4 Fantasy Football League Winners to Draft (2023)

Several factors go into building a winning best-ball team. One of those factors is identifying which players will let your team down and bust. Another is knowing which players have league-winning upside, especially in the later rounds. To help you build an elite best ball roster, I will identify the most likely bust candidate and potential league winner for every NFL team.

Today I break down the NFC South teams: the Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, New Orleans Saints, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The ADP used for this article comes from Underdog Fantasy.

AFC Busts & League Winners: East | North | South | West
NFC Busts & League Winners: East | North
Snake Draft Pick Strategy: Early | Middle | Late
Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator

Fantasy Football League Winners: NFC South

Tyler Allgeier (RB – ATL): ADP 144.1 | RB46

Last year Allgeier had an excellent rookie season. Despite playing over 60% of the snaps in only two contests, the former BYU star was the RB27, averaging 9.5 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. Furthermore, he was one of 15 running backs with over 1,000 rushing yards, including only one of two rookies. Unfortunately, that didn’t stop the Falcons from using the eighth overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft on Bijan Robinson. While Allgeier’s fantasy value has taken a massive hit, the second-year player is arguably the top handcuff in the NFL. The former BYU star will be a league winner if Robinson misses significant time.

Miles Sanders (RB – CAR): ADP 64.4 | RB20

The former Penn State was awful in 2021, scoring zero touchdowns. Thankfully, Sanders bounced back last year, finishing as the RB13, averaging 12.2 fantasy points per game. After failing to find the end zone two years ago, he had 11 rushing touchdowns in 2022. However, Sanders has even more upside with the Panthers. Last year Jalen Hurts limited his rushing upside by totaling 13 touchdowns, the second-most in the NFL. That won’t be the case in Carolina. Meanwhile, running backs averaged 116.5 targets per year in the four full years Frank Reich was with the Indianapolis Colts. Don’t be surprised when Sanders has a career season in the passing game.

Juwan Johnson (TE – NO): ADP 174.2 | TE21

New Orleans recently brought back Jimmy Graham despite the veteran turning 37 in November and not playing last season. He is more likely not to make the final roster than have any fantasy impact this year. Meanwhile, Johnson led the Saints in receiving touchdowns while finishing top three in receiving yards and targets in 2022. Furthermore, he finished third among tight ends in receiving touchdowns. While the team brought back Michael Thomas, the veteran has played only 20% of the games over the past three years. More importantly, Darren Waller was Derek Carr‘s favorite weapon in Las Vegas. Johnson could quickly build the same connection with the new starting quarterback.

Mike Evans (WR – TB): ADP 67.9 | WR35

Unfortunately, the Buccaneers are going from Tom Brady to Baker Mayfield or Kyle Trask at the quarterback position. The change has scared the fantasy football community away from drafting Evans this year. However, we made the same mistake with Amari Cooper last season. Meanwhile, Evans was the WR16 in 2022, averaging 12.5 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. Last season was the ninth consecutive year the veteran wide receiver had at least 1,000 receiving yards. While the change at quarterback is less than ideal, Evans is still one of the top big-play wide receivers in the NFL. His spike weeks are worth the down weeks in best-ball leagues.