Every week we’ll bring you The Primer, a deep dive into every fantasy-relevant player from every NFL game of the week. You can find the full weekly Primer here. Below we dive into a few notable players ahead of this weekend’s games.
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Fantasy Football Outlook
Keenan Allen (LAC) vs. Josh Metellus (MIN)
Keenan Allen finished Week 2 as the WR1 in PPR scoring. He has shown that in this Kellen Moore offense, he is going to score fantasy managers some serious fantasy points. According to FantasyPoints Data Suite, Allen is currently scoring 0.51 fantasy points per route run. This ranks him 12th amongst all wide receivers so far in 2023. However, three of the players currently ranked above him have not run routes on 70% of snaps, indicating they are more specialist players.
Allen is up against Josh Metellus, who has been part of a pretty poor Minnesota Vikings secondary this season. In fact, in the slot, Metallus is giving up 0.52 fantasy points per route run, which is the second-worst among all cornerbacks in the NFL this season (only Tyrique Stevenson is worse with 0.60 fantasy points per route run). Metellus is also being targeted on 22.6% of routes run against him. Once again, this is the second-most in the NFL. It shows offensive coordinators want to target Metellus because he is giving up big plays.
This is a great matchup for Allen and you should expect a sizeable return this week.
Mike Evans (TB) vs. Josh Jobe (PHI)
Although Mike Evans has a contract dispute going on, he has been exceptional so far this season. He is currently the WR4 in PPR scoring, which is a shock to all NFL fans and fantasy managers. Evans has been posting a remarkable 0.44 fantasy points per route run and has easily been the number one target for Baker Mayfield this season.
On Monday Night Football, Evans will match up against Josh Jobe, who has played a mix of left and right corner so far this season. However, it is expected he will spend most of his time covering Evans in Week 3. Jobe comes into this giving up 0.40 fantasy points per route run, which ranks him tied 7th in the NFL . He is also being targeted on 19.3% of routes run at him, which is 9th in the NFL among qualifying cornerbacks.
Evans has made light work of the cornerbacks he has faced this season. And in a game where it is expected Tampa Bay will be chasing Philadelphia (they are currently 5-point underdogs according to DraftKings), it will be even more likely that Evans receives a healthy amount of targets.
Jordan Addison (MIN) vs. Michael Davis (LAC)
Addison has acclimated well to the NFL in his rookie season. He is currently averaging 0.52 fantasy points per route run, which ranks him inside the top-10 of all wide receivers run more than 50% of routes. The sportsbooks have this game as the highest-scoring contest of the weekend, setting the over/under at 54 points.
Michael Davis has been conceding 0.36 fantasy points per route run. However, he has been targeted on 20.8% of routes run against him, which is the 4th most in the NFL so far this season.
Fantasy managers will want to fire up all the wide receivers they can in this game.
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