There’s no way around it. This is another tough week to set lineups. Yeah. I know I’ve said that many times this season, but stop me when I’m wrong. Every week, we have high-profile fantasy superstars dropping like flies and waiver wire darling pickups falling flat on their faces. Death, taxes, and stress when attempting to set a Week 7 lineup.

Some things are as reliable as the rising sun.

With the Bengals, Cowboys, Titans, Jets, Panthers, and Texans all on bye, you’re going to see some players pushed up in the rankings and some other deeper names in this week’s Primer (hello, Trey Palmer). Happy Week 7. Let’s get to it.

JAC vs. NO | WAS vs. NYG | ATL vs. TB | DET vs. BAL | BUF vs. NE | CLE vs. IND | LV vs. CHI | ARI vs. SEA | PIT vs. LAR | LAC vs. KC | GB vs. DEN | MIA vs. PHI | SF vs. MIN

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Fantasy Football Primer

Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants

• WAS -3, O/U 37.5
• Commanders vs. Giants Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

• Washington is a known slow-and-throw team, ranking seventh-lowest in neutral pace while having the 11th-highest neutral passing rate. We could see that shift this week, as the Giants are a fantastic matchup for the Commanders’ ground game.
• With Tyrod Taylor under center last week, the Giants operated at 23.6 seconds per snap with a 46.6% neutral rushing rate. Those figures over the entire season would have New York ranked third-best in neutral pace with the fifth-highest neutral rushing rate.

Quarterbacks

Sam Howell: Howell is a volume monster QB2. He is fifth in pass attempts and ninth in passing yards. If Howell had the rushing production that we were promised to go along with this volume, he’d be a top-12 fantasy quarterback right now. Among 32 qualifying quarterbacks, Howell ranks 23rd in passing grade and 17th in yards per attempt. His arm talent has been on a special level in terms of accuracy. He is sixth-best in highly accurate throw rate (immediately behind Trevor Lawrence) and second in adjusted completion rate. New York has been a giving pass defense with the eighth-highest yards per attempt, the tenth-highest passer rating, and the tenth-most passing touchdowns allowed. Two keys to victory for Howell in Week 7 are his ability to rip apart man coverage and his handling of the blitz. The Giants utilize man coverage at the fourth-highest rate (35.6% per Fantasy Points Data). Against man coverage, Howell ranks (among 33 quarterbacks) eighth-best in yards per attempt and 17th in fantasy points per dropback with the tenth-best passer rating. New York blitzes at the sixth-highest rate in the NFL. Among 36 qualifying quarterbacks versus the blitz, Howell is 28th in yards per attempt, but he has the fourth-best blitz-adjusted completion rate (fifth-lowest aDOT versus the blitz). Week 7 Positional Value: QB2 with QB1 upside

Tyrod Taylor: Daniel Jones has been listed as questionable this week, but he hasn’t been cleared for contact yet. This feels like a Giants’ attempt at a smoke screen. I will update this situation as we get more information, but I’m projecting that Taylor will start in Week 7. looked good overall last week. He was sixth in passing grade, third in big-time throws, and seventh in adjusted completion rate (eighth-lowest aDOT, 7.4). During his last extended run as an NFL starter (2021), among 39 qualifying quarterbacks, Taylor ranked 35th in passing grade, 30th in yards per attempt, and 36th in adjusted completion rate. Tempering expectations for Taylor is the best course of action, but that doesn’t mean he can’t still out-kick them. In 2021, Taylor still possessed some rushing upside, averaging 25.2 yards (12th-best) and amassing three rushing touchdowns (ninth-best). We saw something similar last week as Taylor tucked it and ran five times for 24 yards. Washington has been unable to stop any passing attack. They have allowed the sixth-highest yards per attempt, the third-most passing touchdowns, and the third-most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. Week 7 Positional Value: QB2 with QB1 upside

Running Backs

Brian Robinson: This is a beautiful bounceback matchup for Robinson. Since Week 3, his stock has plummeted. With the Commanders facing a lot of negative game script (ninth-most plays since Week 3, trailing by eight or more points), his snaps have hovered between 36-37% in two of his last four games. Across his last four games, Robinson has averaged 12 touches and 55 total yards. Among 53 qualifying backs, Robinson ranks 18th in explosive run rate, 30th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 18th in yards after contact per attempt. New York has given up the fifth-highest explosive run rate, the ninth-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the sixth-highest yards per carry to zone runs (Robinson 67.5% zone). Week 7 Positional Value: RB2

Antonio Gibson: I expect Washington to keep this game close, if not pull out the victory. In the four games that Washington has either won or kept the score within a touchdown, Gibson has averaged five touches and 28.5 total yards. In that sample, he has surpassed 30 total yards in a game only once. Gibson’s path to a ceiling game is also blocked because the Giants have defended pass-catching running backs well. They have held the position to the lowest receiving yards and the seventh-lowest yards per reception. Sit Gibson. Week 7 Positional Value: Must sit

Saquon Barkley: The Giants wasted no time leaning on Barkley. In his first game back, he played 78% of the snaps with 28 touches and 98 total yards. In his first game back, his 8.3% explosive run rate and 3.50 yards after contact per attempt were strong marks, but his 13% missed tackles forced per attempt was concerning. Barkley has averaged 22 touches and 84.3 total yards this season. Washington has been an improving run defense. They have allowed the 13th-lowest yards after contact per attempt and the fifth-lowest missed tackles per attempt. They have also held gap runners (Barkley 52.8% gap) to the 14th-lowest gap scheme yards per carry. Week 7 Positional Value: Volume-based RB1

Wide Receivers

Terry McLaurin: Welcome to Terry McScorin week. McLaurin has a 19.6% Target share, a 29.1% air-yard share, 1.62 YPRR, and a 26.6% first-read share. Against man coverage (NYG runs at the fourth-highest rate, 35.4%), McLaurin has seen his Target share balloon to 26.4%, his air-yard share climbs to 50.6%, his YPRR rise to 2.19, and his first-read share ascend to 35.1%. McLaurin also leads the team by a wide margin with a 30.5% first-read share when Howell has been blitzed. The closest Washington Commander to McLaurin in first read share when blitzed is Dyami Brown and Curtis Samuel, who are tied at 11.5%. McLaurin will run about 81% of his routes against Adoree’Jackson (75% catch rate and 119.9 passer rating) and Deonte Banks (52% catch rate and 92.1 passer rating). Week 7 Positional Value: WR2

Curtis Samuel: Samuel is the WR31 in fantasy with a 14.5% Target share, 1.62 YPRR, and a 17.3% first-read share. He has finished as a top-24 fantasy wideout in each of the last three weeks (WR12, WR14, WR23). That run of top-24 finishes possibly stops this week. Against man coverage, his Target share has dropped to 13.2%, and his first-read share has fallen to 13.5%. While this isn’t great, New York has struggled against slot receivers, and Samuel has a strong foothold in touchdown equity in this offense, so there’s an avenue for Samuel to continue his hot streak in Week 7. New York has allowed the highest PPR points per target and the tenth-most PPR points to slot receivers. Samuel leads the team in red zone targets. Samuel will run about 72% of his routes against Cor’Dale Flott (69.2% catch rate and 112.0 passer rating). Week 7 Positional Value: WR3/4

Jahan Dotson: Dotson has been droppable in all formats. He has a 13.6% Target share, a 16.7% air-yard share, only 0.64 YPRR. He hasn’t crossed 30 receiving yards in a game since Week 1. Against man coverage, his Target share is a jaw-dropping 7.5%. This has been an incredibly disappointing sophomore season for Dotson. Week 7 Positional Value: Droppable

Wan’Dale Robinson: Since Week 4, Robinson has had a 19.6% Target share and a 22.7% first-read share. Both of those marks have ranked second on the team in that span. He has played 60-67% of the snaps over the last three weeks with a 60.9% route run rate. Robinson hasn’t seen a red zone target yet. Robinson will match up with Danny Johnson (2022: 63.2% catch rate and 66.2 passer rating) all day. Week 7 Positional Value: WR4/5

Tight Ends

Logan Thomas: Despite Thomas disappearing in Week 6 (one reception and two receiving yards), he is the TE9 in fantasy points per game. In the games in which he has been able to play a full snap share, Thomas has had a 15.1% Target share, a 70.4% route run rate, 1.29 YPRR, and a 15.3% first-read share. Thomas has three TE1 weekly finishes (TE11, TE10, TE4) this season. In those four full games, Thomas has seen his first-read share grow against man coverage to 18.5%. New York ranks 14th in receiving yards allowed to tight ends while giving up the third-highest yards per reception. Week 7 Positional Value: TE2 with weekly TE1 upside

Darren Waller: Waller is the TE12 in fantasy with a 20.3% Target share (fourth-best), 1.46 YPRR (16th), and a 25.2% first-read share (second-best). He has only two red zone targets, which ranks 23rd among tight ends. With Taylor under center last week and Waller’s health in question, he still posted strong numbers with a 72.7% route run rate and a 19.4% Target share. Washington has held tight ends to the 12th-lowest receiving yards and the third-lowest yards per reception. Week 7 Positional Value: Volume-based TE1

JAC vs. NO | WAS vs. NYG | ATL vs. TB | DET vs. BAL | BUF vs. NE | CLE vs. IND | LV vs. CHI | ARI vs. SEA | PIT vs. LAR | LAC vs. KC | GB vs. DEN | MIA vs. PHI | SF vs. MIN

Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

• TB -2.5, O/U 37
• Falcons vs. Buccaneers Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

• Desmond Ridder has averaged 38.3 passing attempts over his last four games, which has been a product of Atlanta leaning on the passing game more but also because they are always trailing in games. Over the last four weeks, the Falcons have increased their neutral passing rate from 46.5% to 59.5% (16th) while also ranking 13th in neutral pace. They also lead the NFL in this span in plays run with the team down by eight or more points. They have not run a play with a lead of eight or more points over their last four games.
• The pace of this game will surprise people. Not only should Atlanta hold up their end of the bargain, but since Week 3, the Bucs rank 11th in neutral pace and passing rate.

Quarterbacks

Desmond Ridder: Ridder is the QB20 in fantasy points per game with three QB1 outings (QB10, QB6, QB6) this season. During his recent hot streak, while his fantasy production has been strong, his actual level of play on the field has been middling. Since Week 4, among 32 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks 28th in passing grade and 27th in adjusted completion rate with the fourth-highest turnover-worthy play rate. We still haven’t seen much rushing production from Ridder, and I don’t see that changing. He has only one game with more than 20 rushing yards. Tampa Bay has utilized zone coverage at the sixth-highest rate (80.8% per Fantasy Points Data). Against zone, among 30 qualifying quarterbacks, Ridder ranks 19th in passer rating, 24th in adjusted completion rate, and 21st in fantasy points per dropback. Tampa Bay has fielded a strong pass defense, allowing the 12th-lowest passer rating and tenth-lowest adjusted completion rate while ranking 19th in fantasy points per game allowed to quarterbacks. Week 7 Positional Value: QB2

Baker Mayfield: Mayfield is an acceptable QB2 weekly. He is the QB17 in fantasy ranking 22nd in yards per attempt, 15th in adjusted completion rate, and 16th in fantasy points per dropback. Mayfield faces an Atlanta pass defense that has contained quarterbacks giving up the seventh-lowest yards per attempt and second-lowest passing yards per game. The one silver lining for Mayfied is that the Falcons have given up the fifth-most passing touchdowns (tied). Week 7 Positional Value: QB2

Running Backs

Weeks 5-6

Bijan Robinson: Robinson has been posting some letdown stat lines over the last two weeks, averaging 17 touches and 69 total yards as the RB12 in fantasy. A lot is going on here, so strap in. Robinson’s snap rate hasn’t been terrible, with 61% and 77% of the snaps in those games, but his pass game usage has declined. Over the last two weeks, Robinson has seen his route run rate decline from 72.5% to 58.2%, as his Target share has also trickled down from 18.5% to 11.8%. Robinson is also losing valuable red zone work to Tyler Allgeier, who has more red zone opportunities than Robinson this season and over the last two weeks. Does it make sense? No, but this is where we are. The biggest problem ailing Robinson isn’t even any of the thorns that I’ve already discussed. It’s his offensive line. They went from blowing the doors off of defensive lines to not being able to stop a light breeze. The offensive line’s yards before contact per attempt have been the fourth-lowest in the NFL since Week 5. Robinson’s tackle-breaking metrics have remained stable, if not become even more impressive, as he’s had to create everything on his own. Tampa Bay has been a stout run defense, but there’s an avenue for Robinson to be productive if his offensive line can do him any favors. The Buccaneers have kept backs in check, yielding the seventh-lowest explosive run rate and ninth-lowest missed tackles per attempt. They also have the 11th-best stuff rate. The one area of vulnerability for Tampa Bay has been defending zone runs. They have allowed the tenth-highest yards per carry and the sixth-highest success rate to zone run concepts (Robinson 65% zone). Continue to trot out Robinson as an RB1. Week 7 Positional Value: RB1

Tyler Allgeier: Allgeier’s snap rates and workload have bounced all over the map this season. His usage has been highly correlated to the scoreboard. If the Falcons are trailing a ton like they have been recently, his touch count has suffered. In their three wins, Allgeier has averaged 17 touches, but in their three losses, he has only seen nine touches per game. He has not been efficient with his work when he has gotten touches. Among 53 qualifying running backs, he ranks 36th in explosive run rate, 36th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 21st in yards after contact per attempt. With Tampa Bay favored and this stacking up as a tougher matchup on the ground, this is a good week to sit Allgeier. Week 7 Positional Value: Must sit

Rachaad White: White has been a stomach-turning volume play all season. He is the RB24 in fantasy, ranking sixth in snap share, 12th in opportunity share and 12th in red zone touches. He has played at least 70% of the snaps in each game, averaging 17.2 touches and 66 total yards. He is 40th in yards per touch and doesn’t have an explosive run this season. Among 53 qualifying backs, he ranks 37th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 41st in yards after contact per attempt. Atlanta has locked down running backs with the tenth-best stuff rate while also holding rushers to the 12th-lowest yards per carry on zone runs (White 57.1% zone) and the seventh-fewest fantasy points per game. Week 7 Positional Value: RB2/3

Wide Receivers

Drake London Weeks 2-6

WR21
WR79
WR31
WR19
WR5

Can you spot the outlier here…

— Derek Brown (@DBro_FFB) October 18, 2023

Drake London: Since Week 2, London has only one game where he didn’t finish as a top 32 fantasy wide receiver. Over the last five weeks, London is the WR25 in fantasy with a 22.6% Target share, a 31.1% air-yard share, 1.81 YPRR, and a 27.4% first-read share. London ranks 12th among wideouts in red zone targets. London will run about 80% of his routes against Carlton Davis (59.1% catch rate and 84.3 passer rating) and Jamel Dean (73.9% catch rate and 132.2 passer rating). Week 7 Positional Value: WR2/3

Mike Evans: Evans is the WR16 in fantasy, drawing a 23.9% Target share with a 39.0% air-yard share, 2.90 YPRR, and a 29.4% first-read share. Evans leads the team with five end-zone targets while also ranking 16th among wide receivers in deep targets. Evans could be shadowed this week by A.J. Terrell (58.6% catch rate and 89.6 passer rating). Terrell has followed wide receivers in five games this season on at least 53% of their routes, but he also stayed in Calvin Ridley‘s back pocket for 86% of his routes. Terry McLaurin is the only receiver this season in Terrell’s primary coverage to surpass 60 receiving yards. Evans was shadowed by Terrell in one of their matchups last year, but Evans had no issues securing four of his six targets with 81 receiving yards. The Falcons utilize man coverage at the sixth-highest rate (32.8%) in the NFL. Against man, Evans’ Target share dips to 21.4%, his air-yard share drops off a table to 26.0%, his YPRR falls like a stone to 1.55, and his first-read share takes a hit (23.8%). Godwin will take the lead for the Buc’s passing attack this week. Week 7 Positional Value: WR3

Chris Godwin: Godwin has been struggling this season with only one game with more than 80 receiving yards, but this is the week he could post only his second 100-yard receiving game of the year. Godwin has a 22.1% Target share, a 26.3% air-yard share, 2.27 YPRR, and a 29.4% air-yard share. He will lead the way against the Falcon’s man coverage (32.8%, sixth-highest). Against man, Godwin’s Target share has jumped to 25% while his YPRR has sky-rocketed to 3.64, and his first-read share has increased to 33.3%. If Terrell is all over Evans this week, Godwin will tangle with Jeff Okudah (33.3% catch rate and 53.5 passer rating). It’s a tough matchup, but if Godwin can keep up his exemplary play against man, he can steal the show from Evans this week. Week 7 Positional Value: WR2/3

Trey Palmer: Palmer is a deep league or desperation consideration only. Against man coverage, his Target share and first-read shares bump from 9.2% to 17.9% and 10.1% to 19.0%. Palmer has run about 61% of his routes in the slot this season, which means he will match up with the ever-burnable Dee Alford (73.5% catch rate and 120.2 passer rating). Atlanta has allowed the fourth-most PPR points to slot receivers and the second-highest PPR points per target. Week 7 Positional Value: Deep league or Bye-pocalypse flex

Tight Ends

Kyle Pitts: Pitts’ snaps have decreased over the last two games as he’s been between 53-55% with a 63.7% route run rate (67.2% slot). He has compensated with the drop in playing time by commanding a strong 18.8% Target share with a 28% target per route run rate (TPRR). Over those two weeks, he has had 2.24 YPRR and a 20% first-read share. Pitts will run against Christian Izien (84.2% catch rate and 93.3 passer rating) in the slot. Pitts should have his way with a corner that he has eight inches of height and 48 pounds on. Week 7 Positional Value: TE1

Jonnu Smith: Over the last two games, Smith has retained his WR3 role in this offense with a 14.1% Target share (58.1% route run rate), 1.94 YPRR, and a 17.1% first-read share (third on the team). Smith is seventh in deep targets and 14th in red zone targets among tight ends. Smith will run about 69% of his routes against Christian Izien (84.2% catch rate and 93.3 passer rating) in the slot. Smith has a size advantage over Izien. The strength of the Buc’s pass defense is their outside corners. We could see Ridder hyper-target his tall and athletic tight ends. Smith is the TE10 in fantasy. Week 7 Positional Value: Borderline TE1

Cade Otton: Otton is a matchup-based streaming option only. He has a 78.1% route run rate, which is a plus, but he doesn’t command targets with a 10.4% Target share and only two red zone looks. The Falcons have allowed the ninth-most receiving yards and seventh-most fantasy points to tight ends. Week 7 Positional Value: Matchup-based streaming option

JAC vs. NO | WAS vs. NYG | ATL vs. TB | DET vs. BAL | BUF vs. NE | CLE vs. IND | LV vs. CHI | ARI vs. SEA | PIT vs. LAR | LAC vs. KC | GB vs. DEN | MIA vs. PHI | SF vs. MIN

Detroit Lions vs. Baltimore Ravens

• BAL -3, O/U 43
• Lions vs. Ravens Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

• Detroit is operating at the sixth-slowest pace while ranking 19th in neutral passing rate.
• Baltimore has continued to slow things down and lean on the run. They are 20th in neutral pace with the highest neutral rushing rate.
• Last week, with David Mongomery, banged up, the Lions passed on 50% of their red zone plays, which is a huge shift from the league-leading 73.3% red zone rushing rate they had in Weeks 1-5.

Quarterbacks

Jared Goff: Goff continues to play fantastic football. He is the QB6 in fantasy, ranking second in passing grade, third in yards per attempt, and first in adjusted completion rate. Goff should have time in the pocket this week against a defense that ranks 25th in pressure rate despite blitzing at the 12th-highest rate. If the blitz does get home, Goff could have some issues as he is 19th in passing grade and 18th in yards per attempt against the blitz. Baltimore has one of the best pass defenses in the NFL, containing quarterbacks with the second-lowest fantasy points per game, the second-lowest yards per attempt, and the fourth-lowest adjusted completion rate allowed. Week 7 Positional Value: QB2

Lamar Jackson: Jackson has been operating at another level this season as a passer. He is fourth in passing grade, fifth in adjusted completion rate, and tenth in yards per attempt as the QB7 in fantasy. He would be ranked even higher in fantasy standing if he wasn’t 23rd in passing touchdowns. He is fifth in fantasy points per dropback and the QB3 in expected fantasy points per game. Jackson’s rushing acumen also remains as he ranks second in carries per game, second in red zone carries, and first in rushing yards per game. Detroit has been an improved pass defense this season. Despite allowing the tenth-most passing touchdowns, they have also kept passers in check with the eighth-lowest passer rating and adjusted completion rate permitted. The Lions will bring the heat this week as they have the eighth-best pressure rate, but Jackson has been strong with pressure in his face. He ranks seventh in pressured passing grade and first in big-time throw rate when pressured. Week 7 Positional Value: QB1

Running Backs

Jahmyr Gibbs: Gibbs was limited all week until Friday (hamstring) when he upgraded to a full practice session. He’s been cleared to play and should be considered the Lions’ lead back. In Week 3 without David Montgomery, Gibbs played 60% of the snaps with 18 touches and 82 total yards. He handled every touch for the running back room in the red zone while also handling a 47% route run rate. Among 53 qualifying backs, Gibbs ranks ninth-best in explosive run rate, fifth in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 22nd in yards after contact per attempt. Baltimore is not a run defense that I fear. They have allowed the 11th-highest explosive run rate and the tenth-highest missed tackles per attempt. The combination of Zack Moss, Joe Mixon, Derrick Henry, and Tyjae Spears managed 4.96 yards per carry against this run defense. Add in that Baltimore has allowed the eighth-most receiving yards and the fifth-highest yards per reception to running backs, and this is a spot that Gibbs could go wild in. Week 7 Positional Value: RB1

Craig Reynolds: Reynolds is dealing with a hamstring and a toe issue. He didn’t practice on Wednesday before upgrading to limited practices on Thursday and Friday. In Week 3, he spelled Gibbs occasionally with four touches and 29% of the snaps. I expect him to play a similar role this week for Detroit. Gibbs could push for even more work with Reynolds banged up, too. Sit Reynolds. Week 7 Positional Value: Must sit

Gus Edwards: Edwards has barely been flex-worthy this season as the RB40 in fantasy. He has averaged 13.4 touches and 52.6 total yards. He is 33rd in snap share, 34th in opportunity share, and 36th among running backs in weighted opportunities. Among 53 qualifying backs, Edwards is 39th in missed tackles forced per attempt and yards after contact per attempt. Edwards will run into brick walls all day against this elite Lions’ run defense. They have punished backs with the third-lowest explosive run rate, 12th-worst stuff rate, and fourth-lowest yards after contact per attempt allowed. Week 7 Positional Value: Must sit

Justice Hill: Hill has been the Raven’s red zone back with 12 red zone opportunities versus Edward’s six. Hill has played at least 38% of the snaps in three of his last four games, averaging 12 touches and 44.3 total yards in those three contests. Among 53 qualifying backs, Hill ranks 35th in explosive run rate and 43rd in yards after contact per attempt. Hill is a must-sit against a Lions’ run defense that has allowed the lowest fantasy points per game and the second-lowest rushing yards to backs. Week 7 Positional Value: Must sit

Wide Receivers

Amon-Ra St. Brown: St. Brown is the WR10 in Fantasy ranking 11th in Target share (27.4%), ninth-best in TPRR (30%), and 11th in YPRR. St. Brown is eighth in fantasy points per route run. After four 100 yard receiving days last year, he already has three games on his resume this season. He has three touchdowns and six red zone targets in his five games played. St. Brown will run about 53% of his routes against Arthur Maulet (50% catch rate and 78.1 passer rating). Pump the brakes on expectations for St. Brown this week against a secondary that’s allowed the third-lowest PPR points per target to slot wide receivers. Week 7 Positional Value: WR1

Josh Reynolds: Reynolds has a 12.8% Target share with a 23.3% air-yard share as the Lion’s deep threat. He is tied for the team lead in deep targets with a 12.0 aDOT. Reynolds is a must-sit this week against a secondary that’s held wide receivers to the third-fewest fantasy points per game. Reynolds will run about 61% of his routes against Brandon Stephens (66.7% catch rate and 76.6 passer rating) and Marlon Humphrey (71.4% catch rate and 139.9 passer rating). Week 7 Positional Value: Must sit

Jameson Williams: Despite Williams’ 53 receiving yards and a score last week, he is a must-sit. Williams produced those numbers on only three targets and nine routes run. He ran hotter than the sun. His playing time has to increase before we consider plugging him into a lineup. Week 7 Positional Value: Must sit

Zay Flowers: Flowers is the undisputed WR1 in Baltimore. He is the WR25 in fantasy with a 27.7% Target share, a 30.2% air-yard share, 1.84 YPRR, and a 31.7% first-read share. Flowers has at least ten targets in 50% of his games this season. Flowers will run about 69% of his routes on the perimeter against Cameron Sutton (65.5% catch rate and 100.1 passer rating) and Jerry Jacobs (65% catch rate and 77.1 passer rating). Week 7 Positional Value: WR2

Odell Beckham Jr.: Beckham is droppable. Since his return, he has been a part-time player with a 50% route run rate. He has only drawn an 11.8% Target share since Week 5. He hasn’t surpassed 37 receiving yards in any game. Week 7 Positional Value: Droppable

Tight Ends

Sam LaPorta: Sammy Ballgame continues to do Sammy Ballgame things. He is the TE3 in fantasy. He ranks third in Target share (20.7%), fourth in YPRR (2.14), fourth in air-yard share (23.0%), and eighth in first-read share among 46 qualifying tight ends. Ballgame is seventh in deep targets, and 14th in red zone looks among tight ends. LaPorta is a must-start TE1 weekly, but this week, he draws another brutal matchup. Baltimore has held tight ends to the second-fewest receiving yards and yards per reception (zero touchdowns). Week 7 Positional Value: TE1

Mark Andrews: Andrews is the TE2 in fantasy. He ranks second in Target share (21.9%), sixth in YPRR (1.86), fifth in air-yard share, and sixth in first-read share among 46 qualifying tight ends. Andrew is top-ten in deep targets (seventh) and red zone targets (tenth) among tight ends. He should smash this week against the Lions. Detroit has allowed the fourth-most receiving yards and fifth-most fantasy points to tight ends. Week 7 Positional Value: Top-three TE

JAC vs. NO | WAS vs. NYG | ATL vs. TB | DET vs. BAL | BUF vs. NE | CLE vs. IND | LV vs. CHI | ARI vs. SEA | PIT vs. LAR | LAC vs. KC | GB vs. DEN | MIA vs. PHI | SF vs. MIN