The 2023 NFL Draft is in the books. With the NFL Draft comes dynasty rookie draft season! We have you covered with our dynasty rookie draft coverage, and of course, you can complete fast and FREE dynasty rookie mock drafts using our mock draft simulator. While you take that simulator for a spin to prepare for your dynasty rookie mock drafts, check out our latest dynasty rookie mock and analysis from our analysts.

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Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft

1.o8- Quentin Johnston (WR – LAC)

Quentin Johnston has easy and immediate speed that jumps off the screen on film. Johnson is a YAC specialist. With his loose hips, he transitions from receiver to runner fluidly. His burst is automatic. His juice and his upper body strength make him a frustrating player for defenders to wrap up consistently. Johnston ranked 11th in missed tackles forced and sixth in YAC per reception last season (minimum 50 targets). Johnston has all the raw skills to fulfill his potential as a No. 1 option in a passing game as an X receiver.

He still has plenty of development hurdles to cross to get there, though. Johnston isn’t a nuanced route runner. While his first step is explosive, allowing him to gain immediate separation on drive routes, he lacks the extra polish that could really make him shine. Johnston doesn’t consistently stack corners on nines. While he has won in college by running by corners, that won’t be as easy in the NFL.

He ran primarily comebacks, go routes and crossers toward daylight at TCU. When he’s changing direction on posts and corners, he needs to do a better job selling the vertical stem. The same can be said for comebacks and curls. While Johnston can flip his hips easily, he needs to do a better job selling the vertical element. His jab steps are pronounced. His sloppiness with these routes allows corners to hang with him or close quickly. Johnston’s physicality after the catch doesn’t show up at the catch point. Considering his size, he needs to be stronger at the point of attack. He limped to 34.8% and 36.8% contested catch rates over the last two years. He also dealt with concentration drops at times.

Dynasty Outlook: Johnston is now tied to the rifle arm of Justin Herbert for the foreseeable future. That is not too shabby for a wide receiver that had been rumored to possibly fall out of the first round of the NFL Draft. The combination of the aging body of Keenan Allen and the brittle joints of Mike Williams (which combined for 23 games played last year) could leave Johnston as Herbert’s defacto No. 1 wide receiver at times in 2023.

Even with those two veterans on the field, Johnston should immediately be the team’s field stretcher. Under new offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, this could be a bountiful role in 2023. In Dak Prescott‘s two full seasons under Moore, he finished five and seventh in deep ball attempts. Last year at TCU, Johnston ranked 23rd in deep receiving yards and 13th in deep receiving touchdowns (per PFF, minimum 10 deep targets). Johnston should be drafted somewhere in the company of this class’s three other first-round wide receivers. He should be a top-five selection in 1QB leagues and top-10 in Superflex formats.

2.08 – Jonathan Mingo (WR – CAR)

Jonathan Mingo is an inconsistent separator. Mingo can gain enough separation to haul in contested catches, but you won’t see Mingo sending anyone to the shadow realm on a route. His upper body strength shows up in blocking, fighting through press and after the catch. Mingo can make some things happen after the catch with his dense lower half. Mingo was utilized on screens for 18.4% of his target volume in 2022. He ranked 11th in YAC per reception (minimum 15 screen targets) on screens last season.

Dynasty Outlook: Call me a Mingo hater. It’s OK. I’m fine with that title. Mingo was overdrafted to the Panthers in the second round of the NFL Draft. None of Mingo’s profile outside of his testing says he has a high ceiling in the NFL. It does, however, forecast a frightening floor. Mingo didn’t crack the top 40 in PFF receiving grade or yards per route run in his final season. He was only a 40th percentile prospect in college dominator with a 53rd percentile breakout age (20.4).

Carolina looks like an easy depth chart to ascend to the top of the heap, but that’s also assuming that you have the talent to draw targets at a high rate, which is one of my questions about Mingo. He didn’t sniff above a 20% target share until his final season at Ole Miss. Mingo will get drafted in most rookie drafts in the second round around the other wide receiver prospects that were selected in the second round of the NFL Draft. If you want him, you’ll have to pull the trigger there. If you’re following my ranks, Mingo isn’t off the board until the third round, which means you likely miss out on him. Considering all the factors I discussed, I’m fine with being underweight on Mingo in dynasty.

3.08 – Chase Brown (RB – CIN)

Chase Brown has good vision on zone runs and finding cut-back lanes. Brown does hesitate at the line when he should explode through the hole. He ran with more conviction as the 2022 season progressed. Brown is a runway back. He doesn’t display the ability to make the first tackler miss in the hole, but once he’s into the second level, he displays a good second gear and the ability to set up his blocks. Brown isn’t blessed with overwhelming lateral agility. He gets himself in trouble when he hesitates at the line or tries to bounce some runs outside. Brown doesn’t have the raw athleticism to get away with this. Brown displays soft hands in the passing game. He was mostly utilized as a check-down option or on the occasional rail route.

Dynasty Outlook: Brown’s draft capital (fifth round) isn’t much to sniff at, but the landing spot is interesting. Brown should be considered the favorite to grab the RB2 spot on the Bengals’ depth chart behind Joe Mixon. The team also added UDFAs Calvin Tyler and Jacob Saylors to the running back room, which gives us a small inclination that they haven’t been wowed by the performance of Trayveon Williams and Chris Evans in previous seasons. While Brown’s game doesn’t blow me away, and he shows little upside in the passing game, he’s still worth sprinkling into your rookie draft exposures across your leagues. The Bengals have shown no issue giving one running back all the work in any games Mixon has missed over the last few seasons. Brown is a good mid-round dynasty rookie pick that could pop off with some RB2 weeks in-season should Mixon miss any time. If that scenario played out, he would also be a good player to trade away in-season for a small equity gain for your dynasty squad. While the Bengals didn’t invest substantial capital into the running back position in this NFL Draft cycle, I would be shocked if they didn’t address the position with a high pick in 2023.

4.08 – Tucker Kraft (TE – GB)

Tucker Kraft is built like a Marvel superhero. With a strong set of tree trunk legs married to a powerful upper body, Kraft imposes his will in multiple phases of the game. In the run game, he was a solid to above-average blocker during his entire collegiate career. Kraft has the anchor and leg drive to set the edge, wall off runs or clear a path for his back. In 2022, Kraft was 28th in gap run-blocking grade among 504 FBS and FCS tight ends with at least 100 run-blocking snaps. Kraft is a bulldozer in the open field.

He has the raw speed to threaten down the seam with the ability to house a deep pass due to his tackle-breaking. Kraft, with momentum built up, is a scary situation. He blows through arm tackles and pushes around corners attempting to wrap him up. Kraft also has a little shimmy to his game, as he can juke linebackers after the catch and leave them in the dust. Kraft has the quick hips and explosion off the line to get both early and late separation on routes. He also has exceptional body control in the air, adding to his 73rd-percentile catch radius. His arrogant hands-on film is reflected in his 58.8% contested target catch rate in college. Kraft flashes impressive back-shoulder catches regularly on film.

Dynasty Outlook: The Packers doubled up on tight ends in the NFL Draft by selecting Luke Musgrave in the second round before sending in the card for Kraft in the third round. Kraft might hail from a small school, but he has big-time talent. Outside of him and Musgrave, the Packers only have Josiah Deguara, Tyler Davis, Nick Guggemos, Austin Allen and Camren McDonald in the tight end room. Kraft arguably has this bunch’s most complete skill set with scintillating receiving ability. It wouldn’t shock me to see Kraft dominating snaps from the outset. He’s a top-four player in this class in my rankings. I’ll draft him near the end of the second round, even in non-tight-end premium formats.

5.08 – Jake Haener (QB – NO)

Jake Haener is a max-effort thrower. He has average arm strength as he operated in an offense catered to his quick release and accuracy on short and intermediate timing throws. He profiles as a solid backup that could keep the offense afloat in a pinch. Please don’t ask him to go out and play Superman or be a floor-raising QB.

Dynasty Outlook: If you’re looking for a prospect to place on the Brock Purdy mantle, it’s Jake Haener. Haener is a quick processor that delivers an accurate ball. He displays the ability to also make plays outside of structure. He’s worth a fourth or fifth-round dart throw in Superflex leagues but nothing more. Derek Carr‘s contract likely puts him in the driver’s seat for the Saints for the next two to three years, so don’t expect Haener to start anytime soon unless Carr craps his pants.

Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft Results & Board

More Dynasty Rookie Mock Drafts

• Superflex, TE-Premium
• Superflex, 4 Rounds
• Superflex, 5 Rounds
• Superflex, 12-Team
• Superflex, 10-Team
• 12-Team, PPR, 3 Rounds
• 12-Team, PPR, 2 Rounds
• Superflex, 5 Rounds (Early Pick | Middle | Late)

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