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Here are all the players we’re buying and selling this week. And below let’s take a closer look at a few players to trade this week.
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Fantasy Football Trade Advice
Players to Buy
The Chargers, a bye week, Rams, Eagles, Giants, Panthers, and Commanders are the next six matchups for Dallas. Given the performance on Sunday Night Football, I think this is the prime time to buy low on Dallas players.
Specifically, Tony Pollard. Third in the NFL in touches. First in red-zone touches. 69% snap share was his second-highest rate of the year in game where it was blow out. Rico Dowdle had 3 of his 5 carries with Cooper Rush at QB.
Buy low.
Bijan Robinson carried the ball 14 times, gaining 46 yards with an average of 3.3 yards per carry. Although he didn’t find the end zone (scored on 1 of his two targets in the red zone) his consistent running provided valuable yardage.
Tyler Allgeier contributed significantly to the rushing game, with 17 attempts for 40 yards, averaging 2.4 yards per carry. Desmond Ridder also made a contribution on the ground, rushing for 10 yards and scoring a goal-line touchdown.
B-Rob’s 318 rushing yards are the third-most in the NFL, but he has zero rushing TDs. That will not sustain. Buy low. Commanders at home looks like a nice spot for this Falcons offense in Week 6.
In Week 5, the Giants adopted a running back-by-committee approach to their ground game
Rookie Eric Gray was the leading rusher for the Giants, carrying the ball 12 times for 25 yards, averaging 2.1 yards per attempt.
Matt Breida contributed significantly with 9 carries for 21 yards, averaging 2.3 yards per carry. He played the most snaps and ran the most routes.
This team needs Saquon Barkley back. The Bills cannot stop the run. He is LITERALLY their only hope.
Gray was more involved in the first half and would presumably be the guy to roster in Week 6 if Barkley misses another game.
My bold prediction in Week 5 was that Breece Hall would go for 150-plus yards and 2 TDs. I failed. He went for 177 yards on 22 carries and ONLY scored once, on a 72-yard touchdown.
YTLSI.
22 carries for Hall and 6 for Dalvin Cook. No targets for Cook, while Hall gobbled up 52% of the snaps. Just 17% of the snaps for Cook. Hall also chipped in 3 targets on just 10 routes. Michael Carter was actually the more involved receiver in routes, but that just means Hall’s role can continue to rise. Buy high. Because the buy-window is closed. But it might open back up again in a tough matchup in Week 6.
As for the backfield, same old for Joe Mixon. 25 carries for 81 yards and four catches (4 targets). 77% snap share. And although he was effective, he did not score. Buy the dip on the lack of TDs. He had 2 red-zone targets, and 8 red-zone carries. He just kept getting stuffed play after play. Mixon had 8 red-zone carries entering Week 5…
Seattle up next, then the bye week.
Watch out for this offense if this was the launch pad they needed to HEAT up.
Rhamondre Stevenson and Ezekiel Elliott shared the rushing duties. Stevenson had 8 rushing attempts, gaining 24 yards, while Elliott carried the ball 8 times for 21 yards. The Patriots struggled to find significant success on the ground. Shocker.
Elliott had a notable role in the passing game, catching all 4 targets for 17 yards. Stevenson had just 2 targets (both on the 1st drive). Snaps were nearly 50/50, although Stevenson ran more routes (15 vs 10).
This was Stevenson’s worst game and lowest volume output with just 10 touches. You’d be selling low if you move him especially ahead of a great matchups against the Raiders, Bills and Dolphins. Buy low.
He looked much better in this game than he has despite how bad the Patriots offense has played. Opened the game with an 8-yard rush, followed by rushes of 4, 4, 0, 8, -5, 7, 0 and 5. If he wasn’t getting completely stuffed, he was racking up 4-plus yards on the ground. The major loss came on a botched pitch by Jones.
Considering the current state of the Patriots offense – Bill Belichick said they need to start over – I’d bet he just rides in the best offensive players he has. That guy is Stevenson.
James Cook. WOOF. 5 for -4 yards. 3 for 25 on 4 targets. The run game was completely abandoned.
Still…The Giants and Patriots up next.
So, I’d be buying the bounce back on the talented second-year RB.
Still played 62% of the snaps, tied for a season high. 63% route participation.
In the backfield Thursday night, Antonio Gibson dominated the snaps with Washington facing a negative game script. 54% Gibson, 36% Brian Robinson. Gibson ran 27 routes to Robinson’s 18. However, Robinson still earned 4 targets catching all four for 33 yards. Gibson saw 6 targets catching four for 64 yards (including a nice deep ball down the sideline).
The game scripts for Washington when the fall behind result in scary rushing lines for Brob (6 for 10 yards) but the fact that he is continuing to earn designed receiving looks as me wanting to buy. Nobody else carries the ball for the Commanders. He also saw 6 carries by the start of the second quarter, and the run game was abandoned completely in the second half. They didn’t run once in the second half with a RB.
Conversely, Gibson’s own receiving chops and abilities are a reminder that he should be rostered. He owns standalone appeal when Washington must air it out…and would be a bell cow if Robinson got hurt.
I think you want to acquire the Commanders RBs. Falcons and Giants are up next.
Isiah Pacheco remains on the league’s under-the-radar bell cows. 16 carries for 55 yards and 1 TD with one catch on 9 yards. 59% snap share. Tied Jerick McKinnon in routes run (12).
Other KC RBs combined for 6 touches.
He faces DEN twice and the Chargers in the next three games. Buy.
The Texans’ rushing game was led by running back Dameon Pierce, who carried the ball 20 times and demonstrated his ability to grind out yards. Pierce managed to gain 66 yards on the ground, averaging 3.3 yards per carry. Although he didn’t find the end zone.
But more importantly, in a close game there was no sniff of Devin Singletary. As the Texans OL gets healthier…. Watch out. Usage is trending upward for Pierce.
Khalil Herbert dominated the snaps with a 66% snap share, then followed by fullback Khari Blasingame, then third in the pecking order was rookie Roschon Johnson after he was ruled out with a concussion.
Herbert has been the No. 1 guy for two straight games and totaled 10 carries for 76 yards versus the Commanders, while seeing three targets.
With the Bears offense playing much better, I’d expect them to continue feeding Herbert as RB1. But that will no longer be the case in the short term with Herbert slated to miss multiple weeks with an ankle injury.
As for Blasingame working ahead of RJ – it’s mostly just related to the injury. RJ totaled 3 carries for 19 yards but was not targeted (6 snaps, 9% snap share). Unsure if he will be ready by Week 6, but he’s going to start if he’s healthy. Also be sure to add D’Onta Foreman, who the Bears signed this offseason. He has been inactive most of the year, but likely be in the starting lineup in Week 6 and beyond with Herbert out.
Players to Sell
The Colts’ rushing attack was dominant, led by running back Zack Moss, who displayed both power and big-play ability against a fierce Titans DL.
Moss started, played 80% of the snaps and carried the ball an impressive 23 times, accumulating 165 yards on the ground with an outstanding average of 7.2 yards per carry. He found the end zone twice, showcasing his ability to break tackles and make explosive runs.
Jonathan Taylor (15% snap share) contributed 6 carries for 18 yards, although he didn’t manage to score a touchdown. (2 to 1 targets in favor of Moss). Taylor was used heavily at a per-snap rate (10 snaps, 7 RB opportunities), but Moss’s production cannot be ignored, nor can his overwhelming routes run rate (68%).
Also thought it was curious that the team elected to NOT use JT near the goal line. Moss has 8 red-zone carries to Taylor’s one.
The ultimate worst-case scenario for fantasy managers who had Moss and started JT this week. Woof. Expect JT’s snaps to rise…but perhaps we don’t see Moss totally disappear based on how well he has played. After all, JT has a long-term contract, so the team might be more keen on keeping him upright for the long haul. I think he’s a sharp sell high. Not like Shane Steichen is known for strictly using just 1 RB…
Alvin Kamara led the ground game for the Saints with 22 rushing attempts, gaining 80 yards and finding the end zone once (62% snap share). He displayed his versatility as a dual threat back catching 3 balls for 17 yards (3 targets). 37% route participation was down from last week as the team didn’t really need to throw up big early in a blow-out victory.
Kendre Miller was also heavily involved, receiving 4 targets and making 4 receptions for 53 yards, displaying his reliability in the passing game. Only ran two fewer routes than Kamara and each saw two targets in the first half.
Miller went 12 for 37 rushing, although some of his work came later in the blow out. Still, he saw some time alongside Kamara before the game got out of hand as the team recently released Tony Jones Jr.
Make sure he’s not on waivers as a high-end handcuff to Kamara. Guy has juice especially in the passing game.
I also think Kamara might be a sharp sell-high after this game. Backfield was not all his with Miller sprinkling in. And Jamaal Williams will eventually be returning, which could spell further touches away from AK41.
Derrick Henry carried the ball 13 times for 43 yards, averaging 3.3 yards per carry. Although he didn’t find the end zone, his rushing efforts contributed to ball control. He also tried to throw another TD pass, but it was just out of bounds.
Tyjae Spears showcased his versatility with 7 carries for 34 yards, averaging an impressive 4.9 yards per carry. He also scored a rushing touchdown on a cool end round designed run, displaying his ability to finish drives. Spears contributed with 4 receptions for 35 yards (5 targets), demonstrating his ability to make short and intermediate catches to move the chains. Henry also caught 3 balls on 3 targets.
Spears – per usual – also ran more routes. Both RBs also played more than 50% of the snaps
Henry’s upside continues to be limited with Spears in the fold. Sell the Big Dog.
Kyren Williams maintained RB1 status, out-touching Ronnie Rivers 15 to 1. Williams just didn’t score. Still very strong 84% snap share. Would expect him to be in a solid bounce back spot next week. Probably a decent buy-low candidate. Just don’t overpay as he was someone I have voiced “selling” in past articles.
No. 1… not sure how good he actually is. Second worst in the NFL in rushing yards below expectation.
And I am somewhat concerned about the return of Kupp drastically altering his TD and receiving upside. Williams tied a season-low in targets with Kupp back. After scoring 6 TDs the first four weeks, he did not find the end zone in Week 5.
Just make sure you keep Rivers stashed because I feel confident he could seamlessly replace Williams’ production with the same role.
The Cardinals and Steelers are the Rams’ next 2 opponents. Think I might use that as leverage to move off Kyren to somebody who thinks he is the exact same guy to start the year. I’m less bullish, that’s the case.
Alexander Mattison was the workhorse in the Vikings’ backfield, amassing 95 rushing yards on 17 carries. Cam Akers‘ debut did little to impact him on the surface, as the former Ram carried the ball just 5 times…but 40 yards. 8 yards per carry. Oh. That’s new. And it was TRUE 8 yards per carry. Rushes of 6, 8, 9, 7 and 10.
And Akers – who has been a total zero in the passing game throughout his career – sees two targets to Mattison’s one in his first game as a Viking. Saw 7 routes to Mattison’s 10.
Sell high. Akers’ 7 touches and 29% snap share was already higher than any snap rate or workload Ty Chandler had through three games. Mattison’s 69% snap share was a season low.
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