Fantasy Football Outlook: Dak Prescott, Brandon Aiyuk, Kirk Cousins, Romeo Doubs

Every week we’ll bring you The Primer, a deep dive into every fantasy-relevant player from every NFL game of the week. You can find the full weekly Primer here. Below we dive into a few notable players ahead of this weekend’s games.

Fantasy Football Outlook

Romeo Doubs: Doubs leads the wide receivers in route run rate with 76.7%. He has a 24.4% target share, a 29.9% air yard share, and 2.00 YPRR. He is the WR18 in fantasy, ranking seventh in red zone targets and 23rd in deep targets. Doubs will run about 81% of his routes against David Long Jr. (60% catch rate and 66.3 passer rating) and Marcus Peters (70% catch rate and 112.1 passer rating). Week 5 Positional Value: WR3

Brandon Aiyuk: This game sets up extremely well for Aiyuk to crush yet again. Aiyuk is the WR9 in Fantasy. Dallas loves man coverage, but hey, so does Aiyuk. Against man, Aiyuk has a 28.6% target share, a 39.0% air-yard share, and 3.76 YPRR. He has four deep targets and four red-zone looks. Aiyuk will run about 75% of his routes against Stephon Gilmore (45% catch rate and 86.9 passer rating) and DaRon Bland (55.6% catch rate and 34.5 passer rating). Week 5 Positional Value: WR2 with WR1 upside.

Dak Prescott: Prescott is the QB24 in fantasy points per game. He has not finished higher than QB17 in weekly scoring this season. Among 34 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks 15th in yards per attempt, first in adjusted completion rate, and 20th in fantasy points per dropback. With his 5.9 aDOT (second-lowest), the Cowboys are asking him just to manage games. Prescott likely finishes with another muted stat line this week against a 49ers’ secondary that has held passers to the second-lowest yards per attempt, fifth-lowest passer rating, and the seventh-fewest fantasy points per game. Week 5 Positional Value: low-end QB2

Kirk Cousins: “Kohl’s cash” Cousins is the QB8 in fantasy, ranking ninth in passing grade, 12th in adjusted completion rate, and sixth in yards per attempt. He has finished as a top-ten fantasy quarterback in three of four games (QB9, QB2, QB4). This week’s matchup will arguably be his toughest of the season. Kansas City has allowed the fourth-lowest yards per attempt, 12th-lowest adjusted completion rate, and the eighth-fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. Cousins will have to put up points in this matchup to keep pace with Kansas City, but he will have to overcome the Chiefs’ pass rush to do so. Kansas City is top-five in pressure rate and blitz rate this season. Cousins has been solid against the blitz, ranking fifth in passer rating and fantasy points per dropback. Week 5 Positional Value: QB1