Every offseason, we see turnover in coaching staffs. New play callers are installed, and our fantasy assets’ offensive projection equation changes. Another wrinkle when projecting how every NFL offense will look for the upcoming season is to peek in the rearview mirror. Each team’s offensive identity can change and evolve during an NFL season. It’s crucial that we look back and examine each team’s final weeks from the previous season as we look for changes and trends that could continue into the next year.
Which teams will look different on offense in 2023? Let’s find out. Here’s a look at offenses that will rush more in 2023.
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Pace and Play Calling Changes (2023 Fantasy Football)
Offenses that will rush more in 2023
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Yes, we can use common sense here. Will Dave Canales let Baker Mayfield or Kyle Trask sling it around the yard as much as Tom Brady did in 2022? Not a chance. While this is obvious, we still need to talk about it. Last year, Tampa Bay was fourth in neutral passing rate. During Canales’ tenure as the passing game coordinator and quarterbacks coach in Seattle (2020-2022), the Seahawks were eighth in neutral passing rate. Add in that Baker Mayfield and Kyle Trask are nowhere close to Tom Brady and Russell Wilson regarding talent, and the regression to a run-balanced offense is easy to envision.
Arizona Cardinals
This is Drew Petzing’s first year calling plays for an NFL team, so we have no clue what this Cardinals’ offense will look like. It’s easy to say that they lean towards rushing more, though. Last year under Kliff Kingsbury, Arizona was eighth in neutral passing rate. Petzing has spent his last three seasons in Cleveland as the team’s tight end coach before transitioning to quarterbacks last year. Cleveland has been notoriously run-heavy over the past few seasons, ranking 10th in neutral rushing rate in 2022. James Conner should see all the volume he can handle this year.
Las Vegas Raiders
Last year, Josh McDaniels wanted a high-flying passing offense, but the pieces never fit nicely. The Raiders opened the season (Weeks 1-11) ranking fourth in neutral passing rate. McDaniels changed course in Week 12. After that point, Las Vegas was 12th in neutral rushing rate. With Jimmy Garoppolo serving as the team’s new starting quarterback, I doubt that McDaniels will return to his pass-heavy ways.
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*All data utilized in this article courtesy of Fantasy Points Data, FantasyPros, PFF, ESPN, Football Outsiders, and Playerprofiler.com unless otherwise specified.*