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Fantasy Football NFL Week 2 Injury Report & Outlook (2023)

Fantasy Football NFL Week 2 Injury Report & Outlook (2023)

Welcome back to your FantasyPros + SportsMedAnalytics injury report for Week 2. We’ll get right to it, but don’t forget to drop a follow on Twitter/X @SportMDAnalysis and @FantasyPros, and stay up to date throughout the week at sportsmedanalytics.com.

Week 2 Fantasy Football Injury Report

Aaron Jones (RB – GB)

Comments suggest a mild severity hamstring strain, but not practicing all week makes Jones likely to miss Week 2. Pending progress next week, lean towards return Week 3. Upon return, upper tier RBs like Jones tend to see only a mild performance hit, but do have 10-15% elevated re-injury risk. UPDATE: Jones is unlikely to play in Week 2.

Austin Ekeler (RB – LAC)

Ruled out for Week 2. Comments suggest high ankle sprain, and injury report progression suggests relatively mild severity. Average timeline = 2-3 weeks, so in most cases we would see Ekeler back Week 3-4. These do tend to impact RB performance for ~6 weeks post-injury and carry an elevated re-injury risk during that time.

Puka Nacua (WR – LAR)

Lean towards playing Week 2. These do tend to cause noticeable performance dips up to ~15% for WRs of Nacua’s style this soon after injury. Re-aggravation rates are relatively low but if they occur would be likely to knock him out for an average of 2 weeks.

Travis Kelce (TE – KC)

Given Kelce’s personal durability history in combination with average bone bruise timelines of ~2 weeks, our algorithm rates him a 75% chance of playing. Production impact projects to be relatively low. While re-aggravation can occur, those rates are also relatively low for a player of his profile.

Mark Andrews (TE – BAL)

TBD. Lean towards playing, with data rating this a 75% chance as well. These don’t tend to drop pass catching TE’s performance, but do carry re-injury risks as high as 15% at this time point post-injury.

Jerry Jeudy (WR – DEN)

Likely playing Week 2. WRs with Jeudy’s profile average a 15% explosiveness dip upon initial return that recovers fully by ~2 weeks. The key with these moderate severity hamstring strains is re-injury risk, which is 20% initially and projects to taper off over the next 6 weeks.

DeAndre Hopkins (WR – TEN)

Expected to be active, but his outlook is pessimistic. While Hopkins has a history of not practicing during the week but still playing that Sunday, data suggests that outcome is relatively unlikely here. His injury mechanism by video appeared to be a high ankle, and combining that with his age and practice participation rates him a 70% chance of sitting. Lean towards return Week 3-4.

Christian Watson (WR – GB)

TBD. Lean towards sitting Week 2. Good news here is that his practice progression gives Watson a 60% chance of returning Week 3. That will of course be updated and more accurate following next week’s practice progression. Upon return, mild performance impact but moderate re-injury risk is expected. UPDATE: Watson is not expected to play Week 2.

Diontae Johnson (WR – PIT)

Ruled out for Week 2. Video suggested a moderate severity hamstring strain. Average timeline = 2-3 weeks. Data favors most likely return Week 4-5 with low performance impact but 20% re-injury risk for the first 6 weeks back.

Darren Waller (TE – NYG)

Likely playing Week 2. Minimal performance impact is expected, but Waller’s history of 3 significant soft tissue injuries (including 2 hamstrings), age > 30, and now reported hamstring tightness makes him a very high risk player for the duration of the season. Attractive in daily fantasy formats, but would consider moving away from Waller in season-long formats if he has a big game soon.

Terry McLaurin (WR – WAS)

Playing Week 2, but data suggests he will still be affected by that turf toe injury. Expect 1-2 more weeks of a performance hit followed by return to full explosiveness by Week 4.

DJ Chark (WR – CAR)

TBD. Lean slightly towards playing. Our algorithm rates this one a 60% chance. If playing, expect both a moderate performance impact and moderate re-injury risk.

Raheem Mostert (RB – MIA)

Missed practice this week but comments and progression strongly suggest this was simply related to veteran maintenance. However, given his extensive knee history, Mostert will carry high injury risk for the near future and is a player worth considering for sell high opportunities if he puts up a big performance soon.

Brandin Cooks (WR – DAL)

TBD. Data favors sitting Week 2. MCL average = 2-3 weeks, so it would be surprising to see Cooks out there right now (data says 20% chance). Most WRs would not see performance dip upon return, which for Cooks projects to be Week 3-4. UPDATE: Cooks is not expected to play Week 2.

Aaron Rodgers (QB – NYJ)

Comments suggest he is aiming for a possible return later this season, but this unfortunately would be a heavy outlier. Return with modern techniques is still rare prior to 6 months. Biological healing likely requires a bare minimum of 3-4, which already puts us into January.

Pat Freiermuth (TE – PIT)

Playing Week 2, but these do tend to cause mild performance dips for the first 2 games post-injury. Relatively low re-injury risk expected.

Terron Armstead (OT – MIA)

TBD. Lean towards playing. Minimal clarity available on the underlying diagnosis here.

Zack Moss (RB – IND)

Likely playing Week 2, which would be right around average timeline post-fracture surgery. Low production impact is expected, although Moss projects to have mildly increased fumbling risk due to some forearm strength deficit compared to his baseline.

C.J. Stroud (QB – HOU)

TBD. Lean slightly towards playing Week 2. Very limited information available here, but late-week additions to the injury report are relatively concerning based on timing alone. Comments, however, suggest this is relatively low severity.

Laremy Tunsil (OT – HOU)

TBD. Lean towards sitting Week 2. While offensive linemen do have a tendency to play through more knee injuries than most other positions, Tunsil’s practice progression rates him at slightly <50% chance of playing.

And that’s a wrap. For now. If we missed anyone, hit us up @SportMDAnalysis and @FantasyPros, and don’t forget to check for frequent updates at sportsmedanalytics.com!

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