Fantasy Football Week 4 Rankings, Grades & Start/Sit Advice (2023)

Welcome to Week 4, friends. As always, we’re here to provide you with some fantasy football Quick Grades (or Start/Sit Grades, if you prefer) for the week.

We tapped into our consensus projections and rankings and Derek Brown’s weekly Primer to generate this week’s Quick Grades. See below for the results and accompanying notes.

• Fitz’s Tiers & Rankings
• Weekly Fantasy Football Expert Rankings
• Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice
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Week 4 Quarterback Start/Sit Grades

Trevor Lawrence: Lawrence has been struggling in the early going. He is the QB22 in fantasy points per game with the 15th-best adjusted completion rate while running 23rd in yards per attempt. This isn’t the type of production you hoped for this season after his scorching end to the 2022 season. This week’s matchup is no cakewalk, so we’ll all collectively hold our breath to see if Lawrence can start to turn things around here. Atlanta has allowed the fifth-lowest yards per attempt, the eighth-lowest passer rating, and the 12th-fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. Week 4 Positional Value: low-end QB1

Tua Tagovailoa: How quickly all those offseason concerns for Tagovailoa have disappeared. That’s what happens when you continually prove the doubters wrong. Tagovailoa continues to do just that. He is the QB4 in fantasy, ranking first in passing grade, tenth-best in adjusted completion rate, and first in big-time throw rate. The Bills are a formidable pass defense, but Tagovailoa can still carve them up. Buffalo has held the opposition to 20th in yards per attempt, but they have surrendered the tenth-highest adjusted completion rate. Buffalo has also had issues defending the deep ball. Last year, Buffalo defended the 13th-fewest deep ball attempts in the NFL, but they gave up the 12th-highest adjusted completion rate and ninth-highest passer rating on throw 20 or more yards. This season, Tagovailoa has the eighth-most deep attempts (tied) and the ninth-highest deep-adjusted completion rate. Buffalo is sixth in pressure rate, but Miami has allowed Tagovailoa to face the league’s lowest pressure rate. The Tua train continues to roll this week. Week 4 Positional Value: QB1

Josh Allen: Allen has been on point after his debacle in Week 1. Over the last two weeks, he ranks third in passing grade, sixth in big-time throw rate, and first in adjusted completion rate. Since Week 2, Allen has been fifth in fantasy points per dropback. Miami has been a run-of-the-mill pass defense, ranking 15th in yards per attempt and passer rating allowed. They have struggled to defend play-action passing, which could lead to another massive Allen outing. Miami has permitted the 13th-highest play-action adjusted completion rate, the sixth-most play-action passing touchdowns (tied), and the eighth-highest play-action passer rating. Allen is 14th in play-action dropback rate with the fifth-highest play-action yards per attempt and the highest passer rating when utilizing play-action. Week 4 Positional Value: High-end QB1

Justin Fields: Fields has been tough to watch. There’s no way around it. The Bears offense looks broken. He has the fifth-lowest passing grade, the fourth-lowest adjusted completion rate, and the highest time to throw. The baffling thing is that Fields still only has three designed runs this season. Three! I still can’t wrap my head around this. Last year, Fields had six games in which he had at least three designed runs. It’s like Luke Getsy decided to take away his quarterback’s best weapon this season. It’s head-scratching. Fields still ranks fifth in carries per game and eighth in rushing yards per game, so his rushing equity isn’t totally lifeless. If Fields can’t produce in this matchup, it’s time to consider cutting him to the waiver wire. The Broncos have a Swiss cheese run defense, as we saw last week, but their secondary has also been riding the struggle bus this season. Denver has allowed the highest yards per attempt, the most passing touchdowns, and the highest adjusted completion rate. Week 4 Positional Value: Dice roll QB with top-12 upside

Russell Wilson: Wilson looks like a player with a second life, with Sean Payton. He is tenth in passing grade, sixth in yards per attempt, and 13th in adjusted completion rate as the QB10 in fantasy. Wilson should post another solid stat line against the Bears’ zone defense (55-67% zone for CHI’s corners). Wilson is 13th in passer rating and fifth in fantasy points per dropback against zone this season. Chicago’s pass defense has been a turnstile, allowing the third-highest yards per attempt, the fourth-highest passer rating, and the fifth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks. Week 4 Positional Value: QB1

Deshaun Watson: Watson looked better against Tennessee’s pass funnel defense last week, but we need to see if he can continue that level of play. His numbers have not been impressive, ranking 17th in passing grade, 19th in yards per attempt, and 19th in adjusted completion rate. Baltimore has a tough pass defense, allowing the third-fewest yards per attempt and 12th-lowest passer rating. The Ravens have surrendered the ninth-fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. Baltimore’s 24th-ranked pressure rate is painful, but they have been blitzing at the eighth-highest rate. If the blitz can get home, Watson is in trouble. He has the 19th-best adjusted completion rate and the second-lowest yards per attempt this season against the blitz. Week 4 Positional Value: QB2

Matthew Stafford: Stafford continues to look like a quarterback that is still in his prime. He ranks sixth in passing grade, ninth in yards per attempt, and first in big-time throw rate. The Colts are an advantageous matchup for the strong armed veteran. Indy has allowed the eighth-highest yards per attempt and passer rating. The Colts have given up the fourth-most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. Week 4 Positional Value: QB1

Anthony Richardson: Richardson remains a work in progress as a passer ranking 28th in passing grade and 16th in adjusted completion rate. In fantasy he remains a must-start QB1. He ranks first in fantasy points per dropback with his legs doing the heavy lifting. He is fifth in carries per game, first in red zone carries, and fourth in rushing yards per game. The Rams have been a spunky pass defense. They are also outplaying preseason expectations. Los Angeles has held passers to the seventh-lowets yards per attempt, the sixth-lowest passer rating, and the fourth-lowest adjusted completion rate. Richardson will be forced to compensate with rushing yards to aid his fantasy day which shouldn’t be a problem. Week 4 Positional Value: QB1

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Week 4 Wide Receiver Start/Sit Grades

Puka Nacua: Nacua is the WR7 in fantasy, commanding a 31.7% target share (fourth-best) and a 31.3% air-yard share. He ranks 12th in YPRR and fourth in first-read share. All of those numbers should bump even higher this week against Indy’s zone-centric defense (at least 80% of their corner’s snaps). Against zone, Nacua has a 37.0% target share, a 38.1% air-yard share, and a 43.9% first-read share (3.44 YPRR!). Nacua will run about 63% of his routes against Juju Brents (60% catch rate and 67.1 passer rating) and Dallis Flowers (61.5% catch rate and 107.2 passer rating). Get ready to shotgun a gallon of Puka Juice this week in celebration of another banner day. Week 4 Positional Value: Locked-in WR1

Tutu Atwell: Atwell has also been a happy surprise for the Rams and fantasy gamers this season with a 20.6% target share, a 31.9% air yard share, and 1.97 YPRR. Atwell’s numbers drop some when the Rams face zone as he has a 16.3% target share, a 23.4% air yard share, and 1.76 YPRR. The passing offense has condensed around Nacua against zone. Atwell could eat into that monster target share as we move through the season to keep the teams honest. Beating off coverage should not be a problem for Atwell. He will run about 55% of his routes against Brents and Flowers. Week 4 Positional Value: WR3

Michael Pittman: Pittman has a 28.4% target share and a 27.1% air-yard share with 1.96 YPRR. If we’re staying on the train and riding with the biggest surprises of the 2023 season so far, Pittman has to be among them. He is the WR12 in fantasy. Richardson being a better passer than many gave him credit for in the predraft process has helped fuel this production. The Rams have utilized zone coverage on 52-56% of their corner’s snaps. Against zone, Pittman’s target share has increased to 28.6%, and his first read share has climbed from 36.3% to an insane 41.2%. Pittman will run about 75% of his routes against Ahkello Witherspoon (38.5% catch rate and 22.0 passer rating) and Derion Kendrick (40% catch rate and 70.1 passer rating). Week 4 Positional Value: WR2

Mike Evans: Evans colorful and underperforming history against Marshon Lattimore needs no massive explanation besides the tweet above. Since 2020, in the four games in which Lattimore shadowed him and they both played the entire game, Evans secured three touchdowns, but he failed to cross 50 receiving yards in every game but one. Evans has been playing quite well this year with Mayfield which I can honestly tell you I didn’t see coming. Evans is the WR6 in fantasy commanding a 29.0% target share, a 51.4% air yard share, and a 37.3% first-read share. Lattimore has already shadowed once this season holding DeAndrew Hopkins to four targets, two receptions, and 24 receiving yards (followed on 42% of routes). Lattimore is in mid-season form allowing a 41.7% catch rate and 20.8 passer rating in coverage. Drop Evans in your rankings. Week 4 Positional Value: WR3

Chris Godwin: Godwin ha a 19.4% target share, a 23.9% air-yard share, and a 25.4% first-read share. Tampa Bay has him running more routes on the perimeter this year. Godwin ranks 23rd in receiving grade and 43rd in YPRR (among 87 qualifying wideouts). Godwin leads the team with five red zone targets. If Lattimore is in Evans’ back pocket all day that means Godwin will see Isacc Yiadom (36.4% catch rate and 75.2 passer rating). Week 4 Positional Value: WR2/3

Chris Olave: Olave has been amazing this season. He has a 30.8% target share, a 40.3% air-yard share, and a 35.2% first-read share (leads the team). The budding superstar ranks third and seventh in receiving grade and YPRR among 87 qualifying wide receivers. He also leads the NFL in deep targets as the WR15 in fantasy. If Winston is looking to take advantage of the Bucs’ deep passing defense problems, Olave will be involved. Week 4 Positional Value: WR1

Michael Thomas: Thomas has a 23.1% target share and a 21.5% air yard share as he’s been the underneath weapon for the Saints (8.5 aDOT). Thomas is ranked 47th in receiving grade and 45th in YPRR. He leads the team with five red zone targets, although he has failed to secure one for a touchdown yet. Thomas might not be vintage Thomas, but he’s still a solid NFL receiver that complements Olave well. Week 4 Positional Value: WR3

Terry McLaurin: McLaurin has a 16.2% target share, a 24.8% air yard share, and a team-leading 23.8% first-read share. McLaurin ranks 59th in receiving grade and 57th in YPRR. Both marks are easily the lowest of his career. Blame Howell or McLaurin’s early season toe injury, but either way you slice it, something is off here. James Bradberry played some nickel last week, but I expect him to move back to the boundary full-time this week. McLaurin will run about 82% of his routes against Bradberry (55.6% catch rate and 115.0 passer rating) and Darius Slay (66.7% catch rate and 95.9 passer rating). Week 4 Positional Value: WR3

Jahan Dotson: Dotson is tied with McLaurin with a 16.2% target share, but he only has an 18.4% air yard share. His first-read share is only 15.9% as well (second on the team). He has fallen off the shelf after a promising start to the season. He has only 0.74 YPRR at this point. Dotson will run about half of his routes on the perimeter against Slay and Bradberry. Week 4 Positional Value: WR4/5

Jordan Addison: Addison is inching closer and closer to benign a full-time player. Last week he saw his route run rate increase against from 71.7% to 76.4%. Just do it Minnesota. Get it over with. Make Addison an 80-90% route run per team dropback rate player. Your offense needs it. Addison also saw his target share increase to 16.0% last week (20.1% air-yard share). Among 87 qualified receivers, Addison is ranked 50th in receiving grade and 38th in YPRR. Addison ranks fifth on the team with only two red zone targets, so if he scores this week it will likely have to be on a long reception. Addison will run about 78% of his routes against Jackson and Henderson. Week 4 Positional Value: WR3/4

George Pickens: Pickens has seen elite volume without Diontae Johnson. He has a 25.9% target share, a 39.2% air yard share, and a 35.3% first-read share over the last two games with 3.61 YPRR. Over that same span, Pickens has had a 27.8% target share, a 47.4% first-read share, and 4.49 YPRR against zone coverage. Houston’s corners have operated in zone this year on 66-70% of their coverage snaps. Pickens should be a target hog this week, running about 91% of his routes on the perimeter. Week 4 Positional Value: WR2 with WR1 upside

Nico Collins: Collins is the WR21 in fantasy points per game. Over the last two weeks, he has a 15.6% target share, a 19.8% air yard share, and a 23.1% first-read share (second on the team). Collins began the season by smashing in Weeks 1 & 2, but he has taken a step back to Tank Dell since he hit the starting lineup. Collins will run about 80% of his routes against Patrick Peterson (56.3% catch rate and 94.3 passer rating) and Levi Wallace (64% catch rate and 82.4 passer rating). Week 4 Positional Value: WR2/3

Tank Dell: Dell is that dude. He immediately supplanted Collins as the team’s WR1 once he hit the starting lineup. Over the last two weeks, he has had a 22.1% target share (first), a 33.0% air yard share (first), and a 25% first-read share (first). He’s done all of this while producing 3.35 YPRR while running 70% of his routes on the perimeter. This is king-level stuff here. Don’t dismiss Dell anymore because of size, draft capital, or anything ridiculous reason. He can play, and he’s showing the world that, like Stroud, he’s the real deal. Dell will see Peterson and Wallace in coverage on most of his routes. Week 4 Positional Value: WR2/3

Week 4 Running Back Start/Sit Grades

Josh Jacobs: Jacobs has played 73-82% of the snaps weekly, averaging 18.8 touches and 66.7 total yards. Among 59 qualified backs, Jacobs ranks 35th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 43rd in yards after contact per attempt. Jacobs’ 2.65 yards after contact per attempt in Week 3 isn’t something to write home about, but it’s his best single-game performance in 2023. The Bolts have allowed the 11th-highest missed tackles per attempt and the sixth-highest yards after contact per attempt. The only issue for Jacobs is that the Chargers have held gap runs to the tenth-lowest yards per carry (Jacobs 73.3% gap). Jacobs can also lean on his pass game role weekly to help pad his floor. He is sixth in targets, seventh in target share, and fourth in YPRR. Week 4 Positional Value: low-end RB1

James Conner: Conner’s currently RB13, playing anywhere between 64-84% of the snaps averaging 19.3 touchest and 97.4 total yards. Conner has been running like he’s turning back the clock. He doesn’t look like a 28-year-old back out there. He ranks fourth in explosive run rate, 24th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 20th in yards after contact per attempt. San Francisco is an elite-run defense. They have yielded the seventh-lowest explosive run rate, the sixth-lowest missed tackles allowed rate, and the fourth-lowest yards after contact per attempt. Week 4 Positional Value: RB2/3

Isiah Pacheco: Over the last two weeks, Pacheco has averaged 15 touches and 74 total yards while playing 42-51% of the snaps. Pacheco ranks 19th in explosive run rate and 20th in missed tackles forced per attempt. He has the fifth-most red zone touches and only one touchdown to show for it. The Jets run defense is nasty. They have kept rushers bottled up with the fourth-lowest explosive run rate, the second-lowest yards after contact per attempt, and the 11th-lowest yards per carry to gap runs (Pacheco 57% gap). Week 4 Positional Value: RB3

Jerick McKinnon: McKinnon has played between 29-32% of the snaps this season. He has averaged 3.3 touches and 20 total yards. Last week reminded everyone about something they already knew. McKinnon can pop off for multiple touchdowns at the drop of a hat. Last year’s scorching stretch run should have displayed that. This is a good week to go back to the well against a New York defense that has surrendered the fourth-most receptions and the fifth-most receiving yards to running backs. Week 4 Positional Value: Touchdown or bust flex

Breece Hall: Hall has seen his snaps increase each week. Last week, he played 49% of the snaps with 13 touches and 27 total yards. Without the threat of the pass, opposing defenses have no reason not to stack the line. Hall is facing the seventh-highest rate of defenders in the box and the ninth-highest stacked carry rate. Unless Wilson takes a miraculous step forward, we should expect this to continue for the rest of the season. Hall ranks eighth in explosive run rate, 13th-worst in stuff rate, and 14th-best in missed tackles forced per attempt. The Chiefs have permitted the 11th-highest explosive run rate and the sixth-worst stuff rate, but they have held zone rushers to the 11th-lowest yards per carry (Hall 57.7% zone). Week 4 Positional Value: RB3

Dalvin Cook: Cook has seen his snaps drop each week. In Week 3 he only played 25% of the snaps. He has averaged 10.6 touches with only 33.3 total yards. Cook looks like a shell of his former self. He has not recorded one explosive run thi season. He has the eighth-worst stuff rate and the 13th-lowest missed tackles forced per attempt. Cook is teetering dangerously close to drop territory. Week 4 Positional Value: Must-sit

Kenneth Walker: Walker has played 51-63% of the snaps weekly with 18.4 touches and 92.3 total yards per game. Walker ranks 11th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 13th in yards after contact per attempt. When Walker was a prospect, I was told he couldn’t catch. That receiving wouldn’t be part of his game. Well, don’t look know, Walker has made strides as a receiver. He ranks fourth in receiving grade and second in YPRR. New York has given up the sixth-highest explosive run rate while also ranking 18th in yards after contact per attempt. Week 4 Positional Value: RB1

Zach Charbonnet: Charbonnet played 43% of the snaps last week with eight touches and 45 total yards. Charbonnet has five red zoe totes and one carry inside the five yard line. Charbonnet is a steam roller ranking 24th in yard after contact per attempt and 30th in missed tackles forced per attempt. Week 4 Positional Value: Handcuff/low-end RB3

Bijan Robinson: While Allgeier still has a firm grasp on red zone work, Robinson has asserted himself as the team’s bellcow with each passing week. Robinson played 63% of the snaps in Week 1. That figure stood at 81% in Week 3. Robinson has averaged 17.7 touches and 105 total yards. Robinson’s pass game usage has been juicy. He ranks second in route run per team dropback rate, first in target share (19.3%!), and fifth in YPRR. I’m not trying to bury the lead, but he’s also a special rushing talent, ranking sixth in missed tackles forced per attempt and 22nd in yards after contact per attempt. The Jaguars’ run defense has been legit, but they have some exploitable weaknesses if Arthur Smith is willing to change things up this week. Jacksonville has held rushers to the third-lowest explosive run rate while they also have the third-highest stuff rate. Here’s where things get interesting, though. The Jaguars have yielded the lowest yards per carry to zone runs, but they have permitted the fourth-highest yards per carry to gap runs (5.0). Robinson has only been used on gap runs on 28% of his attempts this season, but he has the fourth-highest yards per carry (6.9 nice!) on gap scheme runs. If Smith is willing to alter the run game plan, Robinson could have a huge day. The Jaguars will also allow production through the air for Robinson. They have given up the 12th-most receiving yards and seventh-most receptions to running backs. Week 4 Positional Value: Matchup proof RB1

Tyler Allgeier: Allgeier’s role has dwindled weekly. Last week, he played only 30% of the snaps with nine touches and 29 total yards. Allgeier has dissolved into a handcuff only or a touchdown-or-bust flex play because of his red zone role. Week 4 Positional Value: Handcuff only

Travis Etienne: Etienne has been the team’s every down back. He’s played at least 71% of the snaps in every game, averaging 20 touches and 94.6 total yards. Among 59 qualifying backs, Etienne ranks 27th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 19th in yards after contact per attempt. Among 45 qualifying receiving backs, he is ninth in route run per team dropback rate, 18th in target share, and 15th in YPRR. Atlanta has been an exploitable run defense, giving up the 12th-highest explosive run rate while also logging the 14th-lowest stuff rate. The Falcons have given up the 11th-highest yards per carry to zone runs (Etienne 51% zone runs). Etienne is a must-start. Week 4 Positional Value: RB1

Tank Bigsby: Bigsby is a handcuff only. His snaps have dropped each week, with only 12% last week. The most interesting thing with Bigsby’s usage so far is that my worries for Etienne at the goal line have been confirmed so far this season. Bigsby has both of the team’s running back carries inside the five-yard line. Week 4 Positional Value: Handcuff only

Raheem Mostert: The above sample size is small. There’s no denying it, but the backfield split for the Dolphins last week got messy, with the team completing the second quarter up 35-13. This is why I looked up the first-quarter usage for these backs when the score was closer (14-7). What we find here is that Mostert had three rushing attempts (Achane four) while handling nearly all of the passing down work. Mostert lost the red zone battle as Achane got both red zone carries (Mostert zero). We’ll see how this split works out in Week 4 in what projects to be a more competitive game. Overall, last week, Mostert played 51% of the snaps with 20 touches and 142 total yards. Mostert ranks fifth in explosive run rate, tenth in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 17th in yards after contact per attempt. This week, Miami could lean on Achane even more. Buffalo’s run defense has been exploitable, allowing the second-highest explosive run rate and the highest yards after contact per attempt. Their Achilles heel is defending gap runs, which has not been Mostert’s bread and butter (Mostert 59% zone). Buffalo has held rushers to the 14th-lowest yards per carry on zone runs. Week 4 Positional Value: RB2

De’Von Achane: Last week Achane went full legend mode. He played 41% of the snaps with 22 touches and 233 total yards. When the score was close in last week’s game, Achane outrushed Mostert (4-3) while getting both of the red zone carries. Mostert was the team’s passing down back. Achane can’t sustain the insane numbers that he posted in Week 3. That’s obvious, but his efficiency numbers are off the chart. He’s first in missed tackles forced per attempt and yards after contact per attempt. Miami could lean on Achane more this week in the rushing department, as his usage lines up with how you destroy Buffalo on the ground. Buffalo’s run defense is bottom-two in explosive run rate and yards after contact per attempt allowed, but they specifically struggle against gap runs (Achane 52.6% gap). Buffalo has held zone runs to the 14th-lowest yards per carry, but they have yielded the highest yards per carry to gap runs (7.0). Pencil in Achane for 12-15 touches this week. Week 4 Positional Value: RB2/3

James Cook: Cook continues to hum along as Buffalo’s lead ball carrier. He’s the RB16 in fantasy, averaging 18 touches and 111.3 total yards, playing 59-62% of the snaps weekly. Cook has been explosive this year, ranking 12th in explosive run rate and ninth in yards after contact per attempt. He is 14th in route run per team dropback rate, 12th in target share, and 17th in YPRR among 45 qualifying running backs. The biggest issue Cook is having isn’t volume or pass game usage but the work near the goal line. Cook has only 33% of the red zone rushing attempts and one carry (of the seven total inside the five carries) inside the five-yard line. Cook will have to grind out tough yards this week, but his usage lines up pretty well with what Miami has issues defending. The Dolphins have given up the 12th-fewest missed tackles per attempt and the 11th-lowest yards after contact per attempt, but they have been vulnerable to gap runs. Miami has allowed the ninth-highest yards per carry (4.72) to gap runs (Cook 79% gap). Miami also has given up the fourth-highest yards per reception to running backs, so if Cook doesn’t get it done on the ground, he can through the air. Week 4 Positional Value: RB1

Week 4 Tight End Start/Sit Grades

Cole Kmet: Kmet has a 15.9% target share and 19.8% of the team’s receiving yardage. Among 32 qualifying tight ends, he ranks ninth in receiving grade and ninth in YPRR. Denver has allowed the 12th-lowest receiving yards to tight ends, but they have been gashed for the second-highest yards per reception. Week 4 Positional Value: TE2

Chigoziem Okonkwo: Small sample size efficiency hype at the tight end position looks to be failing us again in 2023. Last year, it was Albert Okwuegbunam that led us astray. This season, so far, it’s looking like Oknokwo will be it. Oknokwo has a 12.0% target share, a 13.1% first-read share, and only 0.68 YPRR this year. He hasn’t drawn an endzone or red zone target this season. The matchup is nice for Oknokwo this week, so he does fall into the streaming category. The Bengals have been a good matchup for tight ends over the last three years. This season, they have allowed the seventh-most receptions, the tenth-highest yards per reception, and the sixth-most fantasy points to tight ends. Week 4 Positional Value: Matchup-based TE2 streaming option

Tyler Higbee: Higbee has an 11.1% target share and a 15.4% first-read share. Those numbers stay relatively stagnant against zone coverage, as he has a 10.9% target share and a 15.8% first-read share. The same can be said with his YPRR, which only marginally climbs from 1.19 to 1.27. The matchup is favorable for Higbee, though, as Indy has allowed the 11th-highest yards per reception and the eighth-most receiving yards to tight ends. Week 4 Positional Value: Borderline TE1

Logan Thomas: Thomas should be back this week after missing last week’s action due to a concussion. In Week 1, he handled a 22.6% target share, a 24.5% air yard share, and a 22.7% first read share (tied for first on the team). Thomas has big-time upside this week. The Eagles have been bleeding out production to tight ends this season. Philly has allowed the third-most receiving yards, fourth-most receptions, and the most receiving touchdowns to tight ends. Week 4 Positional Value: TE1

Dallas Goedert: Dallas Goedert has soaked up a 16.1% target share and a 9.9% air yard share. He has a 20.7% first-read share. His 5.3 aDOT isn’t doing him any favors this season (0.68 YPRR), but the real culprit has been his fall-off in YAC ability. Last year, he had 6.8 YAC per reception (ninth-best). That has fallen to only 2.4 YAC per reception this season. Against zone coverage, his target share has bumped up to 19.0%, and his first read share has increased to 25.7%, so we could see a few more targets heading in Goedert’s direction this week. The problem for Goedert is that Washington has been exceptional at defending tight ends so far this season. They have surrendered the third-fewest receiving yards and the third-lowest yards per reception. Week 4 Positional Value: TE1

Kyle Pitts: Pitts is the TE18 in fantasy points per game despite all of his usage metrics pointing to better days ahead. He is first in route run per team dropback rate (85%), eighth in target share (19.3%), and sixth in routes. The problem has been that productivity hasn’t followed as he’s TE20 in YPRR (among 34 qualifying tight ends). Pitts is the TE4 in XFP/game. Jacksonville offers Pitts a plus matchup to get on track. The Jaguars have allowed the 14th-most receiving yards, 11th-highest yards per reception, and the third-most receiving touchdowns (tied) to tight ends. Week 4 Positional Value: TE1

Julian Hill: Hill is just a name to file away for a possible stash. He put Durham Smythe on the bench last week. Hill had a 50% route per team dropback rate last week. While he only drew one target, he’s a name to remember if he can seize the every down role for Miami. Week 4 Positional Value: Deep league TE premium stash

Dalton Kincaid: Kincaid has a 59.7% route run per team dropback rate, which is below what we like to see for our fantasy tight ends. The Bills have been using a ton of personnel packages instead of just living in 12 personnel, so both tight ends have seen their routes take a small hit. Kincaid has a 10.9% target share with a suboptimal 3.6 aDOT. Kincaid’s 0.97 YPRR isn’t something to write home about, but the team is using him only for short area dumpoffs. Kincaid’s is sadly in the TE2 realm. He is third on the team in red zone targets. Miami is 17th in receiving yards with the tenth-lowest yards per reception allowed to tight ends. Week 4 Positional Value: TE2

Dawson Knox: Knox is slightly outpacing Kincaid with a 61.3% route run per team dropback rate. Knox has a 10.0% target share and a sad 0.61 YPRR. Knox is tied with Diggs for the team lead in red zone targets, so his touchdown equity in this offense is substantial. If you’re touchdown-hunting at tight end this week, Knox isn’t a bad dart throw. The Dolphins are tied for the third-most receiving touchdowns allowed to tight ends. Week 4 Positional Value: TE2

Week 4 Defense / Special Teams Start/Sit Grades

Week 4 Kicker Start/Sit Grades