Fantasy Football Outlook: Dallas Goedert, Dameon Pierce, Joshua Dobbs, Jerry Jeudy

Every week we’ll bring you The Primer, a deep dive into every fantasy-relevant player from every NFL game of the week. You can find the full weekly Primer here. Below we dive into a few notable players ahead of this weekend’s games.

Fantasy Football Outlook

Dameon Pierce: Pierce’s snap share has trended up in each of the last three weeks, but this could sadly only be related to positive game script. In Week 2, he played 45% of the snaps, but in Weeks 3-4, he played 54 and 59% of the snaps. His route run rates have not seen the same jump. Sadly, they have been trending in the wrong direction. His route run rate in Week 2 was 31.5%, and last week he declined to 24.2%. Playing Pierce and his value at the moment is directly tied to how you project the game script for Houston. With a tight spread this week, he should be hovering around the 50% snap mark while owning the early downs. Among 58 qualifying backs, Pierce ranks 18th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 38th in yards after contact per attempt. He faces a tough and improving Falcons’ run defense. Atlanta has allowed the 14th-lowest explosive run rate and yards after contact per attempt while having the 12th-best stuff rate. Week 5 Positional Value: RB2/3

Dallas Goedert: Goedert’s barely had a pulse in fantasy this season. Among 37 qualifying tight ends, he is 14th in target share, 31st in YPRR, and 35th in YAC per reception. The fall-off in his YAC skills has been the most disturbing fact this season. Among the same sample of tight ends, he ranks 33rd in fantasy points per route run. This could be the breakout game to get Goedert rolling. With the Rams’ corners playing exceptional football, targets, and production have been funneled to tight ends playing the Rams. Los Angeles has allowed the 11th-most receiving yards, the third-highest yards per reception, and the tenth-most fantasy points to tight ends. Week 5 Positional Value: TE1

Joshua Dobbs: Dobbs has been one of the feel-good stories of the season. Since Week 2, he ranks 19th in passing grade, 17th in yards per attempt, and 15th in adjusted completion rate. He has averaged seven rushes and 48 rushing yards during this stretch with QB5, QB16, and QB8 fantasy finishes. Dobbs is stream-worthy again this week. Cincy is 16th in passer rating and 19th in fantasy points per game allowed to quarterbacks. They have also surrendered the 11th-highest yards per attempt. Week 5 Positional Value: QB2

Jerry Jeudy: Jeudy has yet to play more than 76% of the offensive snaps in any game since his return. Since Week 2, Jeudy has had a 17.3% target share, a 28.6% first read share, and 1.84 YPRR. He has only drawn one red zone target this season. Jeudy will run about 72% of his routes against Michael Carter (50% catch rate and 90.4 passer rating). Week 5 Positional Value: WR3