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Here are all the players we’re trading this week. And below let’s take a closer look at trade advice specific to the wide receiver position.
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Fantasy Football Trade Advice
Players to Buy
No Bengals bounce back, but a rebound performance for Tee Higgins. 8 for 89 yards and two TDs on a team-high 12 targets (31% target share). That’s why we chase the air yards, folks. Another quiet day for Ja’Marr Chase as the Bengals offense continues to underwhelm. Considering where Chase went in fantasy drafts, managers might be getting irritated. Buy LOW. Higgins’ big Week 2 game shows this offense can still create big weeks for WRs. And it could have easily been Chase with the monster game, considering he saw 4 red-zone targets but came up short of finding the end zone. His lulls are not out of the ordinary, so I’d be aggressive trying to acquire him.
If Joe Burrow is healthy – aggravated his calf strain – the next stretch of games is SALIVATING. Rams, Titans, Cardinals and Seahawks. Buy the Bengals.
A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith saw six and five targets, respectively, but Smith came away with the two TDs. AJB ran bad again, having one of his TDs called back due to a Penny holding penalty. Two weeks in, Brown leads the Eagles with a 30% target share, followed by Smith at 28%. But because Smith has the long completions and two TDs, he has been the Eagles fantasy WR1. But he’s not. AJB still ranks 1st on the team in expected fantasy points per game (15.4) through two games. Buy low if anybody is souring on him after a quiet Thursday night game.
Jaylen Waddle is in the concussion protocol, which would open targets up for others behind Tyreek Hill. Tight end Durham Smythe and WR Braxton Berrios would be the primary beneficiaries. Smythe played almost every snap for the second straight game and Berrios has averaged four targets to start the year.
Assuming everything checks out with Waddle’s health, he’s a buy-low target for me. He’s been overshadowed by Hill to start the year but is coming off an 86-yard performance on just four catches Sunday night. He only has four catches in each of the first two games but has averaged over 80 receiving yards per game. Averaging over 20 yards per reception. Just needs some TD luck, that could easily come in a BIG WAY if Patrick Surtain matches up with Hill versus Denver in Week 3.
It was a quiet game for Brandon Aiyuk (6 targets) but he took some shots and might have been playing through some pain. He only played 53% of the snaps. I’d buy low. He still was the leader in air yards (63%) and still ran a route on 77% of dropbacks. Doubled George Kittle‘s targets. Kittle remains a bust candidate as the clear-cut third option in the pecking order. 6 catches through two games.
And through two games in 2023, Aiyuk owns a 28% target share and is the leader in air yards. Samuel leads the team with a 31% target share.
Romeo Doubs led the team in routes run (79%), followed by Jayden Reed (65%) in Week 2. Again, we saw Jordan Love spread the target wealth. But through two games, Reed owns a team-high 25% target share and 30% air yards share. His weighted opportunity is the same as DK Metcalf. The talented rookie is a massive buy for me. Some might be concerned about Chrisitan Watson’s return, but Reed’s role in the slot will remain the same with Watson back in the lineup. Watson will impact the other Packers WRs like Doubs. And speaking of Watson…he’s also a major trade for target. Again, his concern entering the year was tied to Jordan Love being good. I think through two weeks where Love has tossed 6 TDs, we should be confident he can support Watson – who was viewed as the clear frontrunner in the Packers WR room. I know he is coming off an injury, but he’s young and returned to success after injuries last season. Reed and Watson are guys I will be targeting in draft before Week 3.
Especially given the Packers’ knack for dialing up some large passing plays that have not been able to connect on. But that’s Watson’s bread and butter, so I’d expect he steps right into seeing those high-value downfield looks. Many of those went to Wicks in Week 2, but he didn’t capitalize enough.
Keenan Allen (8-111-2), Mike Williams (8-83-0) both dominated in Week 2.
Most surprising is that Allen scored the TDs…while Williams saw the most targets (13, 33% target share). Williams hasn’t had the true BOOM game, but the Vikings defense might be the perfect cure he needs to EXPLODE.
Michael Pittman Jr. (WR – IND)
Minshew heavily targeted Michael Pittman Jr. Nine targets from Minshew, after seeing three from Anthony Richardson. Caught 8 for 56 yards on a total of 12 targets. Even if Richardson misses time, I’d view Pittman as a buy-low with the QBs force-feeding him targets. The first two plays were targets to Pittman after he saw one target in the first half last week. Minshew, a veteran, is not as bad for Pittman as many might automatically think for the WR’s fantasy value.
So although he was listed as a sell last week, I am changing my tune after Pittman was slightly less productive in Week 2 with new question marks about his quarterback’s availability. The guy ranks fourth in target share (33%) over the first two games.
Nico Collins baby. 7 for 146 and 1 with nine targets in Week 2. 25% target rate per route this season. 5th in receiving yards (226). 5th in total air yards. A monster after the catch looking to dish out punishment. Looks like he is on the cusp of a true breakout.
Jerry Jeudy returned and was second in targets (5, 19% target share), going 3 for 25. After it was reported he would not be on a “pitch count” he only played 68% of the snaps, running a route on 85% of dropbacks. Not totally full-time, but pretty close.
Sutton led all receivers in targets (7) and did 5 for 66. They also went to him for the failed two-point conversion after the Hail Mary to Brandon Johnson. Johnson caught one TD earlier.
Backfield was more of a committee again. Perine was slightly more involved as a receiver, where Javonte Williams saw the bulk of rushing work – 12 for 44 yards. Perine out-snapped Williams (50% vs. 45%).
And Denver just HAD to get rookie Jaleel McLaughlin the TD on his lone carry.
Two weeks in, consider me not a fan of the Denver offense. What a mess.
At least Adam Trautman played a full-time role. 82% snap share. But just 69% route participation. Mid usage for a tight end with virtually no targets.
Denver’s got the Dolphins and Bears the next two weeks, so there’s a chance we could see an uptick in offensive production. At this point, I’d still be a buyer of Jeudy. He’s presumably healthy and that was the only reason I shied away from him at the end of the draft season.
Nico Collins didn’t lead the Texans in targets – that was rookie WR Tank Dell. 7 for 72 on 10 targets. With Noah Brown on IR, Dell got to see an expanded role. 81% route participation was higher than Collins (72% same as Week 1). I love Collins, but the fact that Dell was so productive in Week 2 is eye-opening. He and Collins both scored, but Tank also had another TD wiped off the board due to a penalty.
Players to Sell
To add insult to injury, Garrett Wilson got hurt towards the end of the game. He finished with just two grabs on eight targets (32% target share). Many were off the mark or uncatchable. A lot of air yards of sadness (49%).
The only way the Jets could move the ball was to Garrett Wilson or dump off Tyler Conklin targets (5 for 50 on six targets). Backfield is impossible to trust because nobody is commanding volume and it’s going to be inefficient.
Best to get out of the Garrett Wilson business fresh of weeks where he has salvaged production with TDs. He won’t do that every week as good as he is.
Mike Evans with 6-171-1 does it again on eight targets (25% target share). Catches another bomb versus a horrible defense. The Chicago Bears D is that bad. Chris Godwin also saw eight targets, but no scores. Mayfield missed him in the end zone. 5 for 58 to end the day. Think Evans’ reign of terror versus defenses comes to an end versus the Eagles strong perimeter cornerbacks. He remains a sell high as we anxiously await this Buccaneers’ 2-0 Super Bowl run to end. Godwin is the sharp buy low target. Steady as they come with five catches for 50-plus yards on seven targets per game in his first two contests.
Travis Kelce came back and immediately was the Chiefs’ No. 1 target. Nine targets but caught just four for 26 yards. Was not in a full-time role (64% snap share) coming off his knee injury.
But Kelce he scored – perks of being Patrick Mahomes‘ favorite red zone target. Speaking of targets, Mahomes targeted 12 different players…not ideal for fantasy football purposes. Keep in mind through two weeks with no Kelce and a limited Kelce…nobody has more than 13% target share.
Nobody else saw more than 5 (Kadarius Toney, Justin Watson). Skyy Moore led with 70 receiving yards and scored. The majority of yards came on a 54-catch where he was wide open in the 4th quarter. Toney caught all of his five targets. Fun twist, also fumble for a 12-yard loss. He leads the team in targets through two weeks (10).
Still, Moore’s lack of targets remains concerning. 11% target rate per route run through two games. Woof. Rookie Rashee Rice has the same number of targets and target share (9%) on just 18 routes run (39% target rate per route run). Rice had three targets in Week 2 (one called back for penalty).
Marquez Valdes-Scantling ran the most routes as he tends to do, but a lot of it’s just cardio.
For me, the move is to SELL Skyy Moore. Talked about that in Week 2’s version of this article because he’s just not getting ANY reliable or consistent target share. He scored a big TD in Week 2. Use it as leverage to ship him off. KC plays the Chicago Bears Week 3. No doubt one of these WRs is going to have a big game. Good luck guessing which one. I’ll do my best to find the answer.
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