Derek Brown | Thu, Sep 28th 2023, 8:53am EDT

The Primer: Week 4 Edition (2023 Fantasy Football)

We are in the thick of it now.

There’s an NFL game across the pond, which means brunch and ball will happen at my house this weekend. I love nothing more than the smell of toasted bagels and other assorted breakfast goodies while the NFL is blasting on the TV. There’s no better way to start the day.

While you let the image of good food and football marinate in your skull, start scrolling down this page. Another Primer is hot off the presses and ready for your ferocious consumption. Enjoy.

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Fantasy Football Primer

Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

JAC -3, O/U 43
Falcons vs. Jaguars Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

Atlanta has the 11th-slowest neutral pace with the third-highest neutral rushing rate.
Jacksonville has been a middle-of-the-road, run-balanced team. They are 16th in neutral pace and passing rate

**FANTASY PSA: This game will be played early. Set Jaguars & Falcons Saturday night.**

Quarterbacks

Desmond Ridder: Ridder has continued to struggle as the Falcon’s starter. He has the second-lowest passing grade, the tenth-lowest yards per attempt, the eighth-lowest adjusted completion rate, and the highest turnover-worthy play rate. None of these numbers inspire confidence in Ridder’s ability to keep the starting quarterback job for the rest of the season. If he wants to continue to lead this team, his play has to improve, or we could see Taylor Heinicke soon. Jacksonville could allow Ridder to post a decent stat line this week if their pass rush doesn’t get home. The Jaguars pass defense has struggled to the tune of the ninth-highest yards per attempt, 11th-highest passer rating, and the eighth-most fantasy points per game allowed. Their pass rush has generated the ninth-highest pressure rate. Ridder has the seventh-lowest passing grade and 12th-lowest yards per attempt when under duress. Week 4 Positional Value: low-end QB2

Trevor Lawrence: Lawrence has been struggling in the early going. He is the QB22 in fantasy points per game with the 15th-best adjusted completion rate while running 23rd in yards per attempt. This isn’t the type of production you hoped for this season after his scorching end to the 2022 season. This week’s matchup is no cakewalk, so we’ll all collectively hold our breath to see if Lawrence can start to turn things around here. Atlanta has allowed the fifth-lowest yards per attempt, the eighth-lowest passer rating, and the 12th-fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. If Lawrence picks on every corner not named A.J. Terrell, he can have a big day, though. Week 4 Positional Value: low-end QB1

Running Backs

Weeks 1-3

Player	Rushing attempts	Targets	Routes	RZ opportunities
Bijan Robinson	39	17	80	6
Tyler Allgeier	38	6	30	8

Bijan Robinson: While Allgeier still has a firm grasp on red zone work, Robinson has asserted himself as the team’s bellcow with each passing week. Robinson played 63% of the snaps in Week 1. That figure stood at 81% in Week 3. Robinson has averaged 17.7 touches and 105 total yards. Robinson’s pass game usage has been juicy. He ranks second in route run per team dropback rate, first in Target share (19.3%!), and fifth in YPRR. I’m not trying to bury the lede, but he’s also a special rushing talent, ranking sixth in missed tackles forced per attempt and 22nd in yards after contact per attempt. The Jaguars’ run defense has been legit, but they have some exploitable weaknesses if Arthur Smith is willing to change things up this week. Jacksonville has held rushers to the third-lowest explosive run rate while they also have the third-highest stuff rate. Here’s where things get interesting, though. The Jaguars have yielded the lowest yards per carry to zone runs, but they have permitted the fourth-highest yards per carry to gap runs (5.0). Robinson has only been used on gap runs on 28% of his attempts this season, but he has the fourth-highest yards per carry (6.9 nice!) on gap scheme runs. If Smith is willing to alter the run game plan, Robinson could have a huge day. The Jaguars will also allow production through the air for Robinson. They have given up the 12th-most receiving yards and seventh-most receptions to running backs. Week 4 Positional Value: Matchup proof RB1

Tyler Allgeier: Allgeier’s role has dwindled weekly. Last week, he played only 30% of the snaps with nine touches and 29 total yards. Allgeier has dissolved into a handcuff only or a touchdown-or-bust flex play because of his red zone role. Week 4 Positional Value: Handcuff only

Travis Etienne: Etienne has been the team’s every down back. He’s played at least 71% of the snaps in every game, averaging 20 touches and 94.6 total yards. Among 59 qualifying backs, Etienne ranks 27th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 19th in yards after contact per attempt. Among 45 qualifying receiving backs, he is ninth in route run per team dropback rate, 18th in Target share, and 15th in YPRR. Atlanta has been an exploitable run defense, giving up the 12th-highest explosive run rate while also logging the 14th-lowest stuff rate. The Falcons have given up the 11th-highest yards per carry to zone runs (Etienne 51% zone runs). Etienne is a must-start. Week 4 Positional Value: RB1

Tank Bigsby: Bigsby is a handcuff only. His snaps have dropped each week, with only 12% last week. The most interesting thing with Bigsby’s usage so far is that my worries for Etienne at the goal line have been confirmed so far this season. Bigsby has both of the team’s running back carries inside the five-yard line. Week 4 Positional Value: Handcuff only

Wide Receivers

Drake London: London’s numbers are difficult to look at. The production does not match the talent level, sadly. When you watch his all-22, he’s open constantly, but with the current level of quarterback play and offensive design, he’s not getting the target volume he deserves. London has a 17.0% Target share and a 23.5% air-yard share. That Target share has amounted to only five targets per game and 1.08 YPRR (68th out of 91 qualifying wide receivers). London is tough to trust weekly. He will run about 85% of his routes against Tyson Campbell (69.2% catch rate and 78.0 passer rating) and Darious Williams (71.4% catch rate and 100.6 passer rating). Week 4 Positional Value: WR3/4

Calvin Ridley: Ridley was exceptional in Week 1, but since then, he has put a litany of missed opportunities on film. He currently leads all wide receivers in drops after a rough Week 3 performance. He is the WR13 in expected fantasy points per game (XFP/game), but the WR36 in actual fantasy points per game. Ridley has a 21.6% Target share and a 37.5% air yard share with 1.75 YPRR. All of these are solid but not spectacular numbers. The bounceback could occur this week. Ridley will run about 58% of his routes against Tre Flowers (69.2% catch rate and 146.2 passer rating) and Dee Alford (80% catch rate and 139.0 passer rating). If you have Ridley, start him.Week 4 Positional Value: low-end WR1

Christian Kirk: Kirk will be a starter in two wide receiver sets this week with Zay Jones out. Kirk has seen a 19.0% Target share and a 21.8% air yard share. Last season, in the one game Jones missed, Kirk played 48.1% of his snaps in the slot (75.5% overall last year) as he ran more from the perimeter. When he is on the perimeter, he will play more on A.J. Terrell’s side, but look for the Jaguars to either play him inside when they move to 11 personnel or go 11 personnel heavy so Kirk can matchup with Alford for most of the day. They could just sacrifice Jamal Agnew or Tim Jones to Terrell all day so Kirk and Ridley can eat. If Lawrence has a strong day (he will), Ridley and Kirk will lead the way. Week 4 Positional Value: WR2

Zay Jones: Jones has been ruled out (knee).

Tight Ends

Kyle Pitts: Pitts is the TE18 in fantasy points per game despite all of his usage metrics pointing to better days ahead. He is first in route run per team dropback rate (85%), eighth in Target share (19.3%), and sixth in routes. The problem has been that productivity hasn’t followed as he’s TE20 in YPRR (among 34 qualifying tight ends). Pitts is the TE4 in XFP/game. Jacksonville offers Pitts a plus matchup to get on track. The Jaguars have allowed the 14th-most receiving yards, 11th-highest yards per reception, and the third-most receiving touchdowns (tied) to tight ends. Week 4 Positional Value: TE1

Evan Engram: Engram ranks ninth in Target share (18.1%) and fifth in YPRR (1.73). Engram is the TE5 in fantasy points per game and TE6 in XFP/game. He should post another strong game against a defense that’s allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game and the 11th-most receiving yards to tight ends. Expect Engram to pick up a few extra targets this week with Jones out. Week 4 Positional Value: TE1

Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills

BUF -3, O/U 53.5
Dolphins vs. Bills Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

The Dolphins are chugging along with the tenth-fastest neutral pace and the 11th-highest neutral passing rate.
Sadly, Buffalo is a slow-and-throw team now. The Bills have the ninth-slowest pace but the second-best neutral passing rate.
Buffalo is ninth in red-zone rushing rate.

Quarterbacks

Tua Tagovailoa: How quickly all those offseason concerns for Tagovailoa have disappeared. That’s what happens when you continually prove the doubters wrong. Tagovailoa continues to do just that. He is the QB4 in fantasy, ranking first in passing grade, tenth-best in adjusted completion rate, and first in big-time throw rate. The Bills are a formidable pass defense, but Tagovailoa can still carve them up. Buffalo has held the opposition to 20th in yards per attempt, but they have surrendered the tenth-highest adjusted completion rate. Buffalo has also had issues defending the deep ball. Last year, Buffalo defended the 13th-fewest deep ball attempts in the NFL, but they gave up the 12th-highest adjusted completion rate and ninth-highest passer rating on throw 20 or more yards. This season, Tagovailoa has the eighth-most deep attempts (tied) and the ninth-highest deep-adjusted completion rate. Buffalo is sixth in pressure rate, but Miami has allowed Tagovailoa to face the league’s lowest pressure rate. The Tua train continues to roll this week. Week 4 Positional Value: QB1

Josh Allen: Allen has been on point after his debacle in Week 1. Over the last two weeks, he ranks third in passing grade, sixth in big-time throw rate, and first in adjusted completion rate. Since Week 2, Allen has been fifth in fantasy points per dropback. Miami has been a run-of-the-mill pass defense, ranking 15th in yards per attempt and passer rating allowed. They have struggled to defend play-action passing, which could lead to another massive Allen outing. Miami has permitted the 13th-highest play-action adjusted completion rate, the sixth-most play-action passing touchdowns (tied), and the eighth-highest play-action passer rating. Allen is 14th in play-action dropback rate with the fifth-highest play-action yards per attempt and the highest passer rating when utilizing play-action. Week 4 Positional Value: High-end QB1

Running Backs

Week 3 (1st quarter, per Fantasy Points Data)

Player	Rushing attempts	Targets	Routes	RZ carries
Raheem Mostert	3	3	6	0
De’Von Achane	4	0	1	2

Raheem Mostert: The above sample size is small. There’s no denying it, but the backfield split for the Dolphins last week got messy, with the team completing the second quarter up 35-13. This is why I looked up the first-quarter usage for these backs when the score was closer (14-7). What we find here is that Mostert had three rushing attempts (Achane four) while handling nearly all of the passing down work. Mostert lost the red zone battle as Achane got both red zone carries (Mostert zero). We’ll see how this split works out in Week 4 in what projects to be a more competitive game. Overall, last week, Mostert played 51% of the snaps with 20 touches and 142 total yards. Mostert ranks fifth in explosive run rate, tenth in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 17th in yards after contact per attempt. This week, Miami could lean on Achane even more. Buffalo’s run defense has been exploitable, allowing the second-highest explosive run rate and the highest yards after contact per attempt. Their Achilles heel is defending gap runs, which has not been Mostert’s bread and butter (Mostert 59% zone). Buffalo has held rushers to the 14th-lowest yards per carry on zone runs. Week 4 Positional Value: RB2/3

De’Von Achane: Last week Achane went full legend mode. He played 41% of the snaps with 22 touches and 233 total yards. When the score was close in last week’s game, Achane outrushed Mostert (4-3) while getting both of the red zone carries. Mostert was the team’s passing down back. Achane can’t sustain the insane numbers that he posted in Week 3. That’s obvious, but his efficiency numbers are off the chart. He’s first in missed tackles forced per attempt and yards after contact per attempt. Miami could lean on Achane more this week in the rushing department, as his usage lines up with how you destroy Buffalo on the ground. Buffalo’s run defense is bottom-two in explosive run rate and yards after contact per attempt allowed, but they specifically struggle against gap runs (Achane 52.6% gap). Buffalo has held zone runs to the 14th-lowest yards per carry, but they have yielded the highest yards per carry to gap runs (7.0). Pencil in Achane for 15-18 touches this week. Update: Achane set to get more work this week. Start him as an RB2. Week 4 Positional Value: RB2

James Cook: Cook continues to hum along as Buffalo’s lead ball carrier. He’s the RB16 in fantasy, averaging 18 touches and 111.3 total yards, playing 59-62% of the snaps weekly. Cook has been explosive this year, ranking 12th in explosive run rate and ninth in yards after contact per attempt. He is 14th in route run per team dropback rate, 12th in Target share, and 17th in YPRR among 45 qualifying running backs. The biggest issue Cook is having isn’t volume or pass game usage but the work near the goal line. Cook has only 33% of the red zone rushing attempts and one carry (of the seven total inside the five carries) inside the five-yard line. Cook will have to grind out tough yards this week, but his usage lines up pretty well with what Miami has issues defending. The Dolphins have given up the 12th-fewest missed tackles per attempt and the 11th-lowest yards after contact per attempt, but they have been vulnerable to gap runs. Miami has allowed the ninth-highest yards per carry (4.72) to gap runs (Cook 79% gap). Miami also has given up the fourth-highest yards per reception to running backs, so if Cook doesn’t get it done on the ground, he can through the air. Week 4 Positional Value: RB1

Latavius Murray: Murray is a touchdown or bust flex play, but with injuries and the state of the running back position, some might have to consider his name for lineups. He has played 23-25% of the snaps weekly, averaging 5.6 touches and 23 total yards. Murray has scored touchdowns in back-to-back games. He has seen 57% of the inside the five-yard line totes, so the touchdown equity is there for him to pay off if you are desperate. Week 4 Positional Value: Deep league desperation flex play

Wide Receivers

Tyreek Hill: Hill has been on an insane pace this season. Currently, he is on pace for 142 receptions and 2,335 receiving yards. Does this likely change as the season moves along? Yes, but it still has to be mentioned. Hill ranks second in Target share, second in YPRR, and sixth in first read share among wideouts. He leads the team with a whopping 34.9% Target share and 38.0% first read share against zone coverage. Hill is tied for the NFL lead in deep targets. If Tagovailoa winds up deep, Hill will be the first player in the progression. He will run about 70% of his routes against Christian Benford (50% catch rate and 79.2 passer rating) and Tre’Davious White (64.3% catch rate and 83.3 passer rating). Week 4 Positional Value: Top three WR weekly

Jaylen Waddle: Waddle is due for a monster game. He has a 14.7% Target share and an 18.1% air yard share with 3.04 YPRR. Last year, Waddle chewed up the Bills, averaging 108 receiving yards with 5.53 YPRR. If Tagovailoa looks to go deep, yes, Hill will be the first look (nine deep targets), but Waddle will be next in line as he has four deep targets (second on MIA). Waddle will run about 70% of his routes against Benford and White. Week 4 Positional Value: WR2

Stefon Diggs: Diggs is 13th in Target share, ninth in air-yard share, and 21st in YPRR among 91 qualifying wide receivers. He also ranks fifth in first-read share behind only Davante Adams, Garrett Wilson, A.J. Brown, and Puka Nacua. Diggs will run about 62% of his routes against Xavien Howard (72.7% catch rate and 89.4 passer rating) and Kader Kohou (82.4% catch rate and 95.1 passer rating). If Allen is firing on all cylinders, expect Diggs to go along for the ride. Diggs leads the team with a 21.7% Target share and 33.3% first-read share on play-action passes. Week 4 Positional Value: WR1

Gabriel Davis: Davis has a 13.6% Target share and a 33.9% air yard share with 1.62 YPRR. These numbers are in line with WR3-type production which Davis isn’t far off from (WR40 in fantasy points per game). He has a 17.2% first-read share. Davis could get a few more targets on play-action passes this week. He has a 17.4% Target share and a 20% first-read share on play-action pases. Davis will run about 85% of his routes against Howard and Kohou. Week 4 Positional Value: WR3/4

Tight Ends

Julian Hill: Hill is just a name to file away for a possible stash. He put Durham Smythe on the bench last week. Hill had a 50% route per team dropback rate last week. While he only drew one target, he’s a name to remember if he can seize the every down role for Miami. Week 4 Positional Value: Deep league TE premium stash

Dalton Kincaid: Kincaid has a 59.7% route run per team dropback rate, which is below what we like to see for our fantasy tight ends. The Bills have been using a ton of personnel packages instead of just living in 12 personnel, so both tight ends have seen their routes take a small hit. Kincaid has a 10.9% Target share with a suboptimal 3.6 aDOT. Kincaid’s 0.97 YPRR isn’t something to write home about, but the team is using him only for short area dumpoffs. Kincaid’s is sadly in the TE2 realm. He is third on the team in red zone targets. Miami is 17th in receiving yards with the tenth-lowest yards per reception allowed to tight ends. Week 4 Positional Value: TE2

Dawson Knox: Knox is slightly outpacing Kincaid with a 61.3% route run per team dropback rate. Knox has a 10.0% Target share and a sad 0.61 YPRR. Knox is tied with Diggs for the team lead in red zone targets, so his touchdown equity in this offense is substantial. If you’re touchdown-hunting at tight end this week, Knox isn’t a bad dart throw. He is also tied for second on the team in first-read share on playaction throws. If the Bills go play-action heavy, Knox could benefit. The Dolphins are tied for the third-most receiving touchdowns allowed to tight ends.

Week 4 Positional Value: TE2

Denver Broncos vs. Chicago Bears

DEN -3, O/U 46.5
Broncos vs. Bears Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

The Broncos are another slow-and-throw team. They have the ninth-slowest neutral pace and the seventh-highest neutral passing rate.
Chicago has the third-slowest neutral pace and fifth-highest neutral rushing rate.
DEN is fourth in red-zone passing rate. The Bears are surprisingly tenth in red-zone passing rate.

Quarterbacks

Justin Fields: Fields has been tough to watch. There’s no way around it. The Bears offense looks broken. He has the fifth-lowest passing grade, the fourth-lowest adjusted completion rate, and the highest time to throw. The baffling thing is that Fields still only has three designed runs this season. Three! I still can’t wrap my head around this. Last year, Fields had six games in which he had at least three designed runs. It’s like Luke Getsy decided to take away his quarterback’s best weapon this season. It’s head-scratching. Fields still ranks fifth in carries per game and eighth in rushing yards per game, so his rushing equity isn’t totally lifeless. If Fields can’t produce in this matchup, it’s time to consider cutting him to the waiver wire. The Broncos have a Swiss cheese run defense, as we saw last week, but their secondary has also been riding the struggle bus this season. Denver has allowed the highest yards per attempt, the most passing touchdowns, and the highest adjusted completion rate. Week 4 Positional Value: Dice roll QB with top-12 upside

Russell Wilson: Wilson looks like a player with a second life, with Sean Payton. He is tenth in passing grade, sixth in yards per attempt, and 13th in adjusted completion rate as the QB10 in fantasy. Wilson should post another solid stat line against the Bears’ zone defense (55-67% zone for CHI’s corners). Wilson is 13th in passer rating and fifth in fantasy points per dropback against zone this season. Chicago’s pass defense has been a turnstile, allowing the third-highest yards per attempt, the fourth-highest passer rating, and the fifth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks. Week 4 Positional Value: QB1

Running Backs

Javonte Williams: Williams’ snap share has remained consistent between 42-45%. It’s possible Wiliams could have seen a ramp-up last week, but the game got out of hand quickly. This could be the week we see his snaps trend up more. Among 59 qualifying running backs, Williams ranks 20th in explosive run rate and 22nd in missed tackles forced per attempt. The Bears might be a basement-level pass defense, but they are quite respectable against the run. Chicago has the ninth-highest stuff rate and has allowed the ninth-lowest yards per carry to zone runs (Williams 52.8% zone). Week 4 Positional Value: RB2/3

Samaje Perine: Perine isn’t getting enough work to consider him as anything more than a dart throw flex play. He has played 45-50% of the snaps in two of three games, but he has only averaged seven touches and 42 total yards. Perine has zero explosive runs, and the sixth-worst missed tackles forced per attempt. Week 4 Positional Value: low-end flex play

Weeks 2-3

Player	Rushing attempts	Targets	Routes	RZ opportunities
Khalil Herbert	14	5	28	2
Roschon Johnson	12	4	22	0

Khalil Herbert: With D’Onta Foreman deemed a healthy scratch the last two weeks; Herbert has seen his workload trend up with 55-60% of the snaps weekly. Herbert has averaged 8.5 touches and 46.5 total yards. Among 59 qualified backs, Herbert ranks 18th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 29th in yards after contact per attempt. After last week, the Denver run defense stats are all askew. Even before last week, it was evident that the Broncos had some holes in their run defense, as they had allowed the seventh-highest missed tackles per attempt and the tenth-highest yards after contact per attempt. Week 4 Positional Value: RB3 with upside

Roschon Johnson: Johnson has also seen a mild bump in his playing with 42-45% of the snaps over the last two weeks while averaging eight touches and 45.5 total yards. Among 59 qualifying backs, Johnson is 43rd in missed tackles forced per attempt and 24th in yards after contact per attempt. With Johnson losing the route and red zone battle to Herbert, it’s tough to trust him in lineups on limited volume. The matchup is juicy, with Denver giving up the tenth-highest yards per carry to zone (4.58) in Weeks 1-2 (Johnson 52.8% zone). Week 4 Positional Value: RB4

Wide Receivers

Jerry Jeudy: Jeudy has seen his route run per team dropback rate between 76-81% since his return. This is a fine number that could continue to trend up. Since his return to the lineup, he’s second on the team with a 17.1% Target share, but he’s leading the way heavily with a 30.6% first-read share. Since Week 2, among 98 qualifying receivers, Jeudy ranks 44th in receiving grade and 51st in yards per route run (YPRR). Over the last two weeks, Jeudy has drawn an 18.8% Target share, a 21% air yard share, and a 33.3% first-read share against zone (2.17 YPRR). This could be a liftoff spot for Jeudy in Week 4. He will run about 67% of his routes from the slot against Greg Stroman Jr. (75.4% catch rate and 111.2 passer rating). Week 4 Positional Value: WR2/3

Courtland Sutton: Over the last two weeks with Jeudy in the lineup, among 98 qualifying wide receivers, Sutton ranks 35th in receiving grade and 31st in YPRR. He has led the team with a 25.1% Target share and a 30.4% air yard share. He’s also dominated end zone targets with three of the team’s four end zone targets in this stretch. Over this two-game span, Sutton has seen a whopping 29.2% Target share and 25.0% first read share (second to only Jeudy) against zone coverage (2.17 YPRR). Sutton will run about 74% of his routes on the perimeter against Jaylon Jones (career: 70% catch rate and 93.0 passer rating) and Tyrique Stevenson (69.2% catch rate and 147.4 passer rating). Week 4 Positional Value: WR2/3

Marvin Mims: Mims remains only a part-time player. No, I don’t know why Sean Payton hasn’t made the talented rookie a full-time player yet. Mims has the eighth-best receiving grade and leads all wide receivers in YPRR (minimum five targets). Over the last two weeks, he has a 10% Target share, a 29.9% air yard share, and a 29.7 aDOT. He leads the team with a 32% TPRR against zone coverage. He could have another banner day on limited volume on deep shots against a secondary that has allowed the seventh-highest passer rating and the 12th-highest adjusted completion rate to passes traveling 20 or more yards downfield. This could be the week that Mims gets a snap bump. If you need ceiling from your flex play, Mims could be your guy this week. He will run about 80% of his routes against Jaylon Jones (career: 70% catch rate and 93.0 passer rating) and Tyrique Stevenson (69.2% catch rate and 147.4 passer rating). Week 4 Positional Value: WR4 with boom potential

D.J. Moore: Moore has a 15.9% Target share and a 33.7% air yard share. He has amassed 1.70 YPRR with a strong 27.5% first-read share. Moore popped off with a 100-yard receiving day in Week 2 and secured a touchdown in Week 3. The signs of life in this passing attack are difficult to see at times, but I think this is a week to go back to plugging in Moore into your lineups. Moore remains a talented player, but he’s stuck inside of what looks like a broken offense. Moore will run about 83% of his routes against Pat Surtain lll (61.5% catch rate and 122.3 passer rating) and Damarri Mathis (85.7% catch rate and 151.3 passer rating). Moore has accounted for 32.3% of the Bears’ receiving yards. He’s the only Chicago wide receiver that can be started currently. This is a good week to reignite the faith candle in Moore. Week 4 Positional Value: WR3/4

All other CHI wide receivers: Only D.J. Moore has seen above an 11% Target share and accounted for more than 10.7% of the team’s receiving yards. With Fields struggling as a passer, Darnell Mooney and Chase Claypool are must-sits.

Week 4 Positional Value:

Tight Ends

Cole Kmet: Kmet has a 15.9% Target share and 19.8% of the team’s receiving yardage. Among 32 qualifying tight ends, he ranks ninth in receiving grade and ninth in YPRR. Denver has allowed the 12th-lowest receiving yards to tight ends, but they have been gashed for the second-highest yards per reception. Week 4 Positional Value: TE2

Adam Trautman: Trautman has had a 72.8% route run per team dropback rate over the last two weeks, but it has culminated in a 2.9% Target share. Ouch. Trautman is droppable. Chicago has allowed the 13th-lowest yards per reception to tight ends. Week 4 Positional Value: Droppable

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The Primer: Week 4 Edition (2023 Fantasy Football)

Fantasy Football Primer

Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills

Denver Broncos vs. Chicago Bears

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