Fantasy Football Forecast: Waiver Wire & Trade Advice for Week 7 (2023)

Fantasy Football Forecast: Waiver Wire & Trade Advice for Week 7 (2023)

Welcome back, everybody! We’ve got NFL Week 6 completed and a lot to recap from ALL the action! Hopefully, you have liked the new version of the 2023 usage report. While slightly altered from previous installments, I think it packs a punch that is exactly what fantasy managers want and NEED as they make transactions heading into the next week.

Again, we live in the year 2023, where bite-size and easy-to-digest content is the way, the masses consume content. My goal with this weekly piece is to provide you with the KEY ACTION items – waiver wire pickups, trade, add, drop, stash, buy, sell, start, sit, etc. – for your fantasy football team based on what happened the previous week. Let me do the work of scouring through the data, so you can just follow my lead. As my college marketing professor always said, “Keep it simple, stupid.” The KISS mantra is at its finest.

As always, I’ll be citing data and what I watched on film from the weekend’s past matchups highlighting what matters most and what’s potentially just noise. I will make a strong effort to feature players who are coming off polarizing performances, as they are sure to be the ones fantasy managers have the most question marks about. Note that If I omit a certain player(s), it’s likely because their role/usage did not change from the week prior. Want to save valuable space for players whose stock is rising/falling, as this is where we can take advantage as savvy fantasy gamers.

And for those tuning into the usage report for the first time; the idea behind the usage report has always been about identifying which players are running routes, seeing high snap shares, and earning high-value targets as these tend to be precursors for future fantasy production. And sometimes they don’t always show up in the normal box score.

So, without further ado…let’s roll out the red carpet for the 2023 Usage Report for Week 6, to prepare for success in Week 7. The Fantasy Football Week 7 Rankings Forecast features Waiver Wire Pickups and Buy Low/Sell High Trade Targets.

Let’s ride. Because the forecast calls for more action in the upcoming Week 7 slate.

For some overarching data points, check out my Twitter/X thread that covers some important nuggets from Week 6’s action…

Snap counts:

Week 7 bye weeks:

  • Carolina Panthers
  • Cincinnati Bengals
  • Dallas Cowboys
  • Houston Texans
  • New York Jets
  • Tennessee Titans

Lookahead Week 9 bye weeks (No Week 8 bye weeks)

  • Denver Broncos
  • Detroit Lions
  • Jacksonville Jaguars
  • San Francisco 49ers

Fantasy Football Forecast

Kansas City Chiefs

Buy Rashee Rice, Isiah Pacheco

Same as last week folks. Buy Rashee Rice, Isiah Pacheco.

Pacheco remains on the league’s under-the-radar bell cows. Another 16 carries for 62 yards with increased receiving usage. 6 for 6 for 36 yards (15% Target share). 63% snap share. Tied Jerick McKinnon in routes run (18) for the second straight week.

He faces DEN again and the Chargers in the next two games. Buy.

Travis Kelce‘s ankle is fine. A perfect 9-for-9 for 124 yards (23% Target share).

2nd in targets was Kadarius Toney for 3 catches and 9 yards (6 targets, 15% Target share) and one TD. He can be confidently ranked ahead of Skyy Moore.

Rashee Rice only saw four targets – but caught all of them four 72 yards with 55 coming after the catch. I’ve been saying it since Week 1. This is the only KC WR you want on your fantasy team. He is showing out and is earning more opportunities. This team needs somebody to step up behind Kelce, and Rice looks like that guy.

49% snap share was his highest since Week 3 (blow-out game). Tied for the second most routes run behind Marquez Valdes-Scantling. Ran a route on 51% of the dropbacks.

Every time he is on the field they are looking to feed him the ball. 31% target rate per route run.

And the Justin Watson injury creates more snaps/routes for Rice to take on. Buy the rookie.

Player Catches Targets Yards TDs Target Share Air Yards Share Routes
Target Rate per Route Run
Travis Kelce 36 46 346 3 25% 28% 144 32%
Rashee Rice 21 28 245 2 13% 10% 89 31%
Kadarius Toney 17 25 92 1 11% 3% 73 34%
Skyy Moore 11 21 145 1 9% 13% 150 14%
Isiah Pacheco 17 19 135 0 9% -3% 98 19%
Jerick McKinnon 12 17 91 2 7% 1.00% 85 20%
Justin Watson 10 17 219 0 8% 25.00% 128 13%
Noah Gray 12 17 147 1 8% 9.00% 143 12%
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 7 12 116 0 5% 13.00% 182 7%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire 6 6 36 0 3% -2.00% 39 15%
Justyn Ross 3 6 34 0 5% 7% 32 19%
Blake Bell 2 3 12 1 8% 4% 28 11%
Richie James 1 3 6 0 4% 7% 21 14%

Denver Broncos

Drop Samaje Perine, Add/Hold Jaleel McLaughlin, Sell Javonte Williams, Buy Jerry Jeudy

It was a gross performance for the Denver Broncos offense on Thursday night. Russell Wilson threw for just 95 yards and 1 TD with two interceptions. He salvaged “enough” fantasy production with a late TD score and 31 rushing yards, but it was ugly nonetheless.

After Jerry Jeudy had been emerging as the No. 1 WR, Courtland reclaimed No. 1 duties commanding 6 targets for 46 yards with a great TD catch. Jeudy – who was ripped by Steve Smith during pre-game festivities – was a major disappointment. 3 catches for 14 yards on 5 targets (22%). Obviously, when the QB throws for just 95 yards all WRs are going to disappoint.

Nobody else saw more than 2 targets. Marvin Mims was not targeted on any of his seven routes run (23% snap share). Seriously Sean Payton. I want to hold Mims. But if you have to make a move, hard to justify holding a guy who barely plays.

Again, this WR room is going to get shaken up before the trade deadline. I’d buy Jeudy for next to nothing with the hopes he gets traded.

As for the backfield, it was more of a two-way committee than a true three-way committee as the box score might suggest. Samaje Perine only played 9 snaps (17%) with his two receptions coming during the 2-minute drill. He also lost a fumble that sealed victory for KC on his second catch. Perine can be dropped as he is just a situational 2-minute drill RB akin to guys like Michael Carter.

He can also be dropped because UDFA Jaleel McLaughlin is a fully entrenched part of this offense. After playing well in his spot start last week, he got the nod again in Week 6 even with Javonte Williams back after a 1-week hiatus. He played 40% of the snaps to Javonte Williams‘ 35% snap share. McLaughlin also had the superior receiving role seizing two targets and 11 routes to Williams’ zero targets and 5 routes. Williams ended the game with more carries and yards – 10 for 52 yards – while McLaughlin ended with 7 for 30.

McLaughlin has been a constant in the receiving game for three straight weeks, with at two catches in every contest.

It’s a total split backfield with Perine’s small snap share further limiting the upside of the other two guys. I’d hold onto McLaughlin as a high-end handcuff that has standalone value during bye weeks. Williams will likely see his role increase as the season progresses, but not to the point where he is seeing fantasy RB1 usage. Both guys will be on the RB2/3 radar next week in a plus matchup versus Green Bay before a rematch with KC and then the bye week.

Carolina Panthers

Sell Adam Thielen, Hold Chuba Hubbard, Drop Jonathan Mingo, Hayden Hurst, D.J. Chark

Chuba Hubbard led the charge in the backfield (77% snap share) with 19 carries for 88 yards and a touchdown. Hubbard showcased his rushing skills, averaging 4.6 yards per carry. However, just one catch on one target despite dominating the backfield route share. Raheem Blackshear (17% snap share) and Laviska Shenault also contributed, adding 18 yards on 5 carries to the total rushing output.

Trust Hubbard as the Panthers RB1, but acknowledge that Miles Sanders will likely be back after the bye week.

Quarterback Bryce Young‘s primary target was Adam Thielen, who was targeted an impressive 13 times. Thielen hauled in 11 receptions for 115 yards and found the end zone once, confirming his role as the Panthers’ top receiver (37% Target share).

He is the WR3 in PPR (pending MNF). I’d cash out now.

The passing game also featured D.J. Chark, who had 6 targets and caught 3 passes for 26 yards. Chark actually ran fewer routes than normal (67% snap share) as he split more time with Terrace Marshall Jr.(32% snap share).

Tommy Tremble made the most of his two targets, securing both for 25 yards. Jonathan Mingo and Hayden Hurst also contributed, displaying Young’s ability to spread the ball to various receivers.

However, Tremble and Hurst split routes and snaps 55/45. Drop Hurst. And don’t entertain the idea he can be a weekly streamer.

Mingo ran a route on all but two dropbacks but was a colossal bust. Super frustrating that the rookie can’t convert his high-end usage into production. 2 catches for 21 yards on 3 targets. Two targets in the second quarter and then nothing else till the game was already out of reach.

Bye Week, Houston, Indy and Chicago. Schedule easing up.

Miami Dolphins

Buy Jaylen Waddle, Sell Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert exhibited his explosiveness with 17 carries for 115 yards, averaging an impressive 6.8 yards per carry, and reaching the end zone twice. Caught all 3 targets with another receiving TD while playing 61% of the snaps.

In addition to Mostert’s contribution, Chris Brooks added 28 yards on 6 carries, while Salvon Ahmed provided 23 yards on 6 carries (36% snap share), including a rushing touchdown. Ahmed and Mostert split their routes 50/50.

Brooks came in during garbage time.

Still want to sell high on Mostert. He has 11 TDs this season. But he’s 31 years old and has a long injury track record. Also, both Jeff Wilson Jr. and De’Von Achane will be returning to the lineup in the coming weeks. Considering how excellent Mostert has been, you can get whatever you want for him. Sell high.

Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa was the maestro of the passing game, completing 21 of 31 pass attempts for 262 yards. He displayed precision with three touchdown passes and zero interceptions, boasting a quarterback rating of 126.0. Tagovailoa’s primary target was Tyreek Hill, who was targeted 10 times (33%). Hill secured 6 receptions for an impressive 163 yards, including a 47-yard touchdown catch, demonstrating his big-play ability.

Jaylen Waddle also made a significant impact, with 7 receptions for 51 yards, and a touchdown reception (9 targets, 30% Target share). Two more red-zone targets as the team is clearly trying to get him usage when they close in on scoring.

Buy low on Waddle. The eruption game is coming. 9-plus targets in back-to-back weeks.

The Eagles on SNF (oh baby), the Patriots and Chiefs are up next.

New Orleans Saints

Sell Chris Olave, Alvin Kamara, Add Rashid Shaheed

Star running back Alvin Kamara led the ground attack with 19 carries for 68 yards while playing 80% of the snaps. While Kamara didn’t find the end zone in this matchup, his versatility was evident as he contributed in both the rushing and passing game. Kendre Miller only earned 2 carries. AK41 was a straight bell cow.

While his usage remains great – league-high 25 touches per game – I am concerned about this being sustainable in the long term with Jamaal Williams‘ potential return. Also, don’t love the upcoming schedule or this Saints offense in general.

Derek Carr‘s primary target was Chris Olave, who was targeted 10 times and secured 7 receptions for 96 yards, averaging 13.7 yards per catch. However just a 22% Target share with 157 air yards.

Through 6 games, Olave has a 25% Target share. It’s just rinse and repeat about how many times Carr misses Olave deep on his throws. Therefore, Olave remains a sell for me. He has 4 red-zone targets through 6 games. 1 TD.

Rashid Shaheed made a significant impact with limited targets (6), securing 2 receptions for an impressive 85 yards, including a 51-yard touchdown reception. Taysom Hill also played an important role with 7 receptions for 49 yards (8 targets). Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara provided additional support in the receiving game, demonstrating their versatility as both received 8 targets.

Note that Carr threw 50 times, so all the target numbers are extremely inflated. But Hill’s targets ARE NOT. 7 targets in the first half. Apparently, he is going to have a role as a receiver now. He ran 34 routes (63%). Go figure. At least as Juwan Johnson remains sidelined.

The Jaguars (TNF), Colts and Bears are upcoming. The Jags’ matchup looks like a potential spot for Rashid Shaheed as WR fill in. He played a season-high in snaps in Week 6.

Houston Texans

Buy Dameon Pierce, Nico Collins, Add Devin Singletary, Hold Tank Dell

Devin Singletary took the lead, carrying the ball 12 times for 58 yards, averaging 4.8 yards per carry. Led the backfield with a 54% snap share. Ran a route on 56% of the dropbacks which boosted his total snap numbers.

Dameon Pierce contributed 13 carries for 34 yards. It was bizarre to see Singletary play so much after not tallying any carries last week. Led the team in carries in the first half (9 vs. 8). Pierce was held to just a 33% snap share. Woof.

Pierce also had the chance for a massive run blown dead by the whistle. Also, his poor ypc is somewhat contributed to getting stuffed at the goal line thrice. With Carolina coming after the bye week and the Texans offense line getting healthy, I’d be looking at Pierce as a sharp buy low target. He still started.

He is still a zero in the passing game, but he should have more productive games with Houston playing more competitively.

In the passing game, the Texans’ target distribution was well-balanced, with wide receiver Nico Collins leading the way. Collins was targeted 6 times (25% Target share), securing 4 receptions for 80 yards, averaging an impressive 20 yards per catch. Tight end Dalton Schultz played a significant role, with 7 targets leading to 4 receptions for 61 yards and a touchdown (Team-high 29% Target share).

Noah Brown and Robert Woods also contributed with receptions, with Woods hauling in a touchdown pass. With no Tank Dell, it was Brown who played a full-time role, not John Metchie III.

Bye week, Carolina, Tampa Bay and Cincy over next month.

Cleveland Browns

Sell Jerome Ford, Buy Amari Cooper, Elijah Moore, Add David Njoku, Kareem Hunt

In the rushing department, Jerome Ford led the charge with 17 carries for 84 yards, averaging 4.9 yards per carry. Ford also caught both of his targets for 7 yards. Played 50% of the snaps while splitting routes with Kareem Hunt 50/50.

Hunt also contributed significantly with 12 carries for 47 yards and a touchdown, showcasing his versatility. Hunt also started the game and earned 3 carries inside the red zone to Ford’s zero.

The backfield is turning into a more 50/50 spit than Ford being the dominant force despite his strong box score. Head coach Kevin Stefanski talked about how they wanted to get Hunt ‘going’ post-game as he gets back into football shape.

In the passing game, Amari Cooper emerged as the primary target, being targeted 8 times (24%), securing 4 receptions for 108 yards, averaging a remarkable 27 yards per catch. Cooper’s highlight-reel ability was a highlight of the Browns’ passing attack. He also continues to dominate the team’s air yards (42%).

Kareem Hunt (3-24, 3 targets) David Njoku (3-24, 4 targets) and Elijah Moore each had multiple receptions, contributing to the overall passing yardage.

Moore saw 7 targets (21%) but was not very effective with just 4 catches for 19 yards. Still, very clear emphasis on trying to get him the ball. He also had 3 carries. Cheap on DraftKings this week at $4,200. Cooper is $6,100.

The Colts, Seattle and Arizona are up next. Buy low on ALL the Browns WRs with the team hopeful that Deshaun Watson can make his return. And P.J. Walker showed that he can least support fantasy viable options if Watson isn’t ready for Week 8.

They finally can play in a non-weather influenced game with a road dome game in Week 7.

Njoku might also be worth adding as a TE streamer. He ran a route on 87% of the dropbacks in Week 6. Four straight games with at least 3 catches. Solid matchup versus the Colts in Week 7. Also cheap in DFS at $3,400 on DraftKings.

San Francisco 49ers

Add Elijah Mitchell/Jordan Mason, Buy Brandon Aiyuk, George Kittle

Give credit to the Cleveland Browns. But basically, everything went wrong for SF. Deebo Samuel left early with an injury. A lot of penalties (for both teams actually). Missed field goals on the SF side including the go-ahead kick that could have sealed victory for SF.

Christian McCaffrey rushed 11 times for 43 yards but also left with an oblique injury. Jordan Mason was the 1st RB in after CMC left even though Elijah Mitchell was also active.

I don’t want to overreact to this. Teams are often loyal to their depth chart, and all indications are that Mitchell – when healthy -is the handcuff to CMC. So, if Mitchell is on waivers, he is the add. Mason should still be added in formats that are deeper or where he is also available. He got the usage in the red zone which is part of the allure to playing a SF 49ers RB.

Brandon Aiyuk dominated the targets (10, 42% Target share) but Brock Purdy kept missing him deep. Still went 4 for 76 despite 158 air yards (62%).

He owns a top-10 Target share (30%) and a league-leading 54% air-yard share this season. Only Cooper Kupp ranks higher in total weighted opportunity than Aiyuk this season.

Jauan Jennings saw the most work with Samuel sidelined (2 for 26 on 4 targets), while Ray-Ray McCloud took on the majority of Samuel’s snaps and WR carries.

George Kittle – 1 catch – was nowhere to be found. Told you to sell high last week on the boom-or-bust Kittle. Now would be the time to buy low if Samuel is going to miss any time.

The Vikings (MNF), Bengals, and Jaguars will be the next 3 games for SF.

Seattle Seahawks

Add Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Sell Tyler Lockett, Buy DK Metcalf.

Kenneth Walker led the way with 19 carries for 62 yards and a touchdown. Walker’s consistent carries and ability to move the ball on the ground were vital for the Seahawks. Walker is cashing in on last year’s positive TD regression with 7 more red-zone carries and another score.

Geno Smith contributed with four carries for 20 yards, adding some variety to the rushing attack. Zach Charbonnet totaled just two carries and two targets.

At the quarterback position, Geno Smith completed 27 of 41 pass attempts for 323 yards. Smith faced substantial pressure from the opposing defense, resulting in two interceptions and a quarterback rating of 69.5.

In the receiving game, Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf were the primary targets. Lockett was targeted 8 times, securing 6 receptions for 94 yards, while Metcalf received 10 targets (27% Target share), making 4 receptions for 69 yards. Their involvement remained crucial in the Seahawks’ aerial assault. Additionally, Jaxon Smith-Njigba (5 targets, 14% Target share, 2 red-zone targets) Jake Bobo (2 targets) and Kenneth Walker (3 targets) all contributed with multiple receptions, helping to spread the ball around.

The big takeaway here is that we DID see a usage bump come from Smith-Njigba ($3,900 on DraftKings). Tied Lockett and Metcalf for the team lead in routes run (81%). Was a season-high snap share (72%). Posted a season-high in receiving yards (48) with two red-zone targets. Make sure he is not available on waivers.

At the same time, it’s prime time to sell high on Tyler Lockett. Strong yardage output in Week 6 was boosted by two catches of 30-plus yards. He had zero catches of 20-plus yard air targets entering the game (0-for-7).

I’d also be buying Metcalf aggressively ($6,800 on DraftKings). 143 air yards and 10 targets should be more than 4 for 69. Was targeted thrice in the red zone, but no TDs.

The Cardinals, Browns, and Ravens are next.

Cincinnati Bengals

Buy Tee Higgins, Hold Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon led the charge with 12 carries, gaining 38 yards. 4 targets and 3 catches. Didn’t score so he was bad for fantasy football managers. But nobody else is any good in this backfield so his job is secure. You just got to hold and wait for the massive TD regression game. He has 18 red zone carries but just one TD. In Week 6, he failed to convert either of his red zone touches into TDs.

Just stay tight till the Bills in Week 9.

The Bengals’ receiving corps was highlighted by Ja’Marr Chase, who received 13 targets and caught 6 passes for 80 yards. Chase’s contributions were significant in moving the ball downfield. Additionally, Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd, and Joe Mixon were also essential receiving options, collectively contributing to the Bengals’ passing attack. Boyd scored while catching all 7 targets for 38 yards. Higgins was a major bust – again – with 2 for 20 on 4 targets. He has had one good game this season…

Worth noting that he did not play a full-time role – 56% route participation – as he continues to deal with the rib injury. But with a bye week, I think he will be healthier making him a screaming BUY LOW. Again, I say this because his production is going to regress positively. Higgins has always been a fantasy WR2 throughout his entire three-year career. Currently, he is WR64. But it’s justified based on the injury and slow start for the offense.

He won’t finish that poorly over the rest of the season. The definition of a buy-low WR, with the most fantasy points scored UNDER expectation. Higgins is WR21 in expected points per game. WR58 in actual points per game.

Bye week, then 49ers/Bills.

Minnesota Vikings

Sell Alexander Mattison, Hold Cam Akers

Alexander Mattison had 18 carries but was limited to 44 yards, averaging just 2.4 yards per carry. Despite not finding the end zone, Mattison’s volume of carries allowed the Vikings to maintain possession and control the clock. Mattison dominated the backfield with a 79% snap share.

Additionally, Mattison was involved in the passing game, catching 4 passes for 28 yards on a whopping 7 targets. Owned all the routes. 23% Target share.

Cam Akers had just one carry and one target. Lowest snap share since joining the Vikings. Still, I would hold him.

Still, Mattison’s inefficient play as a rusher has me concerned about his longevity with his job. The 49ers are up next as well. Woof. The second-most fantasy points scored under expectation this season.

I also do not think Mattison’s boost as a receiver is a role change. Credit the to Vikings for exposing the Bears’ weakness against the RBs in the passing game coming in with their game plan.

And don’t just take my word for it. Just check the post-game press conference comments from Vikings fans who follow the team closer than I do. They want Mattison straight-up benched.

Kirk Cousins led the Vikings’ passing attack with 21 completions on 31 attempts for 181 yards.

Tight end T.J. Hockenson and wide receiver K.J. Osborn emerged as primary targets in the passing game. Hockenson received 8 targets and caught 6 passes for 50 yards, while Osborn was targeted 5 times and secured 4 receptions for 48 yards. These two receiving options played vital roles in moving the chains for the Vikings.

Jordan Addison only earned 5 targets – but scored on one of his 3 catches for 28 yards. Both he and Osborn ran a route on 100% of the dropbacks. Addison led the team in air yards.

The 49ers, Packers and Falcons are up next.

Chicago Bears

Sell Roschon Johnson, Add Tyler Scott, Buy D.J. Moore

Running back D’Onta Foreman led the ground attack with 15 carries, gaining 65 yards at an average of 4.3 yards per carry. While he didn’t find the end zone, Foreman was solid as the RB1 without Khalil Herbert or Roschon Johnson. 1 target for 2 yards (61% snap share while running a route on 38% of dropbacks).

Newly acquired running back Darrynton Evans (36% snap share) contributed with 9 carries for 32 yards, while backup quarterback Tyson Bagent managed 2 carries, one of which resulted in a rushing touchdown. Evans got the first carry in the Bears backfield, but Foreman started.

This likely forecasts a dreaded committee when Roshon Johnson returns to the lineup after he comes back from the concussion. Sell high for those looking at RJ to be an all-purpose bell cow.

Quarterback Justin Fields showcased his dual-threat abilities, recording 8 rushing attempts for 46 yards, averaging an impressive 5.8 yards per carry. However, he left with a thumb injury. Potential to miss some time with already listed as doubtful for Week 7.

In the passing game, the Bears had a balanced spread of targets and receptions. Receiver D.J. Moore emerged as the primary target, receiving 8 targets (33% Target share) and catching 5 passes for 51 yards. Long of 24 yards.

Darnell Mooney recorded 3 receptions for 48 yards, including a long reception of 39 yards. The duo of Mooney and Moore provided valuable yardage for the Bears’ offense. However, Mooney looks more like fool’s gold with just a 13% Target share. Just 3 targets.

Rookie Tyler Scott actually saw more targets than Mooney (4) while playing a season-high 59% snap share. Ran a route 63% of the dropbacks. All of his targets came from Bagent (28% Target share). 6 went to Moore (43% Target share). In fact all of Moore’s production aside from one catch for 7 yards came from Bagent.

The Raiders, Chargers and Saints over the next three games.

Scott might be a sneaky add in some really deep formats.

As for Moore, I called for him to be a “sell-high” last week. After a down week and question marks at QB now, he becomes an interesting buy-low candidate. Has great matchups coming up still and remains the unquestioned alpha in the passing game. $6.5K on DK in Week 7.

Atlanta Falcons

Add Jonnu Smith, Sell Drake London, Buy Bijan Robinson

Running backs Tyler Allgeier and Bijan Robinson split the ground game duties in Week 6, with each receiving 13 carries. While the rushing attack didn’t find the end zone, the pair combined for 88 yards, demonstrating their ability to move the chains.

Robinson was a reliable receiver out of the backfield, catching 5 passes for 43 yards, contributing to the passing game’s success (8 targets, 18% Target share). Been preaching this for a while but BUY LOW on Robinson.

77% snap share was his second-highest mark of the year. He led the team in routes run. Also saw 2 red zone carries to Allgeier’s four.

Quarterback Desmond Ridder orchestrated the Falcons’ offense, completing 28 of 47 pass attempts for 307 yards. Ridder’s performance featured two touchdowns but was marred by three interceptions. They had SO many chances to get back down 8, but Ridder couldn’t get it done at home. His first loss at home. YHTSI.

In the receiving game, Drake London emerged as the primary target, receiving 12 targets (27%) and catching 9 passes for an impressive 125 yards, showcasing his ability to create separation and make big plays. After a Week 1 dud, London has been a target hog with a team-high 23% Target share.

Still, I can’t help but view him as a sell-high. Desmond Ridder notoriously plays worse on the road than at home, and that has trickled into London’s splits. On the road this year, he has not exceeded 32 yards or 3 catches.

Kyle Pitts continued to be a dynamic force, catching 4 passes for 43 yards and finding the end zone with a touchdown reception (6 targets).

Jonnu Smith contributed 4 receptions for 36 yards, including a touchdown catch. Guy has been very steady as fantasy producer among TEs. Rare to find a team with two fantasy viable TEs.

But the Falcons are deploying them in fashion instead of using more WRs. They are running enough routes to be productive. Specifically, Smith who is the TE7 since Week 2 with 25 catches for 282 yards.

Smith is the cheaper of the 2 tight ends on DraftKings in Week 7 at $3,600 despite averaging more points per game this season.

Stay in the ATL tight end flames in a good matchup in Week 7.

At the Buccaneers, at the Titans and home versus Minnesota are up next.

Washington Commanders

Sell Terry McLaurin, Add Curtis Samuel/Logan Thomas, Buy Brian Robinson

Running back Brian Robinson led the rushing attack with 10 carries for 31 yards. Chris Rodriguez chipped in 23 yards on 4 carries.

Robinson also played a dual role, contributing as a running back and receiver. He caught both of his targets for 25 yards, including a touchdown reception. He led the team in routes run so I’d buy low ahead of a solid matchup versus the Giants.

Quarterback Sam Howell put on a strong efficient display, completing 14 of 23 pass attempts for 151 yards with 3 TDs.

In the receiving game, Terry McLaurin was the primary target, receiving 11 targets and catching 6 passes for 81 yards, showcasing his ability to move the chains and create explosive plays. The gameplan was built around targeting TMC at all costs with him posting a 52% Target share. Considering this has not been nearly what the Commanders have done at any point this season, I’d sell high.

Curtis Samuel made an impact, catching all 4 of his targets (19% Target share) for 42 yards and a touchdown. Samuel’s versatility as a receiver and runner adds a dynamic element to the Commanders’ offensive playbook. Add him off waivers. At least 3-plus catches in all but one game this season, with 4-plus catches in his last three games.

Tight end Logan Thomas made little contribution with one reception for 2 yards, and Antonio Gibson, who had limited involvement, caught a single pass for 1 yard but managed to find the end zone with a touchdown reception after Robinson came up 1-yard short on a goal-line plunge the play beforehand.

LT was a big disappointment, but Howell only threw the ball 23 times (season-low). If somebody tilt-drops Thomas after a dud, scoop him up as a streaming tight end.

Although Jahan Dotson and Dyami Brown were targeted, they didn’t record any receptions in this game.

The Giants, Eagles and Patriots over the next three weeks.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Sell Calvin Ridley, Christian Kirk

The Jaguars’ ground game featured Travis Etienne as the primary ball carrier, as he recorded 18 carries for 55 yards and found the end zone twice, displaying his ability to break through the defense. Baller.

Etienne contributed as a dual threat, catching 3 passes for 28 yards.

In the passing game, Christian Kirk emerged as a reliable target for Lawrence. Kirk had 6 targets (21%), securing 3 receptions for 49 yards, including a touchdown catch.

Since Week 2, Kirk leads the Jaguars with a dominant 25% Target share with 75 receiving yards per game.

Evan Engram led the team in receptions, catching all 7 of his targets (25% Target share) for 41 yards, providing a consistent outlet for Lawrence.

Calvin Ridley was heavily involved with 8 targets and 4 receptions for 30 yards (29% Target share, 100 air yards). But again, he underwhelmed in the final box score.

As we get farther and farther away from Ridley’s Week 1 boom, reality is starting to set in. Since Week 2, his 18% Target share ranks third on the team. Ranks 50th among all WRs.

Every week it’s so hard to project the Jaguars WRs because they are all so matchup-based. I still think selling high on Kirk is a sharp move, as is selling on Ridley. It’s not like this offense is absolutely lighting up the box scores, and it’s so crowded that makes it tough to trust one guy not named Kirk. And even his production might be boosted since the Zay Jones injury.

All in all, if you can cash out for a strong return, I think you’re avoiding potential headaches down the road. But in full transparency, if you can’t get any worthwhile returns, they remain holds.

Backup TE Brenton Strange caught 2 passes for 27 yards, including a 17-yard touchdown reception, making the most of his opportunities.

The Saints (Thursday night), Steelers and a bye week round out the Jags’ next three weeks.

Jacksonville’s offense might be without Trevor Lawrence who suffered a knee injury. The team has listed him as day-to-day. Not great for a quick turnaround. Their offense also continues to be very up and down.

They benefited from a red zone turnover to score their second TD versus the Colts. Although Gardner Minshew was extremely ‘loose’ with the ball. Several of his passes should have been intercepted aside from the ones that actually WERE intercepted.

Jacksonville was also up 31-7, but let the Colts creep back into the game. Their defense and run game closed things out.

Indianapolis Colts

Buy Michael Pittman Jr., Josh Downs, Sell Jonathan Taylor

Zack Moss and Jonathan Taylor shared rushing duties. Moss led the way with 7 carries for 21 yards, finding the end zone with a touchdown run. Taylor recorded 8 carries but was held to 19 yards.

Taylor was involved in the passing game as well, catching 5 passes for 46 yards. His ability to contribute as a receiver adds versatility to the Colts’ offense (6 targets).

Moss was another key contributor, catching 6 passes for 38 yards, helping move the chains and providing an additional dimension to the offense (7 targets).

Moss also ran more routes than JT. Snaps are ticking up for JT, but I don’t think we are going to see Moss disappear from the offense anytime soon.

Was on the sell JT train last week, and I am sticking to my guns with two tough matchups coming up.

Quarterback Gardner Minshew managed the Colts’ offense, completing 33 of 55 passes for 329 yards. Minshew threw one touchdown pass but struggled with three interceptions during the game.

In the receiving department, Michael Pittman was a primary target, amassing 14 targets and securing 9 receptions for 109 yards (27% targets share). He showcased his ability to make crucial plays downfield. And his production remains high when Minshew is under center. Buy.

Kylen Granson had a strong game, catching 3 passes for 67 yards, including an impressive 45-yard reception (4 targets). However, he only ran a route on 57% of dropbacks. Avoid him on waivers.

The Colts utilized several other receiving options. Alec Pierce had 3 receptions for 25 yards, Isaiah McKenzie contributed 2 receptions for 23 yards, and Josh Downs caught 5 passes for 21 yards, including a touchdown reception on one of his 8 targets (15% Target share, 3 red-zone targets).

Downs is a good player. Extremely polished route runner coming out of college, and it is on full display at the NFL level.

The Browns, Saints, and Panthers over the next 3 for Indy. The Browns DST is set up really nice in Week 7.

Baltimore Ravens

Add Justice Hill

Lamar Jackson, the Ravens’ dynamic quarterback, was once again a significant contributor, gaining 62 yards on 13 carries.

Gus Edwards provided tough running, accumulating 41 yards on 16 carries while dominating the snaps at 62%.

Justice Hill contributed 35 yards on 8 carries, showing his ability to pick up key yards when called upon. Hill also caught 3 passes on 3 targets.

It’s clear that this will be a 1A-1B committee moving forward with Edwards working as the early down grinder and Hill chipping in some base work in addition to receptions. Edwards also saw four red-zone carries but did not score. He tends to be the preferred option in the red zone, but they can sprinkle in Hill at times.

Both guys can be started in a pinch with the bye weeks. But it’s a horrible matchup in Week 7 versus Detroit.

Mark Andrews was Jackson’s primary target, recording 69 yards on 4 receptions. He showcased his big-play potential with an average of 17.3 yards per catch.

Zay Flowers was a reliable receiver, catching 6 passes for 50 yards and scoring a touchdown. Team-high 8 targets (28%). The dude is a stud and is RUNNING LAPS around the other Ravens WRs.

Nelson Agholor had 2 receptions for 40 yards, averaging an impressive 20 yards per catch, demonstrating his big-play capability. Odell Beckham Jr., contributed with 2 receptions for 34 yards. Agholor played ahead of both OBJ and Rashod Bateman.

The Lions, Cardinals and Seattle over the next three games.

Tennessee Titans

Hold Tyjae Spears, Sell Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry was the standout player in the rushing attack, amassing 97 yards on just 12 carries, averaging an impressive 8.1 yards per attempt with a massive 63-yard run on a direct snap. He also found the end zone. Henry also chipped in with 2 receptions, gaining 16 yards.

Tyjae Spears, with 15 yards on 4 carries, added depth to the rushing game. He also caught one pass for 48 yards.

And yet again, he out-snapped Henry (56% vs 53%). His role is not going away, and he needs to be held on through the bye weeks. Elite upside if Henry were to suffer an injury/get traded.

Ryan Tannehill, the Titans’ quarterback, struggled in Week 6. He completed 8 of 16 passes for 76 yards but was intercepted once. Left with an injury. Seen on crutches after the game. Woof.

Malik Willis, who stepped in for Tannehill, completed 4 of 5 passes for 74 yards. 15 rushing yards. Should be added in Super Flex formats with the rushing part of his game. But be mindful that the team is on a bye week.

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine contributed with 3 receptions for 25 yards. DeAndre Hopkins recorded only one reception for 20 yards despite a 25% Target share. Marlon Humphrey is BACK.

Chigoziem Okonkwo had 2 receptions for 18 yards (4 targets). Not the tight end streamer you are looking for.

Bye week, then Falcons, Steelers. They play better at home, but I’d be looking to get out of most Titans. Hopkins will likely have to be held coming off a dud game entering a bye week.

New England Patriots

Buy Rhamondre Stevenson, Add Kendrick Bourne/Ezekiel Elliott

Rhamondre Stevenson had a solid game on the ground, recording 46 yards on 10 carries, including a touchdown. His power and ability to find running lanes were evident. Stevenson was productive in the passing game, with 5 receptions for 24 yards (6 targets, 19% Target share). The receiving usage was a great return to form, as Mondre ran a route on 63% of dropbacks.

He did leave the game briefly after being checked for an injury but returned. Played 65% of the snaps. Buy. The Bills cannot stop the run. Stevenson is $5.6K on DK in Week 7.

Ezekiel Elliott, totaled 34 yards on 7 carries and found the end zone with a touchdown run. Caught one pass for 15 yards. Looked decent and might be able to fill in on bye weeks with a great matchup versus the Bills on deck. Giants showed us Sunday night that almost any team can run on Buffalo.

Kendrick Bourne had a standout game, leading in both targets and receptions. He was targeted 11 times (35% Target share) making 10 receptions for 89 yards. The only WR the Patriots have that’s any good. Played 93% of the snaps and ran a route on all but 3 dropbacks.

Mike Gesicki had 3 receptions for 28 yards (3 targets) providing a valuable target for Mac Jones. Hunter Henry got banged up so monitor his status. Gesicki ran more routes than Henry as a result.

DeVante Parker dropped a DIME thrown by Jones in the fourth quarter. One catch, 7 yards. Reminder, they signed Parker to an EXTENSION this offseason. Woof.

The Bills, Dolphins and Washington on deck…

Las Vegas Raiders

Sell Josh Jacobs, Buy Davante Adams, Add Michael Mayer

Josh Jacobs carried the load on the ground with 25 rushing attempts, gaining 77 yards. While he didn’t find the end zone, his hard-nosed running style kept the offense moving. Alas, 7 red zone carries resulted in zero TDs. Jacobs ranks 5th in red zone carries but has just two RZ TDs (two TDs altogether).

Even if Jacobs struggles versus an underrated Bears run defense he should be able to be effective as a receiver.

However, from a bigger picture, I think Jacobs is a sharp sell-high.

As alluded to, the Bears have an underrated run defense. The Lions have an elite run defense. Those are the next two matchups for Jacobs, who has been supremely underwhelming this season. Dead last in fantasy points scored above expectation. 2.9 yards per carry on the year.

Jimmy Garoppolo had an efficient performance, completing 14 of 22 passes for 162 yards. He threw one touchdown pass but also had an interception before leaving at the end of the first half with a back injury.

Brian Hoyer filled in relief, completing 6 of 10 passes for 102 yards. Jimmy G is questionable for Sunday.

Rookie tight end Michael Mayer was a significant target in the passing game, making 5 receptions for 75 yards. 6 targets (19% Target share, 2 red-zone targets) and it was the second week in a row the offense was looking to get him involved from the get-go.

And what’s different from last week is that his usage also changed. Season-high in snap share (81%). Ran a route on 66% of the dropbacks. On the streaming radar for Week 7. Very cheap in DFS as a punt tight end at $2,700.

Jakobi Meyers contributed 5 receptions for 61 yards, including a touchdown reception. Led team with 7 targets (23% Target share).

Tre Tucker was the big-play threat, catching 2 passes for 57 yards, with a long reception of 48 yards. He is the WR3 in this offense, ahead of Hunter Renfrow.

Davante Adams was quiet again after Jimmy Garoppolo threw him a slant that he bobbled resulted in an interception. Hoyer also missed him in the end zone. He’s dealing with a shoulder injury, so it’s possible he is just not at 100%. But he is still not missing any snaps/routes so I’d chalk it up to just being a blip on the radar.

He still leads the NFL in red-zone targets.

The Bears, Lions, and Giants are great matchups for him to bounce back against.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Hold Rachaad White, Add Cade Otton

Rachaad White had the most rushing attempts with 7 carries, gaining 26 yards but couldn’t find the end zone. White salvaged some production with 3 catches for 12 yards (4 targets).

Ke’Shawn Vaughn rushed 6 times but struggled to gain significant yardage, accumulating just 9 yards.

Nobody can run on the Lions.

And this run-blocking unit for Tampa is horrible. White is fine because he plays a ton, but he’s nothing more than volume-based RB2. If you want to sell, I’d wait until he faces the Bills in Week 8.

Chris Godwin led the team in receiving, with 6 receptions for 77 yards (7 targets, 19% Target share)

Mike Evans (10 targets, 27%, 127 air yards) and Trey Palmer (7 targets) also contributed with receptions, although they couldn’t find the end zone or haul in any worthwhile production. Palmer led the team with 154 air yards (35%) and played a 66% snap share. He actually led the team in targets in the first half (4). The total air yards smelled a bit like garbage time.

The Falcons, Bills and Texans over the next three games for the Buccaneers.

Great spot for Godwin and potentially Cade Otton. He plays all the snaps for the Buccaneers and Atlanta is a plus-matchup for tight ends. $2,900 on DraftKings in Week 7.

Detroit Lions

Add Craig Reynolds, Hold Jameson Williams

Craig Reynolds led the ground game with 10 rushing attempts, though he faced difficulty gaining yardage, accumulating just 15 yards with a long run of 8 yards.

David Montgomery contributed 14 yards on 6 rushing attempts but left with an injury. He is expected to miss Week 7 versus the Ravens.

Devine Ozigbo also had a few rushing attempts, but the Lions had a challenging time establishing a dominant ground attack. If Montgomery has to miss time, it will likely be Reynolds operating as the lead back unless Jahmyr Gibbs returns from his own injury. Gibbs is trending in the right direction according to head coach Dan Campbell.

Reynolds played 61% of the snaps in Week 7, while running the majority of routes in a three-down role.

Amon-Ra St. Brown was the primary target, with 12 receptions for 124 yards and a touchdown (15 targets, 37% Target share). Jameson Williams provided a deep threat, recording 2 receptions for 53 yards, including a 45-yard touchdown (3 targets). The routes are not there for Williams (yet) as the team eases him back from suspension. But the big-play upside they can only bench for so long. Keep him stashed until he sees his route participation grow.

Sam LaPorta stayed involved with 11 targets (27%) but only caught 4 for 36 yards. If you can buy low…do so. Over 100 air yards in Week 6.

The Ravens, Raiders, Bye Week and Chargers coming up for the Lions.

Arizona Cardinals

Add Keontay Ingram, Hold Emeri Demercado, Buy Marquise Brown, Drop Zach Ertz

Keontay Ingram drew the start rushing ten times for 40 yards. Drew two targets, while playing 37% of the snaps.

Emeri Demercado totaled 3 touches. Woof. Damien Williams was the RB2 as he saw more carries (8) and also caught one pass.

Now the snap counts suggest Demercado should have been involved more, and he probably should have been. He dominated the snaps with the Cardinals down big, but he was just not targeted. His role just didn’t change without James Conner as the receiving third-down back. So as much as you’d like to drop him, he should still have chances to catch balls out of the backfield. Ingram will remain the primary rusher and red zone back (two red-zone carries in Week 6).

The entire Cardinals passing game was ineffective. Still, Marquise Brown led with 11 targets and finished with 4 catches for 34 yards. Michael Wilson led the team with 62 receiving yards on 3 catches (4 targets).

Mostly garbage time though. As were Brown’s 11 targets (29% Target share, 183 air yards). Although Josh Dobbs missed Brown early that could have easily been a TD to go along with 3 red-zone targets. He will bounce back.

On the year, Hollywood Brown ranks 14th in the NFL with a 29% Target share and 5th in air yards share (45%). Very cheap on DraftKings this week at $5,300.

Zach Ertz‘s usage continues to spiral in a downward trajectory. Out-snapped by Trey McBride in Week 6. Drop him.

The Seattle Seahawks, Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns over the next 3 games.

Los Angeles Rams

Buy Puka Nacua, Add Zach Evans

Cooper Kupp remained WR1 with 7 catches for 148 yards and 1 TD (9 targets, 43% Target share). Targets remained concentrated between Kupp and Puka Nacua (7 targets, 33% Target share). Although Nacua had his worst game to date. 4 for 26. Dropped a TD. Buy Low.

He and Kupp ran a route on 100% of the dropbacks.

Nobody else is involved in this passing attack outside these top two guys. Kyren Williams was a monster on the ground. 20 for 158 and 1 TD. Ronnie Rivers got banged up, so Zach Evans got some run late. Rivers is expected to miss time, making Evans the next handcuff to Kyren (who is also expected to miss Sunday’s game with a sprained ankle).

I liked Evans a lot coming out as a rookie in this class. Here’s what I wrote about him before the draft.

“Evans spent his first two college seasons at TCU, seeing seldom usage alongside fellow 2023 draft prospect and future Saints RB Kendre Miller. Evans was the clear frontrunner in the backfield to start his sophomore campaign but suffered a turf toe injury that cut his 2021 season short. Evans would go on to transfer to Ole Miss at the start of the 2022 season, where he posted his best college counting stats to date with a 17 percent dominator rating. His 15% boom percentage per Sports Info Solutions led all RBs in his class. However, he failed to fully take over at the backfield as he did at TCU, losing out on touches to freshman running back Quinshon Judkins. The fact that Evans has struggled to fully take over a backfield at the college level — along with no contributing role as a receiver — is a major red flag as he makes his way into the NFL, but his efficient play when on the field suggests he can deliver when called upon. His career average of 3.47 yards per play ranks second-best among the incoming rookie RBs I sampled earlier this offseason. Yards per play is a great indicator of future success, with recent late-round standouts in that category the past two years including Elijah Mitchell, Rhamondre Stevenson, Rachaad White, and Tyler Allgeier. Evans also boasts decent size at 5-foot-11 and 202 pounds – albeit the weight he measured at the 2023 NFL Scouting Combine was much lighter than his listed weight at Ole Miss (216 pounds). At the Ole Miss pro day, Evans posted a 4.45 40-time, ran a 4.26 20-yard shuttle and finished the 3-cone drill in 7.08 seconds.”

The Rams take on the Steelers, Cowboys and Packers in their next three games.

Philadelphia Eagles

Buy DeVonta Smith

Jalen Hurts, was the leading rusher with 8 carries for 47 yards, and he scored a touchdown.

D’Andre Swift had 10 carries but struggled to gain significant yardage, accumulating just 18 yards.

Made up for it in the passing game with 8 receptions for 40 yards, including a touchdown (10 targets).

Kenneth Gainwell and Boston Scott also had a couple of rushing attempts each. But it’s clear that Swift is separating from others in the backfield.

A.J. Brown was the standout receiver with 7 receptions for 131 yards, although he couldn’t find the end zone (21% Target share).

DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert contributed but not nearly to the level of AJB WR1 szn. Smith had all the targets he could handle with a team-high 11 targets (26% Target share, 154 air yards) but finished with just five catches for 44 yards. DG wasn’t running nearly the same number of routes, so something to monitor. Maybe related to the injury to Lane Johnson. Something to monitor.

The Dolphins, Commanders and Cowboys are over the Eagles’ next 3 games. Buy low on Smith. The usage, the routes, the matchups and the talent are ALL there for the taking.

New York Jets

Buy Breece Hall, Garrett Wilson

Breece Hall had a decent outing with 12 carries for 39 yards and a touchdown. But the usage is salivating. Hall got there for fantasy with 5 catches for 54 yards on 5 targets. The three down role and usage has returned. YLTSI. 66% snap share. 60% route participation. Bell. Cow.

Dalvin Cook had just 3 carries for 12 yards. Michael Carter with just two RB opportunities. Dust.

Garrett Wilson contributed 8 receptions for 90 yards on a whopping 12 targets (36% Target share, 48% air yard share). He continues to amaze and deliver with a horrible QB.

Wilson ranks 5th in the NFL in Target share (32%) and air yards share (45%).

If the Jets can just focus on everything around Hall and Wilson, we should be okay for fantasy purposes.

The schedule over the second half of the season is JUICY. After the bye week: Giants, Chargers, Raiders, Bills and Dolphins up next.

Can’t believe I am saying this but….buy Jets.

New York Giants

Add Wan’Dale Robinson, Jalin Hyatt

Saquon Barkley is back. After missing some time with a high ankle sprain, Barkley returned to the lineup and played 78% of the snaps. The team fed him 24 times for 93 yards on the ground and he added 4 catches for 5 yards. He looked like his explosive self, with rushes of 34 yards and 19 yards.

The Bills defense remains one of the league’s worst against the run.

On the receiver side of things Darius Slayton, Wan’Dale Robinson and Jalin Hyatt were the starters in 3WR sets. Robinson led the team with 8 targets, catching all 8 balls for 62 yards. Solid PPR floor every single week.

Darren Waller finished second with 7 targets (5 for 43), while Hyatt caught 3 for 21 on 4 targets. Hyatt had a monster 43-yard catch taken off the board due to a penalty. The rookie also played a season-high 73% snap share. Stock up.

Slayton made a ton of big catches leading the team with 69 yards on 6 targets (4 catches).

Big Blue takes on Washington, New York and Las Vegas over these next three games.

Considering the matchup versus the Commanders is great for the Giants WRs, consider adding one as a plug-in-play during the Week 7 bye weeks.

Robinson should be the first to add considering he is a lock to be the target leader. But between Slayton and Hyatt, I lean toward the untapped potential of the rookie not for just Week 7, but for Week 7 and beyond. Hyatt is also just $3,000 on DraftKings in a smash spot versus the Commanders in Week 7.

Buffalo Bills

Add Latavius Murray, Sell James Cook

James Cook led the rushing attack with 14 carries, gaining 71 yards at an average of 5.1 yards per carry. He did not score a touchdown, and his longest run was 14 yards.

Latavius Murray carried the ball 12 times, accumulating 45 yards with an average of 3.8 yards per carry. Like Cook, he didn’t score a touchdown and had a long run of 12 yards. Cook narrowly edged out Murray in routes run, but the usage overall was essentially a 50/50 split. In fact, Murray was highly involved during the beginning of the game – drawing the start and taking the first team carry.

He was also highly involved in the red zone with 4 red-zone carries – as he has done all season.

Each player played 49% of the snaps as Damien Harris left the game with a neck injury on his lone carry.

With Harris sidelined, Murray has a clear path to base work, targets and priority touches in the red zone for Buffalo. Not great for Cook, who was not targeted in this game.

Stefon Diggs was the top target for Allen, with 16 targets. He made 10 receptions for a total of 100 receiving yards, averaging 10.0 yards per catch. However, he did not score a touchdown, and his longest reception was for 28 yards.

Gabriel Davis received 4 targets and caught 3 passes for 21 yards. He averaged 7.0 yards per reception and did not score a touchdown, with his longest reception covering 9 yards.

Dawson Knox was targeted 6 times, catching 3 passes for 17 yards, averaging 5.7 yards per reception. Dalton Kincaid did not play.

Quintin Morris was targeted once and made a single reception for 15 yards, averaging 15.0 yards per catch, and scoring 1 touchdown with a 15-yard-long reception.

Deonte Harty was also targeted once and caught 1 pass for 3 yards, with an average of 3.0 yards per reception. He found the end zone with a 3-yard touchdown reception.

The Patriots, Buccaneers and Bengals are the Bills’ next three opponents.

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Dallas Cowboys

Sell/Hold CeeDee Lamb, Buy Tony Pollard

The Cowboys got back on the winning track on Monday night football defeating the LA Chargers. CeeDee Lamb had a major bounce-back performance with 7 catches for 117 yards on 7 targets. Although he did not lead the team in Target share (23%). He tied RB Tony Pollard – caught 6 balls for 80 yards – but trailed Michael Gallup who saw a whopping 10 targets for just 24 yards (32%, 114 air yards). Brandin Cooks scored the TD on one of his 4 targets.

Gallup has steadily taken on the No. 2 WR role but has done little to nothing with his opportunities.

As for Lamb, I’d use this game as a way to ship him off. The dude just isn’t a true fantasy WR1 alpha. Just a 21% Target share for the year. That ranks 40th. Just two games with more than four catches.

The schedule post Week 7 bye week is favorable: Rams, Eagles, Giants, Panthers, Commanders, Seahawks, so I’d be happy to hold Lamb if I cannot get any worthwhile return.

If anything, I want to continue to buy low on Pollard. 80% snap share and 21 more touches in Week 6, but no TDs. The TD drought won’t last in favorable matchups.

Los Angeles Chargers

Drop Quentin Johnston, Buy Austin Ekeler, Add Joshua Palmer

Austin Ekeler returned and played a full-time role. 14 carries for 27 yards and 4 catches for 35 yards on 6 targets. 68% snap share. Ekeler had three touches inside the 5-yard line but just came up short of scoring.

Joshua Kelley had one carry and 2 targets.

Joshua Palmer was extremely productive for a second straight game, and his presence has made Quentin Johnston droppable. QJ was expected to see a bigger role post-bye week and ran a route on just 49% of dropbacks. 48% snap share with zero catches.

Meanwhile, Palmer caught 4 passes for 60 yards on 7 targets. Although he was much more involved as he has multiple catches and yards erased due to penalties. Penalties included, Palmer had 10 targets.

Palmer is the Chargers WR not named Keenan Allen that needs to be on fantasy rosters. Last three games he has 7-plus targets and at least 60 receiving yards.

The Chiefs, Bears, Jets, Lions, Packers and Ravens round out the Chargers’ next 6 games.

Bye Week Teams

Green Bay Packers

Hold Christian Watson, Buy Romeo Doubs, Add Luke Musgrave, Jayden Reed

Aaron Jones missed another game back in Week 5which put A.J. Dillon back into the starting role. He was more effective rushing the ball 20 times for 76 yards and 1 rushing TD versus an exploitable run defense. He played 64% of the snaps. Patrick Taylor inherited the receiving role with 5 targets (2 for 5) while leading the backfield in routes run. I’d expect similar usage between Dillon and Aaron Jones, upon the veteran’s eventual return from his hamstring injury after the bye week.

As for the receivers it was more of a flat target distribution as we have come to know with Jordan Love under center. Christian Watson and Luke Musgrave tied for the team lead with 7 targets a piece (24% Target share). Musgrave caught 6 for 34 yards, while Watson flashed his big-play upside with a 77-yard grab on one of his 3 catches (An absurd 177 air yards, 73% air-yard share). Love was constantly missing Watson on downfield attempts.

Watson played a full-time role, but still saw fewer routes run than Romeo Doubs. However, it did not matter as Doubs caught just one of his four targets. Woof.

Doubs was targeted in the end zone, but it came up just short of a score from the 4-yard line.

Green Bay’s offense has sputtered out in recent weeks, but the schedule calls for guys to increase their production in a hurry. Denver is the gift that keeps giving as is the Vikings and Rams’ defenses.

Eventually, the regression is going to kick in on some of these downfield pass attempts. Their next two opponents – are tied for the league lead in completion percentage allowed this season.

And because GB is coming off a bye week, they can be acquired for dirt cheap prices – or even scooped potentially off the waiver wire.

Although Jayden Reed‘s lack of involvement with the return of Watson – 50% snap share, 2 targets – suggests he can probably be added for pennies on the dollar off waivers this week.

All the Packers WRs are beyond cheap in DFS against the Broncos in Week 7.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Sell George Pickens, Add Jaylen Warren

The Steelers’ rushing game was a shared effort back in Week 5. Jaylen Warren had 9 rushing attempts, gaining 40 yards and averaging 4.4 yards per carry. Najee Harris carried the ball 14 times but faced tough defense, gaining 37 yards at an average of 2.6 yards per carry. Woof. Warren was another key target, receiving 3 passes for 39 yards. Harris had 1 target. Routes were even split.

The backfield has been bad, so don’t feel bad if you needed to drop someone over the Steelers bye week. Still, I’d try to hold or pick back up Warren or even acquire him dirt cheap if he was dropped. He has out-scored Harris through 5 weeks. He has juice. Najee is averaging under 7 points per game in PPR. Warren has 21 catches for 166 yards this season.

George Pickens was the standout receiver for the Steelers, targeted 10 times (32% Target share). He made 6 receptions for an impressive 130 yards, averaging 21.7 yards per catch, and scored a touchdown on a long 41-yard pass.

Allen Robinson made 5 receptions for 29 yards (9 targets) showcasing his reliability as a possession receiver.

This team won because of their defense – a big reason why they have won any games this year. Much needed bye week is coming up where they can get healthier and work on a new offensive strategy. Whispers…fire Matt Canada.

Still, consider me pessimistic. If able, I would sell high on Pickens. He has made a lot of production ripping off big plays and his Target share can only go down with the eventual returns of Diontae Johnson and Pat Freiermuth.

Johnson is eyeing a Week 7 return as is Pat Freiermuth. Only $5K on DraftKings in Week 7

Pickens’ Target share has been 26% through 5 games with a top-10 air yards share (42%). I think Pickens is a great talent, but the offense and his role – having to rely so heavily on contested sideline catches – are just not conducive to sustained fantasy production.

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