We’ll help you navigate the trade waters of your fantasy football leagues all season. Not only is there the ‘Who Should I Trade?’ tool where you can get instant feedback, but you can also sync your league for free using My Playbook in order to get trade advice specific to your team through our Trade Analyzer and Trade Finder tools. Here’s all my fantasy football trade advice for Week 8. Below we dive into a few players to move this week.
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Players to Sell
I think Thursday night finally showed the fantasy football world what Derek Carr is doing to the offense. He’s a check-down savant that either wants to throw an absolute bomb or dump it off immediately to Alvin Kamara. Kamara caught 12 passes in this game for 91 yards on 14 targets. He also added 17 carries for 62 yards. The efficiency for Kamara remains underwhelming, but his usage – specifically on the receiving side – is out of control elite.
The return of Jamaal Williams has little impact on Kamara, as the former Lion played just 22% of the snaps and earned 5 carries.
Kamara’s a locked-and-loaded RB1 for the rest of the season, but I do worry about how long an older RB can keep up this kind of workload. Again, he leads the NFL in touches per game (26/game). The Saints offense has plenty of issues which were on display Thursday night.
If you can move Kamara for a younger elite RB or an elite WR, I’d make the move. But also, fine holding him while the getting is good, because the schedule suggests his production should stay strong.
Josh Jacobs carried the ball 11 times for 35 yards, averaging 3.2 yards per carry. He didn’t score a touchdown. Jacobs was targeted 4 times and caught 1 pass for 6 yards. Woof. He’s a bell cow that can’t score fantasy points. Eventually he will have his week, but that likely won’t be against a pissed off Lions team that boasts one of the league’s best run defenses.
I think selling high on Christian Kirk is a sharp move. It’s so crowded – even on Thursday night where Kirk made up A LOT of production on a 44-yard TD scamper – that makes it tough to trust one guy. And Kirk’s production has been boosted from the Jones injury.
All in all, if you can cash out for a strong return for Kirk – especially based on the positive narrative for him opposite Ridley – I think you’re avoiding potential headaches down the road. But in full transparency, if you can’t get any worthwhile returns, he remains a hold.
Upcoming Jaguars Schedule: Steelers, Bye Week, 49ers, Titans, Texans
The Cowboys got back on the winning track on Monday night football during Week 6 defeating the LA Chargers. CeeDee Lamb had a major bounce-back performance with 7 catches for 117 yards on 7 targets. Although he did not lead the team in Target share (23%). He tied RB Tony Pollard – caught 6 balls for 80 yards – but trailed Michael Gallup who saw a whopping 10 targets for just 24 yards (32%, 114 air yards). Brandin Cooks scored the TD on one of his 4 targets.
Gallup has steadily taken on the No. 2 WR role but has done little to nothing with his opportunities.
As for Lamb, I’d use this game as a way to ship him off. The dude just isn’t a true fantasy WR1 alpha. Just a 21% Target share for the year. That ranks 40th. Just two games with more than four catches.
The schedule post Week 7 bye week is favorable: Rams, Eagles, Giants, Panthers, Commanders, Seahawks, so I’d be happy to hold Lamb if I cannot get any worthwhile return.
Chris Olave had 15 targets on Thursday night (28% Target share). He caught 7 passes for 57 yards.
Through 7 games, Olave has a 26% Target share. But as you ALL saw on Thursday night it’s just rinse and repeat about how many times Carr misses Olave on his throws. He was stuck on 2 for 17 in the first half.
Therefore, Olave remains a sell for me. He had 4 red-zone targets through the first 6 games. 1 TD. He had more red-zone targets in Week 7 (2), but Carr also attempted 55 passes. And the playcalling actually kept dialing up red-zone targets and fade routes for Michael Thomas (3 red-zone targets).
MT leads the team in red-zone targets this season (9) to Olave’s 6. Thomas has more targets inside the 10-yard line (8) than Olave (6) since the start of last season…
At this point, unless there is a QB change I don’t envision the full-fledged breakout happening for Olave.
Derrick Henry was the standout player in the rushing attack for the Titans back in Week 6, amassing 97 yards on just 12 carries, averaging an impressive 8.1 yards per attempt with a massive 63-yard run on a direct snap. He also found the end zone. Henry also chipped in with 2 receptions, gaining 16 yards.
Tyjae Spears, with 15 yards on 4 carries, added depth to the rushing game. He also caught one pass for 48 yards.
And yet again, he out-snapped Henry (56% vs 53%). His role is not going away, and he needs to be held on through the bye weeks. Elite upside if Henry were to suffer an injury/get traded.
Jahmyr Gibbs carried the ball 11 times for 68 yards, averaging 6.2 yards per carry, and scored 1 touchdown. Usage was strong with 10 targets (20% Target share) and catching 9 passes for 58 yards. 87% snap share. Locked-and-loaded fantasy RB1 as long as David Montgomery is sidelined.
But that being said…this team LOVES Montgomery. And it’s not like Gibbs’ usage translated into a real-life win for the Lions. In the first half alone, Gibbs had 3 carries for 9 yards and two catches for 5 yards.
Craig Reynolds carried the ball just 3 times for 16 yards (1 target).
Obviously, Gibbs is a risky sell with an awesome matchup versus the Raiders in Week 8, that we don’t anticipate Montgomery returning for as the Lions have a Week 9 bye week.
Again, they played Monty on a short week after he missed time so never say never.
Still, if you need a W in Week 8, think you have to keep Gibbs. But if you can afford a longer outlook on your team, selling Gibbs high is the move to make for a team that NEEDs to win now.
In terms of targets, Terry McLaurin led the team with 9 (25% Target share, 109 air yards), followed by Jahan Dotson and Curtis Samuel with 8 targets each (22% Target share).
McLaurin led the team in targets with 9, catching 6 passes for 90 yards, averaging 15 yards per reception. He was targeted 4 times in the red zone catching 3 but no TDs. He also only saw 1 target in the entire first half.
I am always looking to sell high on McLaurin, just because I don’t feel great hitching my wagon to anybody in this Commanders offense for the long haul. Schedule isn’t ideal either. The Eagles, Patriots, Seahawks and Giants over next month.
Chris Rodriguez carried the ball 7 times for 31 yards, averaging 4.4 yards per carry. 2 carries in the first half, and three at the start of the 3rd quarter. Not nothing, especially with two carries coming in the red zone. He came close to vulturing a TD as the team inched to scoring.
Meanwhile, starter Brian Robinson had 8 rushing attempts, gaining just 23 yards at an average of 2.9 yards per carry, and he scored one touchdown. Antonio Gibson carried the ball twice for 7 yards with 2 targets.
This backfield is starting to morph into a three-headed monster, which is not good for fantasy football purposes. With extremely tough run defenses coming up, you have to sell Robinson after he has scored TDs in back-to-back weeks. He has totaled 24 carries for 64 yards in the last 3 games.
The backfield was different on Monday night football. Alexander Mattison had 8 rushing attempts for 39 yards, averaging 4.9 yards per carry with no touchdowns. His longest run was 19 yards. Cam Akers had a team-high 10 rushing attempts for 31 yards, averaging 3.1 yards per carry with no touchdowns. His longest run was 13 yards. Akers played a season-high 39% snap share to Mattison’s 53% snap share.
Akers was targeted 3 times and caught 2 passes for 30 yards. His longest reception was 30 yards. Mattison was targeted 3 times and caught 2 passes for 3 yards. His longest reception was 4 yards. Mattison ran more routes than Akers (21 vs 12) and saw the lone goal-line carry (stuffed). However, Akers out-touched Mattison 12 to 10 overall. Been preaching all season that Mattison’s grip on the RB1 role with the Vikings was loose and that Akers would eventually carve out a larger role in the backfield. It’s happening right before our eyes. Get out while you still can.
Javonte Williams reclaimed RB1 duties carrying the ball 15 times for 82 yards, averaging 5.5 yards per carry, with a long run of 21 yards (53% snap share, season-high). Targeted 4 times (17% Target share), with 3 receptions for 14 yards. Led team in routes run. Also had a TD wiped off the board due to a holding penalty.
Jaleel McLaughlin carried the ball 5 times for 45 yards, averaging 9.0 yards per carry, with a long run of 23 yards (2 targets). He’s a handcuff but has been SUPER efficient all year long which will continue to earn him touches. And the Broncos just LOVE using him near the goal line, with him posting 3 red-zone touches on very limited work.
Samaje Perine with just 2 carries. Targeted 3 times, with 3 receptions for 31 yards.
Williams’ usage is on the upswing, but a dreaded three-way committee with high-value touches coming at a premium makes Juggernaut Javonte a must-sell RB.
Quarterback Bryce Young‘s primary target was Adam Thielen, who was targeted an impressive 13 times. Thielen hauled in 11 receptions for 115 yards and found the end zone once, confirming his role as the Panthers’ top receiver (37% Target share).
He is the WR3 in PPR (pending MNF). I’d cash out now. Rememeber, the Panthers have been very vocal about adding another WR before the trade deadline.
D’Onta Foreman carried the ball 16 times for 89 yards, averaging 5.6 yards per carry, and scored 2 touchdowns. Was targeted 5 times (2nd on the team) and caught 3 passes for 31 yards and scored 1 touchdown. A monster with the football. 5 total red-zone touches.
Darrynton Evans carried the ball 14 times for 48 yards, averaging 3.4 yards per carry. Also saw 3 targets. 6 of his carries came late right after Foreman was forced to the sideline with an injury.
Hence the snaps favoring Evans. Like last week, Evans also saw the first carry of the game despite Foreman starting.
I have to imagine that Foreman will be a highly debated RB to trade this week and for good reason. The process is clearly to sell high for a RB coming off a 3 TD game when his role has been boosted by injuries around him in a supremely soft matchup. One would think that Khalil Herbert and/or Roschon Johnson will eventually return and push Foreman for touches, which has been the case when he has split work with Evans the last two games.
I’d like to think that Foreman has “shown enough” to be the RB1 moving forward, but he’s down this same old song and dance for the last two seasons.
2022 Week 8 versus Atlanta: 31.8 points and 3 TDs. 2022 Week 9 versus Cincinnati: 4 points.
And although the Chargers “appear” soft versus the run, they have been stout since returning from the bye week. Fewer than 35 yards allowed to both Isiah Pacheco and Tony Pollard in back-to-back weeks.
The Bears are also massive road dogs (+8.5), which doesn’t foreshadow Foreman’s continuing his hot streak in Week 8. The Saints are no cakewalk versus the run either in Week 9.
Foreman for Bijan Robinson…who says no?
Najee Harris rushed 14 times for 53 yards, averaging 3.8 yards per carry, and scored 1 touchdown, his first of the year. 3-yard TD run on one of his 3 red-zone touches.
Had 3 targets and caught 3 passes for 15 yards. Also only ran a route on 36% of the dropbacks.
Was stuck on 6 carries for 23 yards in the 1st half.
Jaylen Warren rushed 6 times for 32 yards, averaging 5.3 yards per carry, and scored 1 touchdown (2 targets). 13-yard TD run on 1 of 2 red-zone carries.
The split has not gone away between Harris/Warren with the only noticeable difference being the team wanted to get Harris more involved as a receiver. Ran more routes than Warren (5 vs 10) and saw the first target in the game.
Still, I am very skeptical that the role sticks. The sell-high window for Harris comes only so often, so I’d take advantage. The next two matchups with be tough for him as a rusher.
Jerome Ford carried the ball 11 times for 74 yards. He had 77 total yards after his first two carries including a 69-yard TD.
Kareem Hunt carried the ball 10 times for 31 yards, averaging 3.1 yards per carry, and scored 2 goal-line touchdowns. Hunt was used more in the red zone last week and that was the case again here in Week 7 with three red-zone carries. Pierre Strong carried the ball 8 times for 25 yards, averaging 3.1 yards per carry. Didn’t touch ball till the 3rd quarter. Ran more routes than Hunt.
David Njoku (TE) – 72 snaps, 96%
Amari Cooper (WR) – 66 snaps, 88%
Elijah Moore (WR) – 59 snaps, 79%
D. Peoples-Jones (WR) – 46 snaps, 61%
J. Ford (RB) – 32 snaps, 43%
Pierre Strong (RB) – 23 snaps, 31%
K. Hunt (RB) – 19 snaps, 25%
Deshaun Watson (QB) – 12 snaps, 16% ?— Andrew Erickson™ (@AndrewErickson_) October 23, 2023
Ford also had 4 targets and caught 2 passes for 20 yards. Hunt with just one target.
First half touches were 11 to 5 in favor of Ford.
Ford did get hurt toward the end of the game with an ankle injury which boosted the usage for Strong later in the contest.
Darrell Henderson Jr. (RB – LAR)
Darrell Henderson Jr. started and ran the ball 18 times for 61 yards, averaging 3.4 yards per carry, and scored 1 touchdown in the red zone (2 targets). Logged 3 total red-zone opportunities and 57% of the snaps.
Royce Freeman carried the ball 12 times for 66 yards, averaging 5.5 yards per carry and did not score a touchdown. 43% snap share.
Zach Evans was nowhere to be found. Did not log an offensive snap (played on special teams). At least we got the report Sunday morning that Evans would not be the featured guy behind Freeman/Hendo, but to the extent that those two were used was up in the air.
Those two RBs switched off the drives. Henderson had 9 carries in the first half to Freeman’s 7. Likely will be a split backfield till Kyren Williams returns.
But until that time comes, I’d be sure to make sure Henderson is not available on waivers. However, as I have preached with all Rams RBs this season…none of these guys are made for the long haul. Sean McVay churns through RBs like fantasy managers on the waiver wire. So, what’s the move if you already have Henderson or acquire him off waivers this week?
Sell high and do not over bid. Remember, the Steelers were a favorable matchup for RBs. Dallas will present a MUCH tougher challenge in Week 8. And also need to consider that Myles Gaskin might be added to the mix next week after being a healthy scratch.
Cash out now. Considerable me very skeptical that a RB off the couch can be a true difference-maker. He’s never been able to stay healthy and recall that the Rams outright cut him last November despite him leading the team in rushing yards. I went down the retread RB rode with Cam Akers this year and I will not be fooled again by McVay.
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