MLB PrizePicks Player Prediction for Justin Steele (7/27)

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Justin Steele Over 30.5 Fantasy Score

Steele faced the Cardinals just five days ago and shut them down with relative ease. He allowed just 2 earned runs across 6.1 innings while striking out 9 batters en route to a phenomenal 50-point PrizePicks fantasy score. There’s a narrative out there that starters struggle to face the same team on a consecutive start, but that really doesn’t hold all that much weight to it.

Steele has held this St. Louis roster in check in just about every outing he has had against them. They have a .291 xwOBA and 25% K% in 92 plate appearances against him. He ranks in the 93rd percentile in average exit velocity, 81st percentile in xERA/xwOBA, 92nd percentile in BB%, and 85th percentile in chase rate. Excluding 2 starts surrounding an injury, Steele has gone over this mark in 10 of 16 starts averaging a little over 35 fantasy points per outing. Given his history against the Red Birds, I think he gets over this mark again.

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At BettingPros, we’ve compiled several projection sources to come up with consensus projections. We then compared these projections to the prop bet odds from the sportsbooks to give you the best prop bet picks.

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