“George Pickens. I looked for sleepers that I could be most persuaded to reevaluate upward. Pickens is that guy. Mario Mergalo of Sportfolio hit the right note with, “The Pittsburgh Steelers thrive in cultivating top wide receiver talent – Diontae Johnson, Antonio Brown, and Hines Ward have a combined twelve Pro Bowl and nine All-Pro selections – and George Pickens is in line for that same type of surge.” It is exactly this type of fantasy intangible notion we do well to heed. Many drafters allow themselves two reaches in the snake. Burn one on Pickens if you have to.”
– Richard Savill (Fantasy Six Pack)

Odell Beckham Jr. (WR – BAL)

“Odell Beckham Jr. – Many fantasy analysts have written off Odell, but I think that’s a mistake. When healthy, Odell Beckham Jr. is one of the most talented WRs in the league, period. He’s paired up with a Ravens’ offense which should score a ton of points with Lamar Jackson back at the helm. With a current Expert Consensus Ranking of WR 54 and an ADP at WR 45, if Odell stays healthy, he’ll clear those ECR and ADP rankings in street shoes. Odell Beckham Jr. is dirt cheap and a potential league winner.”
– Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)

Brian Robinson Jr.

“I know there aren’t 34 RBs set to have more work than Brian Robinson this year, so why does he rank as RB35 by ADP? I don’t think the kind of usage he will receive and offense he plays in will be that bad. Brian was the clear 5-zone back when he returned from injury last year and is a capable pass catcher if called upon, totaling a 35-catch season in college. TDs, Receptions, and steady work on the ground should make Brian an easy bet for the top 24 at the position.”
– Seth Miller (Crossroads Fantasy Football)

Jared Goff (QB – DET)

“Jared Goff. The Lions offense is absolutely loaded with talent. Behind one of the best offensive lines in football, all Goff is being asked to do is get the ball in the hands of his playmakers. He has the potential to throw for over 5,000 yards this season. And remember, in his last nine games a year ago, he threw 15 touchdowns and zero interceptions.”
– Phil Wood (Bet On Phil Wood)

Alvin Kamara (RB – NO)

“Alvin Kamara is currently among the best values to acquire in fantasy football drafts. It was a disappointing outing for Kamara in 2022, but he remains the RB1 on a run-centric offense that added quarterback Derek Carr and reportedly has the healthiest version of wideout Michael Thomas since 2019. Kendre Miller, combined with the three-game suspension Kamara was dealt this offseason, have made the Saints’ RB1 completely undervalued. I expect a bounce-back campaign in 2023 from Kamara, meaning he’ll easily wind up inside of the top 20 RB finishes in PPR formats.”
– Matt MacKay (FF Faceoff)

Zay Flowers (WR – BAL)

“The players that have the best chance to outperform his ECR and ADP are Zay Flowers and Brian Robinson Jr.. Zay Flowers will finish as a WR2 with the potential of WR1 performances on a weekly basis. He’s currently ranked as the 42nd wide receiver in half PPR rankings, which is a steal. I see him outscoring fellow wide receivers Rashod Bateman and Odell Beckham. What impresses me most about Zay Flowers is his yard after catch (YAC). Flowers can play in the slot or on the outside perimeter. I see new offensive coordinator Todd Monken finding creative ways to get Zay Flowers the ball this season. As for Brian Robinson Jr., I see him taking over as the primary running back for Washington this season, and I am fading Antonio Gibson. I see a positive regression in both TDs and receptions for Brian Robinson Jr. this season, resulting in him exceeding his ECR and ADP. ”
– Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire)

“For me, this has to be Zay Flowers. He is currently listed behind Odell Beckham, Jr. on that Ravens offense, but that could be a mirage. Flowers could be the WR1 by week 3 and dominate in that new passing offense with Lamar Jackson. As a rookie, he’s not expected to break out, but I seriously think he does, and he does it in a big way.”
– Andrew Hall (FantasyPros)

“Zay Flowers is just a player I love leaving drafts with. The price in double-digit rounds is simply too good to pass up, and he is in an offense that should bounce back in a big way with Lamar Jackson healthy and paid. Flowers is the perfect WR4/WR5 on your fantasy teams, with upside for way more, and you should be targeting him everywhere you possibly can. This is a player who, if all things go right, can absolutely push WR2 status come the end of the season. ”
– Ed Birdsall (Talking Points Sports)

“I would say Zay Flowers. The explosive first-round rookie will get an immediate opportunity in a very good offense. With the injury history of Odell and Bateman, Flowers could see an increased workload as the season goes on. On Sleeper he is currently the WR42 in PPR. I believe he has a real chance of exceeding this draft capital.”
– Ricky Lemon (The Fantasy Champions)

Jordan Love (QB – GB)

“Jordan Love is coming off the board in the 13th or 14th Round of most drafts as the QB26, and his ADP has been plummeting recently. To put that in perspective, guys like Kenny Pickett, Matthew Stafford, and Russell Wilson are going ahead of Love. While he was a popular pick as a sleeper, Love should have the opportunity this year to finish in the top 20 at the position as he possesses enough athleticism to add a point or two each week, extending plays with his legs. I would not shy away from drafting him as a QB2, and it would not surprise me to see him pop for some weekly QB1 finishes.”
– Jason Kamlowsky (FantasyPros)

Juwan Johnson (TE – NO)

“Juwan Johnson is my favorite sleeper tight end this year, yet he’s only the TE18 in the ECR and the ADP. Last year, he was the TE11 after leading the Saints in receiving touchdowns while finishing top three in receiving yards and targets. The former college wide receiver finished third among tight ends in receiving touchdowns last season, only behind Travis Kelce and George Kittle. Don’t let Jimmy Graham‘s Week 3 preseason performance fool you. Johnson is the clear-cut TE1 in New Orleans and will become a go-to target for Derek Carr.”
– Mike Fanelli (FantasyPros)

Jahan Dotson (WR – WAS)

“There are a couple of players I love in this list, but I’ll choose Jahan Dotson by a nose over Khalil Herbert. Dotson is a real deal when it comes to separating from opposing cornerbacks. He’s a threat at all three levels, and I get a feeling we’ll see him get closer to scratching the surface of his first-round potential. Much of this hinges upon whether Sam Howell is any good. But Howell has more than held his own during the preseason. With Terry McLaurin dealing with what could be a nagging turf toe injury, it wouldn’t stun me if Dotson finished as a WR2. ”
– Matt Barbato (BettingPros)

Gabe Davis (WR – BUF)

“Gabe Davis will outperform his ADP. Last season, Davis missed two games, played through a high ankle sprain, and was impacted negatively by Josh Allen‘s elbow injury. He still finished as WR28. Davis currently goes as WR39- late in Round 7 of drafts. Even after we saw WR28 is his floor. Davis caught only 52% of his targets last season… But reports out of camp are that Davis is “catching everything” thrown his way. I love Davis as a WR4/Flex for my roster… Few players (if any) in Round 7 have a weekly WR1 overall ceiling.”
– Joe Orrico (No Expert Fantasy Football)

Romeo Doubs (WR – GB)

“Romeo Doubs had 49 targets in the first 8 weeks of his rookie campaign before an ankle injury slowed the rest of his season. Enter Jordan Love, who has shown an early connection with Doubs. He is primed to be the WR1 on the Green Bay Packers this year, and at WR #56, that is a steal! Doubs could flirt with 1,000 yards and 9+ TDs this year if the connection with Love continues into the season.”
– Adam Dove (The Fantasy Couriers)

Jake Ferguson (TE – DAL)

“Jake Ferguson isn’t being drafted in most redraft leagues but has ample opportunity to destroy his ECR and ADP. Dak Prescott has consistently produced solid TEs for fantasy football, as he has had a top-12 TE in six of his seven seasons. Ferguson had one start in 2022 and finished as a TE1 with over ten fantasy points. Ferguson has a solid all-around ability to be a nice sleeper tight end in 2023. ”
– Steven Pintado (The Fantasy Coaches)

Which of the players listed in our consensus sleepers article are you least interested in drafting?

Sam Howell (QB – WAS)

“Sam Howell. I can’t buy the hype at the price. Yes, the potential is there, but we need more testing. Even in a Superflex or 2QB league, you really don’t need to go risk/reward for a quarterback. You’ll still be ahead by taking other sleeper quarterbacks such as Jordan Love or Kenny Pickett. Okay, there is a good chance Howell might spark the Washington offense upward in 2023. However, keep your fantasy maverick stripe in check and draft him sensibly.”
– Richard Savill (Fantasy Six Pack)

Diontae Johnson (WR – PIT)

“Diontae Johnson – With all due respect, George Pickens is the most talented WR on the Steelers and their go-to guy, not Johnson. As if that’s not enough, Diontae might not even be the second or third option in the red zone. Pat Freiermuth or newcomers, rookie TE Darnell Washington, and veteran WR Allen Robinson are bigger targets. All this competition for a piece of the Steelers’ fantasy passing pie isn’t going to be that big (Pittsburgh is expected to run it a lot in 2023). With a current Expert Consensus Ranking of WR 29 and an ADP at WR 36, I don’t see the upside for Diontae.”
– Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)

Zay Flowers (WR – BAL)

“So many what-ifs you can play in a worst scenario case for Zay Flowers. What if Lamar has never thrown over 3,200 yards for a reason? What if OBJ’s contract is indicative of the work he’s about to receive? What if Rashod Bateman comes back healthy to claim his 20% target share, and Andrews continues his 25%+ share? What if a non-early-declare, undersized rookie WR is relied on no more than Baltimore’s two other talented but oft-injured WRs?”
– Seth Miller (Crossroads Fantasy Football)

Jordan Love (QB – GB)

“Jordan Love. We have absolutely nothing to go on with Love this season. He doesn’t have great weapons, and there is nothing that proves he will be the long-term answer in Green Bay. The QB position is too important and has too much depth to take a chance on a player that is certainly going to suffer growing pains.”
– Phil Wood (Bet On Phil Wood)

Zamir White (RB – LV)

“Zamir White was a fun player to contemplate drafting during Josh Jacobs‘ holdout for a new contract. Since Jacobs inked a one-year, $11.8 million deal and is now back in the Raiders’ facilities, White should be considered nothing more than waiver wire fodder at this time. Yes, head coach Josh McDaniels likes to run the football and used a fourth-round pick on White during his first draft in 2022, but White is not worth rostering unless you’re competing in 14-team dynasty leagues. ”
– Matt MacKay (FF Faceoff)

Drake London (WR – ATL) | Odell Beckham Jr. (WR – BAL)

“The players that I am least interested in drafting are Drake London and Odell Beckham Jr.. I just can’t get behind this Atlanta offense with Desmond Ridder at quarterback. Ridder is not afraid to run the ball, limiting potential targets for London. Ridder’s passing accuracy is also in question. London will also have to compete for targets with tight end Kyle Pitts and rookie running back Bijan Robinson. Odell Beckham Jr. is another player that I am least interested in drafting. He’s a mediocre receiver per his efficiency numbers. People are drafting Odell Beckham Jr. for his performance of yesteryear, but he’s no longer that player. ”
– Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire)

Elijah Moore (WR – CLE)

“The one player on the sleeper list that I haven’t been drafting this year is Elijah Moore. I get that he’s talented, and maybe a change of scenery could be good for him, but his current ECR is just too high for me. There are just too many question marks on that Cleveland offense for me to feel safe taking Moore as a starter. Let him blow up on someone else’s team.”
– Andrew Hall (FantasyPros)

Chigoziem Okonkwo (TE – TEN)

“I was far more excited about Chigoziem Okonkwo before the Titans signed DeAndre Hopkins, which has pushed him below guys like Dalton Kincaid and Tyler Higbee for me. Chig was one of my favorite sleepers earlier this summer, but the Titans are one of the most run-heavy offenses in football, so the realistic expectations for him should be tempered. It would be surprising to me if he sees more than an average of four targets per game this year, so barring a serious injury to Treylon Burks or Hopkins, I am not getting Chiggy with it in 2023.”
– Jason Kamlowsky (FantasyPros)

Dalton Kincaid (TE – BUF) | Sam LaPorta (TE – DET)

“It is very tough for me to back rookie tight ends, as they almost never pan out in year one. While Dalton Kincaid is in a great spot to produce with the Bills, I just don’t see it translating immediately for fantasy managers. Kincaid is MAYBE the 4th option in the Bills’ passing game right now, behind Stefon Diggs, Gabe Davis, and even Dawson Knox. I understand that the Bills are going to look to move him around, even potentially seeing some reps as a slot receiver, but I just can’t see myself going crazy for any shares of Kincaid, even with the TE position being as thin as it is.”
– Ed Birdsall (Talking Points Sports)

“I’ll group rookie tight ends Dalton Kincaid and Sam LaPorta together. Fantasy players continually fall into the trap of drafting rookie tight ends, but history tells us this position doesn’t yield much fantasy success in year one. Remember when everyone had to get Kyle Pitts in 2021? Sure, Pitts put up a 1,000-yard season, but he scored just one touchdown. The risk and cost associated with Kincaid and LaPorta are much lower than Pitts’ was in his rookie campaign, but that’s because Kincaid and LaPorta aren’t of the same caliber as Pitts from a talent perspective. When 600 yards and five TDs feel like the best-case scenario, I turn my attention the other way, even at a position as bleak as a tight end. ”
– Matt Barbato (BettingPros)

“Stop me if you have heard this one before… the rookie tight end is heralded as THE NEXT BIG THING! Dalton Kincaid is an amazing talent, but we need to slow down the hype. Rookie Tight Ends generally take time to acclimate to the pro game. Kincaid is on a Bills team that already has a decent veteran tight end in Dawson Knox, who garnered 65 targets (48 receptions) last year. So, no throw Kincaid onto a Buffalo Bills team that only targets the tight end less than 4 times a game, has a big-bodied quarterback who rushes for red zone touchdowns, and you are sure to be disappointed if depending on him for a top-tier rookie campaign.”
– Adam Dove (The Fantasy Couriers)

Khalil Herbert (RB – CHI)

“I don’t understand how Khalil Herbert got more than twice as many sleeper votes as Roschon Johnson. Herbert got drafted by the previous regime, while Johnson was hand-picked by the current one. Furthermore, general manager Ryan Pace spent a meaningful draft pick on the rookie after signing D’Onta Foreman and Travis Homer in free agency. If he had faith Herbert could be the featured guy, why did he add so many running backs? While Herbert will begin the year as the starter, the rookie will have the most fantasy points of any Chicago running back by the end of the season. Johnson had a higher forced missed tackle rate than Bijan Robinson last year at Texas.”
– Mike Fanelli (FantasyPros)

“Khalil Herbert is the less likely of the consensus sleepers I’m interested in drafting. He is the most expensive Bears’ running back in the first nine rounds. He has been a solid producer, but the presence of D’Onta Foreman and Roschon Johnson will be a concern all season. Herbert hasn’t been a receiving threat during his two years in the league. He’ll need to continue to be efficient on the ground, which will be hard to maintain with more work. ”
– Steven Pintado (The Fantasy Coaches)

Jake Ferguson (TE – DAL)

“Despite being high on this list, Jake Ferguson is someone I am passing on. Although he may be slept on, his ceiling is still low to me. He currently is slated to be the team’s 4th option in the passing game, behind Lamb, Cooks, and Gallup. Not to mention the team drafted Luke Schoonmaker in the second round of this past NFL Draft. The two tight ends may be splitting targets this season.”
– Ricky Lemon (The Fantasy Champions)

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