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10 Undervalued Players to Draft (2023 Fantasy Football)

10 Undervalued Players to Draft (2023 Fantasy Football)

Winning your fantasy football league starts with finding good value in the draft. Sometimes, the value is an overlooked player who you think will outperform his ranking. Other times, it’s avoiding the price tag on a guy who you believe will underperform.

This week, our Featured Pros took a look at the current FantasyPros consensus half-PPR rankings and identified 10 players who are going too low.

Fantasy Football Draft Kit

Undervalued Players by Half-PPR ECR

Aaron Jones (RB – GB)

“It’s time we put some respect on Aaron Jones’s name, considering he has those four straight Top-12 fantasy seasons he has strung together. How’s he been able to do it? How about a 5.5 yards-per-carry average? How about averaging 2.2 yards after contact? Of course, we can’t forget that 20% or more of his opportunities have come from targets in each of the last 4 seasons. With speed on the outside in Christian Watson and Jayden Reed (both sub-4.40) and Jordan Love‘s ability to push the ball down the field (9.3 y/pa) last season, everything will open up for Jones here in 2023. People will toss out names like Rachaad White, J.K. Dobbins, Miles Sanders, and possibly Cam Akers, but none of them have had the success that Jones has had on a consistent basis. How is a running back who has been an RB1 for four straight seasons not in the consensus Top-12? I have Jones at RB8. That’s one spot ahead of Saquan Barkley. ”
Matt Donnelly (Dynasty Vipers)

“Over the last four seasons, Aaron Jones has not only been nominated for the Walter Peyton Man of the Year, but only four backs have scored more fantasy points than he has. Despite only scoring two rushing touchdowns in 2022, he maintained his streak of four consecutive RB1 season finishes. He should find his way to the pay dirt more frequently in 2023, as he is now the leader of this offense, being the only starting offensive skill player over 25 years old. This team is primed to lean on their defense and game-manage their way to wins, which means Aaron Jones will see consistent usage every week. He is ECR’s RB16. However, I have him continuing his RB1 streak as my RB9 on the season.”
Ellis Johnson (True North Fantasy Football)

Jamaal Williams (RB – NO)

“Jamaal Williams as the RB37 is being seriously undersold. He signed a three-year deal ($8 million guaranteed) this offseason, with the likelihood that Alvin Kamara misses time due to a pending suspension. Williams is going to have a role on the schedule at some point during the 2023 season, which also happens to be the easiest strength of schedule based on forecasted win totals in the betting markets. These factors aren’t baked into his current ECR ranking. I have him ranked as the RB30, with the idea that he will have a stretch of games as the Saints RB1 (specifically during the start of the year). But I also think the RB37 rank fails to consider Williams will still have some value alongside a healthy/active Kamara.”
Andrew Erickson (FantasyPros)

Isiah Pacheco (RB – KC)

“RB Isiah Pacheco (My rank RB 6 Expert Consensus Rank RB 27) Pacheco has size (216 lbs.) and can fly (4.37 forty time). He plays for arguably the most explosive offense in the league. He also played most of last season with a torn labrum and still played well. In 2023, he’ll be the starter and knows the playbook inside and out. If he siphons off even a little of Jerick McKinnon‘s workload from last year (which I expect him to do), he’ll be a top-ten RB, imo.”
Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)

Cam Akers (RB – LAR)

“With a clear path to a workhorse rule, Cam Akers should have an ECR higher than RB21. Rankers and fantasy managers are no doubt concerned about Akers’ yo-yo usage in 2022. What matters is that the Rams rode him hard down the stretch. Over the last six weeks of the season, Akers averaged 17.3 carries a game and had a snap share north of 70% in all but one of those contests. He led the NFL in rushing and ranked RB4 in half-point PPR scoring over that six-week stretch. Akers closed the season with three consecutive 100-yard rushing games. The Rams’ other RBs are rookie Zach Evans, a late-sixth-round draft pick; slow, small Kyren Williams; and the thoroughly washed Sony Michel. I have Akers ranked RB14 and have been grabbing him in the sixth round of best-ball drafts after loading my shopping cart with WRs.”
Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros)

Joe Mixon (RB – CIN)

“The smoke seems to have settled for Joe Mixon being released this offseason. He is currently sitting at RB15, which doesn’t make sense. He is attached to a high-power offense that should set him up for scoring opportunities. He no longer has a proven backup veteran to take away his workload. There is no reason why Mixon isn’t being looked at as an RB1 for the 2023 season. I have him as RB 9, with him finishing as a low-end RB1 in 2023. ”
Steven Pintado (The Fantasy Coaches)

Christian Kirk (WR – JAC)

“Until we know for certain where DeAndre Hopkins (WR31) lands, I do believe people forget how strong my love for Christian Kirk has become. Kirk is currently coming off the board as the WR28, which is seven spots after teammate Calvin Ridley. Ridley is fantastic, one of the best when it comes to creating separation. Well, guess what? That benefits Kirk as well. Not only does Ridley’s arrival shift coverage, but it will allow Kirk to work from the slot where he saw 76.7% of his target volume a season ago. When Kirk had to play outside, his fantasy production dipped. In 2022, Kirk saw 123 targets hauling in 84 of them for 1,108 yards and eight receiving touchdowns, all of which were among the top 16 at the position. Last year’s WR14 is still a top-20 fantasy receiving option for me in 2023; I have him at WR19. Remember, there is enough passing volume in this Jaguars offense to support both Ridley and Kirk after attempting 36 passes per game a season ago. ”
Matt Donnelly (Dynasty Vipers)

Diontae Johnson (WR – PIT)

“Diontae Johnson’s ability to command targets based on his 28% target share and seventh-ranked 137 targets in 2022 suggests he is a prime candidate for positive regression in many facets. His combined downfield targets and red-zone targets were the most of any player not to score in 2022. Those trends don’t tend to carry over from year-to-year. Buy-low on the WR15 in expected fantasy points per game from last season. WR34 ECR is insulting for a WR that commands targets at high as a rate that Johnson does. He is my WR27 in half-PPR.”
Andrew Erickson (FantasyPros)

Odell Beckham Jr. (WR – BAL)

“WR Odell Beckham Jr. (My rank WR 5 Expert Consensus Rank WR59) When healthy, OBJ is one of the most electric players in the league, and I think he’s healthy now. The Ravens should score a bunch of TDs with Lamar Jackson back in the saddle. In addition, Odell only needs three fingers to make acrobatic TD catches. He should use the other two to flip off the haters, haha! At least that’s how I’d play it, and if this pick hits, I think I will, haha! Sleeper”
Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)

Jonathan Mingo (WR – CAR)

“Jonathan Mingo seems to be off everyone’s radar in 2023 as he sits at WR85. Mingo may be the most talented receiver on the Panthers’ roster. He was a high second-round pick that comes to a team without a true WR1 and question marks in depth. Mingo’s quickness and run-after-the-catch ability should allow him to be successful in 2023. I have him in WR 55, expecting a strong rookie season. ”
Steven Pintado (The Fantasy Coaches)

Ja’Marr Chase (WR – CIN)

“Let’s get a little spicy here. Ja’Marr Chase should be drafted over Justin Jefferson this season. Obviously, they are both amazing and are back-to-back in ECR as the top two WRs. I wanted to highlight that over the last three seasons, the WR1 has had 18, 16, and eight touchdowns, respectively, with the latter being Jefferson. If one of these receivers is going to have 15+ touchdowns, it’s going to be Chase. Despite missing five games in 2023, Chase scored nine touchdowns and was third in red zone targets. This is not a slight on Jefferson; instead, I believe this is more of a statement on Joe Burrow being a red-zone assassin compared to Kirk Cousins. Additionally, last season Chase averaged only 0.2 fewer targets per game than Jeffeson, so I am not worried about Tee Higgins taking away volume. Chase is primed to lead the league in scoring while maintaining an elite target share and yardage totals.”
Ellis Johnson (True North Fantasy Football)

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