Several factors go into building a winning best ball team. One of those factors is identifying which players will let your team down and bust. Another is knowing which players have league-winning upside, especially in the later rounds. To help you build an elite best ball roster, I will identify the most likely bust candidate and potential league winner for every NFL team.
Today I break down the AFC South teams: the Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, and Tennessee Titans.
The ADP used for this article comes from Underdog Fantasy.
- More AFC Busts & League Winners: East | North
- Fitz’s Draft Primers: QB | RB | WR | TE
- Fantasy Football Draft Strategy
- 2023 Fantasy Football Draft Kit
Potential League Winners
Tank Dell (WR – HOU): ADP 213.2 | WR95
Houston traded Brandin Cooks to the Dallas Cowboys, opening up a team-high 93 targets from last year’s squad. Furthermore, the Texans lost 64% of their targets from last season’s team. While Houston added multiple veterans in free agency, the younger receivers are the ones fantasy players want to target. Meanwhile, Dell was a popular dynasty rookie draft pick after C.J. Stroud reportedly asked the team to select him. While I believe Nico Collins will be the Texans’ new No. 1 wide receiver, the rookie has the much cheaper ADP. Even if he is the team’s second-leading receiver, Dell could be a league winner that fantasy players can land in the final round of their drafts.
Anthony Richardson (QB – IND): ADP 100.5 | QB11
Typically rookie quarterbacks don’t have much fantasy success. Yet, Richardson could have some success this season thanks to his rushing abilities. Head coach Shane Steichen spent the past two years with the Philadelphia Eagles as the offensive coordinator. Jalen Hurts was a fantasy superstar last season, ending the year as the QB3. However, he was the QB6 on a points-per-game basis in 2021, averaging 20.8 fantasy points per contest. Hurts had 139 rushing attempts for 784 yards and 10 touchdowns that season, leading quarterbacks in every category. While Richardson will struggle as a passer this year, Steichen will take full advantage of rushing upside. If he starts most of the season, the rookie has top-five upside.
Tank Bigsby (RB – JAC): ADP 141.2 | RB46
The Jaguars made several additions to their backfield this offseason. However, the most important one is Bigsby. The third-round rookie won’t replace Travis Etienne as the starter but will cut into his workload, especially around the goal line. Last year the former Clemson star had five rushing touchdowns, tied for the most on the team with Trevor Lawrence. Unfortunately, Etienne scored a touchdown on only three of his 13 goal-line attempts. While it won’t be to the same extreme level, fantasy players shouldn’t be surprised if Bigsby fills the Jamaal Williams role in Jacksonville, with Etienne becoming the D’Andre Swift guy.
Chigoziem Okonkwo (TE – TEN): ADP 127.3 | TE11
If I don’t land Travis Kelce in the first round, my plan is to wait until the later rounds and load up on high-upside tight ends. My favorite of the bunch is Okonkwo. The former Maryland star averaged 3.5 receptions on 4.3 targets for 40.5 receiving yards per game over the final six contests last season. He was the TE8 over those six weeks, averaging 8.2 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. Meanwhile, Okonkwo finished first in yards after the catch per receptions and yards per route run among tight ends with at least 30 targets last year. Even after the Titans added DeAndre Hopkins, the second-year tight end is prime for a breakout season.
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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.