Fantasy Football Outlook: Aaron Jones, Jakobi Meyers, Alexander Mattison, Brock Purdy

Every week we’ll bring you The Primer, a deep dive into every fantasy-relevant player from every NFL game of the week. You can find the full weekly Primer here. Below we dive into a few notable players ahead of this weekend’s games.

Fantasy Football Outlook

Jakobi Meyers: Meyers has seen a 24.5% target share (21st) and a 29.4% air-yard share (32nd). Meyers is the WR14 in fantasy with five red zone targets (12th-most). Every Green Bay corner has been utilized in zone on at least 58% of their coverage snaps. Against zone, Meyers has an 18.1% target share, a 26.0% air yard share (1.86 YPRR), and a 23.9% first-read share. Meyers will run about 77% of his routes against Douglas and Ballentine. Week 5 Positional Value: WR3/4

Aaron Jones: Jones only played 35% of the snaps last week, with six touches and 14 total yards. We also need to remember that the score was 27-3 by halftime, so the blowout nature of that game could have also factored into his playing time. I expect his workload to get ramped up this week. We have seen so little of Jones this season that it’s easy to toss his efficiency metrics in the trash. If healthy, Jones should have a banner day against Las Vegas. The Raiders have given up the 12th-highest explosive run rate, 11th-highest missed tackle rate per attempt, and sixth-highest yards after contact per attempt. Week 5 Positional Value: RB2 with RB1 upside

Brock Purdy: Purdy is the QB13 in fantasy. He is second in yards per attempt, first in passer rating, and fourth in fantasy points per dropback. Since losing Trevon Diggs, Dallas has allowed the tenth-highest yards per attempt, but that’s the only dent in the armor. They have also held passers to the 11th-lowest adjusted completion rate and the eighth-lowest passer rating. Dallas is tied with Baltimore for the most dropbacks defended in man coverage this season. Against man coverage, Purdy ranks eighth in yards per attempt and passer rating while sitting with the ninth-highest fantasy points per dropback. Week 5 Positional Value: Borderline QB1

Alexander Mattison: Mattison is the RB21 in fantasy with three top-20 finishes (RB16, RB10, RB20). His last two games have arguably been his best, averaging 21.5 touches and 111.5 total yards. Last week, he played a season-low 69% of the snaps as Cam Akers got into the mix. We’ll see if his snap share drops again this week, but for now, we should view Mattison as the leader of this backfield. For how long will be determined. Among 58 qualifying backs, Mattison ranks 36th in explosive run rate, 24th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 32nd in yards after contact per attempt. Minnesota should look to establish the run this week against a Chiefs’ run defense that has allowed the ninth-highest explosive run rate, has the tenth-lowest stuff rate, and the 14th-highest yards after contact per attempt. Week 5 Positional Value: RB2