Let’s roll out the red carpet for the 2023 Usage Report for Week 3, to prepare for success in Week 4. The Fantasy Football Week 4 Rankings Forecast features Waiver Wire Pickups and Buy Low/Sell High Trade Targets. Here is the full Fantasy Forecast for Week 4. Below we’ll dive into a few notable players.
Let’s ride. Because the forecast calls for more action in the upcoming Week 4 slate.
For some overarching data points, check out my Twitter/X thread that covers some important nuggets from Week 3’s action…
Along with snap counts…
- Waiver Wire Advice
- Weekly Fantasy Football Expert Rankings
- Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice
- Fantasy Football Trade Tools
Fantasy Football Outlook
Philadelphia Eagles
Sell D’Andre Swift, Add Kenneth Gainwell, Buy DeVonta Smith
D’Andre Swift continued his rushing reign as the Eagles RB1 in Week 3. He rushed 16 times for 130 yards but did not score. He caught one pass for 8 yards on two targets. Totaled 54% of the snaps.
Kenneth Gainwell was also active and held back Swift’s workload somewhat. Kenny G played 46% of the snaps, totaling 14 carries of his own for 43 rushing yards. He also saw two targets, catching one for 5 yards. The duo split routes run 50/50.
And through the first half, the carries were 5 for each player. And Gainwell was the guy they used to close out the game in the 4th quarter, where he earned his other 9 carries.
Swift’s unreal Thursday night Week 2 usage was never going to carry over into Week 3, given the rare circumstance that game presented. But I’d hardly say managers are disappointed, who stuck with Swift.
He’s an explosive runner with two rushes of 20-plus yards in this game. And considering how good the OL in Philly is, Swift will continue to be efficient. But I’d just be aware of his true ceiling, given that the team doesn’t want to overload him to watch him break down as the season progresses. Jalen Hurts‘ presence also makes TDs hard to come by for any Eagles RB.
If I could sell Swift for a locked-and-loaded RB1, I’d pull the trigger. Because based on his usage and projected outlook in the is offense, he’s probably going to be mid-range fantasy RB2. But there’s no denying his rushing effectiveness, especially with matchups versus the Commanders and the Rams on deck. After just two games, only Christian McCaffrey has more rushing yards than Swift.
A.J. Brown came up big after a slow start to the season, catching nine balls for 131 yards on 14 targets (40% target share). DeVonta Smith wasn’t as involved – 4-28 on 5 targets- but I’d just chalk it up to WR variance. Smith should be fine with plus-matchups on the horizon.
But don’t get it twisted. AJB is WR1 in the offense. 34% target share through three games (4th in the NFL). 10 targets per game. He just hasn’t scored yet. AJB WR1 szn is in reach.
Los Angeles Rams
Sell Kyren Williams
Kyren Williams played 100% of the snaps for the Los Angeles Rams but was not nearly as productive. He rushed just 10 times for 38 yards and did not score. Still, his seven targets were impressive. But he only caught two passes. Williams’ role is elite, no question. But his talent remains in question as a former Day 3 RB undersized unathletic RB. He was also running HOT on TDs to start the year. His inefficiency as a receiver – 8 catches on 19 targets – is also somewhat concerning.
He will offer a super-high floor based on his usage every week, but his ceiling will be tied to his TDs in an average offense. I recommended selling high last week on Williams and I’d double down despite the 100% snap share. The Colts and Eagles’ elite run-stuffing defenses are up next.
Puka Nacua‘s insane streak of production came to a screeching halt in Week 3. “Just” five catches for 72 yards on seven targets. Usage was still elite as an every-snap player. No worries here. Tutu Atwell led the team with 9 targets and scored.
Tyler Higbee also got more involved catching 5 balls for 71 yards on 5 targets.
-Andrew Erickson
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