Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate has 10 games at DraftKings and nine games at FanDuel starting at 7:07 pm ET. The picks for tonight’s slate are narrowed to four starting pitchers, two stacks, three studs and three values/punts.
Tuesday's Starting Pitcher Strategy
The top two pitchers on the table are the best options in cash games and GPPs, respectively. The final two pitchers on the table are the best SP2s at DK and disinteresting on FD.
Cash Game Recommendations:
Freddy Peralta (MIL) vs. MIA
Peralta has pitched outstanding lately. He's also done well at home. According to FanGraphs, in his previous five starts spanning 28.1 innings, Peralta has had a 2.22 ERA, 2.92 xFIP, 2.98 SIERA, 0.88 WHIP, 29.6 CSW%, 92 Stuff+, 103 Location+ and 104 Pitching+. In addition, in 82.2 innings at home this year, he's had a 3.59 ERA, 2.99 xFIP, 0.99 WHIP, 7.5 BB% and 35.2 K%.
Peralta should make the most of a favorable matchup. The Marlins are 21st in wRC+ (90) and have a 21.2 K% versus righties in 2023. Miami is tied for 20th in wRC+ (92) and has a 20.2 K% in the previous 30 days. Finally, they're tied for 21st in wRC+ (90) and have a 22.7 K% on the road this year.
Bryan Woo (SEA) vs. LAA
Woo has an underwhelming 4.50 ERA in 26.0 innings at home this year. However, the rookie righty's 3.89 xFIP, 1.15 WHIP, 5.6 BB% and 29.6 K% are more encouraging.
The matchup can bring the best out of him tonight. The Angels are tied for 12th in wRC+ (103) but have a 24.5 K% versus righties in 2023. They're also playing out the string, ranking 29th in wRC+ (79) with a 23.9 K% in the previous 30 days.
The betting info is also superb. Per Betting Pros, Seattle is -225, and the game's total is 7.5 runs.
GPP Recommendations:
Justin Verlander (HOU) vs. OAK
Verlander has outkicked his ERA estimators lately, owning a 3.41 ERA, 5.12 xFIP and 4.48 SIERA in his previous five starts, totaling 29.0 innings. The gap isn't ideal. Yet, his 109 Stuff+, 106 Location+ and 111 Pitching+ are reasons to believe he wasn't merely lucky.
Verlander can maintain his momentum tonight. The Athletics are 22nd in wRC+ (89) and have a 25.0 K% versus righties in 2023. Oakland is tied for 12th in wRC+ (104) but has a 24.8 K% in the previous 30 days. They're also tied for 21st in wRC+ (90) and have a 23.8 K% on the road this year. Lastly, Houston is -320, and the game's total is 8.5 runs.
Sean Manaea (SF) vs. CLE
Manaea has massive home and road splits. He's a tire fire on the road. Yet, the veteran lefty has a 3.74 ERA, 3.68 xFIP, 1.09 WHIP, 8.1 BB% and 28.5 K% in 45.2 innings at home this year.
The visitors will offer him a desirable matchup tonight. The Guardians are 29th in wRC+ (81) versus lefties in 2023. Cleveland is 24th in wRC+ (90) and has a 20.3 K% in the previous 30 days. In addition, they're 20th in wRC+ (91) on the road this year. Thus, the Giants are -143, and the game's total is 8.5 runs.
Top Lineup Stacks
- Home (Citi Field)
- Value: High
- Risk: Medium
- Game Type: Both
- Game Total/Moneyline: Unlisted
The Mets have an average to slightly above-average offense against righties and a cushy matchup tonight. In 25 starts spanning 130.2 innings this season, Ryne Nelson has a 5.30 ERA, 5.33 xERA, 5.27 xFIP, 1.42 WHIP, 7.0 BB% and 15.2 K%. The righty is also lousy against all hitters. He's allowed a .366 wOBA to lefties and a .352 wOBA to righties in 2023.
- Road (Coors Field)
- Value: Low
- Risk: Low
- Game Type: Both
- Game Total/Moneyline: 11.5 Runs/CHC -190
The Cubs have another golden opportunity for an offensive outburst tonight after scoring a relatively disappointing five runs last night. Chris Flexen toes the slab tonight, entering the contest with a 7.36 ERA, 6.00 xERA and 5.10 xFIP in 80.2 innings this season. He's allowed 2.57 HR/9, yielded a .374 wOBA to lefties and coughed up a .427 wOBA to righties. Colorado's relievers are also tied for the highest ERA this year.
- Cody Bellinger has 25 homers, 20 stolen bases, a .360 OBP, .233 ISO and 142 wRC+ in 483 plate appearances this season.
- In 407 plate appearances against righties this year, Brandon Nimmo has 20 homers, a .362 OBP, .226 ISO and 134 wRC+.
- Seiya Suzuki has hit 14 homers with a .345 OBP, .209 ISO and 123 wRC+ in 362 plate appearances versus righties this season.
- DJ Stewart has hit 10 homers with a .337 OBP, .389 ISO and 170 wRC+ in 99 plate appearances against righties this year.
- In 132 plate appearances against righties at home in his career, Brett Baty has hit seven homers with a .336 OBP, .225 ISO and 128 wRC+.
- According to Baseball-Reference, Ronny Mauricio has hit 20 homers with a .867 OPS in 438 plate appearances against righties this year.
Tuesday's Hitter Strategy
The Cubs and Mets have excellent hitters to mix on DFS rosters, offering gamers a blend of high-end talent and punts.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
