Fantasy football championships aren’t always won or lost on draft day, but your chances of winning can be significantly increased if you manage to nail your later draft picks. The players in this article all have an ADP of 150 or later in our consensus PPR ADP at the moment and are players you should be adding to your draft queue.
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Late-Round Draft Targets: PPR
Devin Singletary (RB – HOU) – 151.5
The Texans backfield is Dameon Pierce‘s to lose, but with the team adding Devin Singletary, Pierce will face much sterner competition than he did last year when he was competing for touches with Rex Burkhead and Marlon Mack. It became evident in Pierce’s rookie year that he tired as the season went on and that the Texans need someone younger and frankly better than Rex Burkhead as Pierce’s backup. Singletary has never been an incredible fantasy asset, but he’s been above-competent for his four years in Buffalo and ranked 15th in receiving EPA among running backs with 10 or more targets. The Texans have slowly built up an impressive offensive line unit, and if they lean run-heavy, then there’s no reason to believe Singletary can’t have useful weeks and if anything were to happen to Pierce, then Singletary would be immediately an every-week RB2.
Gerald Everett (TE – LAC) – 157.0
There are plenty of reasons for optimism around the Chargers after a disappointing 2022 season, in 2023 the Chargers will hope to have a healthy Justin Herbert, unencumbered by a rib and shoulder injury as well as being free from the tepid play-calling of 2022. Kellen Moore has been itching to call a more pass-heavy offense after several years in Dallas, and now it looks like he’ll get his chance. Everett has been excellent at generating yards after contact in recent years and had the eighth most among tight ends last year, along with generating the eleventh most per catch among tight ends with 25 or more catches. With a healthy Justin Herbert and a new offensive play-caller, Everett looks like a screaming bargain here.
Isaiah Hodgins (WR – NYG) – 163.5
From Week 13 till the end of the fantasy season, Isaiah Hodgins was a top 24 wide receiver in four of the five games he played, averaging 15.2 PPR points and scoring four touchdowns. The Giants depleted pass-catchers were desperate for someone to step up, and Hodgins did so. Since then, the Giants have reinforced the pass-catching core, but they have prioritized smaller slot receivers, allowing Hodgins every opportunity to return as the primary outside receiver on this offense with Darius Slayton the main competition. We’ve seen Hodgins and Daniel Jones play well together, and it shouldn’t be a surprise to see them carry that on in 2023.
Curtis Samuel (WR – WAS) – 171.0
Over the first three weeks of the 2022 season, it looked like Curtis Samuel would prove to be one of the bargains of the season, with Carson Wentz latching onto Samuel and peppering him with near-the-line-of-scrimmage targets, resulting in Samuel averaging 18.4 PPR points per game. Sadly for Samuel when Wentz wasn’t in the lineup due to injuries, Samuel’s average targets per game dropped from 7.0 to 3.9, and he proved less useful for fantasy football. In the one game Sam Howell played in 2022, we saw very little from him in the passing game, which makes it hard to project too much for 2023, but if Eric Bienemy deems it prudent to find Howell a safety outlet near the line of scrimmage, Samuel can absolutely be the man we want to draft.
Brock Purdy (QB – SF) – 175.5
It seems like it’s only a matter of time before it’s confirmed that Brock Purdy will be the starting quarterback for the Niners in 2023, and when that happens, we can expect his ADP to jump several rounds. This offense is loaded with true superstars, and unlike Jimmy Garoppolo, Purdy wasn’t afraid to cut loose and let rip. Purdy scored 16 or more points in four of his five starts, and at this range of the draft, that’s solid production for a quarterback.
Gus Edwards (RB – BAL) – 187.5
Even the most passionate JK Dobbins fans will accept that Gus Edwards is still likely to see a healthy amount of touches in 2023, and with both healthy for the first time in almost two years, it feels fair to see both players outplay their ADP this year. Throughout Edwards’s career, he has never averaged less than 5.0 yards per carry, consistently getting what was required from the plays. With the Ravens passing game set to be rejuvenated by Todd Monken, defenses will no longer be able to dedicate as many resources to stopping the run, and Edwards could have a very productive year.
Tim Patrick (WR – DEN) – 196.5
This time last year, most Broncos beat reporters were talking up Tim Patrick as Russell Wilson‘s preferred target and also as the best wide receiver on the team, ahead of Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy. Unfortunately for Patrick, he tore his ACL during training camp and missed the entirety of the 2022 season. Typically wide receivers fare better in their returns from ACL injuries than running backs do, and by the time the season starts, Patrick will be 13 months removed from the injury. Patrick is a real dart-throw; with the Broncos having their third different head coach in three years, it’s entirely possible that Sean Payton doesn’t have as much faith in Patrick as the previous coaches did, but if Patrick is healthy don’t be surprised if shoehorns his way into the starting lineup.
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