We asked our top analysts to weigh in on the biggest fantasy football question for every NFL team. Andrew Erickson, Pat Fitzmaurice, Derek Brown, Ryan Wormeli and Joe Pisapia offer their insights on many of the questions that you have been asking heading into draft season.

• Most Overrated Players on Each NFL Team
• Most Underrated Players on Each NFL Team
• Top Rookies on Each NFL Team
• Safest Picks on Each NFL Team

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Biggest Questions for 2023 Fantasy Football

Arizona Cardinals

Is anyone from the rebuilding Cardinals worth rostering in fantasy?

With the Cardinals seemingly in full-on rebuild mode and their starting quarterback recovering from a torn ACL, the Arizona offense could be a four-alarm fire this season. Is it worth rushing into the burning building to grab any Cardinals for your fantasy team? RB James Conner has minimal competition for touches. He’s a capable pass catcher who’s had at least 34 receptions in each of the last five seasons. Conner has had an 18-TD season and a 13-TD season. But the Arizona offensive line is a mess, and safeties aren’t going to be playing deep early in the year in fear of being burned by Colt McCoy or Clayton Tune. That means Conner will need a heavy volume to pop, and a heavy volume ratchets up the injury risk. Conner has missed at least two games in each of his six NFL seasons.

WR Marquise Brown is intriguing. When DeAndre Hopkins served a six-game PED suspension last year, Brown was the WR5 in PPR fantasy scoring over that span. All but one of those games were against below-average pass defenses, however. Brown’s career efficiency numbers (7.2 yards per target, 1.67 yards per route run) are mediocre, and they aren’t likely to improve with QBs other than Kyler Murray throwing Brown the ball. TEs Zach Ertz and Trey McBride are mildly interesting, but Ertz is recovering from a major knee injury. If he isn’t ready for Week 1, McBride could have some early-season value. McBride was widely considered the best pass-catching TE in the 2022 rookie class. But if Ertz beats the recovery timetable and is good to go for Week 1, he and McBride could cannibalize each other’s production — and there might not be a lot of yardage and touchdowns to go around in this feeble-looking offense. And then there’s Murray himself, who can pile up points as a dual-threat QB when healthy. But Murray tore his ACL in December, and the rebuilding Cardinals have little incentive to rush him back into action.
-Pat Fitzmaurice

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Atlanta Falcons

Can Desmond Ridder at least be good enough to let the superstar skill players shine?

Kyle Pitts. Drake London. Bijan Robinson. You won’t find a better trio of players 22 and younger anywhere in football after the Falcons spent top-8 picks in three consecutive drafts on skill-position superstars. But it didn’t lead to fantasy success in 2022, as the combination of injuries, Marcus Mariota and head coach Arthur Smith combined to significantly limit this passing game. But we’ve seen Smith lead a successful offense before, and he did start to open up the playbook a bit once third-round pick Desmond Ridder took over at quarterback midway through the season.

The Falcons chose not to add a veteran QB this offseason, so Ridder will have the keys to this offense. And it could be an incredibly fun offense, given it includes generational prospects at RB and TE and also an incredibly talented young WR1. But we’ll need to see a baseline level of competence from Ridder in order to unlock all three potential superstars. If we do, then Falcons games are going to be among the most fun to watch on NFL Sundays this fall. If not, we may be in for yet another disappointing season for Pitts and London managers, at least.
-Ryan Wormeli

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Baltimore Ravens

Can Lamar Jackson flourish in a faster-paced, higher-volume passing offense?

Ravens fans rejoiced this offseason as the team finally moved on from longtime OC Greg Roman and hired Todd Monken, a veteran of both the NFL and college football and a potentially great fit for a Lamar Jackson offense. Monken is known for tailoring his offenses to his players, and he has the ultimate do-it-all chess piece in Lamar Jackson. We’ve never seen Jackson in a pass-heavy offense at the NFL level, so there is some question about how it will look. But early practice reports are that this offense is going to operate quickly (a welcome change from Roman’s offense, which was one of the slowest in football).

Baltimore also has its best group of pass-catching weapons of the Lamar Jackson era after adding Odell Beckham Jr., Zay Flowers, and Nelson Agholor to the returning Mark Andrews and Rashod Bateman. JK Dobbins looks to be finally healthy again, too, now that he’s another year removed from his knee injury, and the young RB was an excellent pass-catcher at Ohio State. If Lamar takes to the new offense quickly, the sky is the limit for this group, and we could see this offense look a lot closer to the record-breaking 2019 group than to the disappointments we’ve seen in the last couple of years. There’s a path to huge fantasy seasons each from Jackson, Dobbins, Andrews, and at least one of the top three receivers if Monken is the huge improvement as a play-caller that he’s expected to be.
-Ryan Wormeli

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Buffalo Bills

Who can you trust on this offense besides the combination of Josh Allen/Stefon Diggs?

Gabriel Davis, for all intents and purposes, failed to live up to expectations last year. I don’t think he is all to blame, as he dealt with an ankle injury early in the season and saw his ADP inflate to an absurd price that was going to be extremely difficult to reach. Davis commanded just a 19% target share and finished as the WR32 in points per game. He finished WR36 in expected points per game. He had his fair share of spiked weeks – four PPR WR1 finishes – but never offered any type of consistency drafters hoped for. And I am not sure anything else has changed within his projected outlook this season, except for the fact that he is now appropriately priced and heavily discounted outside the top 40 WRs.

With the rest of Buffalo’s supporting WR cast filled out with Trent Sherfield, Khalil Shakir, Deonte Harty and Justin Shorter, Davis is going to have the opportunity to be a big factor in this passing game. Unless we really expect rookie tight end Dalton Kincaid to command an extremely high target share, Davis can easily be trusted as a fantasy WR3/4 with plenty of upside as a post-hype sleeper. All the reasons to be “in” on him last season are there in 2023. Keep in mind, Davis finished 9th in routes run per game last season (39.3) ahead of Diggs (36.6, 16th). He also ranked 22nd in red-zone targets and 13th in deep targets.
-Andrew Erickson

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Carolina Panthers

Who will be the Carolina Panthers No. 1 WR in 2023?

No Carolina WR has an ADP or ECR ranking inside the top-55 WRs, with most services having the top-three WRs of Adam Thielen, D.J. Chark Jr. and Jonathan Mingo outside the top-60 WRs overall. Clearly, there’s no risk in taking a shot on any of these Panthers WRs to emerge as the team’s numero uno. But who could it realistically be?

Thielen signed a big deal with the Panthers in the offseason after ranking as the WR27 through 15 weeks, but he will be 33 by the start of the 2023 season. He posted a career-low in yards per route run (1.08) and PFF receiving grade (65.7) in 2022 as the WR43 in points per game (8.5 ppg). D.J. Chark is only 26 but has played a grand total of 15 games over the past two seasons. Rookie WR Johnathan Mingo has a polarizing profile but is hardly a finished product. All things being equal, Thielen will probably start the year as the most reliable fantasy asset and will probably beat his ADP. But what do you win if Thielen finishes as a backend WR3? And nobody will be surprised to see him fade as the season progresses in favor of the younger, more explosive WRs.

As for me, I’ll shoot for the ceiling with Mingo/Chark and only consider Thielen in fantasy best-ball formats or deep WR leagues that value a receiver’s target floor. Thielen’s situation reminds me of A.J. Green‘s first year in Arizona and Jordy Nelson’s first year with the Raiders. Green finished the 2021 season with 54 catches for 848 yards and three touchdowns at age 33 (WR41 overall, 8.1 ppg). Nelson finished the 2018 season with 63 catches for 739 yards and 3 touchdowns at age 33 (WR42 overall, 8.3 ppg).
-Andrew Erickson

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Chicago Bears

What is the ceiling for Justin Fields this year?

Justin Fields’ second NFL season was an unusual one. He finished QB5 in fantasy points per game despite averaging only 149.5 passing yards. Fields was dynamite as a runner, piling up 1,143 rushing yards and 8 TD runs. His passing numbers were less inspiring. In 15 starts, Fields completed 60.4% of his passes for 2,242 yards, with 17 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. He also took a league-high 55 sacks. Throughout the 2022 season, Fields ran aggressively and took a lot of shots downfield. (His 9.1 intended air yards per pass attempt was among the highest figures in the league.) But does Bears offensive coordinator Luke Getsy want to keep playing the same way? Perhaps not.

The Bears’ pass-catching group should be much better this year. The Bears acquired D.J. Moore from the Panthers in a trade that gave Carolina the No. 1 pick in the draft. WR Darnell Mooney is healthy again after missing significant time with an ankle injury. The Bears also bolstered a mediocre offensive line by taking Tennessee OT Darnell Wright in the first round of the NFL Draft and signing free-agent OG Nate Davis. Fields was an effective passer at Ohio State who threw 62 TD passes in 22 games for the Buckeyes and averaged 9.3 yards per pass attempt. It’s a good bet he’ll throw more in 2023 than he did last year when he averaged 21.2 pass attempts per game. If Fields can significantly improve on his 2022 passing numbers and maintain most of his rushing value, he could contend for the league lead in QB fantasy scoring. But if the passing skills Fields displayed at Ohio State don’t fully translate to the NFL, his ceiling might not be quite as high as his biggest advocates believe.
-Pat Fitzmaurice

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Cincinnati Bengals

Does Joe Mixon still have RB1 upside?

Joe Mixon is a tricky player for fantasy managers to handle this year. After finishing RB3 in fantasy scoring (half-point PPR) in 2021, he was RB12 last year despite missing two games and having the final game of the season canceled because of the Damar Hamlin situation. Mixon averaged 58.1 rushing yards per game, the fewest since his rookie season, and 3.9 yards per carry. His production was buoyed by expanded usage in the passing game. Mixon established new career highs in targets (75), receptions (60) and receiving yards (441). But will Mixon’s expanded usage in the passing game stick? There were offseason reports that the Bengals might release Mixon, who has a big salary-cap number for 2023 and was charged with aggravated menacing by Cincinnati police earlier this year. The Bengals spent a fifth-round draft pick on Chase Brown, who averaged 27.3 carries a game for Illinois last season. Mixon, who turns 27 in July, has been a reliable workhorse for the Bengals, and with the team considered a Super Bowl contender, maybe the status quo will hold in the Cincinnati backfield. But it’s also possible the Bengals give some of Mixon’s work to Brown and/or Trayveon Williams as they prepare for what could be a Mixon-less future.

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Cleveland Browns

Can Deshaun Watson return to his old form?

Deshaun Watson seems like a potential fantasy football quarterback league winner if he can recapture a QB1 overall form from his days with the Houston Texans. His return in 2022 was horrible, but it’s excusable based on so much missed time. Also, you cannot overlook that several of the games he played occurred under bizarre weather circumstances.

For 2023, he has weapons ranging from Amari Cooper, Donovan Peoples-Jones, Elijah Moore, Cedric Tillman, Nick Chubb and David Njoku. Plus, Watson will benefit from an entire offseason to prepare as the Browns’ full-time starter in 2023. If he returns to his former self, every Browns player will be a fantasy value. I, for one, am in the camp that Watson CAN return to his top passing days because I don’t think he forgot how to be an elite quarterback. He will be just 28 years old at the start of the season. We saw Mike Vick come back after essentially three years removed from NFL football and finish as the fantasy QB1…four years after he was the fantasy QB2 overall. Watson has been a top-5 fantasy QB every single year that he has played at least 15 games. And he is being vastly undersold as a rushing threat. As bad as he was last year, he still posted a solid 175 rushing yards in 6 games. Extrapolating that number over 17 games leads to nearly 500 rushing yards. That would have ranked 6th among all QBs in 2022.
-Andrew Erickson

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Dallas Cowboys

Can Tony Pollard handle the FULL workload?

Tony Pollard has been a machine on a per-touch basis as NFL running back, but part of that efficiency stems from him never seeing a full-blown workhorse-like load. He’s never had 200-plus carries any year of his four-year NFL career. Dating back to his college days, Pollard never attempted more than 60 carries at Memphis. 2022 was the first time in Pollard’s football career he totaled more than 200 touches when one considers his work as a receiver.

And that’s the main point to get here with Pollard. Even though he ranked outside the top 25 in touches per game last season, he still finished as the RB7. From Weeks 7-16, Pollard was the highest-scoring running back in fantasy averaging 19.3 points per game in half-PPR. And that was just on a workload south of 18 touches per game. Simply put, any additional touches Pollard sees in 2023 are just gravy on top of his super-efficient production profile. He doesn’t need to see 25-plus touches per game to dominate in fantasy; 15-18 is more than enough for him to thrive. And I’d lean more on the higher side, considering the current depth chart behind Pollard in Dallas. Malik Davis, Deuce Vaughn, Rico Dowdle and Ronald Jones aren’t going to be pushing Pollard for playing time. Furthermore, Pollard is likely going to play this season on the franchise tag, meaning he will be a free agent in 2024. Ergo, Dallas has all the incentives in the world to run him into the ground in what should be a solid rushing attack in 2023.
-Andrew Erickson/Joe Pisapia

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Denver Broncos

Can Sean Payton instantly fix one of the league’s worst offenses?

The 2022 Broncos season was an unmitigated disaster, but a key question remains: Did Russell Wilson fall off a cliff at 33 years old, or was Nathaniel Hackett just *that* bad of a coach? We’ll find out soon, as the Broncos added Sean Payton, arguably the greatest offensive coach of the last 25 years, to lead this year’s team. And there’s plenty of talent to work with, as Denver’s roster returns Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton and Greg Dulcich, and also added Marvin Mims and Samaje Perine this offseason. We’ll also see the returns of a healthy Tim Patrick and a hopefully-healthy Javonte Williams. It all adds up to a potentially major bounce-back season for Wilson and the Broncos as a whole if Payton is able to work his magic and make an immediate impact. If Wilson has anything left in the tank and last year really was just about Hackett being terrible, then we might be primed to see a ton of value in fantasy drafting from this roster.
-Ryan Wormeli

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Detroit Lions

Can the Lions play with expectations for the time in recent memory?

The Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs will host the Detroit Lions to kick off the NFL season this year. It’s the NFL pushing its chips on an up-and-coming Lions team that has expectations to be a playoff contender in 2023. Dan Campbell is viewed as a coach of the year favorite across multiple sportsbooks, and the team is favored to win the division. The last time Detroit won the NFC North? 1993, which was before FantasyPros’ Andrew Erickson was even born.

Last year, their offseason win total was at 6.5 after the team went 3-10-1 in Jared Goff‘s first year with the team in 2021. This year, it’s 9.5 with minus odds toward the over. Are these lofty expectations going to weigh too much on this team for them to deliver? Well, Detroit has consistently met/exceeded market expectations over the past two years, finishing with the best record versus the spread (67%). Last year, that mark was at 70% (second-best in the NFL). With an OL that ranks fifth per PFF, it would take a massive implosion by Jared Goff for this offense to suffer for fantasy purposes. Goff was third in passer rating throwing from a clean pocket last season.

An injury to Amon-Ra St. Brown would likely also potentially derail this offense, with not much proven behind him on the depth chart. But even so, a stable of running backs featuring first-round pick Jahmyr Gibbs and former Bears RB David Montgomery would likely be able to keep things moving. All in all, I think the defense will be the reason the Lions don’t take a real-life step forward. Their No. 2 CB spot is shaky, with Emmanuel Moseley slotted in as the starter. Moseley has also played just 16 games over the last two seasons. But a bad defense is great for fantasy, so I’d bet on the Lions being another fantasy-friendly offense. Since current offensive coordinator Ben Johnson took on a larger role in calling the offense (starting in Week 11 of the 2021 season), the Lions are 18-7 versus the spread. Goff ranks second in EPA/dropback (tied with Josh Allen) and third in passer rating (101.0). The Lions quarterback ranks first in TD/INT ratio. Dare I say? In Goff, we trust.
-Joe Pisapia/Andrew Erickson

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Green Bay Packers

Will Jordan Love be a fantasy-viable quarterback?

It seems like a long time ago that the Packers traded up in the first round of the NFL Draft to select Jordan Love even though they had future Hall of Famer Aaron Rodgers at quarterback. Indeed it was a long time ago — 3 years and 2 months — and we still have no idea whether Love is good. Although the drafting of Love seemed to herald the end of Rodgers’ time in Green Bay, Rodgers wound up playing three more seasons for the Packers before finally being traded to the Jets earlier this year. Love has made only one start in his first three seasons with the Packers and has played 157 snaps. He played poorly in a 2021 start against the Chiefs that was necessitated when Rodgers landed on the COVID-19 list, but he played well in a 2022 mop-up appearance against the Eagles. There’s simply not a lot to go on. Love has ample arm talent and mobility, but it’s hard to tell whether the raw tools will translate into fantasy points. There’s a lot riding on Love’s transition to full-time starter. If he thrives, a lot of the Packers’ skill-position players may prove to be fantasy values, including RB Aaron Jones and WR Christian Watson. If Love busts, he’s going to torpedo the fantasy viability of his teammates.
-Pat Fitzmaurice

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Houston Texans

Is any WR from the Texans worth rostering this season?

The answer is no in redraft this year, outside of deeper leagues. Nico Collins has his supporters, and Robert Woods doesn’t look totally dusted, but the biggest concern for these pass catchers has nothing to do with the depth chart. What will the passing volume in Houston look like in 2023? That’s my biggest worry for this group as I project the team to lean heavily on their ground game as C.J. Stroud gets his feet wet in the NFL. With this replaceable gaggle of wideouts, look for Houston to be top 5-7 in neutral rushing rate and the receiver group to be weekly waiver wire fodder.
-Derek Brown

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Indianapolis Colts

How long will it take for Anthony Richardson to acclimate to the NFL?

Anthony Richardson started 13 games in college across the 24 games he played during his three-year stint at Florida. He attempted fewer than 400 passes. The lack of total games started (same as Mitchell Trubisky) and attempts suggest that Richardson’s arm is going to need some time to get adjusted at the NFL level. Trubisky and Mark Sanchez (another 1st-round quarterback with limited starts in college) both underwhelmed as passers as rookies. Fewer than 2,500 total passing yards and under 7.0 yards per attempt. They hardly orchestrated fantasy-friendly offenses. And that’s a reason to be pessimistic about the Colts receiving weapons in 2023.

Richardson still has not gotten in the requisite repetitions to sustain consistent fantasy production. Because if he did, we probably would have seen more Florida WRs come out in this year’s draft as opposed to just getting Justin Shorter drafted 152nd overall by the Bills. And we can’t overlook the Trey Lance comparison as another QB that entered the NFL without a lot of reps underneath him. Now Lance had more starts (17) but threw the ball fewer times than Richardson (318). And two years into his NFL career, Lance has tallied on just 102 more passing attempts. Lance has rushed for more yards (235) than passes thrown at the NFL level. And that’s the main takeaway when it comes to Richardson. I’d imagine that the passing is going to be rough/inconsistent until the team’s Week 11 bye week, as Richardson gets more reps under his belt. But the rushing and mobility are going to keep him fantasy relevant from the get-go. At Florida, Richardson averaged 60 rushing yards per game. And Richardson’s extremely low pressure-to-sack rate (sub-10%, first in the 2023 QB Class) further highlights his off-script playmaking.
-Andrew Erickson/Joe Pisapia

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Jacksonville Jaguars

Will Calvin Ridley return to his pre-suspension form?

We haven’t seen Calvin Ridley play football since the 2021 season when he was apparently playing with a broken foot. Ridley describes his injury and mental health in a piece in the Players Tribune, which I highly recommend reading. But long story short, he was in a horrible head space in 2021. That contributed to his fallout during the season and his subsequent year-long suspension in 2022.

Despite all that going on, he was borderline elite at commanding targets. As the Falcons’ No. 1 receiver, he owned the sixth-highest target rate per route run and ranked second among all wide receivers in expected fantasy points per game (16.5). He’s being drafted/ranked as a fantasy WR2 with easy fantasy WR1 upside, just three years removed from a 90-catch, 1300-yard and 9-TD 2020 campaign, which he did mostly with a broken foot. So, although the poised question is “Will Ridley return to his pre-suspension form,” maybe the better question to ask is, “How great can a 100% healthy and dialed-in Ridley be in an up-and-coming offense led by third-year quarterback Trevor Lawrence?” We know that Ridley is the only Jags WR who profiles as a true alpha. We’re excited about this offense that saw two WRs – Christian Kirk and Zay Jones – rank top-15 in routes run per game. Not to mention, Per FantasyPros’ strength of schedule tool, the Jaguars boast the No. 1 SOS for fantasy quarterbacks and fantasy WRs. The 2023 calendar is great for Ridley to not only return to form but perhaps best his 2020 campaign. After all, Ridley has set the bar high for himself: 1,400 yards a season in Jacksonville.
-Andrew Erickson

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Kansas City Chiefs

Who is the wide receiver to target in this offense?

Last year, Patrick Mahomes proved what most already figured: He could succeed without Tyreek Hill. But can a Chiefs WR other than Hill actually step up into a significant role for fantasy? We know the true No. 1 target in the Chiefs’ offense will continue to be Travis Kelce, but how about the young receivers? We’ve yet to see another wide receiver truly step up in the Mahomes era, with JuJu Smith-Schuster‘s 2022 season (933 yards and 3 TDs) probably the most successful non-Hill year yet. There are plenty of options to step up this year, including the oft-injured but uber-talented Kadarius Toney, last year’s favorite rookie sleeper Skyy Moore, or this year’s Day 2 rookie Rashee Rice. Will any of them become impactful fantasy receivers? Or will this continue to be the Mahomes and Kelce Show, with not much consistently left over for the rest of the passing game?
-Ryan Wormeli

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