, followed by Cleveland, Houston, Los Angeles Chargers and the Lions. Generally a favorable schedule for the passing game for Wilson and his top pass-catchers.
Buffalo Bills
Sell James Cook, Gabe Davis
James Cook led the ground attack with 12 carries for 109 yards, averaging an impressive 9.1 yards per carry with his longest run being 42 yards. Latavius Murray added substantial yardage with 68 yards and a touchdown on 9 carries (backfield leading 52% snap share), while quarterback Josh Allen contributed 13 yards and a touchdown on 4 carries.
It was a wild game for Cook, who only played 46% of the snaps after he lost a fumble on the first offensive play of the game for Buffalo. It was one of the three fumbles that Cook was part of. Another came on a botched exchange between him and his QB, and another came on his biggest run of the night. He got the ball knocked out but it bounced right back into his lap mid-stride. He got EXTREMELY lucky. And for that reason, I’d cash out now. He finally hit the big explosive runs we’ve been waiting for, but it came against the most predictable defense in that capacity. And it almost didn’t happen at all, had it not been for the fumble going right back to him. Bounces don’t tend to be super favorable like that every week. With Leonard Fournette looming and a severe lack of Cook in the red zone, I think shipping him off after the 100-yard game is the right move to make.
In the passing department, Allen completed 15 of 26 attempts for 177 yards, throwing 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. His longest pass was for 38 yards.
Gabe Davis was a key target in the receiving game, making 2 receptions for 56 yards on 6 targets (101 air yards). Also caught a two-point conversion but had another pass dropped that resulted in an interception. Dalton Kincaid also made a significant impact with 51 yards and a touchdown on 5 receptions from 6 targets (24% Target share). Stefon Diggs contributed 34 yards on 3 receptions (20% Target share, 5 targets).
It’s been back-to-back games that the Broncos have completely blanked opposing No. 1 pass-game options, between Travis Kelce and Diggs. Keep that in mind as they play the Vikings in Week 11.
Khalil Shakir and Cook were also involved in the receiving game, with Shakir catching a 24-yard pass and Cook adding 11 yards on 2 receptions. Latavius Murray and Deonte Harty contributed minimally to the receiving efforts.
The Bills’ next matchups are the Jets, Eagles, Bye Week, Chiefs, Cowboys and Chargers.
Teams Coming Off Bye Weeks
Kansas City Chiefs
Hold Rashee Rice, Buy Isiah Pacheco
Isiah Pacheco carried the ball 16 times for 66 yards (68% snap share) and dominated the route share back in Week 9. CEH missed the game, and the other Chiefs RBs combined for two carries. The team gained a total of 93 rushing yards with Patrick Mahomes also chipping in ground yardage.
Buy Pacheco. No. 1 SOS for RBs.
Noah Gray and Skyy Moore were notable receivers for the Chiefs in Week 9. Gray caught all 3 of his targets for 34 yards (team-high), while Moore contributed with 2 receptions for 33 yards. However, Moore only played 25% of the snaps and ran 10 routes.
The Chiefs had a balanced passing attack, with multiple players involved. Justin Watson led the Chiefs with 5 targets.
Rashee Rice scored while running a route on 60% of dropbacks – same as Week 8. Only two targets but usage remained the best among Chief WRs with another season-high in snaps (68%). Add him if he got dropped during the bye week.
Travis Kelce only saw 4 targets, catching 3 for 14 yards. Fewest targets in a game since 2021…If teams continue to sell out to stop Kelce, he is going to have down games. Might be worth throwing on the block if managers forgot about his recent dud performance.
Next 7 Weeks: PHI (MNF), LV, GB, BUF, NE and LV (again).
Los Angeles Rams
Buy Puka Nacua, Kyren Williams Add Darrell Henderson/Royce Freeman
Their running game struggled in Week 9, with Royce Freeman and Darrell Henderson failing to break free for significant yardage.
In the first half, Henderson led the Rams backfield with 10 carries for 19 yards. Royce Freeman had 18 yards on 5 carries. Henderson had zero second-half carries (just 2 targets). While Freeman saw all 7.
Kyren William can return as early as Week 12 versus the Cardinals. Therefore, you can safely drop Henderson/Freeman during the bye week. Sean McVay expects him to be on track for Week 12.
But if you need an option in Week 11, I’d opt for Freeman based on how he was used in the second half of Week 9.
Cooper Kupp had 1 target. Puka with 4 targets. 8 pass attempts. 3 completions. In the first half of Week 9. Woof.
Kupp and Nacaua would finish with 7 targets each (26% Target share), as did Tutu Artwell. Brett Rypien also had a tough outing, completing just 13 of 28 passes for 130 yards. Kupp was the primary target, but he could only secure 2 receptions for 48 yards.
Kupp’s targets have been solid in back-to-back weeks before the bye week, but the efficiency has been waning dramatically.
Let’s get Matthew Stafford healthy, please. And adding Carson Wentz as insurance is a MASSIVE upgrade over Rypien, despite the overall negative perception around Wentz.
Therefore, all Rams are buy lows, specifically with Nacua who can be acquired at a cheaper cost than Kupp. Just a strong bet on an uber-talented rookie WR. He also technically saw a team-high 8 targets in Week 9 due to penalties. Also owns a 32% Target share on the year.
The Rams post-bye host Seattle. Then it’s Arizona, Seattle (again), Baltimore and Washington.
Miami Dolphins
Sell Raheem Mostert, Buy Jaylen Waddle, Drop Jeff Wilson Jr.
Raheem Mostert carried the ball 12 times for 85 yards and scored one touchdown versus KC in Week 9. The team totaled 117 rushing yards. No other Miami RB saw more than 3 carries (Salvon Ahmed). Although it needs to be noted for a second straight game, Mostert was a zero in the passing game (1 target). Jeff Wilson Jr. commanded four targets, and Ahmed earned 3. And unlike a week ago, Mostert ran fewer routes than Ahmed. He played 56% of the snaps for the second straight game.
Miami is showing that they want to use a committee and I don’t think it will work favorably for Mostert when De’Von Achane returns likely after the Week 10 bye week. He is designated to return, potentially as soon as this week.
Tyreek Hill was a significant target for Tagovailoa, receiving 10 targets and catching 8 passes for 62 yards. 29% Target share. Jaylen Waddle contributed with 3 receptions for 42 yards on 6 targets (29% target rate per route run, nearly 100 air yards).
Cedrick Wilson played more because of the injury to Waddle early on in the game. He’s a rare WR handcuff for Waddle/Hill.
Waddle’s a buy after a down game because his per-route efficiency was still fantastic. Should be able to get closer to 100% healthy coming after the bye week. Waddle also had a 17-yard gain wiped off the board by a penalty.
Miami has a Las Vegas, New York (Jets), Commanders, Titans, Jets (again) and Cowboys in the next 7 weeks.
With the Dolphins on bye, you can drop Wilson who is not even the clear handcuff behind Mostert at this point with Ahmed sprinkling in and Achane slated to return.
Also might be wise to get out of the Tua Tagovailoa business. No team has a more difficult remaining schedule for fantasy QBs than the Dolphins besides the Bengals. Woof.
Philadelphia Eagles
Buy DeVonta Smith, D’Andre Swift
D’Andre Swift led with 9 carries in the first half of Week 9. Swift was the lead rusher overall, ending the day with 18 carries for 43 yards, averaging 2.4 yards per carry. Swift received 2 targets and caught both passes for 31 yards. 5 red-zone carries. 65% snap share.
Kenneth Gainwell contributed 3 carries for 22 yards, averaging 7.3 yards per carry, and also scored a rushing touchdown (1 Target, 2 red-zone carries). 37% snap share.
Rashaad Penny had 2 carries for 8 yards (no Boston Scott).
A.J. Brown had 5 targets, and nobody else had more than 2 (Dallas Goedert) in the first half. Brown was the leading receiver with 9 targets (39% Target share), catching 7 passes for 66 yards and a touchdown.
DeVonta Smith received 3 targets and caught all 3 passes for 51 yards, including a touchdown.
Goedert had 4 targets, catching 3 passes for 50 yards (hurt toward the end of the game). Goedert is set to miss time and is an injured reserve candidate after suffering a fracture in his forearm.
We saw last year that the Goedert injury fueled Smith to a fantasy WR1 overall finish. Rinse and repeat folks. Buy Smith while he is coming off the bye week and get a fantasy WR1 for the remainder of the season.
Philly has KC, Buffalo, SF and Dallas in their next five weeks. Shootouts as far as the eyes can see.
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