Every week we’ll bring you The Primer, a deep dive into every fantasy-relevant player from every NFL game of the week. You can find the full weekly Primer here. Below we dive into a few notable players ahead of this weekend’s games.
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Fantasy Football Outlook
Tyler Allgeier: Allgeier has seen at least 15 rushing attempts in three of his five games, and he could make it a fourth time in Week 6. It doesn’t make any sense, but Allgeier has outcarried Robinson in the red zone ten to five. The matchup, volume upside, and touchdown equity in the Falcon’s offense all set up nicely for Allgeier to outpace expectations in Week 6. He is a strong flex play that could walk away with RB2 production. Week 6 Positional Value: Flex with RB2 upside
Tyler Lockett: Lockett has a 20.2% target share, a 36.5% air yard share, and a 22.4% first-read share. Against zone coverage, Lockett’s air-yard share has remained consistent with 37.0%, but his YPRR has dipped from 1.32 to 1.15, his TPRR has dropped from 22% to 20%, and his first-read share has fallen from 22.4% to 19.6%. Lockett leads the team with six red zone targets. He will run about 63% of his routes on the boundary, where the Bengals are strongest as a pass defense. Week 6 Positional Value: WR3
Jakobi Meyers: A Meyers revenge game should be sweet. He is the WR14 in fantasy, ranking 13th in red zone targets. Meyers has drawn a 25.7% target share, a 35.7% air-yard share, and a 30% first-read share while producing 2.12 YPRR. New England rolls out man coverage at the third-highest clip in the NFL (36.9%). Against man, Meyers’ target share has skyrocketed to 35.3% (2.00 YPRR) with a 34.6% first-read share. Week 6 Positional Value: WR2/3
Austin Ekeler: The last time we saw Ekeler was Week 1 when he played 51% of the snaps with 20 touches and 164 total yards. With Joshua Kelley flopping in his absence we could see Ekeler take more of the backfield work from Kelly. Ekeler ranks 13th in explosive run rate and fourth-best in yards after contact per attempt. Dallas has bled out rushing production. They have surrendered the seventh-highest explosive run rate and the fourth-highest yards per carry to zone runs (Ekeler 56.3% zone) while also having the eighth-lowest stuff rate. Week 6 Positional Value: RB1
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