We’re still a way away from the season starting but Fantasy Football is year-round and early drafters can take advantage of values at this stage of the offseason. Sleeper is now one of the most popular Fantasy Football platforms available but despite their ADP updating regularly, there are still some glaring values we should be looking to take advantage of. Last month when we looked into this, Alexander Mattison was an obvious value with an ADP of 129, now he’s regularly drafted inside the top fifty.
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Best Values On Sleeper: July
Marquise Brown (WR – ARI) ADP – 68.2
Last year when drafts closed in September, Marquise Brown was a consistent fixture in the fourth round of single QB drafts, with many people believing Kyler Murray was going to unlock Brown’s potential in a way Lamar Jackson never could with Greg Roman shackling him. Brown is now being drafted lower than last year despite DeAndre Hopkins no longer being on the Cardinals and most reports on Kyler Murray’s health being positive. While Murray might still miss some time, it could be entirely possible Marquise Brown sees a 30% target share on a depleted offense, even if some of those targets come closer to the line of scrimmage with a different quarterback. We’ve seen glimpses of Brown’s ceiling, and it won’t be surprising if we see him have a great year for fantasy football.
David Montgomery (RB – DET) ADP – 79.6
The Lions moved on from Jamaal Williams, making a rather obvious like-for-like replacement in their minds by signing David Montgomery, a player who hasn’t always been efficient but has delivered some big fantasy performances. Williams had over 1,000 rushing yards and 17 touchdowns in 2022, and now Montgomery likely finds himself in that role, but yet he’s being drafted two rounds lower than he was in 2022 when he was a member of the Bears. Montgomery’s offensive situation has been upgraded along with his offensive line being better, but yet nobody is excited about him. Montgomery is not a sexy player, but he has the best situation of his career, and if Jahmyr Gibbs fails to find his feet, Montgomery could be a league-winner.
Devin Singletary (RB – HOU) ADP – 132.3
The Texans seem content to roll with Dameon Pierce as their RB1 giving him a large share of the opportunities, but it also became evident in Pierce’s rookie year that he tired as the season went on and that the Texans need someone younger and frankly better than Rex Burkhead as Pierce’s backup. Singletary has never been electric for fantasy football, but he will have opportunities behind Pierce, and the Texans have an offensive line that could be a top-ten unit this year. If the Texans decide to lean run heavy, then there’s no reason to believe Singletary can’t have useful weeks, and if anything were to happen to Pierce, then Singletary would immediately be an every-week RB2.
Chigoziem Okonkwo (TE – TEN) ADP – 122.6
The Titans are a mess at the moment there are no two ways about it. Projecting anything for a team that has offensive line worries and could change quarterback at any point makes things tricky, but Chigoziem Okonkwo showed enough in his rookie year that we should have faith he’ll be able to capitalize on the Titans’ lack of pass-catching options. Between weeks 12-17, Okonkwo had 2.5 yards per route run, which was the third highest among all pass-catchers with 10 catches or more.
Rashod Bateman (WR – BAL) ADP – 112.1
Ravens pass-catchers are still being priced up as Baltimore is in the Greg Roman era, and Rashod Bateman’s ADP, in particular, stands out as if drafters are more concerned about him than they need be. Odell Beckham might be the highest-paid receiver with the Ravens, but he’s much more likely to be used in situational plays and in the red zone than Bateman, who likely leads the position in snaps. Bateman’s career has been interrupted by injuries, but he’s healthy now and working at OTA’s, and in the words of Lamar Jackson, he’s WR1. Bateman’s ADP has climbed 24 spots in the last month, but that might still be a decent amount below where he ends up in August.
Gerald Everett (TE – LAC) ADP – 148.6
The Chargers are set for a bounce-back season after Justin Herbert dealt with injuries last year that combined with tepid playcalling to see his average depth of target hit a career-low 6.4 yards per attempt. With Kellen Moore calling the plays, we should expect the Chargers to open things up more, and while the addition of Quentin Johnston makes the wide receiver room trickier to predict, Gerald Everett is still the TE1 in this offense, and we’ve seen enough from him and Justin Herbert to know that the two can be a good pairing for fantasy football, with Everett finishing as TE13 in points per game last season.
Michael Gallup (WR – DAL) ADP – 153.7
A year ago, the fantasy football community was hyping up an injured Michael Gallup, who, with Amari Cooper departing, the Cowboys looked set to become the clear number two option in Dallas. Understandably Gallup’s recovery from his torn ACL meant that he was slow to get going and didn’t deliver upon the hype, but now a year removed, the fade seems to have gone too far, with Gallup available almost a hundred picks later than in 2022. Gallup’s ADP has risen 13 spots in the last month, but at 153, it still feels too low.
Brock Purdy (QB – SF) ADP – 183.9
As a former Trey Lance Truther, it pains me no end to say this, but the simple fact is that the Niners have done nothing but support Brock Purdy as the QB1 in San Francisco. Purdy appears to be doing well in his recovery from surgery, and while Jimmy Garoppolo was a tepid quarterback with such weapons, Purdy displayed a little more gung-ho attitude as the starter and had 16 or more points in four of his five starts. Simply put, getting a starting quarterback this late in the draft with such elite weapons is a no-brainer, and when Purdy is declared healthy, we’ll see a huge jump in his ADP, which has already risen 40 spots in the last month.
