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Fantasy Football NFL Week 4 Injury Report & Outlook (2023)

Fantasy Football NFL Week 4 Injury Report & Outlook (2023)

Welcome to Week 4. As always, don’t forget to check sportsmedanalytics.com for your injury updates throughout the week, and hit us up on Twitter/X @FantasyPros and @SportMDAnalysis.

Now, here we go.

Week 4 Fantasy Football Injury Report

Deshaun Watson (QB – CLE)

TBD. Lean towards playing. Although it may seem counterintuitive, QBs have a relatively high rate of playing when listed as questionable with shoulder injuries. Comments suggest a mild AC sprain or rotator cuff irritation. In either case, we’d anticipate low performance impact.

Derek Carr (QB – NO)

TBD. Lean towards playing. This is mostly a pain control issue, so the fact that he’s already able to throw suggests he’s passing the biggest hurdle already. While AC sprains average 2 weeks – and would theoretically be more impactful for QBs – there is a high rate of being active after logging even limited practice sessions.

Joe Burrow (QB – CIN)

He’s going to keep playing. While we should continue to expect limitations, we should also expect major improvements from week to week as long as he doesn’t reaggravate the injury. Look for continued emphasis on the shotgun formation and quick passing game.

Deebo Samuel (WR – SF)

TBD. Data projects 60% chance of sitting due to the double injury. Rib contusions do have mild performance impacts, but are most often played through. However, battling the knee sprain in conjunction would suggest he misses one week and returns Week 5.

Austin Ekeler (RB – LAC)

Very likely sitting. He would be beating average timelines by 1 week to return at this point, but the vast majority of RBs would return Week 6 (they have a Week 5 bye). Re-injury risk 5 weeks out is relatively low at ~15%, but efficiency projects to dip for his first 2-3 games back.

Saquon Barkley (RB – NYG)

TBD. Lean towards sitting. The extra day does help, and Saquon has a history of returning quickly. But even factoring that in, our algorithm still rates him a 2/3 chance of sitting. If he does play, expect limitations in workload and efficiency, as well as high re-injury risk.

Treylon Burks (WR – TEN)

Wrapping pattern and comments suggest a mild knee sprain. These average 2 weeks, but it’s unclear when the injury actually occurred. We’d lean towards a Week 5-6 return pending practice progression. Coach Vrabel said this wasn’t a re-aggravation of his prior LCL sprain, but it’s still not great news to have another sprain on the same knee. Expect performance dips for the first ~3 games back.

Miles Sanders (RB – CAR)

TBD. Lean towards sitting. While comments suggest optimism, RBs with this injury profile and practice progression would sit in 75% of cases. If active, expect limited workload and high risk of re-injury, especially since this groin issue has been bothering him since the pre-season.

Jimmy Garoppolo (QB – LV)

TBD. Still has a chance to play, but ~2/3 of players would not clear in time for Week 4. Very likely returning Week 5 with low performance impact.

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