Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft: PPR, Late Pick (2023 Fantasy Football)

The 2023 NFL Draft is in the books. With the NFL Draft comes dynasty rookie draft season! We have you covered with our dynasty rookie draft coverage, and of course, you can complete fast and FREE dynasty rookie mock drafts using our mock draft simulator. While you take that simulator for a spin to prepare for your dynasty rookie mock drafts, check out our latest dynasty rookie mock and analysis from our analysts.

Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft

1.09 – Anthony Richardson (QB – IND)

Anthony Richardson might have the highest ceiling of the three quarterbacks taken in the first round of this year’s NFL Draft. The 6-4, 235-pound Richardson has ideal size, a rocket for his arm and eye-opening running ability – all of which was on full display at this year’s NFL Scouting Combine, where Richardson tested like Superman. But Richardson was a starter for only one of his three seasons at the University of Florida, and after completing only 53.8% of his passes in 2022, there are questions about his accuracy. Richardson landed in a good spot with the Colts, where he’ll work under new head coach Shane Steichen, who helped develop Jalen Hurts in Philadelphia and Justin Herbert in Los Angeles. Richardson can tide over his fantasy managers with rushing production while his passing skills are developing.

2.09 – Roschon Johsnon (RB – CHI)

Roschon Johnson is a north/south runner. He is at his best when he gets downhill quickly and into the second level. Johnson is patient at the line and scheme versatile. He has good lateral agility for his size, but he’s not a wiggle-back. However, Johnson has enough juice and good vision to work well on zone runs. Johnson quickly gets up to top speed but lacks that second “home-run” gear. He displays good contact balance. He’s able to shed arm tackles, and there’s plenty of film of him making the first would-be tackler miss. He was utilized on dump-offs in college. He displayed soft hands when called upon in the passing game.

Dynasty Outlook: Johnson is now a Chicago Bear. Chicago has sounded elated to the media about his fall to the fourth round of the NFL Draft. While D’Onta Foreman and Khalil Herbert also reside on this depth chart, Johnson could carve out a role as soon as Week 1. After losing David Montgomery in free agency, the team has shown a lack of faith in Herbert by bringing in Foreman on a one-year deal and selecting Johnson in the Draft. If we’re reading the tea leaves correctly, with these moves and the draft pick of Darnell Wright, the team could be moving to more gap scheme runs in 2023 and beyond. Johnson is a scheme-versatile back, but his downhill and powerful running style will play well in a gap-oriented attack. Johnson could be the leader of this committee early, and if he gets a stranglehold on the work or at least the lead share, he might not let go. Johnson is a second-round rookie draft pick and my RB4 of this class.

3.09 – Hendon Hooker (QB – DET)

Hendon Hooker has the prerequisite arm strength to make all the NFL throws and the rushing ability to tickle our fancy in fantasy. He rushed for at least 430 yards in each of his final three collegiate seasons, with 19 rushing scores over that period. Hooker is a “see it and throw it” type of quarterback who lacks anticipation and will have to clean up at the NFL level.

Dynasty Outlook: Hendon Hooker’s fall to the third round, while adding the knee and age concerns on top, tanks his dynasty value. He needed at least second-round capital for me to look past some of these frightening concerns about his profile. With the hit rate being shaky at best for quarterbacks taken in the third round of the NFL Draft, Hooker is a fourth-round superflex dynasty rookie draft pick and likely a fade in most drafts. Goff has two years left on his deal with Detroit. If the team improves this year, then Goff almost assuredly keeps his job for the final year of his deal in 2024, which means the geriatric Hooker remains buried on the bench for half of his rookie deal.

4.09 – Kenny McIntosh (RB – SEA)

Kenny McIntosh is smooth as butter as a receiver. He was aligned in the slot and out wide in college, where he looked like a natural. He’s clean in and out of his breaks with soft hands. He could be a dangerous dual threat with a smart OC at the next level. McIntosh is an upright slasher type as a rusher. McIntosh can make smooth jump cuts in the open field, which is impressive considering his size.

While he can shed arm tackles, his height and upright running style can lead him to be brought down by the first tackler if they get a decent wrap on him. He’s not a pile mover. McIntosh has good vision in traffic. He is adept at getting small through creases and lets his blocks develop. He’s very comfortable with zone concepts and has enough speed to get around the edge. With the limited pass protection reps I saw, he had a solid anchor. He flashed more physicality in some of these reps than I saw as a rusher, which leads me to believe that he has more untapped power to finish runs.

Dynasty Outlook: Kenny McIntosh’s putrid testing obliterated his draft stock as he dropped to the seventh round of the NFL Draft. McIntosh is now likely the RB4 on the Seattle Seahawks’ depth chart behind Kenneth Walker, Zach Charbonnet and DeeJay Dallas. He’s nothing more than a waiver wire pickup in dynasty or a taxi squad stash at this juncture.

5.09 – Dorian Thompson-Robinson (RB – CLE)

Dorian Thompson-Robinson has average arm strength. When he’s in rhythm, he’s accurate in the short and intermediate areas. The problem is he is extremely inconsistent. He routinely drifts in the pocket without setting his base, which leads to accuracy issues and poor velocity on throws. Thompson-Robinson consistently exhibits more accuracy when on the move versus when he is asked to make throws from the pocket.

Thompson-Robinson operated in an offensive system conducive to his movement skills that also hid his deep ball issues. His deep ball is a work in progress, lacking accuracy and touch. This isn’t glaring in his college film because he was rarely asked to chuck it deep. He ranked outside the top-100 collegiate quarterbacks last year in deep adjusted completion rate and deep ball rate. Thompson-Robinson relied on screens and outs for a large portion of his passes.

Thompson-Robinson will telegraph where he’s going with the ball far too often, which leads to plenty of jumped routes and picks. He showed growth in his field reads during his time at UCLA, but even in 2022, many throws were made with predetermined reads and out of his hand quickly. He has to continue to improve with getting through progressions at the next level as he still looks a tick slow and holds onto the ball when asked to fit passes into tight windows.

Dynasty Outlook: Thompson-Robinson is a fade in all formats because he fell to the fifth round of the NFL draft. He’ll compete with Joshua Dobbs and Kellen Mond for primary backup duties behind Deshaun Watson. Thompson-Robinson’s rushing upside is slightly intriguing, but his limitations as a passer make it difficult to envision him as the long-term answer for an NFL franchise.

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